MWC Tournament: San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs Colorado State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 seed San Diego State Aztecs (22-7) meet the second-seeded Colorado State Rams (25-4) in a Mountain West semifinal Friday. Tip from the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is scheduled for midnight ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State, which finished 14-4 in MWC play, snuck into the semifinal with a 53-51 win over the seventh-seeded Utah State Aggies Thursday. G Isaiah Stevens led the Rams with a team-high 14 points, and G David Roddy added 13 points. While the Rams only went 3-for-18 from 3-point land, the Aggies finished 1-for-15 behind the arc.

The Aztecs, who finished with a 13-4 MWC regular-season record, are coming off Thursday’s 53-46 victory over sixth-seeded Fresno State. The winner of this semifinal will face the winner of top-seeded Boise State and No. 4 seed Wyoming in Saturday’s championship game.

Colorado State is 14-14 against the spread (ATS) for the season, including 8-11 ATS in conference games. San Diego State is 16-13 ATS overall with an MWC-best 11-7 ATS mark in conference play.

The Rams’ 75.0 points per game (PPG) ranks 78th in the nation. They are led by Roddy’s 19.3 PPG.

Colorado State is No. 24 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports with San Diego State SU also receiving a few Top-25 votes.

San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Colorado State +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread: San Diego State -1.5 (-115) | Colorado State +1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 125.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 63, Colorado State 60

Money line

PASS.

Given all the late-game fouling that typically takes place in the conference tournament games, I’ll take San Diego State to win by more than just 1 point. So, let’s focus on the spread below.

Against the spread

BET SAN DIEGO STATE -1.5 (-115).

San Diego State has been the better covering team all season and Colorado State avoided a near loss to Utah State Thursday. As mentioned, the Aztecs are 16-13 ATS, and have covered 6 of their last 8 games.

San Diego State is 2-0 ATS vs. Colorado State this season as well, covering as a 2.5-point home favorite in a 30-point win Jan. 8, and as a 4-point road underdog in a 1-point loss Feb. 4.

CSU hasn’t been a great covering team, failing to cover as a 3.5-point favorite against Utah State Thursday. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games.

The Rams also rank 14th in the nation in field-goal percentage, which plays into the Aztecs’ strength as they rank fourth in opponents’ field-goal percentage, holding opponents to 37.9% from the field.

Combine it all, and I’ll take SDSU to win and cover.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 125.5 (-115).

This is a low total, but if there’s one thing both teams have been good at this season, it’s been cashing Under tickets. CSU is 10-18 O/U, while SDSU is 12-17 O/U.

Considering San Diego State’s elite defense and the fact that Colorado State ranks 314th in possessions per game, I expect a slow-paced, grind-it-out type game.

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San Diego State at Colorado State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (12-5, 4-2 MWC) visit the Colorado State Rams (16-3, 6-3) Friday for a Mountain West showdown in Fort Collins. The contest at Moby Arena is slated to tip off at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Diego State is coming off a Monday 72-47 home rout of New Mexico. The Aztecs held the Lobos to a 30.8% mark from the field. SDSU is 7-2 over its last nine games. The country’s third-best defense – tops in the MWC – (56.8 points allowed per game) held opponents to an anemic 35.1% accuracy mark over that stretch.

The Rams went 16-1 over their first 17 games, but they lost their last two games. The most recent setback was an 84-78 overtime setback at Wyoming Monday. The Aztecs handed the Rams their first loss of the season, a 79-49 rout back on Jan. 8 in San Diego.

See alsoFerris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State at Colorado State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Colorado State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +3.5 (-105) | Colorado State -3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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San Diego State at Colorado State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 65, Colorado State 63

Money line

This veteran San Diego State squad plays tremendous defense, forcing opponents into inefficient looks most times down the floor. The Aztecs’ defensive efficiency numbers on the road rank in the top 10 in the nation.

Over its last two games, Colorado State has yielded a 51.9% mark from the field, including a 42.0% figure from beyond the arc.

