Tag: Red Sox Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (12-11) and Baltimore Orioles (14-7) swing into a 3-game AL East series in Charm City. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1

Boston is continuing a road trip that opened with 3 games in Milwaukee over the weekend.  The Red Sox took 2 of 3 from the Brewers and are 7-3 across their last 10 games.

The Orioles (5.14 runs per game) and Red Sox (5.47) both rank in the league’s top 10 in scoring. However, Baltimore has leaned on its pitching lately and has won 6 straight games, compiling a 1.15 ERA along the way.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Sale (1-1, 8.00 ERA) is making his 5th start. He owns a 1.67 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 15.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

  • Current Baltimore bats own an aggregate .798 OPS — including 7 home runs — against him
  • Faced the Orioles April 1 and allowed 7 runs (3 HR) in 3 IP
  • Coming off his best start of 2023: 1R with 11 K in 6 IP vs. the Minnesota Twins Tuesday
  • Has been dinged by a .381 batting average on balls in play

Kremer (1-0, 6.16 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 19 IP.

  • Current Boston bats own an aggregate .963 OPS against him
  • Logged a 2.84 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 10 starts and 1 relief appearance at home last season
  • Has been hurt by a 19.2% rate of fly balls landing as home runs

Red Sox at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Orioles -104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+146) | Orioles +1.5 (-176)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The Orioles’ runs and runs-allowed numbers are fade-worthy on both ends. Those figures do not hold up to analytics scrutiny.

Figure the Boston bullpen numbers (4.59 ERA, 1.1 HR/9) as due for some rebound. Red Sox relievers do a decent job getting ground balls but they’ve been hurt by a high rate of flies tagged as homers and by a low left-on-base rate.

Sale is coming off a good start. His Red Sox have faced a tougher collection of batters and pitchers — not just strength of schedule by wins and losses — than the Orioles.

BACK BOSTON (-112).

Run Line/Against the spread

The run line on the Sox is enticing, but a low total is in play. There is a tad too much risk a potential Boston win would fall into 3-2, 4-3 or 5-4 territory.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Mostly some Under pressure from some unsupportable iffy pitching numbers and a too-far-over-its-skis Baltimore offense. Would’ve hoped for an 8 or 8.5 as the total.

PASS.

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (67-72) and Baltimore Orioles (73-65) play the second game of a 3-game set Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 8-5

The Red Sox gave up 3 runs in the 6th inning in a 3-2 loss at the Orioles Friday. Boston RHP Brayan Bello threw 5 innings of no-run baseball for the 2nd straight start before his fortunes turned. He ultimately allowed 3 ER on 3 H and 4 BB with 7 K in 5 1/3 IP. The Red Sox have lost 4 straight games.

The Orioles capitalized off of Baltimore SS Gunnar Henderson hitting a bases-loaded single in the 6th inning in the series-opening victory. Baltimore had lost 3 of 4 games vs. the Toronto Blue Jays in its previous series, but the victory pulled it within 4 games of the final AL wild-card spot.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Wacha (10-1, 2.58 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 101 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision at Tampa Bay Rays allowing 2 ER on 7 H and 0 BB with 7 K in 6 IP Monday
  • Won his last 7 decisions
  • Last start at Orioles: Allowed 0 R on 4 H and 1 BB with 4 K through 5 2/3 IP in a win August 20

Lyles (10-9, 4.25 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 152 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Allowed 0 R on 4 H and 3 BB with 2 K through 6 2/3 IP in a win at the Cleveland Guardians August 31
  • Won 6 of his last 8 decisions
  • In 3 starts vs. Boston this season: 1-0 with a 5.02 ERA through 14 1/3 IP

Red Sox at Orioles odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+145) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Orioles 3

Money line

It’s time to buy low and sell high.

The Red Sox are not as bad as they have appeared in the last 4 games. Boston is 4-0 in Wacha’s last 4 starts following a loss in its previous game. The Red Sox should bounce back vs. an inconsistent Orioles team.

BET RED SOX ML (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Giving up a 2-run lead late to the Orioles Friday should be embarrassing for the Red Sox. Expect an extra-focused Boston team to come out and try to win by margin.

BET RED SOX -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Friday’s low-scoring affair probably won’t be duplicated. Lyles has struggled to contain Boston’s offense this season and Boston’s extra motivation to not lose 5 straight games should make it even more difficult.

BET OVER 8.5 (-102).

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (60-61) and Baltimore Orioles (62-58) meet Sunday night at 7:10 p.m. ET in a special game — the Little League Classic — at Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pa. (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 6-5

The Red Sox are just 18-30 since June 27. Included in that stretch is a 9-16 mark in road games. Boston has been better against lefty starters; against right-handed starters the Red Sox are just 43-51.

