Tag: Prop Bets Picks

Bet on these MLB pitchers to win the 2020 NL Cy Young Award

Making our picks and best bets to win the NL Cy Young Award in the shortened 2020 MLB season.

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Our 2020 MLB award previews at SportsbookWire continue with a look at the National League Cy Young. NL pitchers won’t be required to hit in the shortened 2020 season, meaning they’ll each need to face a designated hitter every time through the opponent’s batting order. Below, we make our picks and best bets to win the 2020 NL Cy Young Award.

2020 NL Cy Young best bets: Favorite

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, July 11 at 2:35 p.m. ET.

Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals (+450)

Scherzer leads all National League pitchers with an average of 12.60 strikeouts per nine innings in the first half of the season since 2017. His 2.30 first-half ERA ranks third over the last three season and his 129 1/3 innings pitched are the most of all starters.

Scherzer has three career Cy Young Awards, including back-to-back wins in 2016 and 2017. He hasn’t finished outside of the top five in voting since 2012 while still with the Detroit Tigers in the American League. His odds are nearly twice as high as those of reigning back-to-back winner Jacob deGrom (+280).

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Scherzer (+450) to win the NL Cy Young would return a profit of $45. The same bet on deGrom fetches a return of just $28.

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2020 NL Cy Young best bets: Contender

Josh Hader, Milwaukee Brewers (+3300)

I’ve been down on Hader as a 2020 Fantasy Baseball target, but his versatility and importance out of the Brewers bullpen could have him in the running for the 2020 NL Cy Young in a season expected to shake up conventional pitcher roles.

Hader ranked ninth among all Brewers pitchers with 75 2/3 innings pitched last year. Top-two starters Zach Davies and Chase Anderson left this offseason. De facto No. 1 starter Brandon Woodruff tossed just 121 2/3 frames in his breakout 2019 campaign.

Hader went 3-5 with 37 saves last year. He enters the 2020 campaign as the Brewers’ closer, but he could also make some starts as an opener this year. The modified extra-inning rules, which will see each team start every half-inning with a runner on second base, could give Hader more win opportunities this season.

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2020 NL Cy Young best bets: Long shot

Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks (+5000)

Ray ranks second to Scherzer with an 11.78 strikeout rate over the first half of the last three seasons. He finished 2019 with a 4.34 ERA but a career-best 12.13 K/9. He even cut down on his walk rate from 2018.

He’s the incumbent ace of an improved Diamondbacks team entering the season. SP Madison Bumgarner was signed in free agency, and his experience could help Ray, who enters just his sixth full season.

Want action on any 2020 MLB futures? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The Match II: Betting odds, picks and prop bets for Woods-Manning vs. Mickelson-Brady

Highlighting the best prop bets for The Match II between Tiger Woods-Peyton Manning and Phil Mickelson-Tom Brady, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks and best bets.

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Tiger Woods teams up with Peyton Manning Sunday to battle Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady in The Match: Champions for Charity. The sequel to the Woods vs. Mickelson showdown from Nov. 2018 is being held at Medalist Golf Club in Hobe Sound, Fla. and will begin at 2 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the best prop bets for The Match II and make our picks.

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The Match II: Outright odds and best bet to win

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, May 20 at 3 p.m. ET.

Woods/Manning: -223 | Mickelson/Brady: +160 (Price Boost: +180)

Woods and Manning, the rightful favorites, carried -208 odds Monday. With a $10 bet at the current price point returning a profit of just $4.81 with an outright win, the play is to HOLD until Sunday in wait of a higher number.

Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson were sizable favorites over Rickie Fowler and Matthew Wolff ahead of the TaylorMade Driving Relief event last week, but the line came much closer on the day of the match. Expect similar movement this week – especially with the inclusion of the famous NFL quarterbacks and a broader, sports-starved audience – to get the best odds on the favorites closer to tee time.

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The Match II: Best prop bets

Longest drive on hole 3: Mickelson (+130)

Even amid a poor start to the 2020 PGA Tour season, Mickelson, ranked 222nd in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, was outdriving Woods (16th) 301.1 yards to 291.1. The two PGA Tour pros share the +130 odds, but Mickelson is the pick.

Both Manning and Brady are +700 but don’t overthink this one. They’re still amateur golfers. Note: Per BetMGM rules, the ball has to be in the fairway to count.

Nearest the pin on hole 4: Brady (+600)

Though we’re trusting the pros above, the playing field becomes a little more level on the short par-3 fourth. It’s the shortest of the four par 3s at Medalist at just 191 yards in length.

Manning is typically the better golfer of the two future Hall of Fame QBs with a handicap of 6.4 to Brady’s 8.1, but on such a short hole chase the value with Brady holding the longest odds.

Who will lead after 9 holes? Woods/Manning (-112)

The teams will play the Four-Ball (Best Ball) format on the front nine with the better score of each twosome counting as the team score on each hole. As such, the first nine holes will primarily be Woods vs. Mickelson.

Trust in Woods’ superior world ranking and better play earlier in the 2020 season. The halftime odds are much more appealing for the favorites than their outright odds, and things will become much less predictable with a modified alternate shot format being played on the back.

