Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-6) and New York Mets (8-8) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 1-0

New York picked up the 6-3 win in Monday’s series opener while covering as a -119 home favorite. Pittsburgh scored 3 runs in the top of the 6th, but the Mets rallied with 3 runs in the bottom of the 6th and scored 3 more in the 8th.

Reliever Aroldis Chapman took the loss, allowing 3 ER, 1 H, and 1 BB with 2 K (one on a wild pitch) in 1/3 of an inning before being ejected. The Pirates have lost 2 of their last 3 games.

Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Jones (1-2, 4.00 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 18 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 8 K in a 5-1 road loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • First career start vs. Mets

Quintana (1-1, 3.45 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in a 16-4 win over the Atlanta Braves Thursday
  • Career vs. Pittsburgh: 5-2, 3.33 ERA (73 IP, 27 ER), 75 H, 11 BB, 67 K across 14 starts

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Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Mets -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-225) | Mets -1.5 (+184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

BET METS (-132).

New York has won the last 2 games against the Pirates in New York and the Mets are 6-1 overall in the last 7 meetings in the Big Apple. New York is 4-1 in its last 5 games while Pittsburgh is only 2-4 in its last 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like Pittsburgh +1.5 (-225) to cover here especially as the Pirates are 12-5 ATS this season while the Mets are only 8-8, but they are not worth the (-225) risk. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 2 of New York’s last 3 games and in 6 of the last 9 games. For Pittsburgh, the Over has hit in back-to-back games. The Over has also each of the last 3 Pirates-Mets meetings, but be aware that the Under has gone 5-5 in the last 10 meetings and that the Under has hit in 4 of New York’s last 10 and 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 10.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-65) begin a 3-game series against the New York Mets (53-65) on Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates split a doubleheader against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, winning 4-2 before losing the 2nd game 6-5 in the 10th inning. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses in its last 5 contests and is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 1/2 games out of 1st.

The Mets squeaked out a 7-6 win over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday to snap a 3-game losing streak. New York remains in 4th place in the NL East and is 22 1/2 games behind dividion-leading Atlanta.

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Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP Quinn Priester vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Priester (2-1, 8.75 ERA) makes his career 6th start. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 23 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 6-5 home loss to the Braves on Wednesday
  • Road stats: 1-0, 6.75 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 2 starts
  • Rookie’s 1st career start vs. the Mets

Carrasco (3-6, 6.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 81 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 home loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday
  • Home stats: 1-2, 7.82 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 31 ER) in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 2-1, 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts

Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Pirates 5

Moneyline

Even with New York’s woes this season, I’ll back the METS (-135) at home in Monday’s matchup. The Mets are 29-27 at home, while the Pirates are 24-33 on the road this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PIRATES +1.5 (-160) is the play for the run line unless the odds are worse than -160. The Pirates have won 3 of Priester’s 1st 5 starts, and Carrasco will likely keep this game close at home.

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Over/Under

OVER 10.5 (-115) is how I’d bet on the run total. Priester and Carrasco have both given up at least 4 ER in 4 of their last 5 starts.

The Pirates are also 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-89) and New York Mets (90-55) continue their 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Citi Field will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 3-1

The Pirates dropped Thursday’s series opener 7-1, but they had just swept the Cincinnati Reds in a 4-game series to start the week. Pittsburgh has won 5 of its last 8 games but remains in the basement of the NL Central.

The Mets were shockingly swept by the Chicago Cubs in their last series, losing 3 straight games. Thursday’s win was a bounce-back victory and helped them maintain their 1-game lead over the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

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Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Keller (5-10, 4.01 ERA) makes his 26th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 137 IP.

  • Has been excellent in his 2 starts in September, pitching 13-scoreless innings with 8 strikeouts and only 7 hits allowed
  • The Pirates are just 4-8 in their last 12 games in which Keller pitched

Walker (11-4, 3.48 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 134 2/3 IP.

  • Held the Miami Marlins to only 1 earned run and tied a season-high with 10 strikeouts over 7 innings his last time out on the road Sunday
  • The Mets are just 2-5 in his last 7 starts despite Walker only allowing more than 3 runs in 2 of those starts

Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Mets -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+100) | Mets -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Pirates 3

Money line

The Mets are heavily favored in this game, as they should be. So much so that I’m not willing to bet on the money line where they’re -270. There simply isn’t enough potential reward for the risk.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s hard to understand how the Mets got swept by the Cubs, and not a single one of those games were decided by 1 run. They looked much better on Thursday in their 7-1 win over Pittsburgh, and that should continue Friday with Walker on the mound.

As well as Keller has pitched for the Pirates in his last 2 starts — including a win over the Mets — New York boasts one of the best lineups in baseball and he only struck out 2 batters last time against the Mets.

Bet the METS -1.5 (-120) to cover.

Over/Under

The total just barely went over 7.5 runs last night as RHP Carlos Carrasco completely shut down the Pirates en route to a win. The total has gone Over in 3 of their 4 meetings this season, as well.

Bet the OVER 7.5 (-120) Friday.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-88) head to the Big Apple to face the New York Mets (89-55) Thursday in the opener of a 4-game set at Citi Field. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Pirates completed a 4-game sweep over the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday and outscored them 23-8 in the process. They’re 6-4 over the last 10 but just 10-20 over the last 30 as they sit in the cellar of the NL Central.

The Mets were swept in a 3-game series by the Chicago Cubs to start the week. They have really had problems lately with the Atlanta Braves on their heels, just a half-game back in the NL East. The Mets are 4-6, 10-10 and 15-15 over the last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively.

