Tag: San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (2-1) and San Diego Padres (1-2) wrap up their 4-game season-opening series on Sunday. Furst pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 2-1

After Colorado took the first 2 games of the series 7-2 and 4-1, the Padres picked up their 1st win of the year on Saturday, beating the Rockies 8-4. SS Xander Bogaerts hit a 2-run HR in the 1st inning and SP Michael Wacha didn’t allow a run for the 1st 4 innings and got the win with 6 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB and 2 K’s.

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Rockies at Padres projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Gomber was 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.37 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 124 2/3 IP last season.

  • Had 5.75 ERA in 17 starts in 2022
  • 1-0 with 0.96 ERA in 3 appearances (1 start) vs. Padres last season

Lugo was 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 65 IP in relief in 2022.

  • Appeared in 62 games for New York Mets in 2022, all in relief
  • Is making first start since the 2020 season

Rockies at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

The Rockies did steal the 1st 2 games of the series, but after they had the 2nd-worst road record in the majors last season at 27-54 it is hard to think they would take 3 of 4 on the road to open the season.

But at -225, betting the Padres to win outright doesn’t pay off enough.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres covered the run line Saturday in their win over Colorado. But the Padres were 32-53 ATS at home last season. Four of their 6 wins over the Rockies at home last season were by 2 or more runs. Six of their 9 wins over the Rockies last season overall were by 2 or more runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Two of the 3 games in this series have had more than 8 total runs. Sixteen of the last 22 games between the 2 teams have had at least 8 runs.

BET OVER 8 (-115).

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (2-0) and the San Diego Padres (0-2) play the 3rd contest in a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch at Petco Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead series 2-0

The Rockies have gotten off to an unexpected start, outscoring the Padres by an 11-3 score in the first 2 games of the season. Colorado’s Charlie Blackmon hit a homer, while collecting 2 hits and 2 RBIs in Friday’s 4-1 victory.

The Padres managed just 5 hits in Friday’s loss, and they had 7 hits in Thursday’s opener. Losing a pair of games to the lowly Rockies to start the season is not exactly what San Diego fans and bettors were thinking with this star-studded lineup.

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Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP Jose Urena vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Urena (3-8, 5.01 ERA) made 17 starts in 2022 with 4 relief appearances. He had a 1.57 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 97 IP with the Milwaukee Brewers and Rockies.

  • Posted a 1-3 record, 4.08 ERA and .271 opponent batting average (OBA) with 32 K across 53 IP in 9 road starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Was 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and .278 OBA while striking out 4 batters with 6 walks allowed in 10 IP in 2 starts vs. SD in 2022

Wacha (11-2, 3.32 ERA) made 23 starts in 2022 with Boston Red Sox. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 127 1/3 IP.

  • Posted a 10-1 record, 3.38 ERA and 84 K with a .233 OBA in 19 night starts in 2022 with the Red Sox
  • Wacha will be playing for his 5th MLB team in the past 5 seasons when he takes the mound

Rockies at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

The Padres (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward, especially when backing a team with an offense that has cobbled together just 3 total runs through the first 2 games.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The PADRES -1.5 (-110) come with a little risk, but this is a better value since you do not need to risk as much.

San Diego turns to the offseason-addition Wacha to halt the losing streak, and he suffered just 2 losses all season as a member of a mediocre Red Sox team last season. Expect San Diego to get the bounce back.

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Over/Under

The San Diego offense has to break out the lumber eventually, right? Despite the Under result Friday, the Over is still 5-2 in the past 7 meetings in this series, and 4-1 in the past 5 meetings at Petco Park.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105), but go lightly, with a half-unit play at most.

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres meet Thursday for Opening Day. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Padres won the season series 10-9 in 2022.

Colorado is expected to have another “rockie” season in 2023 that won’t be made any easier playing in the same division as the free-spending Los Angeles Dodgers, the new-look and high-priced Padres and the San Francisco Giants. The Rockies are likely to be battling the Arizona Diamondbacks to avoid the NL West cellar.

The Padres already potent lineup added free-agent SS Xander Bogaerts to the mix, joining big boppers OF Juan Soto, 3B Manny Machado, 1B Jake Cronenworth and DH Matt Carpenter in a star-studded lineup. OF Fernando Tatis Jr. will also be in the mix soon once his suspension from last season is finished in late April.

