Tag: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels odds predictions pick betting line spread

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (4-3) welcome the Boston Red Sox (6-2) to Angel Stadium for the 2nd of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch is set for 9:38 p.m. ET (NESN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0

Boston sits 2nd in the American League East and has ripped off 5 straight wins. It swept the Oakland A’s before beating the Angels 8-6 in the 1st game of the series. The Red Sox are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season and have scored at least 8 runs in 2 of their last 4 games.

The Angels snapped their own 4-game winning streak with the loss Friday. They swept the Seattle Mariners in a 3-game series prior and opened the season by losing 2 of 3 to the Baltimore Orioles. Los Angeles has covered the spread in every win and failed to cover in every loss with no game having been decided by 1 run. It sits 2nd in the American League West and is 0-1 at home.

Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. LHP Reid Detmers

Whitlock (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 14.4 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER (1 R), 0 HR, 8 K in a 5-1 road win over the Mariners
  • 2023 road splits: 2-4, 5.89 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 24 ER — 11 HR), 3 BB, 34 K in 6 starts (12 appearances)

Detmers (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 H, 1 ER (1 R), 0 HR, 3 BB, 7 K in a 4-1 road win over the Orioles
  • 2023 home splits: 3-4, 4.04 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 38 ER — 10 HR), 31 BB, 104 K in 15 starts

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Red Sox at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Angels -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-210) | Angels -1.5 (+172)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Angels 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+102).

Boston has won 5 straight games and is on the roll. Meanwhile, while the Angels are just starting off their season at home, they were among the worst teams in the MLB at home a season ago, posting a 38-43 record. They were also 40-49 following a loss.

Los Angeles has allowed 8 or more in 3 of 7 games this season. Its pitching has left quite a bit to be desired, and Boston is playing at a high level with a solid pitcher on the mound.

Take RED SOX (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Red Sox are too expensive as an underdog, and the Angels are too risky as a favorite. Ultimately, look toward the moneyline for any team-specific wager.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-120).

Both pitchers dealt in their first starts of the season, allowing a combined 2 ER through 10 IP.

The Angels have gone Over in 3 of their last 4, but they have allowed more than 4 runs just once and have allowed a combined 11 runs in their last 3 games despite giving up 8 to the Red Sox Friday.

Boston has allowed more than 4 runs just once this season and has scored 9 in its last 2. The Red Sox are 4-4 O/U, having allowed either 1 run or no runs in 4 of their last 7.

Considering the strong defensive play from both teams, take UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (5-2) and Los Angeles Angels (4-2) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Angels won 4-3 last season

The Red Sox are in the midst of a 10-game road trip to start the 2024 season. After splitting 4 games against the Seattle mariners, Boston just completed a sweep of the Oakland Athletics, holding them to a grand total of 4 runs over the 3 games. Boston’s pitching staff has a 1.54 ERA through 7 games. The Red Sox will play their 1st game at Fenway Park on Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Angels just wrapped up a 6-game road trip with a 3-game sweep of the Marlins in Miami. After allowing 24 runs in their 1st 2 games, the Angels have given up just 8 during a current 4-game win streak. The Halos have been carried offensively by red-hot LF Taylor Ward, batting .320 with 3 HRs and 8 RBI.

Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Griffin Canning

Crawford (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.67 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 6 innings.

  • 2023 road stats: 6-3, 2.49 ERA (72 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 12 starts and 4 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Mariners: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 4-3 road loss Saturday
  • Has never faced the Angels as a starter

Canning (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 3.6 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • 2023 home stats: 4-5, 4.66 ERA (58 IP, 30 ER) in 10 starts and 1 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Orioles: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 13-4 road loss Saturday
  • Last start vs. Red Sox: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 4-0 home loss on May 23, 2023

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Red Sox at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Angels +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Angels 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-105).

While both teams come into this series red hot, I like Boston to take the opener on Friday night.

