Tag: Red Sox Astros odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Boston Red Sox (65-59) and Houston Astros (68-56) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 4-0

The Red Sox have tailed off lately, going just 4-8 across the past 12 outings. That skid includes a 3-game sweep at Fenway Park at the hands of the Astros, as Houston outscored Boston 23-10, and a 5-4 loss to the Astros in Monday’s series opener.

Boston has managed to hit the Over at a 21-6-1 mark across the past 28 games, with the Over going 2-1 in the 3-game set with Houston.

Houston has caught fire lately, winning 3 in a row, while going 11-1 across the previous 12 outings to seize control of the AL West. Pitching has been a major reason for the turnaround, allowing 4 or fewer runs in 13 of the previous 14 outings.

The Under is 5-2 across the past 7 outings, although the Over is 3-1 in 4 tries against Boston, including Monday’s series opener.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Ronel Blanco

Pivetta (5-8, 4.49 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 100 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 5-1 road setback vs. Baltimore Orioles Thursday
• 2024 road splits: 3-4, 3.90 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.01 WHIP, .226 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 BB, 66 K in 11 starts
• Career vs. Astros: 2-2, 3.32 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.69 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Blanco (9-6, 2.89 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 121 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road win in 10 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays last Wednesday
• 2024 home splits: 4-4, 3.06 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.96 WHIP, .167 OBA, 10 HR, 27 BB, 70 K in 12 starts (1 CG)
• Career vs. Red Sox: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 3 BB, 6 K in 8-4 road win Aug. 9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+164) | Astros +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The ASTROS (-130) are a solid play behind Blanco in Game 2 of this series.

Houston has been lights out lately, winning 11 of the past 12 outings, while Boston has really struggled with consistency. Pivetta has been equally uneven. The Red Sox right-hander cannot be trusted in this matchup with Blanco, who has tremendous numbers, especially at home.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you require a little bit of insurance and just cannot bring yourself to play Houston straight up.

It’s too much risk, and not nearly enough reward. If you like Houston, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-118) is a solid play, especially behind Blanco.

The Under has connected in 5 of the past 7 outings for the Astros, with Houston pitching conceding 4 or fewer runs in 13 of the previous 14 outings. The Under is 15-5 in the past 20 starts by Blanco, too, while going 8-1 in his previous 9 outings at Minute Maid Park.

For the Red Sox, the Under has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 games.

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The Boston Red Sox (65-58) and Houston Astros (67-56) open a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-0

The Red Sox split a 4-game set at the Baltimore Orioles, wrapping up the series with a 4-2 loss as +109 underdogs Sunday with the Under (9.5) hitting. Boston is 3rd in the AL East. It’s 7 games back of the Orioles and New York Yankees, who are tied for the division lead. The Red Sox are 3½ games out of the final AL Wild Card spot, which is held by the Kansas City Royals.

The Astros are coming off a 2-1 series win against the visiting Chicago White Sox over the weekend. Houston won 2-0 as a -343 favorite in the Sunday finale as the Under (8) easily cashed. SP Framber Valdez allowed 3 hits and 1 walk with 9 K’s in 7 scoreless innings for his 8th straight win in 10 games. The Astros are 4 games ahead of the 2nd-place Seattle Mariners in the AL West.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Houck (8-8, 3.01 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 146 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-7 home setback in 10 innings vs. Texas Rangers Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 4-3, 3.10 ERA (58 IP, 20 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 10 starts
• 2024 vs. Astros: 0-0, 1 home start (Aug. 9), 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 8-4 defeat
• Career vs. Astros (regular season): 0-1, 2.63 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Kikuchi (6-9, 4.49 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP with Astros and Toronto Blue Jays.

• Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-2 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
• 2024 home stats: 2-7, 4.66 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 13 starts
• 2024 vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 1 home start with Blue Jays (June 17), 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 7-3 defeat
• Career vs. Red Sox: 0-3, 6.75 ERA (32 IP, 24 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 8 appearances (6 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The ASTROS (-135) are 10-1 in their last 11 games and 3-0 in Kikuchi’s starts since he was acquired from Toronto.

Houck has had a disappointing 2nd half of the season. Boston is 0-5 in his starts since the All-Star break, and he has allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of the 5 outings.

