NBA Player Prop Bet Payday: Pat Bev will lock up Jamal Murray

Highlighting Friday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.

Friday’s 10-game NBA menu has a lot of tasty betting options. Eastern Conference vs. Western Conference teams highlight the slate with the Dallas Mavericks visiting the Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder playing at the Milwaukee Bucks.

Here are some savory NBA player props to devour from Friday’s action:

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

Pat Bev will lock up Jamal Murray

(Photo credit: Isaiah J. Downing – USA TODAY Sports)

The Denver Nuggets head to La La Land to play the Los Angeles Clippers — who are favored -5.5 — in their second meeting of the season. One of the key matchups in Nuggets-Clippers is L.A’s Pat Beverley vs. Denver’s Jamal Murray, and Pat Bev owns Murray in their head-to-heads: 

[protected-iframe id=”091a477f8213f30443ffaad0b8bcd26d-159279292-75965725″ info=”https://widgets.sports-reference.com/wg.fcgi?css=1&site=bbr&url=%2Fplay-index%2Fh2h_finder.cgi%3Frequest%3D1%26player_id1_hint%3DJamal%2BMurray%26player_id1_select%3DJamal%2BMurray%26player_id1%3Dmurraja01%26player_id2_select%3DPatrick%2BBeverley%26player_id2%3Dbeverpa01%26idx%3Dplayers&div=div_stats” ]

Murray has failed to score 20 points in each of his last two games and has scored over 20 points just once in his 11 career games against the Clippers. Also, in Beverley’s last five games, the opposing starting point guard hasn’t scored more than 18 points and is averaging just 12 points per game in those contests.  

BET JAMAL MURRAY UNDER 20.5 POINTS (-112).


Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.


Ball will fill up the box score on Cavs

(Photo credit: Ken Blaze – USA TODAY Sports)

The New Orleans Pelicans are in the midst of a playoff hunt as they host the Cleveland Cavaliers, who’s season is all but over.

This bet is more about the terrible Cavaliers defense than it is PG Lonzo Ball himself. Don’t get me wrong, Ball is playing pretty good basketball lately. He’s tallied more than 25 points, rebounds and assists in four of his past six games. Also, Ball is having his best shooting month of the season, averaging 44% from the field and 38.5% from 3-point land. However, the Cavaliers are giving up the most fantasy points to point guards this season. Plus, over their past five games, opposing starting point guards are averaging 29.6 points, rebounds and assists.

Bet Lonzo Ball over 25.5 points, rebounds and assists (-139).

Betting Beasley in Orlando 

(Photo credit: Jasen Vinlove – USA TODAY Sports)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are getting 7.5 points at the Orlando Magic. Watch out for SG Malik Beasley in this game because he’s been ON FIRE since joining the Timberwolves Feb.19. Beasley is averaging 21.7 points per game on 45.5% FG shooting and 41.8% on 3-pointers. He’s also shooting a whopping 9.6 3’s per game since being traded to Minnesota, where he’s now a starter. So even if Beasley is having an off night he still might eclipse his projected points total just based on shooting volume. One additional point: the Magic’s starting shooting guard — Evan Fournier — has the worst defensive rating in their starting lineup.

Bet Malik Beasley over 17.5 points (-106).

Want some action on these NBA prop bets? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NBA Player Prop Bet Payday: ‘Stifle Tower’ will stop Ayton

Highlighting Monday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.

Eight games tip-off Monday in the Association and the slate is lackluster with only two of the scheduled games featuring playoff teams. Good thing we can find some derivative bets to make this ho-hum NBA card more exciting. Here are some NBA player props you can fade or follow ahead of tonight’s action:

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

JRich needs to step up versus Hawks 

(Photo credit: Adam Hunger – USA TODAY Sports)

Richardson is familiar with the Atlanta Hawks since he played with their Southeast Division rival, the Miami Heat, in his first four seasons in the NBA. He has scored 19 or more points in six of his 10 career starts against the Hawks.

Furthermore, it’ll be expected of Richardson to pick up the slack offensively since Ben Simmons is definitely out with injury and Tobias Harris is expected to miss the game against Atlanta. He should cash in on those opportunities because the Hawks surrender the seventh-most points per game to shooting guards in the NBA. This is the major reason I am not tripping about the 16.5-point price for Richardson against Atlanta. BetMGM oddsmakers know that he’s going to get more usage in this one and they are setting the line appropriately. Don’t be scared off by the price.

BET OVER Josh Richardson 16.5 points (-112)


Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.


Nunn will Heat up against Cavs

(Photo credit: Kim Klement – USA TODAY Sports)

Nunn scored 24 points in his last game, which was against these very Cavaliers, on February 22. Cleveland gives up the sixth-most points per game to point guards and three opposing starting point guards have scored 24 or more points against the Cavs in their last five games.

