Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (54-42) and the Cincinnati Reds (51-46) play the finale of a 4-game series Thursday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

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Season series: Giants lead 2-1

The Giants lost 3-2 Wednesday after opening the series with a 4-2 win and picking up an 11-10 victory in game 2. San Francisco had a 7-game win streak snapped with one swing of the bat in Wednesday’s game, as OF Will Benson cracked a 3-run HR in the bottom of the 3rd inning, That was all the support RHP Graham Ashcraft needed.

The Under cashed Wednesday and Cincinnati has now hit the Under in 6 of the past 7 games overall. The Under and Over has alternated across the past 7 games for San Francisco.

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Giants at Reds projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Cobb (6-2, 2.82 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 95 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-1, 4.15 ERA (52 IP, 24 ER – 6 HR), .288 opponent batting average (OBA) in 10 starts

Abbott (4-2, 2.45 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 47 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-0 home loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 2.10 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 6 ER – 6 solo HR), .140 OBA in 4 starts

Giants at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 3, Reds 2

Moneyline

The GIANTS (-115) are the play in Thursday’s series finale.

San Francisco has won 7 of the past 8 games, and it allowed runs in just 1 of 9 innings in Wednesday’s 3-2 setback. As a favorite, San Francisco has won 7 straight outings.

The Reds have dropped 6 of the past 7 games, are 0-4 in their past 4 as underdogs and 1-5 in the previous 6 when not favored.

Run line/Against the spread

The REDS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance with the home team.

While Cincinnati has dropped 6 of the past 7 games, it has lost 4 of those games by a single run.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-105) is the best bet on the board for this getaway day outing.

The Under has cashed in 2 of 3 games in this series so far and is 6-1 in the previous 7 games overall for Cincinnati.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the past 6 games for the Giants with Cobb on the hill, and the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 outings for the Reds with Abbott making the start.

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San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (54-41) and Cincinnati Reds (50-46) meet Wednesday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-0

San Francisco won 11-10 as a -130 road favorite Tuesday night. Cincinnati held a 4-1 lead through 2nd innings but a 3-run HR from Giants IF Wilmer Flores tied the game at 4 in the top of the 3rd. From there it was a back-and-forth game the rest of the way until a 3-run top of the 7th inning put the Giants up for good.

The victory extended the Giants’ win streak to 7 games and improved their record to 28-19 away from home. Cincinnati has lost 6 straight games and slipped to 23-26 at home on the year.

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Giants at Reds projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Stripling (0-2, 6.11 ERA) makes his 9th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 45 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-4 road win vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-0, 4.63 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 15 H, 1 BB, 12 K through 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

Ashcraft (4-7, 5.95 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 1-0 home loss Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Career vs. San Francisco: 2-0, 1.26 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 10 H, 2 BB, 9 K across 2 starts

Giants at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (-115).

What makes me so confident in the Giants here is their 7-game win streak combined with the Reds’ 6-game losing streak. San Francisco also holds a 6-4 edge in the last 10 meetings between these clubs. What puts this bet over the top for me is the Giants’ stellar road record and the Reds’ poor home record.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN REDS +1.5 (-160).

This line is a little rich so if you feel the risk is not worth the reward then you should pass on this bet.

Recent matchups between these teams have been close and neither has the clear pitching advantage, with both teams being 2-3 in their starters’ last 5 overall. I like the Giants to win just because they are so hot but I would expect the Reds to put up a fight here just as they did in game 2 on Tuesday.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-105).

The Under is 7-3 in San Francisco’s last 10 games overall, including a 5-game stretch of hitting on the Under.

The Under has cashed in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 outings and is and 2-0 in each of Ashcraft’s 2 career starts vs. San Francisco.

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San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (52-41) and Cincinnati Reds (50-44) play the 2nd of a 4-game set at Great American Ball Park Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: The 1st game of the series was suspended due to rain Monday night and will be resumed at 5:40 p.m. ET. The score is 2-2 going into the bottom of the 7th. Game 2 will take place after the conclusion of the suspended game.

The Giants entered this series on a 5-game winning streak and have won 6 of 7. They have been playing their best baseball in years and have pulled within 1 1/2 games of the top spot in the NL West. Their pitching has been better than advertised as they’re 9th in starter ERA at 3.93.

