Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (73-72) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (71-76) to Busch Stadium Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 7-5

The Reds beat the Cardinals 3-0 Tuesday to kick off the series and lost 2-1 in the 2nd game Wednesday.

Cincinnati has won 3 of its last 4 games and 7 of its last 10. It has played well on the road with a 35-37 away record. The Reds are 82-65 against the spread (ATS).

The Cardinals are 6-4 over their last 10 games, yet just 2-3 over their last 5, dropping 2 of 3 in their prior series with the Seattle Marines. They have struggled offensively, tallying just 9 runs over their last 5 games. St. Louis is 38-35 at home and 72-73 ATS.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Jakob Junis vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Junis (4-0, 2.82 ERA) makes his 4th start and 22nd appearance. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 51 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-0 road loss to the New York Mets Saturday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-0, 3.55 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 11 appearances (1 start)
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 2.48 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 9 appearances (5 starts)

Gray (12-9, 3.84 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 154 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 road win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Sept. 4
  • 2024 home stats: 8-5, 2.63 ERA (82 IP, 24 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-3, 5.82 ERA (17 IP, 11 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Cardinals -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Cardinals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Cardinals are too great of a favorite to play on the moneyline while the Reds have been too inconsistent this season to take as an underdog.

Avoid this play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-145).

The Reds are the best-covering team in the majors on the road. They are 47-25 ATS in away games. St. Louis is 35-37 ATS at home, which is also in the top half of the league.

The Cardinals have had 2 of their last 6 games end within 1 run. They haven’t scored well enough as of late, producing 4 or fewer runs in 6 straight games, to assume they can pull ahead by a significant margin here. The Reds have won 3 of their last 4 games with 2 of those having been 1-run games.

Expect a close battle and take REDS +1.5 (-145).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Reds have gone Under in 5 straight games, including Junis’ last start. They have scored 8 runs in those 5 games, so they clearly aren’t getting on base with any consistency.

The Cardinals are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games and 1-4-1 O/U in their last 6. St. Louis is 68-72-5 O/U on the season. Given both teams struggles offensively, take UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (71-75) and St. Louis Cardinals (72-72) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 7-4

The Reds won their 3rd straight with a 3-0 shutout Tuesday. SS Elly De La Cruz went 1-for-3 with 2 walks and 2 steals, CF TJ Friedl had 2 RBIs and 5 pitchers combined to keep the Cardinals off the board. Cincinnati is 7-3 over its last 10 games and has won 5 of its last 6 against St. Louis, including 4 in a row.

Tuesday’s game really sums up the Cardinals’ season. They had 8 hits and 2 walks and did not score a single run. They loaded the bases in the 9th inning with no outs but didn’t score, not even putting the ball in play as they struck out 3 times in a row to end the game. Entering Wednesday, they’re 6½ games out of a Wild Card spot with 18 games to go.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Brandon Williamson vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Williamson (0-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start (3rd appearance) of 2024. He has a 0.63 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 8 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 relief IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 6-4 loss in 10 innings at New York Mets Friday
  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home loss in 11 innings vs. Milwaukee Brewers Sept. 1
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 1-0, 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 6 BB, 5 K in 2 starts

Lynn (6-4, 4.06 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 106 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 8-1 home victory vs. Texas Rangers July 30
  • First start since July 30; was on IL with knee injury
  • 2024 vs. Reds: 1-1, 0.75 ERA (12 IP, 1 ER, 3 R) 7 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 2 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Reds: 4-1, 2.73 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 26 K
  • Career vs. Reds: 13-5, 3.05 ERA (129 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 24 games (21 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 3:57 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Cardinals -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

The Reds have the Cards’ number. They know that all they have to do is get on 1st base and they’ll likely get to 2nd. They stole 3 bags Tuesday but did get thrown out once — they’re 2nd in the majors in SBs with 194; Washington is 1st with 198. TAKE CINCINNATI (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID an RL play since we’re backing the Reds’ ML.

