San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs (20-59) and Oklahoma City Thunder (54-25) meet Wednesday. Tip-off from Paycom Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Thunder lead 2-1

The Spurs, who have the worst record in the Western Conference, play their final road game of the season Wednesday. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are 5-3 in their last 8. They are coming off a 102-87 road win over the Memphis Grizzlies Tuesday night, covering as 6-point favorites.

The Thunder are battling for the No. 1 seed in the conference. They are currently in 3rd place and just 1 game back of the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, who are both 55-24. The Thunder have won back-to-back games, including a cover as 5.5-point favorites in a 112-105 home victory over the Sacramento Kings Tuesday night.

Spurs at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Thunder -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +15.5 (-105) | Thunder -15.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5  (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Thunder key injuries

Spurs

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

  • Keldon Johnson (foot) out
  • Jeremy Sochan (ankle) out
  • Devin Vassell (foot) out

Thunder

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 125, Spurs 115

Moneyline

The Thunder (-1600) are 30-8 at home this season, while the Spurs are 10-30 on the road. Their last meeting in Oklahoma City (Nov. 14) was a 123-87 blowout win for the Thunder.

The Spurs are playing well and would love to play spoiler for the Thunder, but OKC is in play for home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, and they are healthy, so don’t go betting the Spurs.

And betting the Thunder at -1600 isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The 15.5-point spread is a lot!

The Spurs have been a very solid bet ATS. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.

The Thunder are 7-6 ATS on no rest. The Spurs are 5-7 ATS.

The Thunder’s last win by more than 15 points was March 22.

The Spurs only have 1 loss by more than 15 points in their last 21 games.

BET SPURS +15.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The last 2 meetings this season between these teams had totals that cleared 250 points.

Three of the last 4 games for the Thunder have had totals higher than 226.

Half of the Spurs’ last 6 have had totals higher than this game’s projection.

BET OVER 226.5 (-110).

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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (11-22) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (14-19) Tuesday. Tip from Paycom Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder lost to the New Orleans Pelicans 128-125 as 2-point home favorites Friday. That against-the-spread (ATS) loss pushed their season-long ATS record to 20-13. The Thunder have covered 3 of their last 4 games. OKC ranks 10th in points per game (115.4) and 10th in opponents’ field goal percentage (46.5%).

The Spurs beat the Utah Jazz 1126-122 Monday, covering as 5-point home underdogs to push their season-long ATS record to 14-19. The Spurs are 5-10 on the road this season and dead last in opponents’ points per game (120.2), opponents’ FG percentage (50.3%) and opponents’ 3-point shooting percentage (38.9%).

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Spurs at Thunder odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Thunder -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +6.5 (-105) | Thunder -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Spurs at Thunder key injuries

Spurs

  • Not yet submitted

Thunder

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 119, Spurs 114

Moneyline

PASS.

The Thunder are the better side, but they certainly haven’t been good enough to bet at (-260). OKC is 9-8 straight up at home, and the Spurs are 5-10 straight up on the road.

Against the spread

BET SPURS +6.5 (-105).

The Spurs are finally healthy, and with F Keldon Johnson coming off a 21-point effort along with other players like G Devin Vassell stepping up in their win over Utah, San Antonio should be able to hang with OKC.

The Spurs have covered 5 of their last 9 as well. At full strength, like we saw earlier in the season when they won 5 of their first 7, their roster is capable of hanging with anyone.

The Thunder are just 3-6 straight up in their last 9 games and 5-4 ATS over that span. However, they failed to cover the 2 times they were favored. Ultimately, back the SPURS +6.5 (-105) here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 236.5 (-105).

The Thunder have gone Under in 7 of their last 10 games. They also rank 10th in opponents’ FG percentage (46.5%), so they do have a competent defense.

The Spurs have gone Over in 4 straight, but have only topped 117 in 2 of those 4. Considering this high of a total and the Thunder’s competence defensively, I would play the UNDER 236.5 (-105) for a partial unit.

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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (22-36) visit the Paycom Center Wednesday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (18-39). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Spurs are coming into this game after losing to the Bulls. Chicago covered as 3-point favorites.

That broke a two-game covering streak for San Antonio. It has covered 5 of its last 10 and has a 30-28 against the spread (ATS) record on the season. The Spurs are led by first-time All-Star G Dejounte Murray.

