British Open: Rory McIlroy lacks sharpness in shooting pair of 70s, saying it’s close but not close enough

“It’s felt close, but it just hasn’t quite been close enough,” he said of the state of his game. “Just got to keep working on it and persist with it and keep my head down and keep going.”

Rory McIlroy’s game remains a work in progress.

The Northern Irishman finished with a birdie at 18 on Thursday to shoot even-par 70 in more difficult afternoon conditions and hoped to build on that momentum. But he opened his second round at Royal St. George’s in Sandwich, England, with two bogeys en route to shooting 70 again and enters the weekend at least nine strokes behind the leader at the midway point of the 149th British Open.

“Two bogeys in the first two holes sort of put me behind the 8-ball a little bit,” McIlroy said.

“It’s felt close, but it just hasn’t quite been close enough,” he added of the current state of his game. “Just got to keep working on it and persist with it and keep my head down and keep going.”

McIlroy battled back after the inauspicious start with birdies at Nos. 4, 9 and 12 to get into red figures, but made two late bogeys to spoil his slow climb up the leaderboard.

“Then a mental error on 16, trying to get too close with my tee shot. I hit a club that was barely going to get over the bunker if I hit it exactly right, it just didn’t quite cover,” he explained. “It sort of tempted me into trying to hit a really hard sand wedge and didn’t get that up-and-down.”

He compounded his error  by missing a short par putt at 17, but lessened the blow by finishing with a birdie for the second day.

“It was nice to birdie 18 and at least make sure that I’m here for the weekend because I think at 1 over I would have been sweating a little bit,” he said.

Rory McIlroy, British Open
Northern Ireland’s Rory McIlroy walks from the 8th tee during his first round on day one of The 149th British Open Golf Championship at Royal St George’s, Sandwich, England. (Photo by ANDY BUCHANAN)

Unless McIlroy makes a remarkable weekend charge, he will head to the Masters in April without a major title since the 2014 PGA Championship, a span of seven years. Asked if he was trying too hard to break his dry spell, he said, “Not at all. I’ve got four of them. Geez, look, I’ve got – I’m the luckiest guy in the world. I get to do what I love for a living. I have a beautiful family. My life is absolutely perfect at the minute. I want for nothing, so it’s not a case of trying too hard, for sure.”

But McIlroy also made clear that this isn’t a case of complacency either.

“It’s tough to be here and just say I’m glad to be here for the weekend, but the position I find myself in on the 18th tee, that’s the reality,” he said.

McIlroy, the Champion Golfer of the Year in 2014, lost his World No. 1 ranking last year and has slipped back to No. 11 in the world. He began working with instructor Pete Cowen ahead of the Masters in April and won the Wells Fargo Championship in May, but it hasn’t translated into major glory: missed cut at the Masters, T-49 at the PGA, T-7 at the U.S. Open. He’s dug himself a big hole at Royal St. George’s.

“If I was really on my game and sharp with how I’ve played the last two days, I probably could have been 6- or 7-under,” he said. “But it’s just not – it’s close, it’s just not close enough.”

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How to bet Rory McIlroy at The Players Championship: Outright odds & props

Looking at Rory McIlroy’s chances of success at the 2020 Players Championship, including PGA Tour betting options within the tournament.

Rory McIlroy looks to defend his title at the 2020 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass as the No. 1 golfer in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. McIlroy is the No. 1 betting favorite among the 144-man field at BetMGM this week. Below, we look at McIlroy’s outright and prop betting odds and look for the best value plays for the world’s top golfer at The Players Championship.

Rory McIlroy’s history at TPC Sawgrass

McIlroy ranks 11th in this week’s field in average strokes gained per round at TPC Sawgrass among those with at least 10 rounds played, according to Data Golf. He has gained 1.68 strokes per round across 32 career rounds on the Stadium Course. Last year, he led the field with 3.32 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round while ranking third in SG: Off the Tee.

Last year’s victory followed a missed cut at the 2018 Players Championship. He previously finished T-8 in 2015, T-12 in 2016 and T-35 in 2017. His finishing score of 16-under par last year matched the second-lowest four-round score of the last decade.

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Rory McIlroy’s key stats for The Players Championship

Based on historical tournament data from Fantasy National, my key stats for the week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Greens in Regulation Gained
  • Proximity from 125-150 Yards

McIlroy leads my stat model, which measures the last 36 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards. While he’s one of the longest hitters on Tour, much of his career success has come on these shorter tracks.

He’s second in the field in SG: Ball Striking, third in Opportunities Gained and fourth in SG: Around the Green. Each of the last 11 champions at TPC Sawgrass finished 10-under par or below, and nine of his 16 PGA Tour rounds in 2020 have been scored in the 60s.

Rory has been struggling with his putter of late, preventing him from reaching the winner’s circle, but he gained a total of just 0.7 strokes putting last year and needs to be little more than average with the flat stick at this venue. He putts best on the Bermuda greens featured here.

Outright odds for The Players Championship

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12 p.m. ET.

As noted above, McIlroy is the No. 1 favorite to win the 2020 Players Championship at +700. He enters this week with seven consecutive top-five finishes with his first win of the 2019-20 PGA Tour season coming at the WGC-HSBC Champions in November. He has racked up three straight fifth-place results, nearly mirroring his form entering last year’s tournament:

EVENT 2019 2020
Farmers Insurance Open T-5 T-3
Genesis Open/Invitational T-4 T-5
WGC-Mexico Championship 2 5
Arnold Palmer Invitational T-6 T-5
The Players 1 ?

Rory is a very chalky golf bet as the No. 1 favorite in the field and the only player priced lower than +1200, but he has enjoyed a similar build-up as last year, and he already has his first win of the season under his belt. He’s worth a multi-unit wager in his quest to repeat.

Best Props on Rory McIlroy to win The Players Championship


Looking to place a bet on Rory McIlroy or this tournament? Get some action on it at BetMGMSign up and bet at BetMGM now!


Who’ll finish in the Top 10? (+100)

Even money for a top-10 result is an easy choice, as the odds for a top-5 finish are just +190. McIlroy hasn’t finished outside the top-10 in a PGA Tour event since his T-19 showing at last year’s BMW PGA Championship one week prior to his victory at the Tour Championship.

Lowest Score Over 72 Holes – Group A (+160)

PASS on this prop bet. If Rory is not going to win this week, it’s likely the winner will come from this group including Jon Rahm (+300), Justin Thomas (+400), Tommy Fleetwood (+700) and Bryson DeChambeau (+600). Take his more profitable outright odds, instead.

Top European Player (+225)

While Rory faces tough competition from Rahm (+350) and Fleetwood (+700) in this group, it does weed out the strong American contingent playing this week. It’s a good hedge against the outright bet.

Get some action on The Players Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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