Tag: Red Sox Braves odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (19-17) and Atlanta Braves (21-12) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Boston fell 4-2 against Atlanta Tuesday while failing to cash as a +167 road underdog. C Reese McGuire and CF Ceddanne Rafaela each had an RBI. RHP Justin Slaten allowed 2 earned runs in the 8th inning and picked up the loss.

Atlanta snapped a 3-game losing streak with Tuesday night’s win while cashing as a -183 home favorite. A 2-run home run off the bat of LF Jarred Kelenic opened the scoring for the Braves in the 3rd, while a 2-run 8th inning is what sealed the victory. RHP Joe Jimenez allowed 0 ER in 1 inning of relief and picked up the win.

Red Sox at Braves projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Chris Sale

Pivetta (1-1, 0.82 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 11 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1-0 victory at Oakland A’s April 3
  • Has been out since with an elbow injury
  • Has allowed 1 ER (1 HR) this season while striking out 13 and walking 1

Sale (3-1, 3.44 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 36 2/3 innings.

  • Braves are 4-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed 1 ER or fewer in 2 straight starts
  • Has allowed 14 ER (4 HR) while striking out 42 and walking 7

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Red Sox at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-200).

While there is not a lot of value on the Braves to win, this matchup features a pitching duel that should limit the value of the run line.

Boston has lost 3 of its last 4 on the road and scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games, while Atlanta has won 3 of its last 4 at home and scored 4 or more runs in each of the 3 wins.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While you could sprinkle the Braves -1.5 (+100), due to the pitching duel, there is low confidence in a large margin of victory.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).

Boston has failed to hit the Over in 7 of its last 10 games. In 4 of Boston’s last 5 games, it has either scored 2 or fewer runs and/or allowed 4 or fewer.

Atlanta has failed to hit the Over in 9 of its last 10 games and scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10, including 4 straight.

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Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (19-16) open up a 2-game set against the Atlanta Braves (20-12) Tuesday. First pitch at Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting. Boston won 3 of 4 meetings in 2023

The Red Sox avoided a sweep over the weekend in Minnesota, cashing as a (+166) MoneyLine underdog with a 9-2 win Sunday over the Twins. The triumph snapped Minnesota’s 12-game winning streak as 3B Rafael Devers and CF Ceddanne Rafaela homered while RP Brennan Bernadino earned the win.

Atlanta returns home after dropping 5 of 6 on their West Coast trip, including a weekend sweep at the hands of the Dodgers. The Braves have scored more than 5 runs just once in the last 14 days and manager Brian Snitker says his team is an “offensive rut.”

Red Sox at Braves projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez

Crawford (2-1, 1.56 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.90 BB/9 and 8.93 K/9 in 40.1 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-2 victory over San Francisco last Wednesday
  • Sports the lowest HR/FB percentage (2.0%) among 80 qualified pitchers as the 28-year-old served up a HR for the 1st time this season in his last start

Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.00 BB/9 and 9.30 K/9 in 30 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 7 K last Tuesday in Seattle
  • Career vs. Boston: 2-1, 4.03 ERA in 22.1 IP (6 games, 3 games started)
  • The 30-year-old features a lower barrel percentage (5.4%) compared to Crawford (6.3%) this season

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Red Sox at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Braves -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-134) | Braves -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Boston 4, Atlanta 3

Moneyline

BACK RED SOX (+154).

This is a nice price for an offense coming off a 9-run performance against a surging Twins team along with an SP in Crawford who allows the 2nd-lowest hard contact percentage (18.9%) among qualified pitchers. RF Tyler O’Neill has hit doubles in 3 of his last 4 games and Devers sports the 10th-highest hard contact percentage (42.9%) among MLB hitters with 60 PA vs. RHP. Boston has a good chance of being able to outhit a “slug team” that has not been doing much slugging of late as Snitker pointed out.

Run line

PASS.

I would rather take a shot on the plus money rather than lay the juice. If Atlanta gets up in the late innings against Boston’s bullpen, there is always the chance that the Braves bats can circle the water like sharks and bust out of their slump.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).

Braves 1B Matt Olson has not homered in a month, 3B Austin Riley hit only 1 HR since April 8 and reigning NL MVP CF Ronald Acuna Jr. has played in all 32 games, but has recorded only 2 HRs and 8 RBI. Atlanta will break out eventually, but don’t expect it against Crawford.

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Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (21-15) begin a 2-game series against the Atlanta Braves (24-11) on Tuesday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Braves won 3 of 4 meetings with the Red Sox in 2022.

The Red Sox suffered a 6-1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday. Boston was on an 8-game win streak before Sunday’s defeat.

The Braves beat the Baltimore Orioles 3-2 Sunday with OF Michael Harris II hitting a walk-off double in the 12th inning. Atlanta is on a 2-game win streak and has won 7 of its last 10 games.