Top to bottom, this is a ridiculous lineup, and the pitching isn’t too shabby, either. LHP Blake Snell takes the ball on Opening Day, and he is joined in the rotation by RHPs Yu Darvish, Nick Martinez and Michael Wacha, and Joe Musgrove (fractured toe), once he is healthy.

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Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP German Marquez vs. LHP Blake Snell

Marquez (9-13, 4.95 ERA in 2022) posted a 1.37 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 181 2/3 IP across 31 starts last season.

  • Went 7-7 with a 3.43 ERA and .204 opponent batting average (OBA) with 70 K over 94 1/3 IP in 15 road starts vs. 2-6 with a 6.70 ERA and .317 BAA across 87 1/3 IP in 16 home outings
  • Was 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA with 2 HR allowed and 13 K across 12 IP in 2 starts vs. San Diego in 2022

Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA in 2022) posted a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 across 128 IP in 24 starts last season.

  • Was 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA and 47 K in 35 2/3 IP in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance in daytime games in 2022
  • Went 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA and .227 OBA with 108 K in 81 IP across 15 home outings in ’22
  • Posted a 1-1 record, 5.31 ERA and .250 OBA with 12 BB and 26 K across 20 1/3 IP in 4 starts vs. Colorado in 2022

Rockies at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Rockies 2

Moneyline

The Padres (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too expensive for a singular moneyline play — although it is acceptable to include in a multi-team parlay.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The PADRES -1.5 (+105) have the offense to pound almost any pitcher any day. Marquez posted some impressive numbers on the road last season, and he handled himself okay against the Padres, so go with a half-unit play at most Thursday. The Rockies were a thorn in the side of San Diego all season last year.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-105) is also worth playing lightly. The Over cashed in 4 of the final 5 meetings between these NL West combatants last season. In this Opening Day affair, we have a couple of pitchers who are good but not great and a powerful San Diego offense. We should see at least 8 total runs if not a few more.

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NLCS Game 5 San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Game 5 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres try to stave off elimination down 3-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS Sunday with first pitch scheduled for 2:37 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Game 4 between the Padres and Phillies had an offensive explosion in Philadelphia. 1B Rhys Hoskins had 2 home runs, while LF Kyle Schwarber and San Diego 3B Manny Machado each homered as well. The Phillies, after the 10-6 win, hope to end the best-of-7 NL Championship Series at their home ballpark.

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Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) had a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP in the regular season. He makes his 4th start of the 2022 postseason.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB in 7 IP of Game 1 loss to Philly with 7 K and 2 HR — 1 each by DH Bryce Harper and Schwarber
  • 2022 postseason: 2-1, 2.84 (19 IP, 6 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 18 K, 6 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 4-6, 4.33 (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.096 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.5 K/9, 15 HR in 10 starts

Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) posted a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 regular-season IP. He’s also making his 4th postseason start of 2022.

  • Won Game 1 showdown with Darvish in series opener behind 7 shutout IP with 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K
  • 2022 postseason: 1-1, 1.40 (19 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.52 WHIP, 17 K, 0 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: Same as above — this is his 1st season in playoffs

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Padres 4

Moneyline

Take the PHILLIES (-140) for the win.

The Phillies do not want to travel back to San Diego. They will do everything they can to finish this series Sunday. The ML (-140) is the right side.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+150) is the play.

It is going to be a dreary day in Philadelphia Sunday, but not at Citizen Bank Park. The Phillies are on an offensive roll now. They hit 4 HR Saturday night in the 10-6 win and they should be able to put up another 1 or 2 Sunday afternoon.

Over/Under

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-120).

Wheeler has an ERA of 2.82 this season, while Darvish has an ERA of 3.10. With almost 6 runs expected in this game and with the teams scoring a lot this series, I expect another Over to hit. Game 4 had an O/U of 7.5 and got to 16. This one easily gets to the 7 needed.

OVER 6.5 (-120) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.

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NLCS Game 4: San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies NLCS Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 National League Championship Series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 7:45 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

NLCS: Phillies lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Phillies won 4-3

The Padres came in 2nd in the NL West Division with an 89-73 record, only behind the Dodgers (111-51), who they defeated in the NLDS 3 games to 1. San Diego eliminated L.A. after taking the final 2 games of the series.

The Phillies placed 3rd in a loaded NL East Division with an 87-75 record, behind the Braves (101-61) and the Mets (101-61). After sweeping the Cardinals 2-0 in a Wild Card Series, they eliminated the Braves 3 games to 1 in the NLDS — also winning the final 2 games like the Padres did in their Division Series.

