Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (72-83) and the Cincinnati Reds (76-80) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 7-5

Regardless of what happens Sunday, the Pirates will have won the season series from the Reds, as the teams do not meet again. It gets even more difficult for Cincinnati, as it has to try to solve rookie RHP Paul Skenes.

The Pirates have struggled in this series, with the Reds outscoring them 15-4 in the 2 games, with Cincinnati cashing as a slight favorite in each outing. The Over-Under has split in the 1st 2 games of the series.

Pittsburgh has won just twice in the past 9 games, while the Under is on a 6-2 run across the past 8 outings.

Cincinnati has a winning record in September, going 12-7. The Over has connected 6 of the previous 8 contests.

RHP Hunter Greene (elbow) returns from the injured list to make his 1st start since Aug. 13, after being sidelined nearly 6 weeks due to an elbow injury.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Skenes (10-3, 2.07 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 126 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-0 road setback vs. St. Louis Cardinals Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-2, 1.49 ERA, 54 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 3 HR, 0.87 WHIP, .175 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 75 K in 9 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-2, 2.25 ERA, 40 IP, 10 ER, 13 BB, 51 K, 1.08 WHIP
  • Career/2024 vs. Reds: 2-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 16 K, .195 OBA in 2 starts

Greene (9-4, 2.83 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 143 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 4-1 home victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Aug. 13
  • 2024 home splits: 5-3, 3.39 ERA, 77 IP, 29 ER, 8 HR, 1.10 WHIP, .210 OBA, 28 BB, 93 K in 13 starts
  • Last 7 games: 4-0, 0.98 ERA, 46 IP, 5 ER, 12 BB, 53 K, 0.70 WHIP
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-3, 3.00 ERA, 33 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 15 BB, 47 K, 1.12 WHIP, 12.8 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Pirates -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Reds 2

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-120) are the play with Skenes on the hill, as they look to salvage at least 1 game from the season’s final meeting against the Reds (+100).

Go lightly, though, as the Bucs are just 7-7 in the past 14 starts by Skenes, as he just doesn’t get enough support. Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of the past 10 games, too, so it really hasn’t been supporting any of its pitchers.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds +1.5 (-160) are a little too expensive, if you woud like a little insurance. Yes, the Pirates -1.5 (+135) have had trouble with the sticks, but Greene is coming back after a 5-week stint on the injured list.

PASS, and just focus on the moneyline play.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board.

Skenes has kept scores down in his starts, with the Under cashing in each of the previous 3 outings for the All-Star rookie. The Under is 1-0-1 in his 2 outings against the Reds, too.

If Greene can pitch like he was prior to his injury, that would be amazing for Under bettors. He has a minuscule 0.98 ERA in his previous 7 outings.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-41) and Cincinnati Reds (37-42) conclude their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 3-2

The Pirates bounced back after a tough 11-5 loss Monday to beat the Reds 9-5 Tuesday as +116 underdogs. LF Bryan Reynolds was the star offensively for Pittsburgh, extending the majors’ longest active hitting streak to 22 games after going 2-for-5 with a 2-run blast and 2 runs. 3B Jared Triolo also had a 2-run home run, while 2B Nick Gonzales went 3-for-4.

Reds ace Hunter Greene had his 5-game win streak snapped Tuesday, allowing 6 earned runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings. Cincinnati received multi-hit performances from 2B Jonathan India, SS Elly De La Cruz and 1B Spencer Steer in the loss. The Reds are 0-3-1 in their last 4 series, so a win Wednesday would be a nice boost.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Luis L. Ortiz vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Ortiz (3-2, 3.45 ERA) makes his 1st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 47 innings.

  • Last appearance: No-decision, 4 IP in relief, 6 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 10-3 loss at Tampa Bay Ray Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.70 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 11 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 2.89 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Ashcraft (4-3, 5.05 ERA) will make his 13th start, following a 3-week demotion to the minors. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 12-7 loss at Colorado Rockies June 5
  • 2024 home splits: 3-1, 7.71 ERA (21 IP, 18 ER), 1.71 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 2.89 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Reds -124 (bet $124 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+158) | Reds +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 7, Reds 6

Moneyline.

PASS.

However, if you must, the LEAN is with Pittsburgh (+106) mostly because of the plus odds. Both of these teams are playing very mediocre baseball. Neither team really stands out one way or the other. The Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games, while the Reds are 3-7.

Pittsburgh is starting a reliever in Ortiz on a getaway day and Cincinnati is putting Ashcraft back in the rotation after he was demoted a few weeks ago. I’m personally STAYING AWAY.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I don’t like the either team’s run line for the same reasons listed above. This one is tough to handicap for so many factors. The Pirates are 2 games under .500 on the road at 19-21; the Reds are 2 games under .500 at home at 20-22. There are just no trends to lean into with this game. AVOID.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-114).

