Seattle Mariners betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 11

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (4-6) welcome the Seattle Mariners (4-6) to Rogers Centre Monday. First pitch to kick off the 3-game series is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; teams split 6 games last season

The Blue Jays lost 2 straight games against the New York Yankees after winning the opener on Friday. They lost 8-3 to close that series Sunday. Toronto has yet to play at home and sits last in the American League East. It is 5-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5. They lost 2 of 3 to the Brewers in their last series, dropping the final game 12-4 Sunday. Seattle is 1-2 on the road and 3-7 ATS on the season. It sits 3rd in the American League West.

Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Castillo (0-2, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home loss to the Cleveland Guardians on April 2
Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 2 BB, 9 K

Berrios (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 12 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 2-1 road win over the Houston Astros on April 2
Career vs. Mariners: 3-2, 3.27 ERA (44 IP, 16 ER), 45 H, 9 BB, 45 K

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Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-192)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-118).

The Blue Jays were 43-38 at home a season ago, and they should get a boost with this being their home opener. Toronto has lost 2 in a row, but has scored 11 runs over its last 2 games.

Berrios has been terrific to start the season, and the Blue Jays have won 8-2 and 2-1 in his 2 starts. The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 and have allowed at least 5 runs in both games which Castillo started.

Considering those trends, take BLUE JAYS (-118).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value in taking the Mariners -1.5 (+158), who have been an underdog in all but 1 game, as a run-line favorite. Similarly, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-192) are too expensive on the run line to play here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-104).

The Blue Jays might be 6-3 O/U on the season, but they have allowed just 3 runs in the 2 games that Berrios has started. They have also gone Under in 2 of their last 4 games.

While the opposite of that success can be said for Castillo, he is still among the premier pitchers in the game and should be able to figure things out. The Mariners are 5-4-1 O/U this season but have yet to score more than 5 in a game. They have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 9.

Considering the trends for both pitchers, take UNDER 8 (-104).

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (3-2) and Seattle Mariners (3-2) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0; Seattle scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 2nd Monday, and held on for a 5-4 win in the series opener

The Guardians have lost a pair of 1-run games after opening the season 3-0, while outscoring the opposition 26-7 in those outings. The 1st was an 8-0 win behind RHP Shane Bieber, Tuesday’s probable pitcher. The Over (8) cashed Monday, thanks to a Cleveland run in the top of the 8th inning, and the total has now gone high in 4 of 5 games this season.

The Mariners won for the 1st time this season as an underdog (+100) in Monday’s series opener. It was favored in the 1st 3 games, winning twice, but it failed as a ‘dog in the series finale Sunday against Boston (-105). The Over on Monday ended a 3-0 run to the Under.

Cleveland won 3 of 4 games in Seattle last season, with the Over and Under splitting 2-2. The underdog has cashed in 7 straight meetings in this series.

Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Bieber (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, 16.5 K/9 in 6 IP.

2023 road splits: 1-3, 4.14 ERA (63 IP, 29 ER – 10 HR), 12 BB, 47 K in 10 starts
2023 vs. Mariners: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K (87 pitches) in 3-0 loss March 30 in Seattle

Castillo (0-1, 7.20 ERA) has made 1 start in 2024. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, 9.9 K/9 in 5 IP.

2023 home splits: 8-5, 3.09 ERA (105 IP, 36 ER – 15 HR), 30 BB, 130 K in 18 starts
2023 vs. Guardians: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 6 K (76 pitches) in 3-0 win March 30 in Seattle

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+165) | Mariners +1.5 (-200)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-115) are a solid play in what should be a well-pitched, low-scoring game. We saw it early last season when Bieber and Castillo met each other at T-Mobile Park. Both players came away with no-decisions after spinning 6 scoreless innings piece, as the M’s picked up a 3-0 win with late damage against the Cleveland bullpen. We could see a replay here.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s never a recommended betting strategy.

AVOID, and play Seattle straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (+100) is a rather low number, but it’s worth playing lightly, as both teams have their respective aces making their 2nd starts of the new season.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for the Mariners. Oddly enough, the total did go high in Castillo’s 1st start, but the game ended up going high after his exit from the contest.

The Over cashed (barely) in Bieber’s first start, too, although the Cleveland pitching staff posted a goose egg in that opener. The Guardians offense took advantage of a poor A’s pitching staff to get the job done, barely, by a half-run.

