Tag: San Francisco Giants betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (80-44) are still hanging on to the lead in the NL West and open a three-game road series against the New York Mets (61-63) Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) makes his ninth appearance of the season in what will be his fifth start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Long has been shuffling back and forth between Triple-A and the majors lately. He held the Colorado Rockies to 1 ER over 2 IP while recording 4 K in his last start with the Giants Aug. 14.
  • In 10 minor league appearances this year, half of which came at Triple-A Sacramento, Long has a 1.95 ERA and 13.6 K/9 across 32 1/3 IP.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 56 IP.

  • Megill has been very good since his June call-up, but did go through a rough stretch in his first three August starts. He allowed 11 ER over 14 2/3 IP but rebounded last time out to hold the Giants to 1 ER in 6 IP.
  • He has made six starts at home, where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 10.7 K/9 across 29 1/3 IP.

Giants at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

Megill has been very impressive in his first taste of the majors, as he’s missing plenty of bats and while keeping the walks in check. He has been especially good at home and is likely to deliver a second straight strong performance against the Giants.

Long has pitched better than his ERA would suggest, as a 56.2% strand rate has played a key role in his struggles. He isn’t likely to work deep into the game, though, and the pitching edge has to go to Megill.

Back the METS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Giants come into this game with a 38-25 road record that is second-best in the league. The Mets are 36-23 at home but they average a league-worst 3.51 runs per game in their home park.

This sets up to be a pretty close game and there’s not enough value on either side of the run line. PASS. 

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under hit in four of the last five games for the Giants and in five of the last six for the Mets. Megill has been very solid through 11 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer runs seven times, while the Mets struggle to score at home.

Neither team is likely to have a big day offensively, and a small play on UNDER 8.5 (-112) looks like the way to go.

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San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (78-44) and Oakland Athletics (70-53) play the second game of a three-game interleague set at Oakland Coliseum Saturday with a 4:07 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Giants RHP Kevin Gausman (12-5, 2.40 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 142 1/3 IP.

  • Gausman has won each of his three starts in August, posting a 3-0 record, 2.81 ERA and 20 strikeouts across 16 innings.
  • Gausman is winless in three outings vs. AL West teams including a loss against Houston July 30.

Athletics LHP Sean Manaea (8-8, 3.77 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 through 133 2/3 IP.

  • Manaea was tuned up for seven runs, seven hits and three homers across five innings in a loss at Texas Sunday.
  • The southpaw is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA with 15 runs and 20 hits allowed across 11 innings in three outings in August.

Giants at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Athletics +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+130) | Athletics +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

The GIANTS (-130) are a strong play behind Gausman, who has been absolutely on fire so far in August. On the flip side, Manaea has been horrific for the Athletics (+105), and he cannot be trusted.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS -1.5 (+130) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line, as they look to square the series after a 4-1 loss in Oakland Friday. San Francisco is not only worth a look because of the dominance of Gausman in August, but because Manaea has had difficulty lately.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-108) is worth a look despite Gausman being on the bump. Manaea has been a disaster in August, and the wind will be blowing out to straightaway center field at a 10-13 mph clip. That’s a great combination for Over bettors.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-60) play the third and final game of their road series against the San Francisco Giants (78-42) Wednesday, hoping to avoid the sweep. First pitch in the finale is set for 3:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.42 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 50 IP.

  • The Mets lost each of his last three starts and he lost his last two decisions.
  • He didn’t pitch more than 5 innings in any of his last three starts and allowed at least 3 earned runs in all three. His ERA in his last three starts is 6.75.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani (11-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP.

  • He has an ERA of 6.00 over his last five starts.
  • The Giants are 16-7 when he starts and 7-2 when he starts at home.

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

The Mets have lost five games in a row and are 23-37 on the road this season. They have dropped their last six and eight of their last nine on the road.

The Giants won nine of their last 10 games and are 14-3 in their last 17 games. At 42-18, they have the best home record in baseball.