Peg this game as a pick ’em, so there is certainly value on SAN DIEGO STATE (+155).

Against the spread

The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against .600 foes.

More risk-averse bettors may want to take the AZTECS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

UNDER 133.5 (-108) is the way to go.

The Under is 8-0 in SDSU’s last eight games against .600 foes.

Schedule-wise, the Rams look to be heading into a couple weeks of Under lean.

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Frisco Bowl: UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s UTSA vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 UTSA Roadrunners (7-6) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (6-6) at the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Tuesday at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the UTSA vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

UTSA had its undefeated season spoiled by North Texas in the regular-season finale in Denton Nov. 27, falling 45-23. The Roadrunners rebounded with a 49-41 win over Western Kentucky in the Conference USA championship game at the Alamodome Dec. 3.

The Aztecs were destroyed, 46-13, by Utah State in the Mountain West championship game Dec. 4 as 6.5-point favorites as the Over cashed. While San Diego State has won four of the past five games, it is still just 1-4-1 ATS across the past six outings overall.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: UTSA +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | San Diego State -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UTSA +2.5 (+100) | San Diego State -2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

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Prediction

San Diego State 26, UTSA 20

Money line

SAN DIEGO STATE (-155) is the play in this one. UTSA (+125) was just one game away from an undefeated season, and they had a top-tier offense during the regular season.

However, star RB Sincere McCormick, who rolled up 1,479 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns, has declared for the NFL Draft and opted out. That’s a huge loss for the Roadrunners.

Against the spread

Take SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-125) laying two-and-a-half. While the Aztecs were horrific in the MWC title game, they’ll bounce back nicely, using its defense to top the Roadrunners here. I am concerned about UTSA’s offense, as I think they’ll have a hard time adjusting without its top player.

Over/Under

The play is the UNDER 48.5 (-107). UTSA was going to have trouble moving the ball even with McCormick, as San Diego State ranks 14th in the country with 319.6 total yards allowed per game. It’s second in the nation with just 77.6 rushing yards per game allowed, so QB Frank Harris will have difficulty trying to solve SDSU, too.

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Mountain West Championship: Utah State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah State Aggies (9-3, 6-2 in Mountain West) face the No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (11-1, 7-1) in the Mountain West Conference Championship Saturday. The kickoff from Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Utah State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Utah State advanced to its first Mountain West title game since 2013 under first-year head coach Blake Anderson.

Aggies junior transfer QB Logan Bonner has the third-best passer efficiency rating in the conference (154.9) and First-Team All-Mountain West WR Deven Thompkins leads the conference in all major receiving stats. Utah State is 8-4 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

San Diego State is seeking its first 12-win season in school history under second-year head coach Brady Hoke. The Aztecs have the best defense in the conference and the most First-Team All-Mountain West selections. The Aztecs are 6-5-1 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

Utah State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | San Diego State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +5.5 (-107) | San Diego State -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Utah State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 24, Utah State 14

Money line

PASS since I like the Aztecs to win this game outright but San Diego State (-240) is a little too expensive.

Against the spread

BET SAN DIEGO STATE -5.5 (-115) for 1 unit because Utah State’s offense is too one-dimensional for this stout Aztec defense.

For instance, the Aggies’ rushing attack ranks 122nd out of 130 FBS programs in predicted points added (PPA) on the ground. Also, Utah State’s offense has the seventh-worst rushing success rate in the nation and is 117th in line yards per snap.

Conversely, San Diego State’s defense ranks third in rushing PPA, seventh in rushing success rate and 11th in line yards per snap. If Utah State cannot run the ball then San Diego State will get the Aggies off the field fast.

The Aztecs are top-20 in passing down PPA and success rate and have the seventh-best opponent’s 3rd-down conversion rate. Furthermore, this San Diego State defense is stacked with talent. In fact, the Aztecs have an All-Mountain West Football First-Team defensive player on all three levels.