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Pirates at Mets projected starters

RHP JT Brubaker vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Brubaker (3-11, 4.36 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 138 1/3 IP.

  • Last 3 starts: 5.50 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.0 K/9
  • 0-7 record on road but has a 3.88 ERA away from PNC Park vs. 4.88 at home

Carrasco (14-6, 3.80 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 135 IP.

  • Last start: 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K in a road win at the Miami Marlins
  • 8-2, 3.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.8 K/9 at home

Pirates at Mets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Mets -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-108) | Mets -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Pirates 3

Money line

The Mets find a way in this one, but there’s no chance we’re risking -270 on them. Brubaker is better than his numbers indicate, but he has given up at least 3 runs in his last 3 starts.

Let’s take the METS OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-104).

Run line/Against the spread

These teams met for a 3-game series across 2 days a little over a week ago. None of the games were competitive with the Mets winning 5-1 and 10-0, and the Pirates winning the opener 8-2. This is a “get-right” game for New York.

The METS -1.5 (-112) is well within our ballpark.

Over/Under

The Pirates are 5-4-1 O/U over the last 10 games, and the Mets are 6-4. Two of the 3 previous games went well over this total. The wind is blowing in from left-center field at 7 mph, but that shouldn’t affect right-handed-hitting slugger 1B Pete Alonso.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-107).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (33-56) and New York Mets (47-39) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase De Jong is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 1-3 with a 5.08 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 over 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts.

De Jong was 0-3 with a 6.46 ERA in five June starts, but he started off July nicely with a win against the Atlanta Braves Monday. He allowed just 1 run on 4 hits and 3 walks with 4 strikeouts across 5 innings.

LHP Aaron Loup is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 across 26 innings spanning 30 relief appearances.

Loup has never started an MLB game and threw 40 pitches over 3 innings in his longest outing of the 2021 season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Mets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Mets -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 8, Pirates 1

Money line (ML)

The Mets (-225) are very expensive, and it’s hard to imagine the Pirates (+185) cobbling much offense together, even with Loup making the start.

De Jong has been just too shaky, despite an encouraging start last time out, and you cannot take a flier on the big-time underdog.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The METS -1.5 (-115) are a better value on the run line in Sunday’s finale heading into the break.

The first-place team in the NL East is also worth a look on the alternate line, playing METS -2.5 (+125) for a small-unit wager. The Pirates won’t be able to generate much, and New York should pile up the runs against De Jong.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean, not because the Pirates will be able to plate many runs, but because the Mets should go bonkers in the series finale against the very giving De Jong.

Should the Mets knock him out early, they can pick apart the Bucs’ bullpen, which has a 4.36 ERA, to rank ninth in the National League.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-55) and New York Mets (46-38) play a doubleheader Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch of Game 1 is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 4-8 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 92 1/3 IP across 16 starts.

Anderson twirled 7 scoreless innings in his most recent outing, a July 4 win against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing just 3 hits and 2 walks while recording 6 strikeouts.

RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 6-6 with a 2.60 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 93 1/3 IP through 17 starts.

Stroman allowed 5 runs (3 earned) on 6 hits with a walk and 0 strikeouts across 5 innings receiving a no-decision on the road July 4 against the New York Yankees. He hasn’t won in four starts dating back to June 12.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-150) | Mets -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mets 5, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The Mets (-200) are a little more expensive than I care to spend, especially on a doubleheader. My personal money line limit is -180, and I like to try and stick to that unless I feel very strongly about a play. That isn’t the case here.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The METS -1.5 (+125) are a much better play on the run line in Game 1. Stroman hasn’t pitched terribly well lately, but Anderson has a losing record and he hasn’t had back-to-back quality starts since three straight outings from April 27-May 9.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 5.5 (-115) is the play in the double-dip opener, as that total is just too low. Stroman hasn’t been dominant like he was earlier in the season and Anderson has a dismal 5.75 ERA across 40 2/3 innings in seven starts on the road.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-54) and New York Mets (45-38) got rained out Thursday, and will now begin a four-game weekend series Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 4-8 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 83 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

Brubaker hasn’t been great on the road this season, as he boasts a 4.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, compared to 3.40 and 0.96 at home. He has allowed five homers in his last two starts, pushing his HR/9 up to 1.7 on the year.

RHP Taijuan Walker is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 7-3 with a 2.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 85 IP over 15 starts.

Walker has been lights out at home this season, putting up a 1.52 ERA in seven starts, with 45 strikeouts across 41 1/3 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Pirates at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Mets -200 (bet $2000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Mets -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mets 5, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The Pirates have struggled all season on the road, winning just 13 of 42 contests and ranking 29th in the league at 3.00 runs per game.

Brubaker got off to a strong start but has recorded a 5.36 ERA and 2.0 HR/9 over his last eight starts.

The Mets are 26-12 at home this season and should come out on top in this one, but -200 is too steep. PASS on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates have scored two runs or less in eight of their last 10 games, and face a pitcher in Walker who has had a lot of success in his home park. They will have a tough time getting much going Friday evening.

The Mets haven’t hit well at home, as their 3.39 runs per game rank dead last in all of baseball. But several starters have recently returned from injury, and they should push across enough runs to win by more than one.

Go with METS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

This is a matchup of the two lowest-scoring teams in the league. The Mets run line and Under can’t both hit if the Pirates get three or more runs, but Walker has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts and should shut down a struggling Pittsburgh offense.

The Mets aren’t likely to have a huge day, either, so UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the side to take.

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