Seattle Mariners betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 3

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (21-35) and Seattle Mariners (31-27) open a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mariners won 8-5 last season

The Angels failed to cash as +149 home underdogs in an 8-3 loss to the New York Yankees Thursday as the Over (8.5) hit. C Logan O’Hoppe homered for the 4th time in the last 8 games for L.A., which has lost 5 of 6.

The Mariners failed to sweep the Houston Astros in 4 games and dropped the series finale 4-0 as -128 home favorites Thursday as the Under (7.5) cashed. The loss snapped a 4-game winning streak for Seattle, which is on a 4-0 run to the Under.

Angels at Mariners projected starters

RHP José Soriano vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Soriano (2-5, 3.61 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 52 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-3 home setback vs. Cleveland Guardians Saturday
2024 road stats: 2-1, 1.67 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.11 WHIP in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER), 1.29 WHIP in 5 relief appearances

Woo (2-0, 1.66 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 9-5 win at Washington Nationals Sunday
2024 home stats: 1-0, 0.93 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.62 WHIP in 2 starts
Career vs. Angels: 1-0, 2.20 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.92 WHIP in 3 starts in 2023

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Angels at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +100)

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Angels at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Angels 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-160) should bounce back after getting shut out vs. Houston Thursday. Seattle is 4-0 in Woo’s outings this season, and the righty has allowed a total of just 1 run in 2 home starts this year.

BET MARINERS (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners have scored a total of just 9 runs over their last 4 games, so betting them to win by 2 or more seems a bit aggressive. L.A. +1.5 (-165) will probably hit, but in no way do I want to fade Woo at T-Mobile Park after how dominant he was in his 1st 2 home starts.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Seattle is the best Under bet in MLB this season at 34-21-3 (61.8%). Woo on the mound combined with his team’s underwhelming offense should lead to a 5th straight Under for the Mariners. However, 7 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this at 6.5, unless you like the Over.

BET UNDER 7 (-120), which is available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (24-32) and Seattle Mariners (31-26) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

The Astros won the 1st meeting at Minute Maid Park in Houston on May 3, but the Mariners have won 4 straight meetings since, outscoring Houston by a 14-5 clip.

The Mariners walked it off in 10 innings on Wednesday, winning 2-1. It’s the 2nd consecutive comeback win in the late innings, as Seattle erased a 2-1 Houston lead with 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th on Tuesday.

Houston has dropped 3 in a row, while going 4-7 in the past 11 games since May 18. The Under has cashed in 5 consecutive outings for the Astros.

Seattle has won 4 in a row, extending its lead to 3 1/2 games over the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The M’s are 18-10 at home, although they still have a minus-3 run differential on the season.

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Astros at Mariners projected starters

RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Arrighetti (2-5, 6.93 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-1 road loss vs. Oakland Athletics last Saturday
2024 road splits: 0-4, 10.26 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 2.28 WHIP, .360 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 4 HR, 11 BB, 21 K in 4 starts

Gilbert (3-2, 3.06 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 70 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-1 road loss vs. Washington Nationals last Saturday
2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.36 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.79 WHIP, .165 OBA, 2 HR, 6 BB, 30 K in 4 starts

Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Mariners -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-184) | Mariners -1.5 (+152)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 7, Astros 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-134) look to cap off the 4-game sweep, and the pitching scales are strongly tipped in their favor.

The Astros (+114) turn to Arrighetti to stop the slide, and help avoid the broom, but he is easily the worst pitcher they’ve used in the series. Arrighetti has allowed just shy of 7 runs per every 9 IP, and he has been atrocious on the road.

Conversely, M’s manager Scott Servais hands the ball to Gilbert, arguably the team’s best starting pitcher.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (+162) are a solid play, if you’re a little less conservative. Obviously, don’t play both the moneyline and run line together.

Again, Arrighetti has been terrible, especially on the road, and the M’s should stay hot with the sticks.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series finale.