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (3-1) and Seattle Mariners (2-2) open a 3-game series Monday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won 4-3 last season

The Guardians opened the season by taking 3 straight in Oakland against the Athletics, including an 8-0 shutout on Opening Day. While the A’s walked it off in the bottom of the 9th on Sunday 4-3 to salvage 1 of the 4 games, Cleveland outscored Oakland 29-11 in the series, cashing the Over 3 times.

The Mariners split a 4-game set with the visiting Boston Red Sox. After falling 6-4 in the opener Thursday, Seattle scored a pair of low-scoring, 1-run wins Friday (1-0) and Saturday (4-3). The Red Sox won 5-1 in the series final on Sunday. The Under has cashed in 3 straight for Seattle.

Cleveland won 3 of 4 games in Seattle last season, with the Over and Under splitting 2-2. The underdog has cashed in 6 straight meetings in this series.

Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Emerson Hancock

McKenzie (0-3, 5.06 ERA) made 4 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.56 WHIP, 7.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 16 IP.

2023 road splits: 0-1, 0.96 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 2 starts
Last start vs. Mariners: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 loss in Seattle on Aug. 25, 2022

Hancock (0-0, 4.50 ERA) made his 1st 3 major league starts in 2023. He posted a 1.33 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 12 innings.

2023 home splits: ND, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-1 home win vs. San Diego Padres in only career home start Aug. 9, 2023
First career appearance vs. Guardians

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+150) | Mariners +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-115) is worth playing lightly in this series opener in Seattle. McKenzie was banged up last season, missing all but 4 starts due to an elbow injury and a shoulder ailment. All indications are he is back to 100 percent health, and he had a strong Cactus League finale with 7 strikeouts.

The Mariners (-105) counter with Hancock, who had no decisions in his first 3 major league starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward if you need a little insurance.

AVOID, and play Seattle straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

While Cleveland hit the Over in 3 of the first 4 games, it was facing an awful Oakland side. We should see much better pitching from both sides, and lower scores.

Seattle cashed the Under in each of the final 3 games of the Boston series, and the offense is averaging just 2.5 runs per game through 4 outings, while allowing just 2.7 RPG in the past 3 contests.

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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (1-2) and Seattle Mariners (2-1) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Seattle leads 2-1

Seattle picked up the 4-3 win in 10 innings over Boston Saturday while covering as a -148 home favorite. Sunday’s game was tied at 1 up until the 10th inning, when Boston broke the tie and scored 2 runs. The Mariners answered, scoring 3 runs of their own to pick up their 2nd consecutive win vs. Boston.

Reliever Joely Rodriguez was credited with the loss for Boston, as he let up 2 hits and 2 earned runs with 0 Ks in only 1/3 IP. RHP Logan Gilbert pitched 7 innings for Seattle, picking up 8 Ks while allowing 4 hits and only 1 earned run.

Red Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Whitlock (5-5, 5.15 ERA) made 10 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2023. He had a 1.33 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

2023 road splits: 2-4, 5.89 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 45 H, 34 K in 6 starts and 6 relief appearances
Career vs. Mariners: 0-0, 8.44 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 6 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Miller (8-7, 4.32 ERA) made 25 starts in his rookie campaign in 2023. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 131 1/3 innings.

2023 home splits: 5-3, 3.65 ERA (74 IP, 30 ER), 64 H, 66 K in 14 starts
Career vs. Boston: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-4 home loss Aug. 1, 2023

Red Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Mariners -152 (bet $152 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Mariners -1.5 (+132)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Red Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Red Sox 1

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-152).

Seattle has won each of its last 2 matchups vs. Boston and is 3-1 in its last 4 matchups vs. the Red Sox in Seattle. I also trust Miller, as his stats were very solid last season and I expect him to be even better entering his sophomore year.

Whitlock struggled on the road last year and vs. Seattle in his career, so I expect that to continue here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I actually like the Mariners to cover here as -1.5 (+132) favorites, but I believe their odds make more sense on the moneyline, as that is the safer bet. Each of the last 2 meetings between these squads has come down to a 1-run finish, and I don’t expect that continue here, but I am also not a fan of doubling down on the run line and moneyline for 1 team.

If you are willing to take the risk of doubling up, then this is not a bad bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-104).

The Under has hit 7 of Boston’s last 8 games dating back to last season. For Seattle, the Under has hit in 4 of its last 5 games and is 6-2-2 in its last 10 dating back to last year. The Under has also hit in back-to-back meetings between these squads.

Be aware that the Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 Seattle-Boston matchups.

