Tag: projected win totals

What is the Commanders projected number of wins in 2024?

What is the Commanders’ projected win total in 2024?

How many games will the Washington Commanders win in 2024?

It’s been an offseason full of change for Washington. Starting with general manager Adam Peters and head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have also turned over around 50% of the roster.

Change was needed after Washington finished 4-13 last season. The Commanders signed over 20 players in free agency and selected nine players in the 2024 NFL draft, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels.

The influx of new players, particularly Daniels, has Washington fans excited that the Commanders could have a Texans-like turnaround in 2024. The Houston Texans went 3-13-1 in 2022, used the second overall pick on quarterback C.J. Stroud, and won the AFC South with a 10-7 record.

NFL.com analytics expert Cynthia Frelund recently projected win totals for all 32 NFL teams in 2024. Frelund’s model predicts Washington at 7.2 wins.

Commanders fans should be excited about a number of shrewd moves and draft picks, but I particularly loved what the new regime did at the linebacker position. Free-agent additions Bobby Wagner and Frankie Luvu both ranked in the top 15 in defensive stops last season. I expect these two veteran studs to help this rebuilding team get through some early schedule challenges. Washington faces its toughest four-game stretch of the season in Weeks 3 through 6: at Cincinnati (MNF), at Arizona, vs. Cleveland, at Baltimore.

Frelund explained her model and how she arrived at each team’s projected win total:

Using the projected 53-man rosters as of May 14, I ran 150,000 simulations for all 272 regular-season games. (A quick note: Barring injuries, which are typically the biggest source of uncertainty, I have made roster projections using the best information available. It’s May, for goodness’ sake, so you should check back for the updated versions of these win-total projections just before the season starts.) These simulations yielded a projected win total for each team, which, thanks to the multitude of factors involved, is not always a round number.

Seven wins would be a big improvement for Washington, particularly in the first year of a new regime. A fast start would undoubtedly have fans wanting and expecting similar results as the Texans had in 2023.

PODCAST: Projected win totals, Jonathan Gannon at annual league meeting

Jess Root and Seth Cox talk win totals and what Jonathan Gannon at the annual league meeting in Orlando.

DraftKings Sportsbook released projected win totals for the entire NFL and the league held its annual league meeting, where Arizona Cardinals head coach Jonathan Gannon spoke with reporters.

Cohost Seth Cox and I discuss the Cardinals’ projected win total and why it is a good line, and then we go over what we think of other totals around the NFL, including which ones we think are good bets.

After that, we discuss a variety of things that Gannon spoke about — Greg Dortch, Zaven Collins and the health of a few players coming off injuries.

Enjoy the show!

Enjoy the show with the embedded player above or by subscribing to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favorite podcast platform, so you never miss a show. Make sure as well to give it a five-star rating!

Times and topics:

(1:00) The Cardinals’ projected win total

(18:06) Projected win totals, good and bad bets for other NFL teams

(42:43) Jonathan Gannon’s comments on injuries, Zaven Collins, Greg Dortch and more

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How many games will LSU win in 2022?

247Sports projects the Tigers’ record this coming season.

There are not many teams more difficult to preview than the Tigers. This team went 6-7 last season and has a number of scary positional situations, especially along the offensive line.

Still, the decision to hire [autotag]Brian Kelly[/autotag] as the next head coach brought an influx of both coaching and on-field talent. With a solid haul in the transfer portal and a respectable transition class that included five-star linebacker [autotag]Harold Perkins[/autotag], an in-state prospect Kelly flipped from Texas A&M, this team has some potential.

Bud Elliott and Brad Crawford from 247Sports previewed the entire SEC, with Elliott projecting a win total and Crawford giving his take on that number. For the Tigers, neither was particularly confident.

Elliott pegged LSU at seven wins in 2022, and Crawford said the best bet would be for the Tigers to hit exactly that number. Here’s his full take.

Even; the win total is 6.5 for LSU, take the over as an official play, but that’s not going to happen. Brian Kelly inspires confidence as a head coach, even during his first season with the “big boys” in the SEC, but the back end of the slate is treacherous and there’s a chance the Tigers could lose their final three SEC games in November (Alabama, at Arkansas, at Texas A&M). If this helps, LSU is closer to an 8-4 finish than 6-6 if you want to sprinkle a few bucks on the over total.

Playing in the SEC West is certainly brutal for a first-year head coach, even one with Kelly’s credentials. Still, the winningest coach in Notre Dame history and third-winningest active FBS coach will be far from out of his depth in Baton Rouge.

