San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV Rebels odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 San Diego State Aztecs (9-1, 5-1 Mountain West) visit the UNLV Rebels (2-8, 2-4) Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Aztecs pulled out a 23-21 win over Nevada last Saturday, although they failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites. San Diego State is 0-2-1 ATS across the past three, and just 1-3-1 ATS over the previous five outings.

The Rebels started out 0-8 SU, but they haven’t given up. UNLV posted wins and covers in each of the past two games, including a 27-13 victory over Hawaii last weekend at Allegiant.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Diego State at UNLV odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | UNLV +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -10.5 (-115) | UNLV +10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 30, UNLV 13

Money line

San Diego State (-450) is a conference title contender with just one loss, but it doesn’t have a prolific offense. Every game is a fight, and the Aztecs rely a lot upon the defense. They won’t get tripped up by an improving, but still bad UNLV team, however. But risking four and a half times your potential return is just not a recommended betting strategy over the long term.

PASS.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -10.5 (-115) is quite a low line considering it is a nine-win team playing against UNLV, a team that tasted victory for the first time two weeks ago.

Yes, the Rebels have been hot, but beating New Mexico and Hawaii isn’t cause for celebration for most teams. San Diego State is a huge step up in competition, and UNLV will be back to the ‘L’ column in a big way after this one.

Over/Under

The OVER 41.5 (-105) is the play, but do so with caution. San Diego State hasn’t scored more than 23 points in five games dating back to Oct. 9. The Under is 5-1 in the past six for the Aztecs, too. But UNLV has allowed 31.8 PPG overall this season, and if San Diego State is going to re-discover its offense, it will be here on the fast track at Allegiant Stadium.

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