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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (1-0) take on the Seattle Mariners (0-1) Friday in the 2nd game of a 4 game weekend series to start the season. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Red Sox got past the Mariners on Opening Day Thursday, winning 6-4 and cashing as +146 road underdogs. 3B Rafael Devers and RF Tyler O’Neill homered for Boston, and SP Brayan Bello earned the win, allowing 2 ERs on 5 hits with 2 K’s in 5 innings.

RF Mitch Haniger and LF Dylan Moore were the only 2 Mariners to drive in runs as both clubbed 2-run HRs. SP Luis Castillo was credited with the loss as he allowed 4 ERs while striking out 5 in 5 innings.

Red Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP George Kirby

The 31-year-old Pivetta went 10-9 in 2023, and his boot from the rotation paid dividends as he pitched to a 1.08 ERA over his first 17 appearances out of the bullpen. Among qualified pitchers in spring training, Pivetta had the best Stuff+ at 140.

2023 road splits: 4-3, 3.56 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 29 ER) in 19 games, including 8 starts
2023 vs. Mariners: 1-1, 4.97 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 2 starts
Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 4.34 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 9 ER) in 3 starts

Kirby went 13-10 with a 3.35 ERA in his 2nd season as a Mariners starter. The 20th overall pick in 2019, who was named to his 1st All-Star Game last season, sported the lowest BB/9 (0.90) among all qualified MLB a year ago.

2023 home splits: 8-4, 2.70 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 28 ER) in 15 starts
2023 vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 1.54 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts
Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 4.15 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 10 ER) in 4 starts

Red Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Red Sox +1.5 (-182) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 3, Mariners 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+120).

Boston has the better bats and Pivetta may have finally figured out how to pitch consistently well. Seattle had the 2nd-highest K% (25.9%) in all of MLB last season, and while the leaders in that category for the Mariners last year (3B Eugenio Suarez, OF Teoscar Hernandez) are gone, so are their power bats at the plate.

Boston features plenty of brute in the heart of their order with Devers and 1B Triston Casas, who had an RBI in the 5th inning Thursday. Plus, the Red Sox had the 7th-most total bases last season (2,360), so even though Kirby should be in control of the plate, Boston should still be able to generate enough offense to pick up the win once again.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Too much juice to take Boston +1.5 (-182) here. Seattle may not have Suarez and Hernadez anymore, but C Cal Raleigh is still behind the plate and CF Julio Rodriguez remains a young phenom.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (+100).

FantasyPros rates T-Mobile Park as the 3rd-lowest for run production, and both of these starters are capable of shutting down bats. The Mariners feature a bullpen that finished with the 2nd-lowest ERA in the AL last season, so expect Boston to get their runs in the middle portion of the game.

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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox open their seasons with the 1st game of a 4-game set Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 3-3

The Red Sox finished 5th in an extremely competitive AL East last season with a 78-84 record. They were 39-42 on the road. The loss of RHP Lucas Giolito to elbow surgery, who the team acquired this offseason, will loom large on the season. Most national sites gave the Red Sox a very poor offseason grade, as they did little to improve their roster or depth. Boston was 43-38 against the spread (ATS) on the road last season.

The Mariners barely missed the Wild Card round last season, ending with an 88-74 record. They were 45-36 at home and finished 2 games behind the AL West leaders — the 90-72 Houston Astros. Seattle was 32-49 ATS at home, the 2nd-worst home-covering rate in MLB. The Mariners strength is with their pitching, which should be among the best in the AL West.

Red Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Bello (12-11, 4.24 ERA) made 28 starts in 2023. He closed with a 1.34 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 157 innings.

2023 road stats: 7-4, 4.66 ERA (75 1/3 IP, 39 ER — 13 HR), 21 BB, 64 K in 13 starts
Last start vs. Mariners: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-4 road victory August 1, 2023
Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 7 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Castillo (14-9, 3.34 ERA) made an AL-best-tying 33 starts in 2023. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 197 innings.

2023 home stats: 8-5, 3.09 ERA (105 IP, 36 ER — 15 HR), 30 BB, 130 K in 18 starts
2023 vs. Red Sox: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER (7 R), 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 9-4 road loss May 16
Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 5 BB, 16 K in 2 starts

Red Sox at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +142 (bet $100 to win $142) | Mariners -168 (bet $168 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-156) | Mariners -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mariners (-168) should come out on top but are barely too expensive to take on the moneyline, even with their ace taking the mound. Avoid backing the Red Sox, who did minimal in the offseason, here as well.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-156).

The Red Sox, specifically Bello, played well against the Mariners last season. Boston won 6-4 and 12-3 in Bello’s 2 starts against Seattle a season ago and also won in the lone start by Castillo.