The Reds have stumbled of late, losing 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 contests to fall 2 games out in the NL Central. Cincinnati has also played its best ball in years as it’s still 21-9 over the last 30 games despite the stumble. The Reds are probably a year away from making real noise though, as their starters’ ERA is 28th at 5.57 and will need to be improved. They can mash, though, at 9th with 4.86 runs/9.

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Giants at Reds projected starters

RHP Anthony DeSclafani vs. RHP Luke Weaver

DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 93 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K against the New York Mets July 1
  • 2 career starts vs. Reds: 1-1, 0.93 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8 K in 9 2/3 IP

Weaver (2-2, 7.00 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K July 8 against Milwaukee Brewers
  • Last 5 starts vs. Giants: 2-2, 3.51 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 30 K in 25 2/3 IP

Giants at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

Weaver is on the ropes after being pummeled this season. Once a top prospect in the St. Louis Cardinals’ system, he has allowed 57 ER in 73 1/3 IP. His soft stuff still plays, but his fastball and cutter are being destroyed at  .351 and .373 OBA clips, respectively.

DeSclafani is coming off the IL to make this start, and he spent 5 years as a member of the Reds. He went 20-22 with a 4.54 ERA in 58 games, 56 starts in this hitters’ haven. Not great, not terrible, considering the way the ball flies. I crosschecked his numbers with how he has fared in another hitters’ park, and it was about the same with a 4.70 ERA in 3 career starts at Coors Field. He’ll need the Giants’ offense to get warmed up during the conclusion of Game 1 to be ready to back him in this one.

I’m riding with the Giants here, but instead of the -140 ML, I think we can do better at the Win/Total section. Take the GIANTS AND OVER 5.5 (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

The Giants are 49-44 on the RL and 25-20 on the road. Only 1 of the last 10 games in this matchup has been decided by 1 run. Of the Giants’ 6 wins in the last 7 games, only 1 was decided by a single run as well.

I’ll toss a HALF-UNIT at GIANTS -1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

There’s a slight, 5-mph gust blowing out to left-center field tonight, but this total is too big for my cash. The Giants and Reds are 4-6 O/U over the last 10.

Cincinnati just finished a 3-game set with the Milwaukee Brewers that had 11 runs total. The series opener Monday had 4 runs in the first 6 1/2 innings before the delay. This could absolutely go Over, but I’m not seeing enough leverage to bank on 12 runs being scored.

LEAN UNDER 11 (-115).

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San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (24-16) and Cincinnati Reds (19-19) begin a four-game series Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

Sunday: The Giants won at the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-1 to snap a two-game slide and split a four-game series. The Reds also split a four-game series on the road after rallying for a 7-6 victory at the Colorado Rockies.

RHP Logan Webb is projected to start for the Giants. He is 2-3 with a 4.74 ERA (38 IP, 20 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, career-high 10 K in 4-2 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance this season

RHP Sonny Gray is the Reds’ projected starter. The nine-year veteran is 0-2 with a 3.55 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 12.8 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K at Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday – Reds won 5-1
  • Career vs. Giants: 2-0, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 3 starts

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Giants at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Giants 8, Reds 6

Money line (ML)

There’s great value in SAN FRANCISCO (+115). The Giants don’t have the best record in the National League because they’re mediocre.

As for the Reds, they’re pitching has been awful (see stats in O/U section below), and their offense continues to hit 3B Eugenio Suarez in the heart of the order with his .153 batting average.

Cincy was actually lucky to win at Colorado Sunday, scoring the tying run on a passed ball and the winning run on a wild pitch – both in the top of the ninth inning.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. San Francisco is the majors’ second-best team ATS, but at -175, the Giants’ +1.5 is not worth the risk … especially since we’re already invested with them on the money line.

ATS records: Giants 25-15 | Reds 14-24

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Reds have the best Over record in the majors.

It helps that their pitching staff totes a 4.83 ERA to rank 27th out of the 30 MLB teams, while the bullpen ranks 26th with a 5.02 ERA.

O/U records: Giants 19-20-1 | Reds 25-11-2

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 39-44-2 10-15-1 -10.395
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 142-129-3 59-56-1 +3.155
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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