Over/Under

BET 1 unit on the UNDER 49.5 (-107) because there’s only been a combined 50 points scored in one of San Diego State’s eight conference games this year. Also, the Aztecs are 2-6 O/U vs. Mountain West teams.

And while San Diego State has one of the most efficient defenses in the country, its offense is the weak link. For example, the Aztecs rank 97th in offensive points per drive and 117th in offensive points per play, according to Football Outsiders.

Lastly, the Utah State-San Diego State total was quickly lowered after early sharp money came in on the Under. Circa Sports in Las Vegas (a market-making sportsbook) opened this game with a 51.5-point total before the market steamed it down to the current number.

For me, there’s still value in the UNDER 49.5 (-107) based on the previous analysis.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State Broncos at San Diego State Aztecs odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 22 San Diego State Aztecs (10-1, 6-1 Mountain West) host the Boise State Broncos (7-4, 5-2) in a conference clash Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET at Dignity Health Sports Park. Below, we look at the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Boise State is on a four-game winning streak, including a 37-0 beatdown of the New Mexico Lobos Saturday. The Broncos have the best points-per-game differential in the conference with an average score of 30.4-18.3 on the year.

Boise State is 7-4 against the spread (ATS) and 3-8 Over/Under (O/U) with the 62nd-toughest schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

San Diego has won three straight games with the latest being 28-20 victory at the UNLV Rebels last Friday. The Aztecs defense leads the Mountain West in points per game and yards per play allowed. San Diego State is 5-5-1 ATS and 5-6 O/U with the 105th-toughest schedule, according to Sagarin.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Boise State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:08 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Boise State -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | San Diego State +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -2.5 (-120) | San Diego State +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 20, Boise State 17

Money line

PASS because I only “lean” to the Aztecs getting points and don’t have enough confidence in betting them at +120 straight up.

Furthermore, I’d wait until closer to kickoff to get a better price on either San Diego State’s money line or spread because Boise State is the more popular side, according to Pregame.com.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to SAN DIEGO STATE +2.5 (-105) since more than 90% of the cash is on Boise State (according to Pregame.com).

All the pro-Boise State money has steamed the Broncos up from 2-point underdogs on the look-ahead line to the current price.

Also, San Diego State has higher predicted points added (PPA), yards per play and havoc rate differentials than Boise State.

Since this is priced as a coin-flip game, I “LEAN” to SAN DIEGO STATE +2.5 (-105) as a fade of the lopsided betting market and because the Aztecs have better efficiency.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 44.5 (-110) for 1 unit because both teams are better on the defensive side of the ball than the offensive.

San Diego State ranks fourth in defensive success rate and 99th in offensive success rate, while Boise State ranks 30th in defensive success rate and 75th in offensive success rate.

The Under has cashed in six consecutive Boise State games and these teams have a combined 10-16 O/U record in conference play since the beginning of last season.

Finally, roughly two-thirds of the action is on the Over but this total hasn’t budged off the opener. This “line freeze” suggests that the oddsmakers are confident in their total and haven’t been shaken by all the pro-Over money.

I want to be on the same side as the sportsbooks since they generally win and that side appears to be the UNDER 44.5 (-110). This is my favorite bet in this contest.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV Rebels odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 San Diego State Aztecs (9-1, 5-1 Mountain West) visit the UNLV Rebels (2-8, 2-4) Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Aztecs pulled out a 23-21 win over Nevada last Saturday, although they failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites. San Diego State is 0-2-1 ATS across the past three, and just 1-3-1 ATS over the previous five outings.

The Rebels started out 0-8 SU, but they haven’t given up. UNLV posted wins and covers in each of the past two games, including a 27-13 victory over Hawaii last weekend at Allegiant.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Diego State at UNLV odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | UNLV +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -10.5 (-115) | UNLV +10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 30, UNLV 13

Money line

San Diego State (-450) is a conference title contender with just one loss, but it doesn’t have a prolific offense. Every game is a fight, and the Aztecs rely a lot upon the defense. They won’t get tripped up by an improving, but still bad UNLV team, however. But risking four and a half times your potential return is just not a recommended betting strategy over the long term.