Also, Miami’s leading scorer, Jimmy Butler, is expected to be sidelined this game and it would be his 10th missed game of the season. In the previous nine games, Butler was out Nunn has scored 20+ in four of them and averages 18.2 points per game in those contests.

BET OVER Kendrick Nunn 17.5 points (-106)

Also see:

‘Stifle Tower’ will stop Ayton

(Photo credit: Russ Isabella – USA TODAY Sports)

This prop is more about who Deandre Ayton is going against than he himself. He has scored 25+ points in four of his last six overall games, but Ayton averages just 10.3 points per game in his three career starts against the Utah Jazz.

Rudy Gobert is the defending, back-to-back, Defensive Player of the Year and hasn’t missed a beat this season. The Stifel Tower is eighth in defensive rating, second in defensive win shares, second in defensive rebounds per game and fifth in blocks per game. He and the Jazz have allowed just 14.9 points per game to starting centers over their past 10 games.

BET UNDER Deandre Ayton 18.5 points (-112)

Want some action on these NBA prop bets? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NBA Player Prop Bet Payday: Trae Young will be cold against the Heat

Highlighting Thursday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.

Now that the All-Star Game has been played, we are in the home stretch of the 2019-20 NBA season. Who’s tanking? Which teams are motivated by legitimate playoff aspirations? A dialed-in sports gambler may be able to answer these questions and find winners in BetMGM’s player specials.

Below are some NBA player props you should check out.

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 4:40 p.m. ET.

Trae will be cold against the Heat

(Photo credit: Dale Zanine – USA TODAY Sports)

Trae Young failed to score more than 30 points in the two games prior to the All-Star Break and hasn’t scored more than 24 points in his six career games against the Heat. Miami has the top-ranked opponent’s 3-point percentage and allows the third-fewest 3-pointers made by point guards in the NBA. Furthermore, the Heat surrender the second-fewest points per game to point guards. Lastly, the Hawks are the worst team in the NBA in 3-point percentage so it’ll be much easier for the Heat to focus on their one offensive bright spot in Young.

BET TRAE YOUNG UNDER 29.5 POINTS (-112)


Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.


LeVert could light up Sixers 

(Photo credit: Wendell Cruz – USA TODAY Sports)

Caris LeVert’s rebounds, assists and points combined projection of 26.5 is too low. Granted I can make sense of it; Philadelphia allows the fewest fantasy points per game to shooting guards and has an elite defensive backcourt between NBA Defensive Player of the Year candidate Ben Simmons and Josh Richardson

But LeVert was playing really well before the All-Star break and he had 28 combined points, rebounds and assists in his last game against the Sixers Jan. 20. He averaged 33 combined rebounds, assists and points in his last five games. Keep in mind Kyrie Irving’s return to the lineup was pushed back this past week after suffering a setback in rehabbing an injured shoulder, so the Nets are going to need to rely on more production for LeVert.

BET levert over 26.5 (-118) combined points, rebounds and assists

Bridges will ball up the Bulls 

(Photo credit: Jeremy Brevard – USA TODAY Sports)

There is a lot of positive momentum for Miles Bridges as he won the 2020 NBA Rising Stars MVP award. Before the All-Star break, the second-year small forward out of Michigan State has broken out of whatever sophomore slump he may have had and is getting buckets. Bridges has averaged 20.3 points per game over his last seven contests. Plus, Bridges will have an easier time finishing around the basket since the Bulls will be without both starting frontcourt players in Lauri Markkanen and Wendell Carter Jr.  Finally, I view juiced up vig on Bridges Over 14.5 (-125) as a positive because BetMGM knows Bridges is playing well lately and they’d like to scare bettors from cashing in on his recent performance.

BET Miles Bridges over 14.5 (-125) points

Want some action on these NBA prop bets? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NBA Player Prop Bet Payday: DeRozan motivated to ball in hometown LA  

Highlighting Monday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.

The NBA’s post-Super Bowl Monday 10-game slate eases our disappointment of no more football. Aside from the games and totals themselves, bettors can find a ton of profitable NBA player props in tonight’s action.

Below are some NBA player props you should check out.

