The San Antonio Spurs (22-36) visit the Paycom Center Wednesday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (18-39). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Spurs are coming into this game after losing to the Bulls. Chicago covered as 3-point favorites.
That broke a two-game covering streak for San Antonio. It has covered 5 of its last 10 and has a 30-28 against the spread (ATS) record on the season. The Spurs are led by first-time All-Star G Dejounte Murray.
The Thunder have been the second-best covering team in the NBA with a 35-19-3 ATS record. While just 9-18 at home, the Thunder are 15-9-3 ATS on their home court.
Oklahoma City is 6-3-1 ATS over its last 10. They are down a lot of firepower in this one, though.
Spurs at Thunder odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Spurs -360 (bet $360 to win $100) | Thunder +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -7.5 (-110) | Thunder +7.5 (110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Spurs at Thunder key injuries
Spurs
- None
Thunder
- G Luguentz Dort (shoulder) out
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) out
- G Kenrich Williams (knee) out
- G Mike Muscala (ankle) out
- G Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
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Spurs at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 113, Thunder 108
Money line
PASS.
Spurs -360 is entirely too expensive, and the Thunder aren’t likely to pull the upset off down their two best players (SGA and Dort). Look to the spread for value here.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the THUNDER +7.5 (-110).
As the saying goes: good teams win, but great teams cover. The Thunder aren’t going to make the playoffs this year and may be down a few critical scorers, but they’ve found a way to consistently cover.
The Spurs are playing their fifth straight road game and have played 4 games since Feb. 9, covering two of them. This will be their 4th game in 6 days.
While OKC has a similar schedule, it will be returning home following a 3-game road trip not coming to an end of it. The Thunder have been so good at covering because they rank 9th in defensive rating and 12th in turnover rate.
Those two stats have helped them keep games close, and I anticipate that being the case on Wednesday. Also, OKC is the best-covering team after a win with an 11-5-1 ATS record (they defeated the Knicks by 4 in OT on Monday).
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 218.5 (-110).
The Thunder are terrific defensively. Rookie G Josh Giddey will likely get the assignment of Murray. His length should be disruptive to the Spurs, a team that ranks 8th in pick-and-roll frequency.
While the Spurs are 29-27-2 O/U this season, they’re just 5-5 O/U this season. As the away team, the Spurs are just 11-17-1 O/U, the second-lowest Over hitting percentage.
OKC is 23-33-1 O/U this season, the seventh-lowest Over hitting percentage.
The Spurs don’t play well offensively on the road, and the Thunder have a top-tier defense. With all of those in mind, the Under is the best play in this game.
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