BET ASTROS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The most likely scenario here is that the Astros win by 1 run. Two of Kikuchi’s 3 starts with Houston have resulted in 1-run wins for the Astros, and just 2 of Houston’s last 5 games overall have resulted in multi-run Astros wins. However, this line has too much vig to recommend a play.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 5-1 in the Astros’ last 6 games and has hit in 2 straight for the Red Sox. While Houck has underperformed since the break, he has allowed a total of just 3 ER in 12 2/3 IP over his last 2 starts. Similarly, Kikuchi has given up a total of just 3 ER in 11 IP over his last 2 outings.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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The Boston Red Sox (67-60) and Houston Astros (72-56) meet Thursday at Minute Maid Park for the matinee finale of a 4-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Houston leads 2-1

Over the first 2 games of this series (both BoSox losses), Boston managed a combined 21 hits. The Red Sox faltered, though, in clutch situations, going just 4-for-28 (.143) with runners in scoring position. The Crimson Hose went 4-of-11 in such situations Wednesday and won 7-5 in 10 innings.

The Astros have scored 21 runs in this series. Since Aug. 6, Houston has averaged 6.25 runs per game on the strength of an .840 OPS.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP J.P. France

Bello (9-7, 3.70 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 119 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-3 win at New York Yankees Friday
• 2023 road stats: 5-2, 4.05 ERA in 53 1/3 IP across 9 starts
• Has never faced the Astros as a starter

France (9-4, 2.75 ERA) makes his 18th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 108 IP across.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-0 home loss vs. Seattle Mariners Friday
• 2023 home stats: 4-2, 3.51 ERA in 56 1/3 IP across 9 starts
• Has never faced the Red Sox as a starter
• Owns a 1.98 ERA and 1.17 WHIP since June 29

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Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Astros -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

We can chip away at both starters as far as expected results vs. actual. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

There is an Over lean here and Boston is 1-4 across its last 5 get-away games on the road.

Look for more return on the Houston side. PASS on the current prices, but look to leverage an Astros -1.5 play if the tag gets north of +160.

Over/Under

The Over is 35-28-1 for Boston in road games and is 36-28-1 for Houston at Minute Maid. Seven straight Red Sox games and 10 of their last 12 contests on the road have hit the Over. Five straight Astros games and 5 of their last 6 at home have seen the Over cash.

Batting against right-handers was a 1st-half weakness for Houston, but the Astros own a .753 OPS against righties since the break. Overall, Houston has clocked an .836 OPS over its last 18 home games.

Boston has also been improving against right-handed pitching (.784 OPS in the 2nd half). The Sox own a solid .774 OPS overall on their current road trip.

Bello has been a better pitcher at home in his year-plus in the Majors. France has been aided this season by a .274 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a .233 BABIP with runners in scoring position.

Neither bullpen is in great shape at the back end. Figure this game having a probability of getting into double figures that outweighs pricing.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the better tag here: BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).

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The Boston Red Sox (66-60) and Houston Astros (72-55) meet Wednesday at Minute Maid Park for the 3rd game of a 4-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Houston leads 2-0

Boston had won 8 of its last 11 prior games to this series starting on Monday. Over the twin losses in this set, the Red Sox have managed a combined 21 hits but have gone just 4-for-28 (.143) with runners in scoring position.

The Astros have scored 16 runs over games 1 and 2. Since Aug. 6, Houston has averaged 6.33 runs per game on the strength of an .842 OPS.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Jose Urquidy

Sale (5-3, 4.50 ERA) makes his 14th start of the 2023 campaign. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 68 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-7 loss at Washington Nationals Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 1-0, 3.69 ERA in 31 2/3 IP across 6 starts
• Last 5 vs. Astros: 2-2, 3.78 ERA in 33 1/3 IP (2016-2019)
• Making his 3rd start off the IL (shoulder): went 58 and 65 pitches in his first 2 games back

Urquidy (2-3, 5.21 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 38 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Aug. 13
• Pitched 2 scoreless innings of relief Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
• 2023 home stats: 1-2, 4.35 ERA in 22 IP IP across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance
• Career vs. Red Sox: 3-0, 2.50 ERA in 18 IP in 3 starts (2021-22)
• Making his 3rd start off an extended stay on the IL (shoulder)

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Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Astros -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Astros +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Astros 4

Moneyline

Look for Sale to get a tad deeper in this match-up of injured-and-returned hurlers. Peg the Red Sox bullpen as being an undervalued group. Boston owns a relief ERA of 4.30 since July 1, but that figure has been registered alongside a .335 batting average on balls in play.