However, he’s a prop bet for you. We nailed this Tuesday in the 1st inning, and we’re going back to the well. BET ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 STOLEN BASES (+115).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 87 degrees, with low humidity, and a 6-mph wind blowing in from right-center. I expect this to be close, but I don’t respect the Cardinals offense enough to cash an Over despite the salivating odds.

TAKE UNDER 8 (-110).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (70-75) and St. Louis Cardinals (72-71) open up a 3-game series Tuesday at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 6-4

The Reds come to town having won 2 in a row and 6 of 8. They had a quick, 1-game stop in Atlanta Monday and took down the Atlanta Braves 1-0. RHP Nick Martinez tossed 7 shutout frames, allowing just 2 hits with 5 K’s. A cause for concern is SS Elly De La Cruz is 6-for-30 (.200) with 15 K’s this month.

The Cards got worked by the Seattle Mariners, dropping 2 of 3 at home, including a 10-4 yawnfest Sunday. RHP Miles Mikolas gave up 7 runs before most of the sparse crowd made it to their seats, and they never had a chance. They’re now 6½ out of a Wild Card spot.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Rhett Lowder vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Lowder (0-1, 0.87 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 7.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K Thursday
  • Has never faced Cardinals
  • Throws a 4-seamer (93.8 mph avg. velo), a sinker, slider and changeup

Pallante (6-7, 4.07 ERA) makes his 17th start (26th appearance). He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 3 K against Milwaukee Brewers Sept. 2
  • Stats as a starter: 6-6, 3.81 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 6.7 K/9
  • 4 career starts vs. Reds: 4-0, 1.25 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 18 K in 21 2/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-200) | Cardinals -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Pallante has been the team’s best starter over the last couple of months, and he has been great against the Reds. He has tossed 11 1/3 shutout IP with 9 K’s in 2 starts this year. The Cards don’t hit guys without much tape, like Lowder, but he doesn’t have the swing-and-miss stuff and walks too many.

Take the CARDINALS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

The Cards have been hot garbage at throwing out attempted base stealers. C Ivan Herrera has thrown out 4 of 51 potential base stealers (7.3%), and C Pedro Pages has clipped 10 of 47 would-be thieves (17.5%).

If De La Cruz gets on first, he’s gone. Take a chance on ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 STOLEN BASES (+110).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 85 degrees with a 6-mph breeze blowing from right to left field. The Under is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. The Reds are 4-6 O/U in their last 10, and the Cards are 6-3-1.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-110).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (39-44) and St. Louis Cardinals (42-40) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Cincinnati beat St. Louis 9-4 Saturday, cashing as a +176 road underdog. RHP Carson Spiers came away with the win, allowing 1 ER on 3 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s in 6 IP. The Reds are 2-1 in their last 3 games.

St. Louis moved to 1-2 in its last 3 outings with Saturday’s loss. The Cardinals have allowed 9 or more runs in 2 of 3 games against the Reds in this series (both losses).

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Greene (5-3, 3.79 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 92 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-5 home defeat vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-3, 3.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 7 starts

Lynn (3-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home victory over Atlanta Braves Monday
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 12-5, 3.20 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 across 20 starts and 3 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Cardinals -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+138) | Cardinals +1.5 (-166)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-102).

St. Louis enters as the slightly hotter team at 6-3 in its last 9 home games, while the Reds are only 5-5 in their last 10 overall. The Cardinals have also not taken back-to-back home losses since the beginning of May, when they lost 2 straight vs. the New York Mets.

This is only a lean because they’ve split the last 10 meetings 5-5 and are evenly matched, so a moneyline bet always comes with some risk.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect St. Louis to cover here as a +1.5 (-166) home underdog, but the line is too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 6 of St. Louis’ last 9 home games and is 5-2 in Cincinnati’s last 7 overall. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams in St. Louis.

Be aware that the Under is 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (38-43) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (41-39) Friday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Reds smoked the Cardinals with an 11-4 victory Thursday. They scored in each of the first 5 innings as Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas allowed a career-high 10 runs, 9 of them earned. Reds SS Elly De La Cruz had 3 hits, and 2B Jonathan India extended his hitting streak to 9 games with his 6th consecutive multi-hit performance as the Reds snapped a 2-game slide.