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last Monday updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

DeRozan motivated to ball in hometown LA  

(Photo credit: Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports)

DeMar DeRozan was born and raised in Los Angeles, so you know the recent passing of Kobe Bryant is on the front of his mind when his San Antonio Spurs visit the Clippers. BetMGM’s 24.5 point projection of DeRozan is puzzling because Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are listed as active but I think it’s explained with the motivational factor. DeRozan has played well recently, averaging 32.7 points per game over his last three and has really impressed in recent visits to Los Angeles. He has scored 25+ points in every game at Staples Center since joining the San Antonio Spurs. Plus DeRozan has performed better than his averages against Leonard in their 13 head-to-head meetings:

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As you see, his per-game total of 21.3 on .500 field-goal percentage is better than his career average of 20 points per game on .457 FG%. Let’s lean into BetMGM’s bloated projection and BET DeROZAN OVER 24.5 (-112).


Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.


Beal will get buckets versus Warriors 

( Photo credit: Jeremy Brevard – USA TODAY Sports)

Bradley Beal should be motivated by his All-Star snub and continue his current hot streak in Washington when his Wizards host the Golden State Warriors. He’s has scored 34+ points in each of his last six games and has 16 games above 31 points. Also, the Warriors give up the second-most points per game to shooting guards in the NBA (behind the Wizards, actually). This helps our case for Beal’s Over because both backcourts are primed to go back and forth tonight.

Also, I love the idea of getting reduced vig to BET BEAL OVER 30.5 (-106) points scored.

Simmons’ Super Bowl Hangover in Miami  

(Photo credit: Steve Mitchell – USA TODAY Sports)

Check out social media and/or the U.S. tabloids and you’ll see Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons hanging with beau Kendall Jenner at last night’s Super Bowl LIV. Can he get up the next day against a quality defensive opponent in Miami? There’s a chance the Miami nightlife could slow him down as much as the Heat themselves.

Miami allows the second-fewest points per game and the third-fewest fantasy points per game to point guards. Also, in Simmons’ career in Miami, he’s never scored more than his BetMGM projected total of 17.5 and has only eclipsed that total in three of 10 overall games against Miami. Furthermore, an opposing starting point guard hasn’t scored more than 16 in any of the last 10 games against the Heat.

BET UNDER SIMMONS 17.5 (-134). 

Want some action on these NBA prop bets? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NBA Player Prop Bet Payday: Jaren Jackson will maul the Pistons

Highlighting Friday’s best NBA player props with odds, analysis and picks.

If you’re dialed into the NBA regular season and do the homework, you can find some easy winners betting NBA player props. Lines are juiced up because BetMGM knows that the informed bettor has more of an advantage in these wagers compared to sides or totals.

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 4:40 p.m. ET.

Let’s build up our bankroll by betting these NBA player prop locks:

Jackson will maul the Pistons

(Photo credit: Gary A. Vasquez – USA TODAY Sports)

The Grizzlies-Pistons should be a get right game for Jaren Jackson, who’s scored below his season average of 17.7 points per game in three of his last four games.

Jackson has only played the Pistons once in his early career; but, man, it was an impressive performance. He scored 26 points on 8-11 shooting from the field, hitting both threes attempted, and added 10 boards. Based on this season’s results, the matchup bodes well for Jackson who is shooting .406  from 3-point land this season and the Pistons are ranked 27th in opponent’s 3-point %. In addition, Detroit gives up the sixth most points in the paint per game and the fourth most points per game to power forwards.

BET JAREN JACKSON OVER 16.5 (-125). 

Domantas vs. Draymond

(Photo credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)

Going against one of the NBA’s best big-man defenders in Domantas Sabonis will not be a welcomed sight for Draymond Green, who’s been struggling since the new year. Sabonis is having a better defensive season than Green; his 105 defensive rating, defensive rebounding percentage and defensive win shares are all higher than Green’s.

This month Green is averaging just 4.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. Pretty solid for your run of the mill role-player, but given Green’s contract, championship hardware and personal accolades, those numbers are slightly disappointing. The Pacers, as a team, is giving up the sixth fewest fantasy points per game to power forwards. Opposing starting power forwards have scored just 8.8 PPG in the the last six games against Indiana.

BET DRAYMOND GREEN UNDER 18.5 (-125) points, rebounds and assists. 


Place a legal sports bet on these NBA prop bets or other games at BetMGM.


Lonzo will drop dimes against Denver 

(Photo credit: Brad Penner – USA TODAY Sports)

Now that Zion Williamson is finally starting for the Pelicans, Lonzo Ball has more options to pass the ball. Ball has had seven or more assists in nine of his last 10 games, is averaging 9.1 assists per game in January and averages 6.6 APG in his career against the Nuggets.

Also, the  Nuggets allow the most APG to point guards in the NBA and have given 8.4 APG against starting point guards in their last five games. Expect Ball to really control the tempo against a Nuggets backcourt that could be without starters Jamal Murray and Gary Harris Jr.

BET OVER LONZO BALL 6.5 ASSISTS (-125). 

Want some action on these NBA prop bets? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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