Crawford looked great in his 1st start against the Mariners. Canning got knocked around for 5 ER by the Orioles in his 2024 debut. Griffin has just 1 victory since Aug. 1, 2023 (over 9 starts).

The Angels are hitting just .202  as a team against righties with a 2-2 record. Boston is 4-2 against righties hitting .250 as a team.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to save my bet for the moneyline, and not pay that juice on the spread.

Over/Under

AVOID.

My lean is the Under as you can tell from my game prediction, but I’m not confident enough to make it my official bet. These 2 teams are 9-11 against the Over in their last 20 games combined. I just don’t see an edge in either direction, I’d rather save my wager for the moneyline.

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (26-23) and Los Angeles Angels (27-23) meet Wednesday to close out a 3-game series. The first pitch at Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The streaky Red Sox were shutout 4-0 Tuesday and have lost 3 in a row while scoring just 1 total run. That losing skid came on the heels of a 4-game win streak from May 16-20, which was preceded by a 4-game losing skid from May 12-15. Boston owns a whiff-heavy .556 OPS over its last 8 road games.

Los Angeles is 5-1 over its last 6 games. Angels pitching struggled for a big chunk of May, logging a 5.90 ERA from May 6-20, but have allowed just 3 runs on 13 hits over their last 27 IP.

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Red Sox at Angels projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. LHP Tyler Anderson

Paxton (1-0, 2.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start this season. He owns a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 11 IP.

  • Didn’t make his season debut until May 12 due to a strained hamstring
  • Went 107 pitches in his last start — his most in a single game since 2019 — but has a solid history in next-time-outs after triple-digit pitch counts

Anderson (1-0, 5.27 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 42 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched at Boston on April 23: No-decision, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 2 K
  • Owns a 3.57 ERA over his last 4 starts

Red Sox at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Angels +100 (bet $10 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+126) | Angels +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

No lean on either side: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Boston bettors beware: the Angels have played in a lot of 1-run games, and this contest does have a solid Under lean.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both clubs have good but perhaps luck-tinted numbers against left-handed pitching. The Red Sox’ .772 OPS has been buoyed by a .326 batting average on balls in play (BABIP), while the Angels’ .777 OPS has been colored by a .325 BABIP.

The starters and bullpens figure as solid enough, and the back ends of both ‘pens are in good shape on the fatigue-o-meter.

With Boston’s recent batting woes, BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-122).

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (26-22) and Los Angeles Angels (26-23) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. The first pitch at Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2

Boston lost Monday’s opener 2-1 and has scored just 1 run in its last 2 games. Since April 22, the Crimson Hose own a .911 OPS at home but a mere .684 figure on the road.

Los Angeles is 4-1 over its last 5 games. The Halos have been embroiled in a lot of close games recently as 5 of their last 6 games have been decided by 2 runs or less. For the season, the Angels have played in an above-average 18 1-run affairs.

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Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Griffin Canning

Bello (3-1, 4.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 7th start. He has logged a 1.59 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.16 ERA over 5 starts since his season debut on April 17
  • vs. Angels in his season debut: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K
  • Owns a 4.62 ERA and 1.72 WHIP over 19 career games (17 starts)

Canning (2-2, 6.14 ERA) is making his 7th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 4.90 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 49 career games (47 starts)
  • Faces a left-leaning Boston lineup and has struggled mightily against lefty bats this season (.913 OPS allowed)

Red Sox at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Angels -104 (bet $100 to win $104)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | Angels +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings with the Angels and are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings in Los Angeles.

There is a little bit of trepidation with both starters coming off relatively high pitch counts in their last outings, but Bello’s baseline performance figures as a point of differentiation. He induces way more ground-ball contact, and perhaps that looms large on a breeze-out evening in Anaheim.

The left lean of the Boston lineup is another key point because it cuts into a Canning weakness. The Red Sox’ lefty bats own an .837 OPS against right-handers.