I love the total in this game for several reasons. Both starting pitchers struggled big time in their last outings. The first 2 games of this series have easily cashed Over tickets. Plus, the Over is 4-1 in Ashcraft’s last 5 starts.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-41) and Cincinnati Reds (37-41) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates lost 11-5 as +122 underdogs in the series opener Monday as the Over (9.5) hit. Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 4 games.

Reds SS Elly De La Cruz drove in 3 runs, including a 2-run HR in the 6th inning. LF Spencer Steer also had 3 RBIs for Cincinnati, which cashed as a -132 favorite.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Keller (8-4, 3.11 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1-0 home victory vs. Reds Wednesday
  • 2024 road stats: 4-3, 3.83 ERA (47 IP, 20 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 2-4, 5.45 ERA (72 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts

Greene (5-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 88 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in Wednesday’s loss at Pittsburgh
  • 2024 home stats: 2-2, 4.02 ERA (47 IP, 21 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-2, 1.55 ERA (29 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-190) | Reds -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

The REDS (-125) should pick up where they left off in Monday’s win. Greene has allowed a total of just 2 runs over his last 2 starts (11 1/3 IP), and Pittsburgh is averaging just 2.5 runs over its last 6 games.

BET REDS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates +1.5 (-190) will likely hit, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term laying -190 on 35-cent lines.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Greene has allowed just 2 runs in 11 1/3 IP over his last 2 starts, and Keller has given up a total of just 4 runs over his last 3 outings (19 IP). The Pirates have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Reds have put up 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 9.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-40) visit the Cincinnati Reds (36-41) on Monday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

Pittsburgh lost 3-1 to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday while failing to cover as a -165 home favorite. LF Bryan Reynolds had the team’s only RBI with a solo HR. RHP Paul Skenes allowed just 1 ER in 7 IP while striking out 8.

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after losing 7-4 against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday as a -152 home favorite. LHP Nick Lodolo allowed 3 ER in 4 2/3 IP to take the loss.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Carson Spiers

Falter (3-5, 3.74 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.38 BB/9 and 5.90 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 loss against the  Reds Tuesday
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-2, 6.29 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 30 H, 6 BB, 18 K in 4 starts

Spiers (0-1, 3.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.78 BB/9 and 7.11 K/9 in 25 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-1 loss at Pirates Monday; 1st time he faced Pittsburgh
  • Has allowed 9 ER, walked 5 and struck out 20 in 6 games

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (-115).

Cincinnati is 5-4 in its last 9 games at home and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of the 9. The Reds have scored 4 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games while allowing 4 or fewer runs twice in the same span. Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 5 and has scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games, including 1 run or fewer runs in 3 of its last 5.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the moneyline in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).

Both teams have hit the Under in 8 of the last 10 games. Pittsburgh has scored 4 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 10 games, including 1 run in 3 of its last 4, while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 9 games. Cincinnati has scored 4 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 10 games while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 10.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (79-77) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-81) to Great American Ball Park Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 8-4

The Pirates rallied for a 13-12 victory as +117 underdogs Saturday after trailing 9-0 in the 4th inning. Pittsburgh has now won 4 straight outings despite being an underdog in each game and is 7-3 over its last 10 and 36-41 on the road this season.

The Reds need to get hot to get an NL Wild Card spot, as they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. Cincinnati has lost 4 straight games and is 2 1/2 games back of the final playoff berth.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Quinn Priester vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Priester (3-2, 8.61 ERA) makes his 7th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 7-2 road loss to the New York Mets on Aug. 14
  • 2023 road stats: 1-1, 7.52 ERA in 20 1/3 IP over 3 starts and 4 appearances

Williamson (4-5, 4.56 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 106 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 8-4 road loss to the Mets Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-2, 4.24 ERA in 51 IP over 9 starts

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Reds -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Reds -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 8, Pirates 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Reds should bounce back after blowing a 9-run lead to the Pirates Saturday. Williamson will have a significant pitching advantage, but there’s no value in backing Cincinnati (-190) on the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (-105).

Pittsburgh is in the bottom half of the league in cover rate as a road underdog, just 38-33 against the spread (ATS) this season. Cincinnati is 11-17 ATS as a home favorite and has a better ATS record than Pittsburgh in divisional games.

Cincinnati is on the cusp of an NL Wild Card spot and can’t afford to drop this game. After starting up 9-0 Saturday, a bounce-back performance with Williamson having had far more success on the mound than Priester seems likely.

Take REDS -1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 11 (-105).

The bats have been hot, and the pitching hasn’t been great throughout this series. The Pirates won 7-5 Friday then 13-12 Saturday. The Reds have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games with a total and in 2 straight Williamson starts.

