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The third-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide (25-7) battle the second-seeded Florida Gators (28-4) Saturday in the semifinal round of the SEC Tournament. Tip-off from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Alabama vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
No. 8 Alabama closed out the regular season with a big win at Auburn last Saturday (March 8) and carried that momentum into the SEC Tournament. The Crimson Tide dominated the No. 19 Kentucky Wildcats in the quarterfinals Friday, cruising to a 99-70 victory and easily covering as 9-point favorites. The Under (178.5) cashed. Alabama is chasing its third SEC Tournament title since 2021, but regardless of how this run ends, it is locked in for its fifth straight NCAA Tournament appearance.
No. 4 Florida stayed hot in the SEC Tournament, grabbing its 10th win in the last 11 games with a 95-81 victory over the No. 22 Missouri Tigers Friday night. The Gators covered as 9.5-point favorites, and the Over (164.5) hit with ease.
Now, they’re looking to return to the SEC title game for the second straight year and finally break through. Florida hasn’t won this tournament since 2014.
Florida beat the Crimson Tide 99-94 in their lone regular-season meeting March 5. The Gators covered as 3.5-point road favorites, and the Over (178.5) cashed.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Alabama vs. Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alabama +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Florida -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama +3.5 (-110) | Florida -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 174.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Alabama vs. Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 96, Alabama 91
Moneyline
PASS.
I’ve got Florida (-170) heading to the SEC title game, but I’d rather take the better odds on the spread instead.
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Against the spread
BET FLORIDA -3.5 (-110).
This matchup has everything you want in a big-time game, with the winner likely locking up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Florida has been tough to beat because it can attack in so many ways. It has a talented trio of guards in Walter Clayton Jr., Alijah Martin, and Will Richard, all with plenty of experience in big moments. Plus, F Alex Condon provides a solid inside presence to balance things out.
Alabama, meanwhile, has turned into a powerhouse under coach Nate Oats. The guy knows how to win, and he’s built a team that can flat-out score. The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring at 91.4 points per game (PPG), led by first-team All-American G Mark Sears, who’s putting up 19.2 points and 5.0 assists per game. The problem? Their defense is almost nonexistent, giving up 80.7 PPG — one of the worst marks in the country.
The first game between these two was a shootout, and this one should be no different. But Florida actually plays defense, and that’s why it has the edge here.
Over/Under
BET OVER 174.5 (-105).
It’s tough to ignore the scoring potential in this matchup. When these 2 teams met earlier this season, they combined for 193 points, blowing past the total. Alabama has hit the Over in 6 of its last 9 games, while Florida has gone Over in 5 straight. With both teams playing at a relentless pace, expect a track meet with plenty of buckets and little defense to slow things down.
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