While it should cover at a high rate given the typical odds, Boston was 47-38 ATS as an underdog last season. As a favorite, Seattle was just 45-65. Couple those 2 trends together, and expect a close game.

Take RED SOX +1.5 (-156).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-102).

If there’s 1 thing both teams did well last season, it is hit the Over. The Mariners were 80-75-7 O/U with the Red Sox ending the season 81-77-4 O/U.

Five of the 6 games between these teams last season went over this total. With both teams returning many key bats, which suggests similar performances, back OVER 7.5 (-102).

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Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (89-71) and Seattle Mariners (87-73) play the 3rd of a 4-game set at T-Mobile Park Saturday. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 8-3

The Rangers were throttled by the Mariners 8-0 Friday night. Texas remains 1 game up on Houston and 2 up on Seattle in the AL West with 2 games to go. The Rangers have won 7 of 10 and are 28-22 against the AL West.

The Mariners are a game out of the playoffs with the Astros a game up on them for the final Wild Card. They have won 3 of 4 and probably need to sweep this series in order to punch their ticket. They’ll be all hands on deck this weekend.

Rangers at Mariners projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Heaney (10-6, 4.28 ERA) makes his 28th start and 34th appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 143 IP.

Last appearance: 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 2 K Thursday against the Mariners; he threw 17 pitches
Career vs. Mariners: 17 starts, 19 appearances, 4-7, 4.37 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 10.3 K/9

Castillo (14-8, 3.20 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 194 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 8 K Monday against the Houston Astros
2 career starts vs. Rangers: 0-2, 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 15 K in 12 IP

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Rangers at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-185) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Rangers 4

Moneyline

The Rangers are going with an opener to fill in for the injured Jon Gray, who was slated to start. Heaney pitched 2 days ago, and he may only be able to go a 1 or 2 innings. So this will be a bullpen day, and the Rangers have the 6th-worst bullpen ERA at 4.83. The Mariners are hungry, at home and have their stud on the hill.

I’ll take the MARINERS -140.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners come in at a solid +150 on the RL. They are just 32-47 on the RL at home, though, which is worrisome. Four of their last 5 wins have been by 2 or more, though. And again, they need this game more.

I’ll take the MARINERS -1.5 (+150) for a HALF-UNIT.

Over/Under

The Over is 4-5-1 over the last 10 meetings between the teams. The Over is 4-2-1 in the last 7. The Rangers going with a bullpen game makes this Over enticing, and 5 of the last 7 meetings have hit this number.

Take the OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (89-70) and the Seattle Mariners (86-73) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Friday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 8-2

With 3 regular-season games remaining, the Rangers are 2 games clear of the Houston Astros. Unfortunately for the Rangers, they suffered a 3-2 loss in Friday to keep the celebratory champagne on ice. It was the 1st loss for the Rangers against the Mariners in 8 tries since May 9.

The Mariners are a game back of the division rival Astros for the final AL Wild Card spot, while trailing the Tampa Bay Rays by 2 games for the 2nd spot. These 3 teams are jockeying for 2 Wild Card spots, and 1 team isn’t going to have a chair to sit in once the music stops.

Rangers at Mariners projected starters

RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Eovaldi (12-4, 3.26 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 140 2/3 innings

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home win vs. Seattle on Sunday
2023 road splits: 6-1, 2.88 ERA (75 IP, 24 ER), 4 HR, .221 OBA in 12 starts
2023 vs. Seattle: 2-0, 4.09 ERA, 11 IP, 5 ER, 2 HR, 2 BB, 13 K and .179 OBA in 2 starts

Woo (4-5, 4.39 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 84 innings.

Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-8 road loss vs. the Rangers last Sunday
2023 home splits: 2-2, 3.69 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 6 HR, .237 OBA in 6 starts
2023 vs. Texas: 0-2, 20.25 ERA, 5 1/3 IP, 12 ER, 4 HR, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

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Rangers at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Mariners -126 (bet $126 to win $100 )
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-196) | Mariners -1.5 (+162)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 9, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The RANGERS (+108) are the play in the 2nd game of this series.

Texas is still playing for an AL West title, so it isn’t going to take its foot off the gas. And the Mariners (-126) are a risky play, as Woo has been an absolute disaster against the Rangers this season.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers +1.5 (-196) would be a solid play on the run line, but not at this price. Texas is 7-1 in the past 8 games as a favorite, cashing on the run line in 6 of those outings. Again, we’re picking on Woo, as the Rangers have had their way against him.