Again, this boils down to Arrighetti, who has a 10.26 ERA in 4 road starts. He has been very giving, and the Mariners should roll up plenty of runs early and often against the shaky right-hander.

The Under has dominated for the Astros lately, cashing in 5 in a row, but the Over is 4-1 in Arrighetti’s previous 5 assignments.

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (24-31) and Seattle Mariners (30-26) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

The Astros lost 4-2 as +111 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7.5) hit. Houston has lost back-to-back games and is 4-6 over its last 10.

CF Julio Rodríguez and 3B Josh Rojas drove in runs during a 3-run 8th inning for the Mariners, who cashed as -120 favorites. Seattle has won 3 straight, bouncing back from a 4-game skid May 22-25.

Astros at Mariners projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP George Kirby

Verlander (3-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 40 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 8 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 6-3 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
2024 road stats: 3-1, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.20 WHIP in 5 starts
Career vs. Mariners (regular season): 22-10, 3.02 ERA (253 IP, 85 ER), 1.04 WHIP in 38 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA (8 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last season

Kirby (4-5, 4.33 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-1 setback at Washington Nationals Friday
2024 home stats: 4-1, 2.97 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 5 starts
2024 vs. Astros: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-3 road loss May 3
Career vs. Astros (regular season): 2-0, 1.59 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.97 WHIP in 4 starts

Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+165) | Mariners +1.5 (-200)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-115) have dominated the Astros this season. While Kirby has lost back-to-back starts on the road, he has been much better at T-Mobile Park this season (3-0 in last 3 home starts).

Verlander has allowed 12 hits over his last 2 starts (10 2/3 IP) and was somewhat lucky to only give up only 1 ER last time out in Oakland.

BET MARINERS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle +1.5 (-200) should hit, but laying -200 in MLB is a losing proposition long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Astros have scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, and Seattle has put up 4 or fewer in 5 of their last 6. Neither offense has been impressive lately, and with Kirby starting at home, I would learn toward the Under. However, 7 is a key number in MLB totals, and this line is a bit too low for me to commit.

LEAN UNDER 7 (+100).

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (24-29) take on the Seattle Mariners (28-26) Monday in the opener of a 4-game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Astros took 2 of 3 at the Oakland A’s over the weekend and are 6-4 over their last 10. After a miserable start to the year, they’re now just 3½ back from the AL West lead. 3B Alex Bregman picked the worst time for a massive slump. The contract-year star is hitting .210 with 4 homers and 21 RBIs.

OF Julio Rodriguez doesn’t have to worry about a contract, but he opened the year flat as well. He’s showing signs of turning it around with homers in 2 straight games — he’s hitting .260 with 4 homers and 19 RBIs. The Mariners snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 9-5 win as -172 road favorites at the Washington Nationals Sunday. Rodriguez had 4 RBIs to go with a homer in the win.

Astros at Mariners projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Valdez (3-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 3 HR, 1 BB, 3 K in 9-7 home setback vs. Los Angeles Angels May 20
Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 0-2, 6.26 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.65 WHIP, 9/2 K/9

Miller (3-5, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 58 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-3 setback at New York Yankees Wednesday
Career vs. Astros: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 4 starts

Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:49 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Astros 4

Moneyline

The M’s are 7-3 in their last 10 against the ‘Stros. It’s a little curious that Houston would be favored on the road here. Yes, Valdez is on the mound, but he got lit up by the lowly Angels last time out and hasn’t fared well against Seattle in his last 5 turns against them.

TAKE MARINERS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS on the run line as we’re on the Seattle ML above.

However, I like FRAMBER VALDEZ UNDER 5.5 K’S (+100) here. He has only fanned 6 or more in 2 of his last 7 starts. Plus, he struck out just 3 in 5 1/3 innings against Seattle May 4.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 65 degrees with a very light breeze headed out to right-center. Both starters gave up 5+ runs in their last outings, and we had 8+ runs in 2 of the 3 head-to-head meetings earlier this season.