Reds SP Andrew Abbott wasn’t great, walking 6, but he only gave up 2 hits and received enough run support to earn the win as he managed to allow just 2 earned runs in 5 innings.

The Cardinals, who lost Wednesday vs. the Atlanta Braves, have won 5 of 7. They finished with 7 hits Thursday and added 2 garbage-time runs in the 8th inning. A good sign for St. Louis was 3B Nolan Arenado went yard for the first time since June 5.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Montas (3-5, 4.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 66 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (9 IP, 9 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 7.0 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 vs. Cardinals: 1 start, loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-3 home setback May 29

Pallante (3-3, 5.23 ERA) makes his 6th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 32 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-Win, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-5 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants June 20
  • Starter/reliever splits: As a starter — 3-2, 4.76 ERA (22 IP 2/3, 12 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 5 outings vs. as a reliever — 0-1, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 9 appearances
  • Career vs. Reds: 4-0, 1.55 ERA (29 IP, 5 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 13 games (3 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Reds: 1 start, win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road victory May 29

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 5

Moneyline

Pallante has been a bit better as a starter, but that’s not exactly hard to do. He’s the kind of pitcher that would be successful if you time machined him back to the 90’s. He touches 95 and is a groundball specialist, but the league feasts on that nowadays. The Cards will have to score 6 or more in order to take this one.

Fortunately for them, the weather conditions (see below), and the opposing starter are conducive for that. In his last 3 starts, Montas has allowed 9 ERs in 12 1/3 innings (6.57 ERA).

Run line/Against the spread

The Cards are 23-16 on the RL at home this season, 2nd-best record in the majors — behind the Kansas City Royals (25-18), per teamrankings.com. Each of the 4 games between the Reds and Cardinals this season have been decided by 2+ runs.

I prefer the CARDINALS -1.5 (+150) over the ML. If the ML were closer to +100, I’d lean that way, but I absolutely don’t think -130 is a wise move on the ML. I give the RL as good of a chance of an outright win, so let’s take the value.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 87 degrees with a 9-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. The Over cruised to a cash Thursday, and while the Under hit in all 3 head-to-head meetings Cincinnati in May, the totals were 9+. The Cards are 7-3 O/U over their last 10.

It’s hot and humid, with a breeze blowing out. I like OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (37-43) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (41-38) on Thursday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling 6-1 against Pittsburgh on Wednesday and failing to cover as a -132 home favorite. Held to just 4 hits, 2B Jonathan India was the only Reds player to have a RBI while RHP Graham Ashcraft allowed 6 ER in 5 1/3 innings to take the loss.

The Cardinals got back in the win column on Wednesday after winning the 2nd half of a doubleheader 4-1 against the Braves and covering as home underdogs. They lost the 1st game 6-2. RF Alec Burleson led the way on offense with 2 RBIs while LHP Matthew Liberatore allowed 0 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Abbott (6-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.76 BB/9 and 7.44 K/9 in 84 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 5-2 win against Boston Red Sox Friday.
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 1-2, 6.89 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
  • Gave up 6 ER on 7 H in May 28 loss to Cardinals

Mikolas (6-6, 4.68 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.69 BB/9 and 6.68 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-4 win against San Francisco Giants Saturday.
  • Career vs. Reds: 5-7, 5.26 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 60 ER), 105 H, 23 BB, 72 K in 18 starts; last outing in 2023.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET CARDINALS (-135).

St. Louis is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has won 5 of its last 6. It took 2 of 3 from Atlanta and swept San Francisco, both at home. The Reds have lost 7 of their last 10 games, including back-to-back games and 4 of their last 5, and have also dropped each of their last 4 series.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games and in 2 of 3 of St. Louis’. Cincinnati has scored 4 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games while holding opponents to 4 or fewer in 5 of its last 9 games. St. Louis has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 10 games including each of its last 3 while allowing 4 or fewer in 4 of its last 5.