Impressive offensive numbers are not too far back in the Red Sox’ rearview mirror. Only some wonky clutch numbers have brought Boston down so far in this series.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the better price here: BACK THE RED SOX (-104).

Run line/Against the spread

Lots of extra juice here: PASS.

Over/Under

No indicators swaying expected production either way: PASS.

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The Boston Red Sox (66-59) and Houston Astros (71-55) clash in a Tuesday showdown at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Houston leads 1-0

Boston and Houston will be busy dance partners for the rest of the month. Monday’s series opener — with the Astros winning 9-4 — marked the front end of a 4-game set at Minute Maid. The AL foes will meet again for a 3-game set at Fenway Park in Boston from Aug. 28-30.

Houston snapped a 3-game skid with Monday’s win. The Astros hit 3 home runs in a game for the 4th time since last Tuesday.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Houck (3-6, 5.05 ERA) is making his 14th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 67 2/3 IP.

• Returning from the IL to start for the first time since mid-June after being struck in the face by a come-backer and having surgery
• 2023 road stats: 1-4, 4.26 ERA in 31 2/3 IP across 6 starts
• Has never faced Houston as a starter
• Registered 3.52 and 3.15 ERAs in 2021 and 2022, respectively

Verlander (8-6, 3.36 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has registered a 1.19 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 112 1/3 IP for the Astros and New York Mets.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 9 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 12-5 road win vs. Miami Marlins Wednesday
• 2023 home stats: 5-3, 2.49 ERA in 61 1/3 IP across 10 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 2.32 ERA in 31 IP (2016-19)

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Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:44 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Astros 4

Moneyline

Houck flips the Astros to the lesser side of their platoon splits (.722 OPS, .159 ISO). He has been solid over three rehab starts for AAA-Worcester. Houck registered analytics-supportable 3.52 and 3.15 ERAs in 2021 and 2022, respectively.

Verlander has some indicators that put his expected ERA as high as 4.60 or 4.65.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a solid price here: BACK THE RED SOX (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

Houck returning from the IL brings a bit of risk for the Boston side. Some bettors may prefer a RED SOX +1.5 (-165) play on the run line.

Over/Under

No indicators swaying expected production either way: PASS.

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The Boston Red Sox (66-58) and the Houston Astros (70-55) kick off a 4-game series Monday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Red Sox won 4-2 in 2022

The Red Sox are coming off a 3-game road sweep of the rival New York Yankees over the weekend, outscoring the Bronx Bombers 22-9 as the Over cashed in all 3 outings. Boston has won 5 of the past 7 games on the road.

The Astros were swept at home in a 3-game set over the weekend by the division rival Seattle Mariners as the defending champs were outscored 19-9. The Over connected in 2 of the 3 battles. Houston is just 2-5 in the past 7 games overall and has lost its last 4 at home.

Red Sox at Astros projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Paxton (7-3, 3.34 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 86 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 6-2 road loss vs. Washington Nationals Wednesday
• 2023 road splits: 4-2, 3.94 ERA (48 IP, 21 ER), 8 HR, 1.15 WHIP, .220 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts

Javier (8-2, 4.49 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 122 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-5 road win vs. Miami Marlins Tuesday
• 2023 home splits: 4-1, 3.19 ERA (48 IP, 17 ER), 4 HR, 1.26 WHIP, .240 OBA in 9 starts

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Red Sox at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Astros -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

It’s a bit of a leap of faith to take the ASTROS (-135) as they were swept over the weekend while the Red Sox broke out the brooms against the Yankees on the road, but Javier has been money at home with just 1 loss in 48 IP across 9 starts. The key to Javier’s success has been his ability to keep the ball in the park, and that should continue Monday.

Run line/Against the spread

The RED SOX +1.5 (-175) are worth a look on the run line, although it’s a rather heavy price tag.

Still, Boston arrives on the Gulf Coast with a giant bit of momentum after brooming the Bronx Bombers. As an underdog, the BoSox are 12-2 in the past 14 games on the run line, including 9 outright victories.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-115) is worth a look, as Paxton and Javier should post plenty of donuts.

The Under has cashed in 4 straight starts by the southpaw Paxton, while the Under is 3-2 in Javier’s previous 5 assignments. Despite that the Over cashed in all 3 games for the Red Sox in the Bronx, the Under is still 10-5 across their past 15 games overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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