The Sacramento Kings (28-35) host the Toronto Raptors (44-18) in the second game of a back-to-back on Sunday. Tip-off is scheduled for around 9 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. We analyze the Raptors-Kings odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Raptors at Kings: Key injuries
Raptors
- PG Fred VanVleet (shoulder) questionable
- C Marc Gasol (hamstring) questionable
- PF Dewan Hernandez (ankle) out
Kings
- PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
Raptors at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Raptors 116, Kings 113
Moneyline (ML)
The Raptors (-250) spoiled Stephen Curry’s comeback game for the Golden State Warriors by beating them 121-113 Thursday. Tonight’s game in Sacramento is their fourth game of a five-game Western Conference road trip. The Kings (+200) picked up a huge 123-111 win Saturday at the Portland Trail Blazers.
Sacramento kept close and covered in their first game against the Raptors Nov. 6, losing 124-120. Each team was close to full health in the first one but Toronto could be without two starters that played in that game (Gasol and VanVleet) while the Kings got breakout C Richaun Holmes back last night against the Trail Blazers. He had 10 point sand eight boards in 19 minutes in his first game back and should be reclaiming the starting center position from Harry Giles within a few games.
If anything, I’d say bet the Kings (+200) who have won seven of nine games but the Raptors are 15-1 straight up as a road favorite with a 7.4-point average margin of victory. Plus, Toronto’s non-conference record (14-8) is much better than Sacramento’s (8-15). Officially I say PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The trends line up nicely for Sacramento versus Toronto. The Raptors are 6-13 against the spread in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Also, Toronto doesn’t take advantage of having a rest advantage on their opponent as they are 3-11 ATS in such situations.
Furthermore, the Kings are 7-2 ATS, with an 8-point ATS margin per game, on the second game of back-to-backs. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog and 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days.
I LIKE KINGS +5.5 (+100) at home. New to sports betting? Bet $100 on Kings +5.5 to earn a $100 profit if they win or lose by fewer than six points.
Over/Under (O/U)
Both teams have played to more Overs than Unders this season—Toronto has a 33-28-1 Over/Under record and Sacramento is 33-30 O/U—and both have increased their scoring after the All-Star break. Sacramento went from 107.9 points per game to 115 PPG and Toronto went from 112.9 PPG to 114.3 PPG. Additionally, they’ve each gone Over the projected total in their last three games entering Sunday’s contest.
I am nervous about the Kings’ ability to score on tired legs—they are playing a fourth game in six nights—so it’s only a slight lean on OVER 226.5 (-110).
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