Take the GIANTS  (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets have the third-worst ATS record in baseball at 50-69 ATS. They are 26-34 ATS on the road and covered the spread in only four of their last 12 games.

The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball at 75-45 ATS. They are 35-25 ATS at home and 10 of their last 15 wins were by at least 2 runs.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of the games at Oracle Park have gone Over the projected total.

Five of the Mets’ last seven games had a total of 9 or more runs.

Six of the last 14 games for the Giants finished with 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (77-42) host the New York Mets (59-59) for the second of their three-game set at Oracle Park Tuesday with the first pitch scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco took the series opener Monday 7-5 vs. New York thanks to a 3-run 7th-inning rally that was the difference in the game.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0.

RHP Marcus Stroman is New York’s projected starter. Stroman is 8-11 with a 2.79 ERA (132 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday vs. the Washington Nationals.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-5 with a 2.64 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.02 WHIP and 4.2 K/BB rate in 12 starts.

RHP Logan Webb is on the rubber for the Giants. Webb is 6-3 with a 2.96 ERA (85 IP, 28 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 16 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-0, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday vs. the Colorado Rockies.
  • 2021 home splits: 4-0 with a 1.58 ERA (45 IP, 21 ER), 0.98 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB rate in seven starts and one bullpen outing.

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Giants -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

TAKE the GIANTS (-170) for 1 unit because San Francisco has an edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting pitching, bullpen and hitting).

For instance, Webb has been sensational at home this season and he grades out much better than Stroman in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA and expected slugging percentage.

On top of that, San Francisco is 35-12 overall as a home favorite while the Mets are 12-18 overall as a road dog.

Also, both bullpens have been mediocre this month, but the Giants relievers have a 0.57 home run per nine-inning rate while New York’s bullpen has a 1.43 home run per nine-inning rate in August.

Lastly, San Francisco’s lineup ranks in the top five against right-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA compared to the Mets hitters who rank 19th in wRC+ and 21st in wOBA vs. righties.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though my projected score has the Giants -1.5 (+125) covering because more money is on New York’s run line while more bets have been placed on San Francisco (according to Pregame.com).

Typically, the money column is a better indicator of who the sharps like, and the bets placed column suggests who the average Joe is backing.

Furthermore, I’m leaning to the Mets-Giants being a lower-scoring affair and San Francisco’s run line isn’t a fat enough payout considering New York is 18-12 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-125) for a one-third unit because both starters are “top of the rotation” guys who are having nice seasons, and these teams have a combined 12-25 O/U record when these starters are on the mound.

Not only that, but there are several Under-friendly trends such as the Under cashing in Webb’s last seven starts as a favorite, in Stroman’s last six starts and four days of rest.

I’m a little leery of backing the Under because the weather forecast predicts nearly 13 mph winds blowing out to left-center field, and New York’s bullpen has been awful in August. But Webb and Stroman’s fly-ball rates are below the MLB average.

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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-58) and San Francisco Giants (76-42) meet for the first time since 2019 when they open a three-game series Monday at Oracle Park. First pitch is slated for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Mets enter on a three-game skid after getting swept at home by the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants just took three of four from the visiting Colorado Rockies, only losing the Saturday game.

LHP Rich Hill is projected to start for the Mets. Hill, who was acquired July 23 from the Tampa Bay Rays, is 6-4 with a 4.05 ERA (113 1/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 through 22 starts and one relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP in relief, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 8-7 home win vs. Washington Nationals Wednesday– took over in second inning after Tuesday’s game was suspended by rain
  • 2021 with Mets: 0-0, 5.00 ERA (18 IP, 10 ER), 17 H, 7 BB, 12 K across three starts and one relief appearance
  • Career vs. Giants: 8-2, 2.23 ERA (92 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 through 17 starts

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 11-5 with a 2.29 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 R (1 earned), 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 7-2 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-3, 5.09 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 16 H, 6 BB, 15 K through three starts and one relief appearance

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-120) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (-220) is the play, but only BET a HALF UNIT because the juice is so high.