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Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Clevinger went 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 114 1/3 IP in 22 starts and 1 relief outing in the regular season.

  • Losing pitcher in Game 1 of NLDS vs. Dodgers, allowing 5 runs (4 ER) on 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB in 2 2/3 IP with 3 K
  • Career postseason: 0-1, 5.74 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.98 WHIP, 4 HR, 17 BB, 19 K in 7 relief outings for Cleveland and 2 appearances (1 start) for San Diego
  • 2022 vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 3-0 road victory May 17

Falter went 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 84.0 IP in 20 appearances (16 starts) in the regular season.

  • Making 1st career postseason appearance
  • Facing Padres 1st time in 2-year career
  • Career regular-season: 8-5, 4.36 ERA, 1.8 BB/9, 8.3 K/9 in 42 appearances (17 starts)

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Phillies -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+145) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Phillies 4

Moneyline

LEAN PADRES (-108). This is the riskiest play of my 3 suggestions.

The odds are close to even for a reason. These 2 clubs are so evenly matched, it’s hard to pick a winner for any of the games. Few people saw either of these teams making it this far in the playoffs, and don’t be shocked when these teams continue to surprise you.

Either team could win this game, but I don’t see San Diego losing 2 in a row, even if it is in Philadelphia. Expect Padres 3B Manny Machado and RF Juan Soto to show up big time in this one.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Each of the first 3 games in this series have been decided by 2 or more runs, and I don’t expect that to change in Game 4. While it won’t be easy for the Padres to cover the spread in Citizens Bank Park, in order for them to win the game, they will have to. Even with Soto playing poorly both in the field and at the plate (.182 batting average — 2 for 11, 1 RBI), he will need to show up Saturday for them to win.

Expect the less experienced pitcher (Falter) to have a tough time in this outing.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-130).

This is the BEST BET. Only 1 of the 3 NLCS games went Over 8.5 runs, and it won’t happy Saturday either.

So far in this series, the team that had the big inning has won the game. That should continue here. The Padres can’t let the home crowd get into the game. If it turns into a high-scoring affair with a lot of excitement on both ends — like Game 2, which the Padres won 8-4 — San Diego will lose.

The Philadelphia crowd will play a major role, but as long as the Padres can silence the home fans, Game 4 will stay UNDER 8.5 (-130).

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NLCS Game 3: San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies NLCS Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies continue their best-of-7 National League Championship Series Friday. First pitch for Game 3 at Citizens Bank Park is slated for 7:37 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

NLCS: tied 1-1
Regular-season series: Philadelphia won 4-3

San Diego bounced back from an opening-game setback with an 8-5 win in Game 2 Wednesday. The Padres had 13 hits — including 3 home runs — in piling up their most runs in a single home game since Aug. 10. The Friars now head on the road where they are 3-2 in the playoffs and 8-3 since Sept. 16.

The Phillies had a 3-game win streak snapped Wednesday to fall to 6-2 in the postseason. Philadelphia hurlers have compiled a 2.96 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over that stretch. The Phils ended the season on a long road trip and have only played 2 home games since Sept. 25. However, they are 16-5 at Citizens Bank Park dating back to Aug. 22.

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Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Musgrove logged 30 starts in the regular season. He went 10-7 with 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 over 181 IP.

  • Has allowed 2 R on 7 H and 4 BB with 13 K through 13 IP over 2 starts this postseason
  • Current Philadelphia bats own a whiff-heavy .613 OPS against him

Suarez logged a 10-7 record and a 3.65 ERA in 29 regular-season starts. He posted a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 155 1/3 IP.

  • Notched a 3.15 ERA in the 2nd half
  • Posted a 3.20 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road vs. 4.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home
  • Allowed 1 R on 3 H and 5 K over 3 1/3 IP at the Atlanta Braves Oct. 11 in his only start this postseason

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+145) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

Consider a line watch. The current tags are mostly dialed in but peg the Padres as being a tad overrated in this spot. Musgrove is gettable in the third time around, and neither bullpen inspires a ton of confidence.

Philadelphia looked great over the last few weeks and at home against the Braves in the NLDS. A Phillies +100 play would have some leverage to it.

PASS, but circle back later in the day.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: a lot of juice to work around here.

Over/Under

The Phillies have had some 2nd-half slumps against righties. However, those dry spells were without DH Bryce Harper, who has come on strong to slash a 419/.455/.936 (1.390 OPS) during these playoffs.