The Orioles are a solid 16-12 since the All-Star break. Baltimore has not won a season series from Boston since 2017.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Pivetta (9-9, 4.28 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 136 2/3 IP.

  • Facing a lefty-heavy Baltimore lineup: has yielded a .755 OPS against left-handed bats
  • Owns a 5.94 ERA in his last 7 starts

Kremer (5-4, 3.58 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP.

  • Struggled against Boston 2 starts back. The Red Sox own a high-contact .743 OPS in their last 7 games away from home
  • Has been hurt by a .324 batting average on balls in play

Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | Orioles +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 4

Money line

Kremer is a fly-ball pitcher who is likely too far out over his skies with a home runs/fly balls rate of 7.8%. And the Orioles hurler has been yielding more frequent hard contact of late.

Boston is the lean, but only an actionable play at -115 or better. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Sox by with a multi-run cushion.

Take Boston -1.5 since the price has reached +140.

Over/Under

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120). We’re fading Kremer and both bullpens here.

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (59-61) and Baltimore Orioles (62-57) meet Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 6-4

The Red Sox lost a slugfest of a series opener, falling 15-10 Friday. Boston has now coughed up 23 runs over its last 2 games, and eyebrows are raised because the club has yielded runs in bunches too many times this season. Just recently, the Sox have had 2 such stretches: they allowed 7.3 runs per game from Aug. 3-9 and 10.4 RPG from July 16-27.

Baltimore had scored just 2.83 runs per game — while batting .179/.249/.267 (.516 OPS) over its 12 games before Friday’s 15-run outburst. The Orioles are a solid 16-11 since the All-Star break.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Wacha (7-1, 2.44 ERA) has logged a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 77 1/3 IP and 14 starts.

  • Tossed 7 shutout frames against the New York Yankees Sunday and owns a 2.13 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Baltimore lineup; has yielded an .477 OPS vs. left-handed bats in 2022 and a .662 OPS against them in his career

Bradish (1-4, 6.38 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 66 1/3 IP.

  • Has notched a 4.05 ERA over his last 4 starts
  • Has allowed 9 runs (8 earned) over 7 2/3 IP against Boston this season

Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+130) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 4

Money line

Baltimore is a solid team at home (34-22), but Boston has been decent on the road (30-31), and the Red Sox had some positive momentum going before Friday

Bradish is a 25-year-old rookie that has been running into a lot of hard contact. He’s coming off 96 pitches in his last effort. After 5 previous 90-plus games, he has allowed 24 ER in 20 IP.

BACK BOSTON (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Crimson Hose by with a multi-run cushion.

PASS on the current tag, but take Boston -1.5 should the price reach +140.

Over/Under

Peg Wacha as being overrated by a .234 batting average on balls in play. Some double-barrel mound trouble would not be a surprise in this one.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110) on what figures as a 90-degree day with a batter’s breeze bowing out to left-center.

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (59-60) and Baltimore Orioles (61-57) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 3-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 5-4

The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 4 and 5 of their last 7. A scuffling Boston bullpen has been markedly better over that last week or so. The club’s season bullpen ERA (4.41) ranks 26th in MLB.

The Orioles have run into some scoring woes in going 2-4 in their last 6 games. Baltimore has scored just 2.83 runs per game — while batting .179/.249/.267 (.516 OPS) over those last half-dozen contests.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Crawford (3-4, 4.18 ERA) has appeared in 18 games, making 9 starts. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.63 ERA in his last 7 starts
  • Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Baltimore lineup; has yielded an .857 OPS vs. left-handed bats (.566 vs/ righty bats)

Lyles (9-9, 4.48 ERA) has logged a 1.45 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 134 2/3 IP in 24 starts.

  • Has a 2.73 ERA at home
  • Owns a 3.67 ERA over his last 49 IP

Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+145) | Orioles +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 4

Money line

Baltimore is a solid team at home (33-22), but Boston has been decent on the road (30-30), and the Red Sox have some positive momentum going.

BACK BOSTON (-110).

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Run line/Against the spread

Current Red Sox batters own an .817 OPS against Lyles. But both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Crimson Hose by with a multi-run cushion.

PASS on the current tag, but take Boston -1.5 should the price reach +155.

Over/Under

Too many signals crossing back and forth over the high side of the 8.5 total (call it a rough 8.75 with the price lean). STEER CLEAR.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (8-12) and Baltimore Orioles (6-13) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET.  Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Friday marks the first of 19 meetings between the AL East rivals in 2022. Boston took 13 of the 19 games in 2021.

The Red Sox have dropped their last 3 series. They lost 3 of 4 games at the Toronto Blue Jays this week, including a 1-0 defeat in Thursday’s getaway game.

The Orioles return home after a 10-game road swing. Baltimore was swept in a 3-game series Tuesday-Thursday at the New York Yankees and was outscored 27-15 in the process.

Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Hill (0-1, 4.85 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 13 IP.