With this number being fairly low, I like OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (27-23) and New York Yankees (34-17) battle in a Thursday matinee at Yankee Stadium. First pitch in the finale of a 4-game series is slated for a 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

Seattle took the 1st 2 games of this series Monday and Tuesday. On Tuesday, they hit 4 HRs in a 6-3 triumph.

The Yankees answered that quartet of round-trippers with 4 of their own in a 7-3 bounce-back win on Wednesday. OF Juan Soto hit 2 of those homers; he’s 8-for-19 (.421) with 4 HR over his last 5 games.

Mariners at Yankees projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Luis Gil

Castillo (4-5, 3.28 ERA) is making his 11th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 60 1/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 4-3 win at Baltimore Orioles Saturday
Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 2.84 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 21 H, 15 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Gil (5-1, 2.39 ERA) is making his 10th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 49 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 6-1 win vs. Chicago White Sox Saturday
Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start

Mariners at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Seattle is 6-3 across its last 9 getaway games.

Castillo has held current New York batters to an aggregate .541 OPS in past meetings, per ESPN. Gil has been terrific, but he has mostly pitched through the lessened traffic of a .217 batting average on balls in play. There has been some good fortune to his numbers so far.

The New York bullpen figures to have more warts than what shows in its surface line, and they have shown during this series. And strength of schedule is often overlooked in baseball betting, as many bettors assume the everyday slate levels everything in a matter of weeks. That is not always the case, and sometimes it figures into a component lean. For example, the Yankees’ pitching-faced slate to date has been a weak one.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a better price here. Consider a partial-unit play on SEATTLE (+122). Go in heavier at +125 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

FanDuel offers a RL Seattle play (+1.5) at -156. That’s enticing as both clubs have played more 1-run games than average. A slight lean but no more.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games. The total has gone Over in 8 of the Mariners’ last 9 games on the road and has hit in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games at Yankee Stadium.

On a humid day with a slight outward breeze in the forecast (and 2 fly-ball pitchers on the mound), BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (27-22) and New York Yankees (33-17) meet for the 3rd game in a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Seattle leads 2-0

Seattle beat New York 6-3 Tuesday while covering as a +143 road underdog. The Mariners jumped out to a 4-0 lead and never looked back. Seattle has won 3 of its last 4 games.

New York has now lost back-to-back home games after a 7-game win streak.

Mariners at Yankees projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Miller (3-4, 3.08 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 52 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 1 K in a 9-2 loss at the Baltimore Orioles Friday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 15.43 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Cortes (2-4, 3.56 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 4-2 win over the Chicago White Sox Friday
Career vs. Seattle: 1-0, 4.08 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 14 H, 7 BB, 20 K in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Mariners at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN YANKEES (-150).

New York is 16-8 at home this year while Seattle, after winning the 1st 2 games of the series, is 12-12 on the road.

The Yankees are simply too good of a team for me to advise betting that they will lose 3 in a row to Seattle, especially in New York.

This is only a lean because Seattle is 6-4 in its last 10 overall and 3-0 in its last 3 vs. New York.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Seattle to cover here as a +1.5 (-165) underdog especially given that the Mariners are 6-4 in their last 10 vs. New York, but this current line is not worth the risk. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Seattle and is 7-2-1 in its last 10 overall. For New York, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 games. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Seattle-New York matchups, being 5-3 in the last 8 meetings.

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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (26-22) and New York Yankees (33-16) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series at Yankee Stadium Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

Seattle snapped New York’s 7-game winning streak with a 5-4 victory at Yankee Stadium Monday, cashing as a (+125) road underdog. Yankees RHP Clay Holmes allowed earned runs (4) for the 1st time all year to take the loss. RHP Marcus Stroman delivered 7 1/3 innings of 1-run ball.