The Giants own the best record in baseball, are 7-1 in their last eight games, 9-2 in their last 11 and feature the best home record at 40-18.

The Mets, who are an ugly 23-35 on the road, had to travel cross country overnight after getting smoked by the Dodgers 14-4 on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball.

Plus, Gausman is just better than Hill.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Giants are the major’s best ATS team at 74-44 against the spread. The Mets’ 49-68 ATS record ranks last in the NL and 28th in MLB by cover percentage.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT wager as both clubs are Under teams.

The Mets’ last five road games finished with 8 or fewer total runs, and they cashed Under tickets in each of the last four. The Under is also 2-0-1 in Hill’s three starts for them.

As for the Giants, the Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

O/U records: Mets 50-59-5 | Giants 55-59-4

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 13-8 5-4 +3.555
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (52-65) conclude their four-game series with the San Francisco Giants (75-42) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies RHP Jon Gray (7-8, 3.85 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 114 2/3 IP.

  • Has recorded worse splits on the road than at home despite Coors Field being very hitter-friendly, with a 4.56 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 51 1/3 IP through 10 road starts. Colorado is 2-8 in those games.
  • Is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA, 30 K and 11 BB over 28 2/3 IP across five starts in the second half.

Giants LHP Alex Wood (9-3, 4.22 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.

  • Recorded a 2.44 ERA through the first two months of the season but in 12 starts since the beginning of June he has a 5.64 ERA and has given up 4 or more earned runs across six starts.
  • Is 8-1 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 starts against losing teams, including a 1-0 record and 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Rockies.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Giants 6, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

Things lined up for the Rockies to secure a rare road victory Saturday but I’m not anticipating a repeat Sunday; Colorado is 14-44 away from Coors Field.

However, Wood has just been too erratic since the beginning of June to be fully trusted at a -220 price line. While he has pitched well against the Rockies in two starts this season those games came in April and May. He gave up 9 ER over 10 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks in his last two starts, and if the D-Backs can get to you, anyone can.

While the Giants are almost certain to right the ship today the risk is just too great at over two times your potential return. PASS, and seek better value elsewhere.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

After facing a left-handed starter Saturday, albeit only for 2 innings, the Giants have an opportunity to get off to a better start with a righty on the mound. San Francisco ranks fifth in wRC+ and wOBA and fourth by OPS against right-handed hurlers.

The Giants are also ninth in the league in runs scored at home and prior to Saturday’s 1-run output had scored at least 5 runs in eight consecutive home games.

While Wood remains a potential concern there’s a much better value to be found on the home-side run line to at least warrant a partial-unit play on the Giants -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

The number here is likely impacted by the name value of the pitchers and the Rockies’ struggles to produce on the road this season, but both pitchers have the potential to give up a little action – particularly with both teams hitting in their better splits.

This line has dropped to 8 in some places and may eventually do the same at Tipico if you care to wait it out for the push potential, but I’m expecting a resurgent output from San Francisco today and hoping the Rockies can do enough damage to put this one OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-65) and San Francisco Giants (75-41) meet Saturday for the third game of their four-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (3-6, 4.65 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 ER in four of his seven road starts. In the remaining three road starts he gave up more than 3 ER only once.
  • Has a 3.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .321 BABIP across 29 IP through five starts since the All-Star break.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.81 ERA) makes his fourth start and his eighth appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

  • Making his first start since July 3. Gave up 10 ER on 15 H and 5 BB with 15 K through 15 IP in his three previous starts.
  • Has a 1.65 ERA across 27 1/3 IP through six starts and three relief appearances at Low-A, Double-A and Triple-A this season.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Giants 4, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The pitching matchup in this one actually leans well toward Colorado with Freeland taking the mound against the rookie Long.