TAKE BOSTON (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

The RL action adds some juice and the impact of the Angels’ proclivity for playing a lot of close games. Would take Boston -1.5 at a +150 tag, though.

PASS.

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Over/Under

There is some favorable play to the numbers for both starting pitchers, but some numbers for the Red Sox peg their offense as being undervalued. Mix in the expected wind conditions and some bullpen issues, and there is plenty of push from the Over side.

PASS.

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The  Boston Red Sox (26-21) will begin a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels (25-23) on Monday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1

The Red Sox were shut out 7-0 Sunday by the San Diego Padres. Sunday’s defeat snapped a 4-game winning streak for Boston and the team is currently in 4th place in the AL East.

The Angels secured a 4-2 victory over the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. Los Angeles is 5-5 in its last 10 games and is 5 games behind the 1st-place Texas Rangers in the AL West.

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Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Jaime Barria

Houck (3-3, 5.48 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in each of his 8 starts and 3-plus ER in 5 consecutive starts
  • After being credited with 3 wins in his 1st 4 starts, he’s been credited with 3 losses in his last 4 starts.

Barria (1-1, 1.96 ERA) makes his 1st start (and 11th appearance). He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 23 IP.

  • After giving up 4 ER in his 1st appearance on April 4, he’s surrendered only 1 ER in his last 9 appearances out of the bullpen.
  • First start since Aug. 6 of last season

Red Sox at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Angels +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

With both teams playing average baseball recently, I’ll back the ANGELS (-115) at home in Monday’s series opener. Houck has failed to limit runs and the Angels have the bats to do damage.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Even though the Angels are slight favorites to win, the Red Sox are the team that is favored by -1.5 runs. Considering that I have Los Angeles securing the victory at home, I’ll pass on the -185 run line in this contest.

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Over/Under

OVER 9.5 (-110) is an enticing wager with Houck taking the mound for the Red Sox. Houck continues to give up multiple runs in each of his starts and Barria is making his 1st start of the season.

Both teams are also top 12 in wRC+ against right-handed pitching.

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The ice-cold Los Angeles Angels (27-31) host the Boston Red Sox (30-27) Thursday at Angel Stadium for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston beat L.A. 1-0 Wednesday, handing the Angels their 14th straight loss. Angels OF Mike Trout missed the game with groin tightness after exiting the 2nd game of the series early.

Season series: The Red Sox lead 4-2 but the Angels have a plus-6 run differential.

Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani  

Pivetta is 5-4 with a 3.50 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 8-0, Saturday at the Oakland Athletics with 7-scoreless IP, 2 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Angels: One start — 4-3 home win May 14 — with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 7 K.

Ohtani is 3-4 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 6-1, last Thursday at the New York Yankees with 3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 3 HR, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Red Sox: One start — 8-0 win in Boston May 5 — with 7-scoreless IP, 6 H, 0 BB and 11 K.

Red Sox at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-205) | Angels -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 4, Red Sox 2

Money line

LEAN ANGELS (-125) only because the sharp side appears to be the Red Sox (+102) since there’s a line freeze in the betting market.

Most of the action is on L.A. with Ohtani on the bump but the line hasn’t budged off the opener, according to Pregame.com.

However, the Angels need Ohtani to stop the bleeding and he has better advanced pitching numbers than Pivetta both on the year and vs. Tuesday’s opponent.

Ohtani is 2-1 in 3 career starts against Boston with a 2.81 ERA. He grades in the 86th percentile or better in expected ERA (xERA), exit velocity (EV) and barrel rate, according to Statcast.

Ohtani also has a .246/.293/.387 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 28.0 K% and 85.9 mph EV in 50 plate appearances (PA) vs. active Red Sox batters.

Pivetta grades in the 40th percentile or worse in xERA, EV, hard-hit rate, barrel rate and chase rate this year. He has a .253/.323/.483 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 21.4 K% and 90.8 mph in 28 PA vs. current Angels hitters.