The Mariners got their 1st run thanks to a solo HR hit by LF Dominic Canzone off Stroman in the 8th. Canzone would drive in the tying run off Holmes in the 9th inning before 3B Ty France gave Seattle the lead with an RBI single.

RHP Andres Munoz allowed the tying run on base with 1 out in the bottom of the 9th but was able to lock down his 9th save of the season.

Mariners at Yankees projected starters

RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Woo (1-0, 0.93 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.62 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Wednesday
2023 road stats: 2-3, 4.82 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 28 ER) in 11 starts

Schmidt (5-1, 2.49 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 50 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-0 victory at Minnesota Twins Thursday
His knuckle curve rates out as best (141) among 80 qualified starting pitchers

Mariners at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Yankees -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

INCLUDE YANKEES (-164) IN A PARLAY.

If you are comfortable laying the juice, by all means back the Yankees’ ML on its own. Personally, I like to back this New York team in a parlay while simultaneously fading another. A 2-leg parlay with the Yankees (-164) and Cleveland Guardians (-126 at home vs. New York Mets, 6:10 p.m. ET) pays out +189.

Run line

PASS.

The Mariners are a 1st-place team and are battle-tested of late, as they have recently played 3 games each against the Baltimore Orioles (29-16) and Royals (30-19). Once again, the move would be certainly justifiable if you are willing to lay the juice.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-114).

Woo does a great job of limiting the number of pitches that get pummeled. Dating back to last season, only 6 starting pitchers who completed a minimum of 90 innings had a lower barrel percentage than the 24-year-old (5.7%).

The Yankees are 2nd in HRs (68) but have grounded into the most double plays (50) in MLB. Expect New York to outslug Seattle — we just need to hope the basepaths are clear.

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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (25-22) and New York Yankees (33-15) open a 4-game series in the Bronx on Monday with 1st pitch in the series opener slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 4-2 last year

Seattle is continuing with a road trip that opened with losing 2 of 3 at the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. The Mariner offense was hamstrung by a 5-of-25 (.200) performance with runners in scoring position.

Yankee bats have come alive with the club pounding out 26 extra-base hits over its last 5 games. New York won all 5 of those games and has won 7 straight overall. Over that span, the Yanks have a run differential of plus-29.

Mariners at Yankees projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Gilbert (3-2, 3.07 ERA) is making his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 6 2/4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-2 loss vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday
Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 7.97 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 25 H, 6 BB, 16 K in 4 games
Current New York batters own an aggregate .852 OPS against him

Stroman (3-2, 3.33 ERA) is lined up for his 10th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 4-0 win at Minnesota Twins Wednesday
Career vs. Mariners: 1-2, 3.75 ERA (24.0 IP, 10 ER), 28 H, 6 BB, 23 K in 4 games

Mariners at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

New York is 14-5 over its last 19 home games against Seattle. This month at home the Yankees are 8-1 with an .879 OPS and a 2.23 ERA.

With the way New York batters have hit Gilbert in the past, this contest is not one to pick as the end to their win streak.

Consider a partial-unit play on the YANKEES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

Some interest here, but only on a Yankees -1.5 tag of something closer to +160. PASS.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over is 5 of Seattle’s last 6 on the road.

There is some fade to the surface numbers for both starters and the Yankees bullpen. Mix in the pitcher types — Gilbert as a fly-baller and Stroman as a ground-baller — and those play into New York and Seattle batting strengths, respectively. The Mariners own a .756 OPS against ground-ball pitchers, and the Yankees have posted a .799 OPS against fly-ball types.

The power-laden heart of the New York batting order is on a collective surge.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a lower run total here. TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-122).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (25-21) and Baltimore Orioles (28-15) meet Sunday to wrap up a 3-game weekend series. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1-1

Seattle battled back to win 4-3 Saturday, cashing as (+125) road underdogs despite not registering a hit off Orioles SP Grayson Rodriguez until the 6th inning. Baltimore RPs Danny Coulombe and Yennier Cano each were tagged with 2 earned runs in relief, and SS Gunnar Henderson delivered his MLB leading 14th HR in the 9th inning. The Orioles trail the New York Yankees by 2 games in the AL East, while Seattle is a game and a half up on the Texas Rangers in the AL West.