Over/Under

The OVER 7.5 (-105) is the play, again, due to the rookie Woo. He has served up batting practice to the Rangers this season, allowing 4 HR in just 5 1/3 IP across 2 starts.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 6 meetings between these teams. And for the M’s, the Over holds a slight 5-3-1 edge across the past 9 outings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (89-69) and the Seattle Mariners (85-73) kick off a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 8-1

The Rangers are 2 1/2 games clear of the Houston Astros with 4 games to play, nearing an AL West title. If it wins the division, it would be the 1st for Texas since 2016, and its 5th division championship since 2010.

Texas took 2 of 3 games from the Los Angeles Angels, and that series win came on the heels of a 3-game sweep at home against the Mariners Sept. 22-24.

Seattle dropped 2 of 3 games from the Astros over the weekend, costly losses since these 2 teams are essentially vying for the same Wild Card spot. The M’s are 1 1/2 games behind the Astros with 4 regular-season games remaining, although Seattle does have a game in hand.

Rangers at Mariners projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Montgomery (10-11, 3.25 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 182 2/3 innings with the St. Louis Cardinals and Rangers.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-0 home win vs. Seattle last Saturday
2023 road splits: 3-6, 2.82 ERA (83 IP, 26 ER), 7 HR, .227 OBA in 14 starts

Gilbert (13-7, 3.75 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 184 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 2-0 road loss vs. the Rangers last Saturday
2023 home splits: 4-5, 4.18 ERA (84 IP, 39 ER), 16 HR, .226 OBA in 14 starts

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Rangers at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mariners -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-125) are a risky play, as they have dropped 8 of 9 meetings with the Rangers (+105). However, Texas is nearing a division title, and it is a near certainty to make the postseason in some capacity.

Things aren’t as rosy for the M’s, as analytics show a 27.6% chance of making the playoffs with 4 games remaining. Seattle will be playing with more urgency, as there is just no margin of error.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers +1.5 (-200) will cost 2 times your potential return if you want a little insurance, but don’t trust Texas straight up. That is just too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

PASS.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a look in what is a de facto playoff game.

We’re going to get a well-pitched game, as Montgomery has been sharp since arriving in Texas at the MLB non-waiver trade deadline, while Gilbert has been sharp in his 2 outings against the Rangers, posting a 2.92 ERA and .182 opponent batting average across 12 1/3 IP. Look for a low-scoring affair.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (86-72) and Seattle Mariners (85-72) meet for the Wednesday finale of a key 3-game AL West series. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 9-3

Houston took the series opener 5-1 and then dropped a 6-2 decision Tuesday. The Astros are just 1-4 over their last 5 games and 2-6 across their last 8.

Seattle had won 4 straight games against Houston before Monday’s setback. In winning 9-of-12 from the Astros so far, the Mariners have won a season series against Houston for the 1st time since 2018.

The Astros head into Wednesday 2 1/2 games behind the Texas Rangers in the race for the AL West flag and a half-game ahead of Seattle for the final AL Wild Card berth.

Astros at Mariners projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Valdez (12-11, 3.39 ERA) is tabbed for his 31st start of the season. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 194 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 H, 7 R (6 ER), 3 BB, 10 K in 7-5 home loss vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
2023 road stats: 8-3, 3.42 ERA in 92 IP across 14 starts
Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 1-1, 3.98 ERA in 31 2/3 IP (2021-23)

Miller (8-6, 4.17 ERA) makes his 25th start. He owns a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 127 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 0 BB, 3 K in 8-5 loss at Texas Rangers Friday
2023 Home stats: 5-2, 3.34 ERA in 70 IP across 13 starts
Career starts vs. Astros: 2-0, 0.00 ERA in 12 1/3 IP in 2 starts (2023)

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Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

The Astros lineup went just 2-for-13 with runners in scoring position Tuesday, and clutch failures like that one are frequent in the club’s recent losses.

The 2 starters in this meeting have just some slight fade in their analytics. but Miller carries a bit more due to perhaps a bit more luck despite some unattractive barrel rates. Add in a bit of a recent slide for the Seattle bullpen, a unit likely more fatigued at the back end than its counterparts in this game.

Houston is 5-1 in its last 6 season finales. BACK THE ASTROS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Peg the Astros as a lean here. In a game with an Over lean, consider a line watch: back the Astros -1.5 at +140 or better. AVOID otherwise.

Over/Under

The Over was a losing lean Monday. Tuesday’s game was a no-lean push. The lean is back on the Over for the finale. But PASS unless you find a better price on the Over 8.

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