BET a half-unit on the ANGELS (-125), if at all.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not confident enough in the Angels -1.5 (+165) as they are just 10-14 RL as home favorites while the Red Sox are 13-6 RL as road underdogs.

PASS.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+105).

More than 90% of the bets placed at Tipico Sportsbook are on the Over 7.5 and there’s value in fading a lopsided market since Red Sox-Angels games are 3-8-2 O/U in their last 13 meetings.

It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105) because the Red Sox-Angels total should be raised to 8 if the public keeps betting the Over so we might get a better number by waiting closer to the first pitch.

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (28-27) meet the Los Angeles Angels (27-29) Tuesday at Angel Stadium for the 2nd of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston shut out L.A. 1-0 Monday in the series opener behind a complete-game gem from Red Sox SP Michael Wacha, who only gave up 3 hits and  just 1 walk with 6 strikeouts. The Angels lost their 12th consecutive game Monday.

Season series: Tied 2-2 but L.A. has a plus-8 run differential in those meetings.

Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. LHP Reid Detmers  

Whitlock is 2-1 with a 3.02 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP over 8 starts and 4 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Won 7-1 Wednesday at home vs. the Cincinnati Reds with 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 5 H, 0 BB and 0 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Angels: No-decision in Boston’s 10-5 home win May 4 with 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 9 K.

L.A. hasn’t officially announced its starter but Detmers is projected to get the nod. He’s 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 45 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in L.A.’s 2-1 loss Thursday at the New York Yankees with 4 1/3-scoreless IP, 5 H, 3 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Red Sox: One start, a no-decision in L.A.’s 10-5 loss at Boston May 4 with 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 2 K.

Red Sox at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+115) | Angels +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Angels 4

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the RED SOX (-135) since this is a pricey ML.

Boston is 7-4 overall vs. lefty starters and hits left-handed pitching much better than L.A. which is just 19-21 vs. righty starters. The Red Sox’s lineup is better against left-handed pitching than the Angels vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+ (118-110) and wOBA (.336-.318), according to FanGraphs.

Also, L.A.’s contact numbers have been terrible lately and Whitlock struck out 9 of the 17 Angels batters he faced May 4 in their 1st meeting. L.A.’s lineup is 26th in both contact rate and swinging-strike rate and 24th in hard-hit rate over the last 2 weeks, per FanGraphs.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the RED SOX (-135) to earn a tidy profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

The Red Sox -1.5 (+115) isn’t a big enough payout even though 6 of their last 7 wins in the last 10 games have been by at least 2 runs and Boston is 19-9 RL on the road. The Angels are 4-1 RL as home underdogs and have played in five 1-run games in their last 10.

PASS.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-135) only because this is a sharp total, Angel Stadium is more pitcher-friendly and both teams play more to the Under in their respective location-based O/U trends.

But, Monday’s series opener went well Under the total so Tuesday’s Red Sox-Angels figures to ping-pong the other way. Also, neither bullpen is very good and both starters are back-of-the-rotation guys.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-135).

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (27-28) host the Boston Red Sox (27-27) Monday at Angel Stadium for the start of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston enters on a 4-game win streak and is 6-4 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games. However, all 3 of the Red Sox’s opponents over those 10 games (Oakland Athletics, Cincinnati Reds and Baltimore Orioles) are last-place teams in their respective divisions.

L.A. has lost 11 consecutive games, which includes 3 straight series sweeps by the Toronto Blue Jays (home), New York Yankees (road) and Philadelphia Phillies (road).

Season series: The Angels lead 2-1 with a plus-9 run differential in those meetings.

Red Sox at Angels projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard 

Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 2-1, Tuesday at home vs. the Reds with 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 3 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Angels: One start — a 4-0 home win May 3 — with 5 2/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 2 BB and 2 K.