  • Held the Tampa Bay Rays scoreless with 4 H and 3 B with just 1 K in 4 IP in a road start Sunday.
  • Was 1-0 with a 4.22 ERA in 2 starts versus the Orioles in 2021 as a member of the Rays.

Bradish makes his first MLB start. He is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 15 IP in 3 starts at AAA-Norfolk.

  • Registered a 3.68 ERA in 22 starts and 2 relief appearances at AA- and AAA-ball in 2021.
  • Had 4 scoreless IP with 3 H, 3 BB and 5 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance in spring training.

Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Boston 5, Baltimore 4

Money line

This should be a good spot for the Red Sox as they continue their road trip. Boston has struggled through the early portion of the season, but it has gone through a difficult schedule to start the season with series against the New York Yankees, Blue Jays, Rays and Minnesota Twins — all teams that have been performing very well.

Baltimore should present an opportunity for Boston to get its season on the right track. With the 18-year veteran Hill on the mound for the Red Sox this may actually be a closer affair than would normally be the case, but a small wager on the RED SOX (-130) may be warranted here.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rich Hill versus a rookie in his MLB start causes just too much uncertainty here to have much faith in either side. PASS.

Over/Under

There have been a lot of Unders to start the MLB season, but the uncertainty on the mound compounded with 2 lacking bullpens should provide plenty of possibility for this one to reach the OVER 8.5 (-107). But you may want to pass, or consider a lighter play if this line moves up.

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (89-69) and Baltimore Orioles (51-107) conclude a three-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Red Sox RHP Nick Pivetta (9-7, 4.52 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 149 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 3.67 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 76 IP through 14 starts on the road.
  • 3-0 with a 4.15 ERA through four starts against Baltimore. Two outings back he took a no-decision after giving up 3 earned runs over 3 2/3 innings at home against the Orioles.

Orioles LHP Alexander Wells (1-3, 7.61 ERA) makes his eighth start in his 11th game. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 36 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 15 earned runs across 18 innings through four September starts; allowed 5 earned runs over 5 innings Sept. 19 at Boston.
  • Has been a little hurt by a .328 BABIP and 66.2% LOB rate but still boasts a 7.02 xERA and 6.08 xFIP.

Red Sox at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Orioles +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -2.5 (-103) | Orioles +2.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Boston 8, Baltimore 3

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox have taken 13 of 18 meetings with the Orioles as they conclude the season series Thursday. Three of Baltimore’s five victories came in a series sweep to open the season.

There’s no reason to anticipate a different outcome Thursday than we’ve seen from these clubs all season. The Red Sox are far superior at the plate and have the better pitching staff. This is a heavy line but you can BET the RED SOX (-240).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Orioles would have covered a 2.5 run spread in just three of Boston’s 13 victories over them this season – that’s how dominant the Red Sox have been against their division rival.

The Red Sox got their bats going a bit Wednesday and will be coming for the Orioles’ rookie hurler – one they dinged for 5 runs over 5 innings not even two weeks ago. We also get Pivetta on the road where he has been more successful this season.

Boston will be highly motivated to win Thursday’s game comfortably as it tries to remain dialed into the AL Wild Card race. BACK the RED SOX -2.5 (-103).

Over/Under (O/U)

This is a huge number for a game not at Coors Field in Denver, but there’s still a chance it gets there. The Red Sox should be in a position to put up some runs against Wells – likely enough that the Orioles only need to plate 3 or 4 of their own to push this over.

Pivetta has been better on the road than at home but he hasn’t held Baltimore scoreless in any of his four prior meetings this season.

Don’t go too heavy because this is a huge one, but I’m back the OVER 10.5 (+100).

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (88-69) will look to recover from losing Tuesday’s series opener as they take on the Baltimore Orioles (51-106) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Red Sox RHP Nathan Eovaldi (10-9, 3.88 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 176 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 earned runs with 1 walk and 8 strikeouts over 5 innings Sept. 19 in his last start against Baltimore.
  • Has a league-low 1.7 BB/9 rate this season and has not walked more than two batters in a start since June 9.

Orioles LHP Zac Lowther (1-2, 7.66 ERA) makes his 6th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 24 2/3 IP.

  • Only has two outings of more than 3 1/3 innings this season, one of which came last week against the Rangers. He pitched 5 scoreless innings with 7 strikeouts in that game.
  • The Orioles are just 1-3 in his last four starts, in which he’s allowed 11 runs in 16 1/3 innings.

Red Sox at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Orioles +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -2.5 (-120) | Orioles +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 2

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox were more or less stunned by the Orioles Tuesday, losing 4-2 despite having a huge pitching advantage with Chris Sale on the mound. The offense has gone cold, scoring 11 total runs in its last four games.