The problem is the scenario just does not set up well – Colorado simply does not produce results away from Coors Field, as evidenced by their league-worst road record of 13-44 and league-worst 3.04 runs per game away from home.

There may be some backing to make a small value-based wager on the Rockies at +180, but they’re 1-7 this season at Oracle Park and it’s hard to fully put trust in the team to get it done.

The safest move in this scenario is PASS. We can’t trust the Rockies to produce and we can’t pay the chalk price on the Giants with their rookie hurler.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Freeland has been shelled in one of his seven road starts this season but he’s given up 3 or fewer earned runs in the other six outings. San Francisco isn’t bad against lefties, but it doesn’t hit them particularly well either.

Colorado on the other hand does hit lefties pretty well and is top five in metrics such as OPS and wOBA against southpaws. While Long’s 3.37 FIP and 4.60 xFIP suggest he has perhaps been a bit hard done by compared to his surface numbers, if there’s a guy the Rockies might get to it could be him.

Take the insurance and look toward COLORADO +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

We’ve already touched on Freeland’s road numbers, Colorado’s inability to get it done at the plate anywhere but Coors field, and Long’s underlying stats belying his surface ERA.

On top of that, both of these bullpens have been pretty solid in the second half and the public is hammering the Over.

The play looks to be toward UNDER 8.5 (-108).

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-64) meet the San Francisco Giants (74-41) Friday at Oracle Park for the second game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco smoked Colorado in the series opener Friday 7-0 thanks in part to a scoreless 6 inning, 8 strikeout gem thrown by Giants starting RHP Logan Webb who allowed only 3 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 7-3.

RHP Austin Gomber takes the hill for the Rockies. Gomber is 9-6 with a 3.79 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 19 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-4, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K Saturday against the Miami Marlins.
  • Gomber is 0-2 this year against San Francisco with a 12.38 ERA (8 IP, 11 ER), 8 H, 8 BB and 8 K in two starts.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (37 PA): 3.89 FIP with a .233 batting average (BA), .317 wOBA, .247 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 21.6 K% and 88.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is San Francisco’s projected starter. DeSclafani is 10-5 with a 3.28 ERA (126 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 22 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 5 K in San Francisco’s 11-8 victory Aug. 2 at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • DeSclafani is 2-0 this season against Colorado with a 0.00 ERA (15 IP), 9 H, 2 BB and 17 K in two starts.
  • vs. Rockies on the current roster (75 PA): 2.20 FIP with a .186 BA, .219 wOBA, .311 xSLG, 29.3 K% and 85.8 mph EV.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:19 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Rockies 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Giants (-220) because they are clearly the correct pick and should win this game outright. However, the obviousness of San Francisco in this spot is baked into the line which is too expensive for me.

Furthermore, the Giants are a massive favorite with a short total. This is another reason to not fade San Francisco because if oddsmakers are projecting a lower scoring game then it’s hard not to side with this heavy of a favorite.

That said, I’d entertain parlaying San Francisco’s money line with a similarly priced favorite to get a much better payout. I don’t see much value in playing the Giants (-220) straight up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) for a half unit because they have the second-best cover rate in the MLB as a home favorite at 25-18 ATS and in games against NL West competition at 33-18 ATS. Also, the Rockies have a losing run line record on the road and against divisional foes.

However, my weariness about San Francisco’s run line here is because, again, oddsmakers have set a short total so if there are fewer runs to go around it’s harder to cash the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (+100) for a half unit and I would wait until closer to the first pitch in hopes of getting an 8-run total since the market is backing the Over.

However, both bullpens rank in or around the top 10 in several advanced pitching metrics following the All-Star Break and Colorado’s lineup hasn’t been able to hit DeSclafani in their two earlier meetings.

Also, Gomber’s pitching peripherals aren’t too shabby and he’s been nuked in one outing vs. the Giants but only allowed 2 ER in their April 9 meeting.