PASS.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -10.5 (-115) is quite a low line considering it is a nine-win team playing against UNLV, a team that tasted victory for the first time two weeks ago.

Yes, the Rebels have been hot, but beating New Mexico and Hawaii isn’t cause for celebration for most teams. San Diego State is a huge step up in competition, and UNLV will be back to the ‘L’ column in a big way after this one.

Over/Under

The OVER 41.5 (-105) is the play, but do so with caution. San Diego State hasn’t scored more than 23 points in five games dating back to Oct. 9. The Under is 5-1 in the past six for the Aztecs, too. But UNLV has allowed 31.8 PPG overall this season, and if San Diego State is going to re-discover its offense, it will be here on the fast track at Allegiant Stadium.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Nevada at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Nevada at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Nevada Wolfpack (7-2, 4-1 MWC) and San Diego State Aztecs (8-1, 4-1 MWC) battle for supremacy in the MWC West Division in a Saturday night tussle. Kickoff at Dignity Health Sports Park is slated for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nevada vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Nevada won at home last week (27-24 over San Jose State), and its only setback the last six games is a 34-32 loss at Fresno State Oct. 23. The Wolfpack has a pass-first attack, and with QB Carson Strong at the helm, it ranks third in the nation on passing yards (376.3 per game) and 129th in rushing yards (74.4). Strong has completed 70.5% of his passes.

The Aztecs are coming off a 17-10 win at Hawaii. Three of their last four games – all wins – have been decided by one score. San Diego State grinds out victories with a bottom-20 offense – and one that leans heavily on the rush and a top-10 defense. SDSU held Hawaii to 260 total yards last week; the Aztecs have held foes under 300 total yards five times this fall.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Nevada at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nevada +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | San Diego State -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +2.5 (-105) | San Diego State -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Nevada at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 24, San Diego State 21 

Money line

The Aztecs’ dodgy schedule could be exposed here. And SDSU lost by 10 to Fresno State, another strong MWC passing team.

Nevada won last year’s game, 26-21, and controlled that contest on the stat sheet as well. UN might be unlucky with its drive finishes not matching production on the upper 70 yards of the field. SDSU’s defense swings a bit of luck in the same respect.

BACK THE WOLFPACK (+120).

Against the spread

Nevada has won nine in a row ATS as an underdog. San Diego State has been November-exposed in recent years: the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in weeks 10-13.

Bettors wanting some cushion in a close game should TAKE NEVADA +2.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Over has gone 3-1-1 in the last five Nevada-San Diego meetings.

The lean here is the Over, but Nevada may well make this a two-score margin (or more?), and the total here could be in play even with a solid Wolfpack performance. PASS.

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San Diego State at Hawaii odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (7-1, 3-1 Mountain West) and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-5, 1-3) meet Saturday at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. Kickoff is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Hawaii odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Aztecs suffered a 30-20 loss at home against Fresno State, the first setback of the season for San Diego State. After opening the season 4-1 ATS, the Aztecs are just 1-2 ATS across the past three outings.

The Rainbow Warriors were thumped 51-31 at Utah State in its fifth trip to the mainland this season, and Hawaii is now just 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS across the past three outings overall. The Warriors have allowed 34 or more points in each of the past three games.

San Diego State at Hawaii odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Hawaii +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -7.5 (-102) | Hawaii +7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Hawaii odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 31, Hawaii 20

Money line

San Diego State (-300) is looking for the bounce back, and it should be able to get the win in the islands against a mediocre Hawaii (+230) side. But risking three times your return is just a little too expensive.

AVOID.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -7.5 (-102) is a good play, even though a seven-and-a-hook bet on the favorite is not my favorite wager. However, the Aztecs have bounced back nicely following losses and non-covers, so they’re the play here. San Diego State is 6-1 ATS in the past seven following a non-cover, and 5-1 ATS in the past six following a straight-up loss.