Both starting pitchers had some situational good fortune that tamped down their ERAs this season. Musgrove, for example, pitched through a .277 batting average on balls in play, a .238 BABIP in high-leverage situations and a .202 BABIP with runners in scoring position.

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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NLCS Game 2: Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres NLCS Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres continue their National League Championship Series Wednesday. First pitch in Game 2 at Petco Park is slated for 4:35 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Phillies lead 1-0; won regular-season series 4-3

The Phillies swept the St. Louis Cardinals 2-0 in their Wild Card Series and beat the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in their Division Series to reach the NLCS for the first time since 2010. Now, after a masterfully pitched Game 1, Philadelphia is 6-1 this postseason. The Phils — who logged a 3.98 ERA in the regular season — have authored a 2.18 ERA over their 7 playoff games.

The Padres were also a wild card entrant into these October brackets and they have already defeated 212 wins worth of regular-season dominance in their series triumphs over the New York Mets (2-1) and Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1). San Diego had scored 4.20 RPG in its previous 5 games, but the Friars were held to just 1 hit in Tuesday’s series lid-lifter. RHP Zack Wheeler and 2 Phillies relievers combined to put the Padres to sleep.

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Phillies at Padres projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Blake Snell

Nola went 11-13 with a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 across 205 IP in 32 starts in the regular season.

  • Had a 2.60 ERA, 0.90 WHIP in his last 5 starts of the regular season
  • Has yielded just 1 unearned run in 13 2/3 IP over 2 playoff games this fall
  • Allowed 1R on 7 hits and 2 BB (10K) in 7 IP at San Diego June 24

Snell made 24 regular-season starts, posting an 8-10 record with a 3.38 ERA. He logged a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 128 IP.

  • Has allowed 17 base runners but only 3R in 8 2/3 IP this postseason
  • Owns a 4.91 ERA in 4 career starts against the Phillies (2021-22)

Phillies at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-230) | Padres -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Phillies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

Figure the Padres as being slightly overrated by their performance in 1-run games (30-17 in the regular season) and by what their pitchers have done in the postseason. San Diego has pitched well (2.70 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), but it has also been the beneficiary of the Mets and Dodgers going a combined 9 of 57 (.158) with runners in scoring position.

The Philadelphia offense is at its best against left-handers and has gotten to Snell in past meetings.

BET PHILADELPHIA (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. There is too much juice and not enough leverage on the preferred Philly side.

Over/Under

The weather forecast calls for game temperatures in the high-80s. But an inward, pitcher’s-aid breeze is also in the forecast. Plus afternoon shadows could favor the men on the mound as well.

Nola and Snell profile as hurlers perhaps capable of even more than what shows in their surface lines. Both are backed by rested bullpens.

TAKE THE UNDER 6.5 (+105).

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NLCS Game 1: Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres NLCS Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres open their National League Championship Series Tuesday. First pitch in the contest at Petco Park is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Philadelphia won 4-3

Philadelphia made the postseason field as a wild card. The Phillies swept the St. Louis Cardinals 2-0 in their Wild Card Series and beat the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in their Division Series to reach the NLCS for the first time since 2010. Philadelphia — which logged a 3.98 ERA in the regular season — has posted a 2.55 ERA over its 6 playoff games.

The Padres were also a wild card entrant into these October brackets and they have already defeated 212 regular season’s worth of wins in their series triumphs over the New York Mets (2-1) and Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1). Friars hurlers have piled up 66 strikeouts while posting a 2.80 ERA over 61 playoff frames.

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Phillies at Padres projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Wheeler made 26 starts in the regular season, going 12-7 with a 2.82 ERA. He notched a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 153 IP.

  • Owns his same 2.82 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over his last 69 games (2020-22)
  • Logged a 3.84 ERA on the road in the regular season (1.85 ERA at home)
  • Has allowed 3 ER on 6 hits in 12 1/3 IP this postseason
  • Has held current San Diego bats to an aggregate .651 OPS in past meetings

Darvish went 16-8 with a 3.10 ERA across 30 regular-season starts. He logged a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 over 194 2/3 IP.