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Cincinnati Reds (82-78) and St. Louis Cardinals (69-91) clash Saturday as they continue a 3-game, final-weekend series. First pitch at Busch Stadium is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 6-5

The Reds entered the final weekend 1 1/2 games behind the Miami Marlins for the final slot in the NL Senior Circuit brackets. Both teams won Friday (Cincinnati pounded St. Louis 19-2), so the Reds need to gain ground on Saturday or their October hopes will be dashed.

The scuffling Cardinals have scored just 4 runs over their last 3 games. They have averaged just 2.33 runs per game on a .586 OPS since Sept. 13. St. Louis is 11-20 across its last 31 games at Busch Stadium.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Connor Phillips vs. LHP Drew Rom

Phillips (1-0, 5.66 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 20 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 13-12 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
  • A 22-year-old rookie who made his Major League debut Sept. 5; clocked a 3.77 ERA across 105 combined innings at Double-A and Triple-A this season

Rom (1-4, 7.98 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has logged a 2.05 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 12-2 loss at San Diego Padres Sunday
  • A 23-year-old rookie who made his MLB debut Aug. 21; posted a 4.82 ERA in 97 IP at Triple-A this season
  • Has yielded 11 R over his last 6 2/3 IP
  • Faced the Reds on Sept. 8, allowing 9 base runners and 4 R (including 2 HR) in 3 2/3 IP

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Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

St. Louis has the edge in team analysis (based on value, clearly, and not talent), but there are some good things in Phillips’ line. However, the Cardinals are just stumbling to the finish line, phased out partly, handing out charity/tip-of-the-cap at-bats to pitchers, etc. They are a no-bet proposition at least until their first tee times next week.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest: PASS.

Over/Under

Both teams yield more than 5 runs per game. Cincinnati was feeling it yesterday and today draws a rookie they pounded a few weeks back.

On a warmed-up day in St. Louis, BACK THE OVER 9 (-115).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Cincinnati Reds (81-78) and St. Louis Cardinals (69-90) clash Friday in the opener of a 3-game, final-weekend series. First pitch at Busch Stadium is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 5-5

Cincinnati had a big June and July, going a combined 33-22. Things slipped in August, but the Reds have rallied. After the club defeated the New York Mets Sept. 16, it was 6 games over-.500 (78-72) and tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the 3rd-and-final NL Wild Card berth. However, the Reds have gone just 3-6 since and they head into the final weekend 1 1/2 games behind the Miami Marlins for the final slot in the Senior Circuit brackets.

The limping-to-the-finish-line Cardinals were shut out by the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday and have averaged just 2.36 runs per game on a .588 OPS since Sept. 13. St. Louis is 11-19 across its last 30 games at Busch Stadium.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Brandon Williamson vs. RHP Jake Woodford

Williamson (4-5, 4.54 ERA) is lined up for his 23rd start. He’s posted a 1.29 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 111 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
  • 2023 Road stats: 2-3, 4.85 ERA in 55 2/3 IP across 12 starts
  • Allowed 4 R (3 ER) over 4 1/3 IP when he faced the Redbirds May 23 in his only career start against them

Woodford (2-2, 5.09 ERA) makes his 8th start and 15th appearance. He has registered a 1.65 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-2 win at San Diego Padres Saturday
  • Hadn’t started since April due to shoulder injuries, trips to the minors and pitching out of the bullpen
  • 2023 Home stats: 2-1, 5.20 ERA in 27 2/3 IP across 3 starts and 6 relief appearances
  • Allowed 3 R on 7 H and 2 BB in 5 IP in his only other career start against the Reds (2021)
  • Owns a 3.98 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 79 career games

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Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

Overall team numbers peg Cincinnati as being overcooked and St. Louis as being a value, but wagering that value in the middle is something that’s dependent on the pitching match-up. Friday’s mound meeting — with a recently injured Woodford and a suspect Redbird bullpen — does not leverage anything for St. Louis.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest: PASS.