This team has a lot of questions to answer, namely at the quarterback spot. But there are intriguing options there in veteran [autotag]Myles Brennan[/autotag], who has shown some promise when healthy, which has been rare. There’s also [autotag]Jayden Daniels[/autotag], a transfer from Arizona State who started three seasons for the Sun Devils.

If one of those two is the guy, this team could have a pretty high ceiling. There’s talent at the skill positions, and while the defense suffered a lot of losses this offseason, the transfer portal helped mitigate them. Given the schedule, finishing much better than 8-4 could be tough, but that seems like a realistic if slightly underwhelming goal to set in Year 1.

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Where Saints’ 2022 strength of schedule ranks among rest of NFL

The Saints will face both of the Super Bowl LVI teams, and 9 of their 17 games will be against playoff teams. How it shapes their strength of schedule:

A lot can change between now and the start of the 2022 NFL regular season, but Las Vegas waits on no one. Projected win totals are already live and bets are flowing in on how many games the New Orleans Saints will win this year. At time of posting, the Saints had a projected win total of 7.8 — an even further step back from their 9-win campaign in 2021, which was the first time New Orleans failed to find double-digit wins since 2016. It suggests the Saints are on the downslope, or at least that’s what the oddsmakers and sportsbooks are thinking.

Using projected win totals for the 2022 season, NFL analyst Warren Sharp calculated the strength of schedule for each of the 32 teams — and he found that the Saints sit right in the middle of the group at No. 15. Here are the teams New Orleans is expected to face at home and on the road, ordered by their projected win totals:

  • Home: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11.5), Los Angeles Rams (10.6),  Cincinnati Bengals (9.8), Baltimore Ravens (9.7), Minnesota Vikings (9.0), Las Vegas Raiders (8.5), Seattle Seahawks (6.4), Carolina Panthers (6.0), Atlanta Falcons (5.0)
  • Away: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11.5), San Francisco 49ers (10.1), Cleveland Browns (10.0), Arizona Cardinals (9.0), Philadelphia Eagles (8.4), Pittsburgh Steelers (7.6), Carolina Panthers (6.0), Atlanta Falcons (5.0)

On the one hand, the Saints are facing both of the teams that competed in Super Bowl LVI, and nine of their seventeen games are against 2021 playoffs teams. But at the same time, New Orleans does enjoy the benefits of a weak NFC South– neither the Panthers nor the Falcons appear threatening, Tom Brady’s Buccaneers have been frustrated by the Saints at every turn, and New Orleans has achieved a 24-8 record in divisional play dating back to 2017, including the playoffs. They’ve swept the six-game regular season series as recently as 2020. See for yourself:

  • 2021: 4-2
  • 2020: 6-1 (lost to Buccaneers in playoffs)
  • 2019: 5-1
  • 2018: 4-2
  • 2017: 5-2 (defeated Panthers in playoffs)

So if the Saints do stumble against some tough opponents from outside the conference, they know they can fall back on a division full of poorly-run franchises they can run grind into a fine paste and improve their record.

The stakes were already high in the first year of the Dennis Allen regime. But this trade with the Philadelphia Eagles put their 2023 first round pick on the line; if the Saints fail to meet expectations and get back to the playoffs after coming up short in 2021, they’ll be recovering from that pitfall without their best asset. Let’s hope their next move is the right one.

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Texas is projected to win eight regular season games in 2021

ESPN recently published the projected win totals for Texas’ upcoming college football season.

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The odds makers aren’t expecting much to change in the landscape of the Big 12 this season, as Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill provided their odds, which were published by ESPN for win totals for the upcoming season.

They projected the wins for only regular season games, meaning they are not accounting for conference championship games or bowl games.

With that being said, Las Vegas is not foreseeing a large jump in wins for the Longhorns. They’re projected to win eight regular season games, which would put them at 8-4 going into the bowl season. It is also good enough for third in the Big 12 behind Iowa State, who was projected to finish the season with 9.5 wins, and trailed Oklahoma with 11 wins on the year.

While Texas fans may be disappointed in eight wins, it’s understandable considering there are several unknowns going into the 2021 season with a new coaching staff and fresh faces all over the field. To name a few, Texas lost several key players to the 2021 NFL draft and will be fielding an inexperienced quarterback behind a new-look offensive line.

Although the fanbase is antsy, eight wins could honestly be the worst case scenario for Texas who had seven wins last season. They will have a much improved offense with Steve Sarkisian running the show, and although they lost key players from the defensive side of the ball, the Longhorns took in an abundance of transfers that can really boost the defense that ranked 64th in the nation last season.

Texas is confident in Sarkisian to produce results on the field. His coaching staff will look to change a culture and restore Texas to glory.