Pittsburgh is 84-65-5 O/U on the season and has gone Over in 5 straight games. It has gone Over in 5 of Priester’s 6 starts. Take OVER 11 (-105).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (73-81) and Cincinnati Reds (79-76) play the 2nd of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 7-4

The Bucs have won 3 games in a row and are surging with 7 wins in the last 10 contests. They still sit 7 games out of an NL Wild Card spot with hope dwindling, but it has been a successful season for them. Pittsburgh is 18-12 over the last 30 games.

The Reds came of age as well this year, and they’re just 1 1/2 games out of an NL Wild Card spot. They need to turn it around though, as they’ve lost 3 in a row and 4 of 5. Cincinnati has actually been a better road team at 42-34 as opposed to 37-42 at home, but it has struggled at 19-28 within the NL Central.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Connor Phillips

Falter (2-9, 4.58 ERA) makes his 14th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 78 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 1 K Tuesday against Chicago Cubs
  • 2 career starts vs. Reds: 0-1, 5.59 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 6 K in 9 2/3 IP

Phillips (1-0, 5.74 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K Monday against Minnesota Twins
  • Is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 in 2 home starts

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Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Pirates 5

Moneyline

This is going to be a battle. The Pirates have won 6 of their last 10 meetings with the Reds, but the Reds have taken 2 of the last 4. Cincinnati needs this series to stay in contention, and Pittsburgh took the opener Friday. Look for the Reds to come out early and put the pressure on.

Take the REDS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds have been money on the run line this season at 93-61, including a 45-33 mark at home. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams have been decided by more than a run. Go easy, but I’ll take the REDS -1.5 (+140) for a HALF-UNIT due to the magnitude of this game.

Over/Under

The Pirates have scored 28 runs in their last 3 games. The Over is just 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between the teams, but it has hit in 3 of the last 4 games. We have two relative unknowns on the mound Saturday, and the ball really flies in GABP.

I’ll LEAN OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (79-75) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (72-81) to Great American Ball Park Friday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 6-4

The Reds are 6-4 over their last 10 games and lost 2 of 3 games vs. the Minnesota Twins to start the week. Cincinnati lost 5-3 Wednesday as a -128 favorite to fall to 37-41 at home this season. The Reds are a half-game back of the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs for the final NL Wild Card.

The Pirates are 34-41 on the road and are also 6-4 over their last 10 games. Pittsburgh won 2 of 3 against the Cubs from Tuesday to Thursday, picking up the series finale 8-6 as a +151 underdog.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Luis Ortiz vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Ortiz (4-5, 4.85 ERA) makes his 15th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 78 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 6 BB, 2 K in 6-3 home loss vs. New York Yankees Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-2, 4.54 ERA in 39 2/3 IP over 7 starts and 8 appearances

Abbott (8-5, 3.68 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 102 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road win vs. New York Mets Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-3, 3.46 ERA in 48 IP over 10 starts

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Reds -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-140) | Reds -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Given how well the Pirates are playing — they’ve scored 21 runs over their last 2 games — there’s little value on the Reds at -165. However, Cincinnati will have a sizable pitching advantage and probably should be that large of a favorite.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS -1.5 (+115).

The Pirates have been electric at the plate as of late, but they have also given up 6 or more runs in 3 straight games. They have lost 3 of their last 6 games by 2 or more runs.

The Reds are an MLB-best 93-61 ATS despite having covered just 1 of their last 5 games.

With a pitching advantage in their home park and in a game that could play a big factor in their postseason dreams, combined with the Pirates’ flaws on the mound lately, the Reds have good value to cover.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-110).

The Reds have gone over in 2 of their last 4 games and are 7-6-1 O/U in their last 14 games.

The Pirates have scored 22 runs over their last 3 games and allowed 27 in that span, so they have had high-action games as of late. The Pirates are 83-66-4 O/U this season — the 4th highest Over % in the league.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (0-1) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 1-0

The Reds lost their season-opening game to Pittsburgh 5-4. Second baseman Jonathan India and DH Jake Fraley both led the team with 2 hits.

Pittsburgh, on the other hand, was led by SS Oneil Cruz, who had 2 RBIs and 1 HR Thursday. The Pirates bullpen pitched 4 1/3 innings and allowed 0 ER.

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Pirates at Reds projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Hill (8-7, 4.27 ERA) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.303 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 124 1/3 IP in 2022.

  • Hill came over to Pittsburgh from Boston.
  • The 43-year-old veteran was 5-3 on the road last season.

Lodolo (6-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 1st start. He has a 1.248 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 103 1/3 IP.