Over/Under

The St. Louis bullpen owns a top-10 ERA this month (3.71 ERA) but that’s a figure tamped down by a .253 BABIP. The Cincy ‘pen is under a fatigue caution flag after being overused in the Reds series at Atlanta.

Both teams yield more than 5 runs per game. BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-38) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (30-35) to Busch Stadium Sunday. First pitch in the finale of the 3-game series is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

After a 5-game win streak, the Reds have cooled off and have won just 4 of their last 10 games and are 13-17 on the road this season. The Reds won Saturday 8-4 after losing 7-4 on Friday.

The Cardinals are 13-17 at home and have struggled immensely of late, losing 6 of their last 8 games. They are in last place in the NL Central.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Adam Wainwright

Greene (1-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 62 innings.

  • Has been significantly better at limiting HRs this season, just 1.2 per 9 IO vs. 1.7 per 9 he allowed last season
  • The Reds are just 3-9 with Greene starting this season
  • Has allowed just 1 ER over his last 2 starts, pitching 6 innings in each

Wainwright (2-1, 5.97 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

  • The Cardinals are 3-3 with Wainwright on the mound this season
  • Has given up at least 3 ER in 5 of 6 starts

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (+115).

Greene has been starting to find his stride over his last few starts. Since baseball’s top prospect, SS Elly De La Cruz, joined the lineup the Reds have been averaging 5 runs per game.

As for the Cardinals, this is a position they have performed poorly in. St. Louis is 9-13 as a home favorite this season, and with the struggling, aging Wainwright, backing the road side makes sense.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds for both sides of the run line don’t pose much value. The Reds are too pricey to be backed at +1.5 (-175), and the Cardinals, having lost Saturday, aren’t playing well enough to make their -1.5 (+145) good value.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

The Reds are 37-28 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games. While Greene has pitched better as of late, he has allowed 4 ER in 3 of his last 6 starts.

The Cardinals have gone Over in 2 straight games. They are 18-11-1 O/U at home this season. Back the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (57-86) and St. Louis Cardinals (84-60) continue a 5-game series Friday. The contest at Busch Stadium is slated to begin at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 9-6

Cincinnati went into this series having lost 6 games in a row and logging a 5.54 ERA along the way. But the Reds prevailed 3-2 in Thursday’s game at Busch. Cincy got by despite going 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position. The Reds are just 2-for-their-last-19 in that department.

The Cardinals had scored 4-or-more runs in 7 of their 8 previous games heading into Thursday.  The 3-2 setback marked just the 6th home loss St. Louis has endured since the All-Star break.

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Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Fernando Cruz vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

The 32-year-old rookie Cruz (0-0, 1.42 ERA) will make his 2nd career start in his 7th MLB appearance – expect this to be “opener” start. He’s pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing 1 run on 2 hits and 4 walks with 7 K’s.

  • Last outing: 1 2/3 hitless, scoreless innings with 0 BB and 0 K as an opener Tuesday in the 2nd game of a home doubleheader vs. Pittsburgh
  • Hasn’t allowed a run in last 4 1/3 IP over 4 appearances

Flaherty (0-1, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start of the season. He has a 1.89 WHIP, 7.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

  • Has had 2 stays on the IL this season die to shoulder problems
  • Owns a 2.75 ERA over his last 72 IP at home (2020-present)

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Cardinals -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+105) | Cardinals -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Reds 3

Money line

AVOID.

The sizable juice here is obscuring the true odds — and any profit potential — on both sides.

Run line/Against the spread

Thursday’s opener aside, both clubs tend to play in fewer 1-run games than average.

St. Louis is 6-2 over its last 8 home games against the Reds. Cincinnati’s .649 road OPS ranks 25th in the league.

Peg the Redbirds as being a slight lean here. TAKE ST. LOUIS -1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

The Under is 5-1 across the last 6 Cincinnati-St. Louis meetings. Both clubs have some real-vs.-expected batting numbers and quality-of-contact stats that point to both offenses being a bit too far over their skis.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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