Who will win hole 18? Woods/Manning (+220)

The expectation is that The Match II will go right down to the wire and the final hole, if not a playoff. It’s a charity event and it’s being televised; organizers will do all they can with various side bets and challenges to draw this out to an exciting finale.

Once there, stick by the opening favorites to pull off a dramatic victory. Woods will have his revenge over Mickelson, and Manning has plenty of reasons for wanting to get back at Brady.

Get some action on The Match II by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: How may receiving yards for Tyreek Hill?

Assessing the prop bets odds and lines for Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards in the 2020 Super Bowl against the 49ers.

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There will be no player on the field for the 2020 Super Bowl that is likely to garner more defensive attention than Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill. Below, we’ll look at the Super Bowl LIV prop bet odds and lines centered around Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET.

Tyreek Hill 2020 Super Bowl receiving yards

Due to the Chiefs having plenty of offensive weapons, and their penchant for sharing the wealth, Hill has a manageable Over/Under number for his receiving yards in Super Bowl LIV at 74.5 yards (-112 for both the Over and the Under). It’s an achievable number, especially given Hill’s big-play ability, but there are some key factors making it more difficult to hit the Over than it may appear.

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Hill struggles in playoff football

The most obvious hurdle is Hill’s postseason track record. Over the last two seasons, Hill has played in four playoff games. In those games, his yardage totals have been 72, 42, 41 and 67, despite having eight receptions in one of the games and five in another. Dating back to Week 10, Hill hasn’t hit 75 yards in any of his last eight games. Defenses have made it a point to take him away from the offense and the opposition has succeeded for two months.

He won’t be the No. 1 option

Second, is that the San Francisco 49ers may have the best defensive front the Chiefs have faced all season. They’re five deep and come at you in waves. They don’t need to blitz to get pressure and they’re going to make it their mission to keep Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes contained in the pocket and getting rid of the ball faster than he would like. This could be great news for TE Travis Kelce and the secondary receivers, but not Hill. His strength is getting behind defenses and creating big plays. That doesn’t happen when Mahomes doesn’t have the luxury of four or five seconds to throw the ball.

Also see:

The 49ers have an answer in coverage

Third, is that the 49ers are likely going to have CB Richard Sherman chasing Hill wherever he goes and, on the plays he doesn’t, they will double-cover Hill. Either way, it’s not good for Hill because, if Mahomes has the clock in his head ticking faster than real-time, he’s not going to take the chance of testing Sherman in tight coverage or throw into a bracket of defenders. He’s been forewarned about not throwing the risky passes that lose Super Bowls. He won’t have many big-play opportunities with Hill.

The bottom line with Hill is that he’s not a reception machine. He has more than five receptions in just four of 14 games he has played this season, but he’s projected for 5.5 in Super Bowl LIV.

Take the UNDER 74.5 (-112) on his receiving yards and the UNDER 5.5 (-143) on Hill’s receptions, as well.

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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National Championship Prop Bet Payday

Previewing Monday’s National Championship between the Clemson Tigers and LSU Tigers, with college football betting odds, picks and prop bets

The National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers and LSU Tigers kicks off Monday at 8 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Superdome, and that means it’s time to explore the wide range of prop bets. Given the magnitude of this game, there are hundreds of prop bets available for this contest, and we will give you five of our favorite plays for Monday night.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

First Scoring Play: LSU Field Goal (+300)

On Monday night, we will see the nation’s top-ranked offense against the top-ranked defense. While there is no doubt LSU QB Joe Burrow will be able to move the ball, Clemson’s defense is excellent in the red zone. I wouldn’t be surprised if LSU moves the ball up and down the field on Clemson, but has to settle for a Cade York field goal (21-26 this season) on its opening drive. At +300, this is insane value for a very likely outcome.

Shortest Touchdown: Under 1.5 yards (-125)

(Photo Credit: Matthew Emmons – USA TODAY Sports)

Despite Clemson having the nation’s top-ranked defense, you can expect there will be a ton of points scored in this game. The Over/Under is at 67.5, which would indicate there are going to be several touchdowns scored. Don’t be surprised if a few happen from just one-yard out. While the odds aren’t great (-125), it’s a fairly safe bet.

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

First to 20 points: LSU (-182)

(Photo Credit: Brett Davis – USA TODAY Sports)

One thing LSU has done much better than Clemson this season is get off to fast starts. LSU’s offensive coordinator Joe Brady is one of the nation’s best at scripting the opening drive of the game. I fully expect LSU to put up 20 points by halftime before Clemson is able to get in a groove. Take LSU at -182 to be the first team to score 20 points Monday night.

Will either team score 3 unanswered times: No (+175)

With both teams having excellent offenses, it seems unlikely this game will have three-straight unanswered scores. Each side has a top-level quarterback and elite weapons, which means this game could turn into a shootout. But for this bet to hit, one offense would need to go cold or would need a few turnovers. That just doesn’t seem likely considering how dominant both of these offenses have been this season. While it’s never fun to root for this bet, it’s a good value play at +175.

Will there be a score in the final two minutes of the 1st half: No (+220)

Much like the previous bet, rooting for no scores in the final two minutes of the first half is never a “fun” bet. However, there is just too much value to ignore here at +220. It’s hard to bet against Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence and Burrow here, but the value is just too good.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship, and there is no influence on news coverage.

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