Tag: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (25-14) and San Francisco Giants (22-16) meet Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET in the continuation of a 3-game series at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2.

The Padres won Friday’s series opener 8-7 in 10 innings. San Diego heads into this Saturday matinee having won 4 of its last 5.

Friday’s game snapped a 5-game home win streak for the Giants. San Francisco pitching was on fire early in the season with a 2.32 ERA through April 27 but has logged a 5.66 mark since.

Padres at Giants projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Musgrove (4-0, 2.20 ERA) has logged a 0.93 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 45 IP across 7 starts.

  • Clocked a 6.08 ERA while allowing an .898 OPS in 5 starts vs. San Francisco last season.
  • Averages 92 pitchers per start but has made 108 and 99 over his last 2 turns.

Rodon (4-2, 3.49 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.

  • Toted a 1.80 ERA into his last start but allowed 8 runs on 10 hits in 3 2/3 IP vs. the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday.
  • Owns a 2.12 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 17 IP at home.

Padres at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Giants -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Padres at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Padres 2

Money line

Expect a bounce-back for Rodon after a couple of high-pitch efforts likely led to the rocky outing in his last turn. His overall numbers have some play because he’s pitched through a .345 batting average on balls in play.

The Giants’ 5.16 runs per game rank second in MLB, and the home nine has had its way in games against Musgrove. S.F. has been okay versus righties so far, but that’s with a .248 BABIP.

Take SAN FRANCISCO (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Giants are 10-5 in games decided by 5 runs or more. BACK SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

Crisscrossing signals here: PASS.

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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (24-14) meet the San Francisco Giants (22-15) Friday at Oracle Park to open a 3-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego won the rubber match of a 3-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday 2-0 behind an SP Yu Darvish gem and is 6-4 overall in its last 10 games.

San Francisco is 7-3 overall in its last 10 games but 5 of those wins were against the Colorado Rockies with the other 2 victories coming against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Season series: San Francisco leads 2-1 and has outscored San Diego 17-7 in those meetings.

Padres at Giants projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Jakob Junis 

Manaea is 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 43 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 6-5 loss at the Atlanta Braves with 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 12 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Giants: Loss, 2-1, in San Francisco April 13 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 2.88 FIP with a .253/.310/.390 expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line, 20.4 K% and 89.1 mph exit velocity in 93 plate appearances.

Junis is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 20 2/3 IP over 2 starts and 2 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Loss, 4-0, at the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.

Padres at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at  2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-205) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Giants 2

Money line

LEAN to the PADRES (+105) because Manaea’s pitching peripherals suggest his record will improve and San Diego is 5-3 overall as a road underdog.

Only 1 of Manaea’s 4 pitches has a plus-run value and most of his swing-and-miss rates have increased year over year, according to Statcast. Manaea’s road ERA (2.70) and WHIP (0.86) are much better than his home marks (5.51 ERA, 1.53 WHIP).

There’s also a line freeze in the betting market since more than 70% of the cash is on the Giants, per Pregame.com, but the line hasn’t budged off the opener.

It’s only a LEAN PADRES (+105) because it hasn’t been profitable fading the Giants at home since the beginning of last season and San Francisco’s lineup has been much hotter at the plate over the past two weeks.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because the Padres +1.5 (-205) are too expensive even though San Diego is 7-1 RL as a home underdog and San Francisco is 6-11 RL as a home favorite. Those RL records are appropriately accounted for in the pricing and the Padres +1.5 (-205) isn’t a big enough lock vs. the price.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) only because the Over has cashed in 13 of the last 18 Padres-Giants meetings and the weather forecast is predicting double-digit mph winds blowing out to right-centerfield.

However, San Diego’s lineup is awful vs. right-handed pitching, ranking 22nd in wRC+ (88), 26th in wOBA (.285) and 18th in hard-hit rate (28.8%), according to FanGraphs.

Lastly, there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market since more money is on the Under but more bets have been placed on the Over. Since professional bettors put up more dough than the average Joe, the money column is considered the sharper side of the market.

For what it’s worth, the UNDER 7.5 (-110) is my favorite wager in the Padres-Giants game.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (78-82) face the San Francisco Giants (106-54) in the second game of their final three-game series of the season. First pitch is 4:05 p.m. ET Saturday at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres RHP Joe Musgrove (11-9, 3.22 ERA) makes his 31st start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 176 1/3 IP.

  • The Padres are 1-3 in his four previous starts against the Giants this season.
  • Needs just 1 strikeout to reach 200 in a season for the first time in his career.

Giants RHP Kevin Gausman (14-6, 2.87 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 185 IP.

  • Has already set career-bests in ERA, strikeouts and WHIP.
  • The Giants are 4-1 in his five starts against the Padres this season.

Padres at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Giants -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-150) | Giants -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The Giants shut out the Padres 3-0 in the series opener on Friday and have won seven games in a row. They have 22 wins in their last 27 games and can clinch the NL West with just one more victory. San Francisco has won three of its last four against San Diego.

The Padres are reeling to end the season. They have lost seven straight and have only three wins in their last 20 games, although all three of those games were against the Giants. San Diego is 7-10 against San Francisco this season.

Take the GIANTS (-175).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres covered the spread in only two of their last 10 games. They are 74-86 ATS overall and 39-40 ATS on the road. Six of their last eight losses have come by at least 2 runs.

16 of the Giants’ last 22 wins have been by at least two runs. They are No.1 in baseball with a 97-63 ATS record and will be focused on getting that one final, clinching win today.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (+122).

