The Seattle Mariners (11-13) and Philadelphia Phillies (12-13) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Mariners lost 6-5 as -112 favorites at the Phillies Wednesday. Seattle held a 1-run lead heading into the bottom of the 8th inning before losing for the 2nd time in its last 3 games.
The Phillies closed as +103 underdogs in Wednesday’s win. 1B Alec Bohm drove in the game-winning run for the Phillies, who have won 4 of their last 5 games.
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Mariners at Phillies projected starters
RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Matt Strahm
Kirby (2-1, 3.57 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 0.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.
- Won Friday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals: 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 5 K
- Has never faced the Phillies in his career
Strahm (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 18 IP.
- Lost last Thursday vs. the Colorado Rockies: 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 11 K
- 5 career relief appearances vs. Seattle: 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 1 ER)
Mariners at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mariners at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Mariners 3
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-115).
The Phillies have been the better team lately and should be able to win this series 2-1 at home. Philadelphia has won its last 4 games after allowing 5 or more runs in its previous contest and is 11-5 in its last 16 at home vs. right-handed starters. Kirby has looked solid this season, but Thursday will be his 1st time facing a team as good as Philadelphia.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Philadelphia +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Phillies should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
The Under is 5-0 in Seattle’s last 5 games vs. left-handed starters and 4-1 in its last 5 after a loss.
The Under has hit in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games after a win and is 4-1 in its last 5 vs. right-handed starters. Look for both offenses to come back down to Earth Thursday after combining for 11 runs last time out.
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