The Detroit Red Wings (7-17-3) visit the Philadelphia Flyers (13-7-5) Friday at Wells Fargo Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. We analyze the Red Wings-Flyers sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Red Wings at Flyers: Projected starting goalies
Jonathan Bernier vs. Carter Hart
Bernier has been in net for three straight losses for the Red Wings. He is 5-6-2 through 13 starts and three relief appearances this season with an .893 save percentage and a 3.32 goals against average.
Hart is 7-5-3 through 15 starts and a relief appearance to start his sophomore campaign. He has a .900 SV% and a 2.54 GAA.
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Red Wings at Flyers: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Flyers 5, Red Wings 1
Moneyline (ML)
The Flyers are prohibitive home favorites at -286. They’re the much better team in every area of the ice and have won two straight games entering the home contest against a Red Wings squad mired in a seven-game losing streak. Philadelphia is 7-1-4 on home ice while Detroit is just 3-9-2 on the road.
Philly wins this rather handily, but our value will lie on the spread with a $10 moneyline bet returning a profit of just $3.50. It’s too much chalk to eat the day after Thanksgiving.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Get plus-money with the FLYERS (-1.5, +100) to win by two or more goals. The Red Wings are 12-15 against the puck line and 7-7 on the road, and the Flyers are 14-11 overall and 7-5 at home. Each of the Red Wings’ last three losses were by margins of at least two goals, including Bernier’s last start Saturday, Nov. 23.
Six of Philly’s 13 wins on the season were decided by at least two goals and it outshoots the opposition by 4.6 shots on goal per game.
Over/Under (O/U)
The lean is to the OVER 5.5 (-143). The Red Wings have topped the goal projection in just four of their last 10 games while the Flyers have done so in only three of their last 10, but Philly will take care of the bulk of the scoring against Bernier. A late goal by the Red Wings will send this over the number.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 86-78
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