Tag: St. John’s Red Storm vs. Xavier Musketeers odds predictions pick betting line spread

St. John’s at Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. John’s at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. John’s Red Storm (14-9, 4-8 Big East) visit the No. 15 Xavier Musketeers (18-5, 10-2) in Cincinnati Saturday at 5 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the St. John’s vs. Xavier odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After winning an overtime battle 85-83 Wednesday as a 4-point home favorite over 17th-ranked Providence in its last game, Xavier will get less of a test in this one against a St. John’s team which has struggled since entering Big East play.

A high scoring game should be in store with the Red Storm averaging 77.3 points per game and the Musketeers allowing 76.2 PPG, which ranks 336th per Covers.com.

On the other end of the court, the numbers are not much different. St. John’s allows 73.6 PPG (ranking 294th), while Xavier is the 8th-highest scoring team in the country at 83.3 PPG.

Defense will be optional for both teams and a shootout is likely.

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St. John’s at Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): St. John’s +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Xavier -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s +8.5 (-105) | Xavier -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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St. John’s at Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 90, St. John’s 79

Moneyline

AVOID.

St. John’s (+310) has not been the same team since entering Big East play, while Xavier (-425) has continued to excel. While it is not impossible for the Red Storm to pull off the upset, I don’t see it happening.

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Against the spread

XAVIER -8.5 (-115) is the side here.

Coming in after barely prevailing over Providence 85-83, Xavier will want to get back into cruise control and St. John’s is a good team to do it against.

St. John’s has failed to cover the spread in any of its last 4 games. While this will be a high-scoring game, it will not be a close one.

Over/Under

Although this O/U line being so high makes me nervous, I’m backing OVER 166.5 (-105).

The Red Storm have gone Over the total in its last 4 road games and have also gone Over the total in 5 of its last 6 games following an ATS loss.

For Xavier, the numbers are similar and lean toward the Over. The Musketeers have gone Over in 7 of 8 Saturday games while also going Over in 5 of 6 games against teams with losing road records. The Over has also hit in 8 of the Musketeers’ last 10 games following an ATS loss.

With the both defenses ranking outside the top 290 nationally, points will be flowing in Cincinnati for this one.

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St. John’s at Xavier odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. John’s at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. John’s Red Storm (13-11, 5-8 Big East) and Xavier Musketeers (17-7, 7-6) clash Wednesday for a Big East showdown in Cincinnati. Tip-off at Cintas Center is slated for 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the St. John’s vs. Xavier odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

St. John’s plays at a lightning-fast tempo and is the Big East’s top-scoring team with 78.5 points per game. However, SJU has struggled in the mostly up-tempo Big East, with just five wins in 13 circuit contests.

The Red Storm is just 4-8 over their last 12 and have shot a paltry 40.6% from the field over that stretch.

The Musketeers are coming over a 74-68 win over UConn Friday. Xavier is a solid group at both ends of the floor and is usually good for a handful of stealth points in a differential at the free-throw line.

XU is 12-3 SU at home this season, but the Musketeers are just 1-6 ATS over their last seven on home hardwood.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

St. John’s at Xavier odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Xavier -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John’s +7.5 (-105) | Xavier -7.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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St. John’s at Xavier odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 83, St. John’s 71

Money line

A Xavier -350 tag would offer value for bettors with enough bankroll to leverage the outlay, but PASS on the current price.

Against the spread

The favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings between SJU and XU.

Xavier is marginally better at both ends of the floor. Add in expected edges in rebounding and free-throw attempt frequency, and the Musketeers become a solid play in this one. Both teams come in a little banged up, but the effect should be more pronounced on the Red Storm’s production.

TAKE XAVIER -7.5 (-120).

Over/Under

The Big East compares as a fast-tempo conference, but one with teams that play solid defense. Both fives in this match-up sport analytics that point to their offenses having more to give.

BACK THE OVER 149.5 (-112).

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St. John’s at Xavier odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s St. John’s Red Storm at Xavier Musketeers sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The St. John’s Red Storm (6-4, 1-3 Big East) visit the Xavier Musketeers (8-2, 1-2) in a Big East battle Wednesday at the Cintas Center. The tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the St. John’s-Xavier college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

St. John’s at Xavier: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: St. John’s +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Xavier -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: St. John’s +6.5 (-110) | Xavier -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. John’s at Xavier: Three things to know

  1. St. John’s snapped a three-game losing streak vs. Big East foes by beating Georgetown 94-83 as a 4.5-point home favorite the last time out way back on Dec. 20. The Johnnies have had seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID this season including their last game vs. DePaul scheduled for this past Saturday.
  2. Xavier enters off consecutive Big East losses to Seton Hall (85-68 Dec. 30) and Creighton (66-61 Dec. 23). The Musketeers do a good job moving the ball and not turning it over (sixth in assist to turnover ratio), which helps them connect on 48.6% of their shots (ranked 42nd in the nation).
  3. Xavier has beaten St. John’s in 11 straight (5-0-1 ATS in its last six) and 13 out of its 15 meetings since the Musketeers joined the Big East in 2013.

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St. John’s at Xavier: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Xavier 80, St. John’s 78

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE with a slight lean toward St. John’s (+240) just because I like the Red Storm plus the points. Generally, I’d like to sprinkle on a dog to win if I’m betting it to cover, but I’ll stick with the spread only for this one.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is a Pros vs. Joes scenario with more than 70% of the money coming on the Johnnies, but 70% of the tickets/bets are on Xavier, according to Pregame.com. The sharp side is usually the money while the public is represented by the tickets/bets column. The line has already been moved from the 7.5-point opener to the current number, but the spread is still above two possessions.

St. John’s plays high-pressure defense, employing a full-court press during a lot of the game, and that could force Xavier to be uncharacteristically reckless with the rock. If Xavier is able to break through that ball pressure then it could beat the brakes off of a St. John’s defense that ranks 331st in opponent’s field-goal percentage and 330th in opponent’s 3-point percentage.

I’ll TAKE ST. JOHN’S +6.5 (-110) for 1 unit to keep it within two possessions.

Over/Under (O/U)

I lean OVER 155.5 (-110) because this St. John’s-Xavier projected total is at least 10 points higher than their previous four meetings. St. John’s-Xavier has a combined 15-5 O/U record so far this season, and while the market seemingly prefers the Over, BetMGM sees the highest-score St. John’s-Xavier game in years.

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