Syndergaard is 4-3 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP across 8 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 9-1, Tuesday at the Yankees with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 0 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Red Sox: One start — a 4-0 loss in Boston May 3 —with 7 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.

Red Sox at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Red Sox -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Angels -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Angels +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 8, Red Sox 4

Money line

BET the ANGELS (-117).

L.A.’s 11-game losing skid obviously makes this a buy-low spot for the Angels who have edges over the Red Sox in the starting pitching matchup and hitting against righties.

Wacha’s impressive basic numbers are due for regression because he has a crazy-low .198 BABIP with whiff and chase rates that grade in the 19th percentile or worse, per Statcast.

Syndergaard has been inconsistent this season but has a lower FIP than Wacha. The most utilized pitch in Syndergaard’s arsenal is his sinker, which is also one of the most effective pitches in baseball.

L.A.’s lineup ranks ahead of Boston’s vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+ (112-106) and wOBA (.322-.319), according to FanGraphs.

More than 70% of the money is on the Red Sox at the time of writing (per Pregame.com) partially due to the Angels’ current losing streak. However, L.A.’s last 3 opponents were projected preseason to contend in their respective division races while Boston’s last three opponents are last-place teams. Both the Angels and Syndergaard are due for bounce-back performances back in L.A.

BET the ANGELS (-117). 

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ANGELS -1.5 (+160) ALTERNATE RL.

Syndergaard is 3-0 SU at home with a 0.86 home ERA and 0.86 home WHIP and all 3 of those wins were by at least 2 runs. Also, Wacha’s ERA and WHIP are worse on the road and neither bullpen is any good.

Over/Under

PASS.

The Under 9.5 (-130) is a no-go because both bullpens are unreliable and both lineups have sluggers.

The Over 9.5 (+105) is a stay-away since Red Sox-Angels are 2-6-2 O/U in their last 10 meetings, Boston is 2-5 O/U in Wacha’s 7 starts and L.A. is 9-12-2 O/U as a home favorite.

PASS.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (42-42) host the Boston Red Sox (54-32) Tuesday in the second game of their three-game set at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston won Game 1 of the series 5-4; Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers‘ 3-for-5 night with 1 home run and 5 RBIs helped power the win Monday.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1.

RHP Nathan Eovaldi makes his 18th start for the Red Sox. He is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-1, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 6 K Thursday against the Kansas City Royals.
  • vs. Angels on the current roster: 116 at-bats with a .276/.320/.371 slash line, 20/6 K/BB, 0 HR and 6 RBIs.

RHP Shohei Ohtani takes the hill for the Angels. He is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA (60 IP, 24 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 1 K in L.A.’s 11-8 win at the New York Yankees Wednesday.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.73 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.27 WHIP and 2.3 K/BB rate across seven starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Red Sox at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Angels -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | Angels +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Angels 4, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the ANGELS (-105) for 1 unit because L.A.’s lineup mashes at Angel Stadium whereas Boston’s lineup is a shade less productive away from Fenway Park.

The Angels lineup ranks in the top five of the majors at home in advanced hitting categories including wRC+, wOBA, OPS and hard-contact rate.

Furthermore, I’m anticipating a bounce-back performance from Ohtani after he was shelled in his previous start. He also pitches well at home.

Ohtani had a quality start in four of five games prior to the rough outing against the Yankees, and he hadn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in a start since April 26.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Boston has the fourth-highest cover rate on the road at 26-16 ATS and L.A. is just 20-24 ATS at home.

Given these location-based run line records, Angels +1.5 (-165) is too rich for my blood.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (+100) for a quarter unit only because we are getting the worst of the number as Red Sox-Angels opened with a 9.5-run total before the market steamed it down to the current price.

However, the Under is the play for me because it cashed in three of four Red Sox-Angels meetings this season and the Under is getting a vast majority of the action despite L.A. being 29-15 O/U at home.

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