Lastly, this total is suspiciously low considering the Over has cashed in six of the last seven Rockies-Giants meetings and San Francisco’s lineup ranking second in wRC+ at home.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (51-63) and San Francisco Giants (73-41) open a four-game series Thursday at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 6-3

The Rockies lost 5-1 at the Houston Astros Wednesday getting swept in the two-game series following a four-game win streak. The Giants own a four-game win streak following Wednesday’s 7-2 home victory vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.

RHP German Marquez is projected to start the opener for the Rockies. He is 10-8 with a 3.42 ERA (136 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 14-2 home rout of Miami Marlins Friday
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 0-3, 13.06 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 13 K in three starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 4-7, 6.68 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 50 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 13 starts

RHP Logan Webb is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA (79 IP, 28 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 15 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K at Milwaukee Brewers Friday – Giants lost 2-1 in 10 innings
  • 2021 vs. Rockies: 0-1, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 11 K in two starts
  • Career vs. Rockies: 2-1, 5.92 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in four starts and one relief appearance

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (-180) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Not only do the Giants have the best record in baseball, they’re the best home team at 37-17.

The Rockies, who are 12 games under .500 overall, feature the majors’ worst road mark at 13-42.

Plus, as mentioned above, Colorado’s Marquez has been horrendous vs. San Francisco this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back GIANTS -1.5 (+122) for a QUARTER UNIT.

San Francisco is the best ATS team in the majors posting a 72-42 record. Colorado is also on the positive side of the ATS scoreboard six games over .500 at 60-54.

However, the Rockies are 23-32 ATS on the road while the Giants are 32-22 ATS at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5. (-110) is the play.

O/U records: Rockies 51-60-2 | Giants 54-56-4

While both clubs are Under teams, the Over is 6-0 in the last six head-to-head meetings.

Plus, the Rockies are 10-5 O/U in their last 15 games overall.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 10-7 3-4 +1.35
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (64-39) host the Houston Astros (64-40) Saturday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Astros won the first game of the series 9-6 as 2B Jose Altuve went 3-for-6 with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs. Also, Houston’s lineup nuked San Francisco’s bullpen by plating 6 runs across 4 innings of work.

Season series: Astros lead 1-0.

RHP Zack Greinke makes his 22nd start for the Astros. He is 10-3 with a 3.48 ERA (126 2/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 4 K Sunday against the Texas Rangers.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (177 PA): 2.02 FIP with a .212 batting average (BA), .240 wOBA, .289 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 26.6 K% and 86.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Alex Wood is San Francisco’s projected starter. He is 9-3 with a 3.65 ERA (93 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 17 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Astros at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Astros 7, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

Let’s go with the hot hand and BET an ASTROS (+100) team that’s won eight of their last 10 games.

Since the All-Star Game, Houston’s lineup is 10th or better in wRC+, wOBA and WAR while San Francisco’s lineup ranks 19th or worse in each of those categories.

Also, Greinke has been more effective on the road this season and has always pitched well at San Francisco’s home ballpark. Greinke is 5-0 on the road with a 2.25 ERA (60 IP, 15 ER), 0.85 WHIP and 4.8 K/BB through nine starts.

For his career, Greinke is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA (53 IP, 7 ER), 0.89 WHIP and 5.4 K/BB in eight starts at San Francisco’s ballpark.

TAKE the ASTROS (+100) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ASTROS -1.5 (+165) on the alternate line for a tiny wager, if at all, because Houston has clear edges in the starting pitching and hitting matchups and San Francisco’s bullpen is taxed from throwing a lot of pitches recently.

However, the Giants covered the spread in eight of their 12 games as home underdogs this season and the Astros bullpen has been the weakest facet of Houston’s game throughout the season.

The best play in this game is to stick with the Astros (+100) on the money line, but Houston is clearly the right side so I don’t hate SPRINKLING on ASTROS -1.5 (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” toward the Over 8.5 (-105) as a “contrarian play” against a majority of the market that’s taking the Under. Since that’s my only handicapping angle I’ll stay away from the total in Astros-Giants.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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