The Thunder have been the second-best covering team in the NBA with a 35-19-3 ATS record. While just 9-18 at home, the Thunder are 15-9-3 ATS on their home court.

Oklahoma City is 6-3-1 ATS over its last 10. They are down a lot of firepower in this one, though.

Spurs at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs -360 (bet $360 to win $100) | Thunder +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -7.5 (-110) | Thunder +7.5 (110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Thunder key injuries

Spurs

  • None

Thunder

  • G Luguentz Dort (shoulder) out
  • G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) out
  • G Kenrich Williams (knee) out
  • G Mike Muscala (ankle) out
  • G Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out

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Spurs at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 113, Thunder 108

Money line

PASS.

Spurs -360 is entirely too expensive, and the Thunder aren’t likely to pull the upset off down their two best players (SGA and Dort). Look to the spread for value here.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the THUNDER +7.5 (-110).

As the saying goes: good teams win, but great teams cover. The Thunder aren’t going to make the playoffs this year and may be down a few critical scorers, but they’ve found a way to consistently cover.

The Spurs are playing their fifth straight road game and have played 4 games since Feb. 9, covering two of them. This will be their 4th game in 6 days.

While OKC has a similar schedule, it will be returning home following a 3-game road trip not coming to an end of it. The Thunder have been so good at covering because they rank 9th in defensive rating and 12th in turnover rate.

Those two stats have helped them keep games close, and I anticipate that being the case on Wednesday. Also, OKC is the best-covering team after a win with an 11-5-1 ATS record (they defeated the Knicks by 4 in OT on Monday).

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 218.5 (-110).

The Thunder are terrific defensively. Rookie G Josh Giddey will likely get the assignment of Murray. His length should be disruptive to the Spurs, a team that ranks 8th in pick-and-roll frequency.

While the Spurs are 29-27-2 O/U this season, they’re just 5-5 O/U this season. As the away team, the Spurs are just 11-17-1 O/U, the second-lowest Over hitting percentage.

OKC is 23-33-1 O/U this season, the seventh-lowest Over hitting percentage.

The Spurs don’t play well offensively on the road, and the Thunder have a top-tier defense. With all of those in mind, the Under is the best play in this game.

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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (3-6) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (2-6) Sunday at Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs at Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Spurs are 1-2 across their last three games but are 2-1 against the spread, losing by a mere point to the Dallas Mavericks.

They’re led by the surging play of G Dejounte Murray. However, they’ll have to push the pace Sunday as starting C Jakob Poeltl will miss the game due to health and safety protocols.

The Thunder are coming off their second win of the season, a cover over the Los Angeles Lakers Thursday. Both of Oklahoma City’s victories came against the Lakers.

Its underrated backcourt of G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and G Lu Dort can both defend and score at high levels, making this match a thrilling contest of two competitive sets of guards.

Spurs at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Thunder +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -3.5 (-115) | Thunder +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Spurs at Thunder key injuries

Spurs

  • C Jakob Poeltl (health and safety protocols) out

Thunder

  • None affecting gambling odds

Spurs at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 106, Thunder 98

Money line

“LEAN” to the SPURS (-170), but considering the lack of value here I’d really only consider playing if it gets down to -150. That’s unlikely to happen without surprise injury news between now and tip-off.

Against the spread

BET on the SPURS -3.5 (-115) as their roster is far more complete. The Spurs have talent all across their starting roster and are led by future Hall of Fame coach Gregg Popovich.

San Antonio has really only lost games to quality opponents like the Denver Nuggets, Los Angeles Lakers, Milwaukee Bucks, Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers — all potential playoff teams. The Spurs rank 20th in offensive rating and 8th in defensive rating.

Their defensive-minded backcourt should be an ugly matchup for Dort and SGA who just abused LA’s older backcourt during their last outing, the Spurs should come out on top, and I expect a cover on a mere 3.5-point spread.

San Antonio is 6-3 against the spread while Oklahoma City, who typically has opened as near double-digit underdogs, is just 4-4.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 213.5 (-115) as Murray’s length should be an issue for SGA, who is the Thunder’s only consistent scoring option.

SGA has put up 27 or more points in the Thunder’s wins over the Lakers, and he should get those types of opportunities Sunday too. However, while the Spurs do rank in the top ten in pace, they also rarely turn the ball over.

Combine that with the Thunder’s bottom-two offensive rating, and I think this could be a slow, low-scoring affair. The Under is covering at a near 65% rate this season.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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