However, Eovaldi should be their stopper and end their four-game losing skid. Bet the RED SOX (-280).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Boston is now 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games after losing Tuesday, while the Orioles are now 5-5 ATS in their last 10. The Red Sox had won six straight over Baltimore before Tuesday’s loss, and they should get back on the horse Wednesday with just five games left in the season.

Pick the RED SOX -2.5 (-120) to cover the spread and win by a few runs on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total went way under Tuesday with the teams combining for only 6 runs. With Boston’s bats going cold and Baltimore ranking among the league’s lowest-scoring teams, this game favors the under again.

The total has gone under in four of Boston’s last six and in six of the Orioles’ last eight. Bet the UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (19-13) vs. Baltimore Orioles (15-16) match up Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-0 with a 4.18 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 28 IP over five starts.

Rodriguez faced Baltimore once this season and allowed three earned runs in five innings while whiffing seven batters. Overall, he boasts an impressive 31/3 K/BB so far this season.

RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 3-1 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 31 IP over six starts.

Harvey faced the Red Sox in his first two starts of the season, and in those outings surrendered six earned runs in 9 2/3 innings with nine strikeouts.

In four starts since, he has just 13 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings, and his 16.4% K% for the season is fifth lowest among pitchers with 30 or more innings.

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Red Sox at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Orioles +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (-105) | Orioles +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Orioles 3

Money line (ML)

Harvey isn’t striking batters out and is allowing a lot of hard contact, and his ERA estimators suggest his ERA should be higher than it currently is.

Meanwhile, Rodriguez has been unlucky in regards to his home run rate, as 20% of fly balls against him have left the park, a number that should come down.

The Red Sox have the pitching edge in this one and a clear advantage on the offensive side. Back the RED SOX (-165).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Red Sox have put up 7.2 runs per game over their last six contests, and continue their stretch of games against mediocre pitching.

For the season, they rank second in runs per game as well as in both wRC+ and slugging percentage vs right-handed pitching. This sets up to be another big game for the Boston bats, so the run line offers plenty of appeal.

Take the RED SOX -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has hit in 15 of the last 20 Baltimore games (with one push) while hitting in half of Harvey’s six starts.

The Over has hit in four of the last five for Boston, a span in which there has been an average of 14.4 runs per game scored. Their offense should do enough to push this game OVER 9 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (4-3) host the Boston Red Sox (4-3) Saturday for Game 2 of their three-game set at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston won Game 1 of the series 7-3 Thursday in LHP Eduardo Rodríguez’s first start since 2019. Rodriguez pitched 5 innings and struck out 7 with no walks and surrendered 3 earned runs (two home runs) on 4 hits.

  • Season series: Red Sox 1-0.

RHP Garrett Richards (0-1) makes his second start of the season Saturday for the Red Sox. Richards got shelled for 6 earned on 7 hits with 2 strikeouts and walks over just 2 innings pitched against the Orioles in his first start Sunday.

  • Career vs. Orioles: 0-5 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.58 WHIP (31 2/3 IP, 24 ER, 42 H, 24 K, 8 BB) across 5 starts and 4 relief appearances.

LHP Bruce Zimmermann (1-0) is on the rubber for the Orioles. He won his first start last weekend vs. Richards and the Red Sox.

He pitched 6 innings, struck out 5 and walked just 1 while giving up 3 earned runs on 4 hits.

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Red Sox at Baltimore odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+110) | Orioles +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Orioles 7, Red Sox 5

Money line (ML)

The ORIOLES’ (+115) lineup has been pretty lousy to start the season, but they got to Richards last weekend and I like Baltimore to hit him well again Saturday.

Baltimore hitters picked up on Richards’ stuff well; the Orioles have the third-highest out-of-the-zone swing rate on the season at 34.3% but, against Richards last week, they had a 14.3% out-of-the-zone swing rate.

So while Baltimore’s .636 BABIP against Richards might be taken as “flukey” by some MLB handicappers, I’m factoring it in heavily because these bad Orioles hitters keyed in on Richards’ stuff.

Zimmermann is making his third career start and MLB hitters aren’t yet familiar with him, as a result, his advanced and Statcast metrics were impressive vs. Boston.

The 26-year-old righty got Red Sox hitters to swing out of the strike zone on 45% of his pitches and Statcast grades Zimmermann’s chase rate in the 97th percentile after his first start against Boston.

I was entertaining taking Baltimore on the first 5 innings line but the Orioles had a higher hard-hit rate against the relievers Boston used after Richards last weekend.

GIMME ORIOLES (+115) for a half-unit only because Baltimore’s run line is a better wager.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

It’s just wise to take ORIOLES +1.5 (-135) for 1 unit since Baltimore is a winning team with a minus-2 run differential. Obviously, the Orioles could choke a lead late.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for one-fifth of a unit because Boston’s lineup is solid whereas Baltimore just does well against Richards.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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