  • Has yielded 4 ER in 12 postseason innings this year, including 3 runs on 3 solo homers in his last start Wednesday at the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Has held current Philadelphia batters to an aggregate .601 OPS in his career
  • Logged a 2.60 ERA and 0.88 WHIP across 86 2/3 home innings in the regular season

Phillies at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-220) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

Figure the Padres as being a tad overrated by their performance in 1-run games (30-17 in the regular season) and by what their pitchers have done in the postseason. San Diego has pitched well, but it has also been the beneficiary of the Mets and Dodgers going a combined 9 of 57 (.158) with runners in scoring position.

Yu Darvish has benefited from a .250 batting average on balls in play this season. In his career, he has notched a pedestrian 4.60 ERA across 45 playoff innings.

BET PHILADELPHIA (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. There is too much juice and not enough leverage on the preferred Philly side.

Over/Under

Both starting pitchers are quite good, and the bullpens are rested. The weather report calls for an inward breeze, and the Under is the lean. But don’t be satisfied with paying into that action — look for a +100 return or better and PASS until that point.

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NLDS Game 4: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Saturday evening for Game 4 of their NL Division Series. First pitch from Petco Park is slated for 9:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Padres lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Dodgers won 14-5

NL West champion Los Angeles – winner of 111 regular-season games – took the NLDS opener but has dropped 2 games since. The Dodgers amassed 17 hits over the 2 setbacks, but they went a combined 0-for-17 with men in scoring position.

The Padres have received good pitching and timely hitting in taking the series lead. In their combined 6 playoff games – 3 NL Wild Card games vs. the New York Mets and 3 in NLDS here – the Friars have overcome a high whiff rate by banging out 9 home runs.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Anderson appeared in 30 regular-season games, making 28 starts. He went 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and logged a 1.00 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 across 178 2/3 IP.

  • Owns 2.05 ERA across last 5 starts vs. Padres
  • Last pitched on Oct. 2
  • Making 2nd career postseason start but 1st since 2018

Musgrove went 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 IP over 30 regular-season starts.

  • Tossed 7 one-hit, shutout innings against the Mets in NL Wild Card Series clincher Sunday
  • Allowed just 1 ER over last 5 starts, including 0 ER in last 3
  • Owns 3.38 ERA over last 5 starts vs. Dodgers

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+140) | Padres +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-120) are the lean, but the return for the risk makes the RL a stronger play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Anderson has pitched well before when on extended rest, and he’s backed by a fresher bullpen.

Look for the talent-superior Dodgers to shake off their clutch-hitting slump. BACK LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Dating back to the regular-season series between these clubs, the winning team has scored 5-or-more runs in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Mix in the batters’ familiarity with starters and relievers alike, a likely fatigued Padre ‘pen and some favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures for both starters, and the OVER 7.5 (-101) is a solid play.

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NLDS Game 3: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in Game 3 of an NL Division Series at Petco Park Friday. First pitch of the best-of-5 series is scheduled for 8:37 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1

The Dodgers won 14 of the 19 regular-season meetings, but the Padres don’t care about that. San Diego went to Dodger Stadium, a place it traditionally hasn’t played well, and gained the split to seize home-field advantage in this NLDS.

The Dodgers won Game 1 by a 5-3 count, and the Padres returned the favor in Game 2 by an identical score. The Over cashed last time out after a push at most shops in the series opener.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. LHP Blake Snell

Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14 ERA) had a 0.87 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 130 1/3 IP in 24 regular-season starts.

  • Is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA with a .187 opponent batting average with 64 K across 64 1/3 IP in 12 road outings
  • Went 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA with 14 K and a .156 opponent BA across 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts against San Diego this season

Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) made 24 regular-season starts. He had a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 128 IP.

  • Was a dismal 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA with 108 K across 81 IP in 15 home outings
  • Managed an 0-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 10 BB with 23 K across 14 IP in 3 starts vs. L.A. Dodgers this season

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Padres 1

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-125) coughed up home-field advantage in Game 2, but it will wrestle it right back after Gonsolin pitches them back ahead in the series.

The right-hander has been untouchable, and he dominated the Padres (+102) this season, while Snell didn’t do very well at home. L.A. moves back ahead here.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+135) is worth playing lightly. Each team has won by a 5-3 score in the first 2 games in this series, so why get away from what has been working. Los Angeles has won 5 of the last 7 meetings dating back to the regular season, and it has won all but 1 of those games by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-130) is a strong play with Gonsolin on the hill. The only concern is whether or not Snell can put it together and hold the Dodgers offense somewhat in check. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings, although, again, the Over is 1-0-1 in this NLDS so far.

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