  • Lodolo is just 25 years old and led the league in hitting batters last season (19).
  • He was 3-4 in 12 games started at GABP last season. In those, he had just a 2.85 ERA.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Reds nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Pirates 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (-145).

Lodolo pitched his best at home last season, and he has shown promise in the majors. The Reds ended Thursday with fewer runs but more hits and a better batting average.

In the first half of the season in 2022, the Reds were 3-2 against Pittsburgh at home. This is a good bounce-back spot with a quality prospect on the mound for Cincinnati.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There isn’t much value here either way as these teams played a close battle Thursday. Reds -1.5 (+135) isn’t worth the risk here.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Both starting pitchers from Thursday were taken out with over a 7.70 ERA. Hunter Greene had an 8.10 ERA while Mitch Keller had a 7.71 ERA. Hill and Lodolo should be better and limit batters.

Lodolo’s last 3 starts of the 2022 season went Under this total. Hill went Under this total in his last 2 starts of last season and in 3 of his last 5.

For a small unit, take the UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates battle the Cincinnati Reds in the season-opener Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Pittsburgh won 12 of 19 meetings in 2022.

The Reds finished in 4th place in the NL Central a season ago, ending the 2022 at 62-100. First baseman Joey Votto and 2B Jonathan India are the team’s most notable batters.

The only team as bad in the division as Cincinnati last season was Pittsburgh. The Pirates also finished 62-100. LF Bryan Reynolds led the team with 27 HRs last season, and he will be back on the roster for the 2023 season.

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Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Hunter Greene

The 26-year-old Keller went 5-12 during his 4th season with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. He closed the year with 3.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 159 IP.

  • Allowed just 14 HRs in 31 games (29 starts) last season
  • Was 4-5 on the road last season with a 4.13 ERA in 14 games (13 starts)

Greene went 5-13 during his 1st MLB season with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He notched 3.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 125 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 24 HRs in 24 starts in 2022, although he gave up just 1 HR in his last 6 games.
  • Was 3-6 at home as opposed to 2-7 on the road.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Pirates at Reds nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Pirates 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (-140).

In the Reds’ 1st 2 home series against the Pirates last year, they went 3-2. The 23-year-old Greene should be able to produce, having had a full offseason after his rookie campaign.

While you can’t put much stock into it, Cincinnati was 15-14 in spring training while Pittsburgh was 9-18. The Pirates were 2-9 as the road team in spring training.

The Reds were 33-48 at home last season while Pittsburgh was 28-53 on the road. Cincinnati should have the talent and pitching to come out on top on Opening Day in what is typically a holiday in the Queen City.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The value here is on Cincinnati -1.5 (+150), but considering it will be without Votto for the opener, I would pass and play them on the juiced moneyline.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-117).

In 14 road games last season, Keller had a 4.13 ERA and in  72 IP he allowed just 6 HRs. The veteran should have a solid outing.

Greene is a rising star and should perform well. Pittsburgh ended spring training with just 136 runs in 27 games, so it isn’t an ultra-strong offensive side either.

With Votto out and the Reds with a relatively new group of 1st-teamers, back the UNDER 8.5 (-117).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (54-88) and Cincinnati Reds (56-85) close out a 4-game NL Central series with a Wednesday matinee at Great American Ball Park, First pitch is slated for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 8-7

The Pirates have taken the first 3 games of this series which included a doubleheader Tuesday. Pittsburgh has allowed just 4 runs in this series, and that solid pitching is part of a recent trend — it’s logged a 3.68 ERA since Aug. 28.

The Reds have lost 5 straight games. They have struggled at home in the back half of the season. Cincinnati is 7-12 across its last 19 contests at Great American Ball Park.

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Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Roansy Contreras vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Contreras (5-4, 3.29 ERA) has appeared in 17 games and made 14 starts. He’s clocked a 1.30 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 79 1/3 IP.

  • Faced the Reds on the road July 7 and allowed 1ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 7 K over 6 IP
  • Owns a 1.10 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over his last 3 starts
  • Has benefited from a .259 batting average on balls in play

Lodolo (4-5, 3.78 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 81 IP.

  • Has been dinged by a .342 BABIP
  • Owns a 2.57 ERA across 49 IP at home (1.52 ERA since July 25)

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Reds -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Reds -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Pirates 3

Money line

Contreras logged 96 pitches in his last start. That’s his 3rd-highest count of the season. Next-time-outs after 98 and 97 pitches were ineffective.

Cincinnati is a lean here, but only to a price of -160. PASS otherwise.

Run line/Against the spread

The likable home side and likable Under don’t usually mix well on the Run Line. PASS.

Over/Under

Peg the Cincy offense as being a bit too far out over its skis with its surface numbers. This whole series has had an Under lean; so far it has been a profitable one.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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