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Red Sox at Braves projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Pivetta (2-2, 4.99 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER across his first 2 starts but has given up 16total ER in his last 4 turns
  • Has allowed at least 1 HR in 5 of his first 6 starts and has given up a total of 7 HR on the season

Morton (3-3, 3.38 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 2 or more batters in all 6 of his starts this season
  • Has registered 5-plus strikeouts in each of his last 5 starts

Red Sox at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Braves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-125) | Braves -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Even with the expectation of the Braves (-190) extending their winning streak to 3 games, taking them straight up isn’t worth the risk at the current odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (+105) has solid value with Atlanta hitting its stride offensively and with Pivetta on the mound for Boston. Even though Morton has struggled with walks to begin the season, I trust him a little more than Pivetta in this interleague matchup.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

Both of these teams are top 5 in ISO against RHP this season, so there could be a decent amount of hard contact in Tuesday’s tilt. The Over is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta and 18-6-3 in the last 27 meetings.

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Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (10-19) head to Truist Park Tuesday to start a 2-game interleague miniseries with the Atlanta Braves (14-16). First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston has lost 5 consecutive games, 3 to the Chicago White Sox and 2 to the Los Angeles Angels, and is 2-8 overall in the last 10 games with 6 straight series losses.

Atlanta won its 3-game series rubber match vs. the Milwaukee Brewers 9-2 Sunday, but is just 5-5 overall in the last 10 games.

The Red Sox won last year’s season series 3-1, outscoring the Braves 30-24 in those 4 games.

Red Sox at Braves projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Whitlock is 1-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 3 starts and 4 relief appearances.

  • Got a no decision in Boston’s 10-5 loss to the Angels Wednesday, working 5 IP with 2 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 9 K.

Wright is 3-1 with a 1.74 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 31 IP in 5 starts.

  • Lost to the New York Mets 3-0 May 3, throwing 7 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.

Red Sox at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Red Sox 1

Money line

LEAN BRAVES (-145) only because there’s some reverse line movement headed towards the Red Sox (+120). According to VegasInsider.com, Atlanta’s ML was lowered to -140 despite nearly three-fourths of the action being on the Braves before it returned to -145.

Atlanta has the better starter, lineup and bullpen. Wright is FanGraphs’ no. 8 power-ranked starter in MLB, Boston’s lineup has the third-worst WAR in the majors and the Red Sox’s bullpen is tied for the third-worst WAR, per FanGraphs.

Boston is 8-13 overall vs. right-handed starters and the Red Sox’s lineup is bottom-6 in wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and hard-hit rate.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS since the Braves -1.5 (+155) are 5-10 RL as home favorites with a minus-1.9 RL margin and the Red Sox +1.5 (-190) are 7-3 RL as road underdogs with a plus-1.0 RL margin.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-125) only because we are getting to the party late on the Under since the total has been lowered from an 8.5-run opener down to the current number.

But, Boston cannot hit right-handed pitching and is scoring just 2.9 runs per game while Atlanta is scoring only 3.93 runs per game vs. righties. Also, these starters have a combined 1-7 O/U record.

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Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (41-27) and Atlanta Braves (30-34) wrap up their season series Wednesday night with their fourth meeting of the year. First pitch from Truist Park will be at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-4 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 70 1/3 IP over 13 starts.

Richards allowed four runs on 11 hits in just 5 1/3 innings in his last outing against the Blue Jays on Friday, struggling against Toronto’s powerful lineup.

The Red Sox are 5-2 in his seven six starts, scoring at least six runs in five of those games. He is 0-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two career starts against Atlanta.

RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 4-3 with a 3.26 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 66 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

Anderson pitched seven shutout innings in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, the fourth time this season he’s pitched at least six innings without allowing a run.

The Braves have lost three consecutive starts by Anderson, however. In his only career start against the Red Sox, Anderson allowed two runs in six innings, earning the win.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Red Sox at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox have won their last two games against the Braves, including a 10-8 victory on Tuesday. It’s their sixth win in the last 10 games, while Atlanta has dropped five of its last six.

I like the RED SOX (+135) at plus money on the road, where they are 21-10 on the year.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Boston is 38-30 ATS this season, which compares favorably to the Braves’ 27-37 ATS record. Boston is 18-10 as an underdog this season and has scored 19 total runs in its last two games against Atlanta.

The RED SOX +1.5 (-150) doesn’t come with the value that the money line does, but it protects against a close one-run game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Over in five of the Red Sox’s last seven games and in each of the last two meetings between Boston and Atlanta.

Both teams possess powerful lineups, led by the likes of Ronald Acuna Jr., Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers.

Give me the OVER 9 (-120).

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