Over/Under (O/U)

11 of the 17 games between the clubs had totals of 8 or more runs.

13 of Gausman’s last 14 starts had totals of 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-130).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (78-81) open their final series of the year against the NL West-leading San Francisco Giants (105-54) Friday. First pitch is at 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres RHP Pedro Avila is making his first MLB start of the year and only the second start of his career.  He appeared in 36 games, starting 11, between Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso. He was 2-4 with a 4.22 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 74 2/3 IP.

  • His only other major league appearance was in 2019. He had a no-decision in a 7-6 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks and pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing only 1 run on 4 hits.
  • He is the Padres’ No. 21-ranked prospect.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani (12-7, 3.26 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 162 2/3 IP.

  • This will be his fifth start of the year against the Padres. He is 1-1 with a 3.13 ERA and the Giants are 3-1 in those games.
  • The Giants are 20-10 in his starts and have won four of his last five outings.

Padres at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Padres 5

Money line (ML)

The Padres have lost six games in a row and have only one win in their last 12 games. They are 7-9 against the Giants this season and their three wins over the Giants are their only wins in their last 19 games. They have only 11 wins since Aug. 11.

The Giants have won six games in a row and eight of their last nine, holding a two-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West with three games to play. With the division still up for grabs and the Padres struggling and with nothing to play for other than pride, they are a bad bet this weekend.

Take the GIANTS (-220).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are only 7-12 ATS in their last 19 games. Ten of their last 16 losses were by at least 2 runs. They are 39-39 ATS on the road.

Seven of the Giants’ last 11 wins were by at least 2 runs. They have the best ATS record in the majors at 96-63 ATS and are No. 3 at home at 42-36 ATS.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Fourteen of the last 20 games for the Padres had a total of 9 or more runs.

Seventeen of the Giants’ last 23 games finished with a total of at least 9 runs.

Half of the 16 games between the two teams had a total of 9 or more, but those eight came in the last 10 games against one another.

Take OVER 8.5 (-130).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (18-15) and San Francisco Giants (19-13) play the second of a three-game set Saturday at Oracle Park with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-3 with a 2.38 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 34 IP through 6 starts.

In his most recent start, Musgrove allowed six runs (five earned) and four hits with two walks and six strikeouts across five innings in a loss against the Giants at Petco Park on Sunday.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 39 2/3 IP through 6 starts.

Gausman outdueled Musgrove in that outing on Sunday, allowing just one run, six hits and a walk with six strikeouts over six innings in a victory in San Diego. He also allowed just one run, five hits and a walk with five strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision at Petco April 7.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Giants +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Giants +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 7 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Giants 3, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

The GIANTS (+120) are a solid value in their home park. Gausman has been very hard on the Padres (-145) to date, going 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and .224 opponent batting average with 11 strikeouts over 13 innings and just one homer allowed. There is no reason to bet against he or the Giants, especially after he topped the Padres last time out at their place.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS +1.5 (-145) aren’t terribly expensive if you’d like a little insurance and do not trust them straight up. And four of their past eight games have been one-run losses.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7 (-105) is the play in San Francisco. While the Giants have been on an Over run lately, and the Under was 7-5-2 in the first 14 home dates for San Francisco.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (18-14) head up to the Bay Area to begin a three-game set with the NL West rival San Francisco Giants (18-13) Friday at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego won the rubber match against the Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday and defeated San Francisco 2-1 in a three-game series last weekend.

The Giants dropped back-to-back games at the Colorado Rockies to lose their previous series and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Season series: Tied 3-3.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starter for the Padres. He is 1-0 with a 3.51 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 5 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 6 K against the Giants Saturday.
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP and 12.6 K/9 across 2 starts, both in 2021.
    • vs. Giants on the current roster: 43 at-bats with a .302/.400/.535 slash line and 2 HR.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani gets the start for the Giants. He is 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA (36 IP, 8 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 6 IP with 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 3 K at the Padres Saturday.
  • Career vs. Padres: 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA (35 IP, 10 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 6.9 K/9 in 6 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Giants +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 5, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

BET the PADRES (-150) for three-fourths of a unit because we want to save a little bit for San Diego’s run line.

The Padres have owned the Giants over the past two seasons. They won 13 of the last 18 meetings head-to-head meetings and six of their past eight games in San Francisco.

Also, DeSclafani hasn’t been nearly as sharp as his basic pitching numbers suggest. He has pitched 15-scoreless innings in two starts against a bad Colorado Rockies lineup—neither of which were at  Coors Field.

Furthermore, DeSclafani is in the 23rd percentile of hard-hit rate, 15th percentile in exit velocity and 44th percentile in K%, according to Statcast.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Not only do the PADRES -1.5 (+115) have an edge in the starting pitching department, but advanced pitching analytics indicate San Diego’s bullpen is a top-3 unit.

Padres relievers are second in both SIERA and K-BB%, first in xFIP and third in left-on-base percentage so I’m confident San Diego’s ‘pen can hold a lead.

On the other side, San Francisco’s bullpen has struggled through the first five weeks of the season. Giants’ relievers are a bottom-10 unit in home runs per nine, SIERA and xFIP.

If it’s either or definitely stick with San Diego’s money line, but I’m sprinkling a little change on the PADRES -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because San Diego’s lineup hasn’t gotten going yet and San Francisco has several hitters either out of the lineup or with questionable game statuses.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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