Hawaii +7.5 (-122), on the other hand, is just 14-31-1 ATS in the previous 46 home games, and 11-23 ATS in the previous 34 against teams with a winning overall mark.

Over/Under

OVER 45.5 (-107) is the play in this one. The Aztecs have had a power outage lately, averaging just 19.7 PPG across the past three outings, but they have posted 29.6 PPG to rank 61st in the nation. Defensively, San Diego State has been strong, so don’t expect end-to-end action. But this one should inch over the finish line late.

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Fresno State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-2, 3-1 Mountain West) and No. 20 San Diego State Aztecs (7-0, 3-0 MWC) meet Saturday at Dignity Health Sports Park. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Fresno State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Bulldogs rolled up a 34-32 win against Nevada Saturday, but they failed to cover a 3.5-point number as the Over hit. Fresno State is just 1-3 ATS across the past four outings despite going 3-1 SU.

The Aztecs scratched out a 20-14 win at Air Force as three-point ‘dogs, improving to 5-1 ATS across the past six games overall. The Under is 3-0 in the past three contests with San Diego State allowing just 11.3 points per game (PPG) in those games.

Fresno State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Fresno State -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | San Diego State -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State +0.5 (-112) | San Diego State -0.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Fresno State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23

Money line

SAN DIEGO STATE (-108) is the lean at home, as it looks to keep its unbeaten season alive. The Aztecs have the defense to shut down the Fresno State (-112) offense, yielding just 279.4 total yards per game to rank fifth in the country. San Diego State is allowing just 15.7 PPG to rank seventh in the nation. That will be the difference here.

Against the spread

San Diego State -0.5 (-108) is not worth playing. Just bet the money line instead, as it is slightly cheaper and essentially the same bet. AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 44.5 (-108) is the lean despite San Diego State’s sturdy defense and the fact you’ll be betting against some serious trends. The Under is 7-0 in the past seven meetings in this series, including 4-0 in the past four home games for the Aztecs. But Fresno State’s offense has posted 35.6 PPG, and it will be the biggest threat to the Under.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 San Diego State Aztecs (6-0, 2-0 MWC) and Air Force Falcons (6-1, 3-1) meet for a Saturday 7 p.m. ET game at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Air Force odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Diego State squeaked by San Jose State, 19-13 in overtime, last Saturday to remain unbeaten this fall. The Aztecs were outgained, 345 yards to 240, and for an undefeated team, SDSU has had its problems moving the chains all season. San Diego State heads into Saturday’s Mountain West crossover tilt ranked 103rd in total offense (348.5 yards per game).

The Falcons have their offense cranked up of late and have won four consecutive games. The nation’s leading rushing attack (336.4 yards per game) has produced 4.9-or-more yards per attempt in five of seven games this season. Air Force has also benefited from a plus-7 in turnover margin.

San Diego State at Air Force odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Air Force -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +2.5 (+105) | Air Force -2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Air Force odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 24, San Diego State 20

Money line

San Diego State is out too far over its skis in holding foes to a 26.7% conversion rate on third downs. The Aztecs are up against a Falcons team that can stay on schedule and one that is 12-2 straight-up over its last 14 games at home.

TAKE AIR FORCE (-160).

Against the spread

This is a strength-on-strength, run-versus-run game. These teams both rank as top-25 in rushing offense and rushing defense. But Air Force has an edge with what they do at the line of scrimmage and that includes run-stuff avoidance.

Consider a Falcons (-2.5) play only at -120 or better. Otherwise, PASS — the money line play becomes worth it with a low total looming.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-2 in the last eight San Diego State-Air Force meetings in Fort Collins. And that’s the zag lean here, with both offenses perhaps having more finishing success and getting this total into the mid-40s.

BACK THE OVER 38.5 (-107).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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