The Mariners got the scoring started in the 7th inning as RF Mitch Haniger grounded out which scored 1B Luke Raley, and 3B Ty France tied the ballgame with an RBI double. Seattle doubled up their lead in the 8th inning as C Cal Raleigh and SS Dylan Moore drove in runs with RBI doubles.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Kirby (4-3, 3.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 win over Kansas City last Monday
The 26-year-old’s BB/9 is 2nd-lowest among all qualified pitchers in MLB behind only Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin (0.6).

Burnes (3-2, 2.68 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.

Last start: ND, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings against Toronto last Monday
Orioles have scored just 1 run in the 29-year-old’s last 26 innings on the mound.

Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-184) | Orioles -1.5 (+152)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 3, Seattle 2

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-142).

Never feels comfortable recommending laying this much juice, but ultimately the Orioles are the better team offensively and pitching wise. If you believe the Mets will rebound after Saturday’s loss to Miami, pairing Baltimore ML along with New York (-154) pays out roughly +180.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Seattle (-184) is too much juice for a run and a half.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-122).

Both Burnes and Kirby possess a soft contact percentage against of 23.1%, which is Top 8 amongst qualified pitchers. While the strikeout numbers for Burnes may be down, he has been satisfied with the ground ball outs he’s been inducing, and his GB% of 51.4% is 10th-highest.

Seattle manager Scott Servais called Kirby’s last start vs. KC a “vintage performance” and the Mariners righty added afterward that he liked to be “pissed off” when he pitches. Expect that same fire when these couple of playoff contenders meet Sunday afternoon in front of a solid crowd in Baltimore. Plus, with his reintroduced hard slider/cutter, perhaps the Orioles home run hitting ability will be kept in check.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (28-14) welcome the Seattle Mariners (24-21) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Mariners lost to the Orioles to open the series 9-2 Friday, failing to cover as run-line underdogs. They closed +117 on the moneyline. Seattle has won 3 of its last 5 games yet is just 6-8 over its last 14. The Mariners have struggled offensively, scoring just 2 runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

The Orioles have won 2 straight and 5 of their last 7. However, they are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games (23-19 ATS on the season). Baltimore is the 7th-best home team in MLB with a 16-9 record.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. TBD

Castillo (4-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 8 K in an 8-4 home win over the Oakland A’s Friday
Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start
2024 road splits: 2-2, 2.92 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2 HR, .189 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

While the Orioles have yet to announce a starter, 30-year-old Cole Irvin seems on deck and could’ve started Friday. It was noted he didn’t start due to injury, so he’s a likely option for Baltimore.

Irvin 2024 home stats: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP in 4 starts

Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Orioles +1.5 (-192)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Marines 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-106).

Castillo struggled to start the season, but he has been on fire over the last month. He has pitched 32 2/3 innings and has 6 ER. During that span, in his starts, the Mariners have road wins over the Rockies and Rangers and home wins over the Braves and A’s. Seattle is 4-1 over his last 5 starts.

It has also scored at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 5, so it has sustained some success offensively. The Orioles blasted the Mariners in the first game and are 16-11 after a win. Seattle is 13-7 after a loss. Considering those trends and Seattle’s pitching edge, take MARINERS (-106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Mariners are too risky as run-line favorites, while the Orioles are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, the moneyline has the only team-specific value here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).

Both teams have had success on the Over as of late. The Mariners are 8-2 O/U in their last 10 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of those.

The Orioles have tallied at least 7 in 3 of their last 9 and are 5-4 O/U in that span. Baltimore is 21-17-3 O/U on the season. The recent trends point to the Over, so back OVER 7.5 (-110).

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