Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (12-15) and San Diego Padres (16-13) open a three-game series at Petco Park Monday. First pitch is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: 2-2 after – they split a 4-game set in Pittsburgh April 12-15.

The Pirates enter on a 4-game skid after getting shut out 3-0 by the visiting St. Louis Cardinals Sunday. The Padres lost at home to the San Francisco Giants 7-1 Sunday, snapping a 3-game win streak.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the Pirates’ projected starter. He is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday – Pirates won 2-1
  • 2021 vs. Padres: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-1 home victory April 14
  • Career vs. Padres: 4-2, 2.53 ERA (57 IP, 16 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 9 starts and 1 relief appearance

RHP Miguel Diaz is expected to start for the Padres in his first MLB appearance since 2019. It would have been RHP Chris Paddack‘s turn to start, but he was placed on the injured list Friday with what the team called a “medical condition.” Diaz, who broke into the bigs in 2017, has never faced the Pirates.

  • Diaz in 2019: 0-0, 7.11 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5 relief outings
  • Diaz career: 2-1, 6.62 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 in 47 games, including 3 starts
  • Career as a starter: 0-0, 4.70 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 5 BB, 7 K

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Pirates at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Pirates 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The PIRATES (+160) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

The Pirates offer decent value with Anderson on the mound vs. Diaz, who is making his first MLB appearance in two years. The Bucs were +176 underdogs when Anderson beat the Padres in Pittsburgh April 14.

The +160 ML price is just too good to pass up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I don’t want to risk the chance of losing 2 bets – Pirates ML and Pirates ATS – if the Padres win by 2 or more runs.

ATS records: Pirates 12-15 | Padres 15-14

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9 (-115) is the play. The Under is 5-0 in Anderson’s starts this season, including his 5-1 victory against the Padres.

While the thought of Diaz starting for the Friars might be worrisome, their bullpen’s 2.95 ERA ranks first in the NL and fifth in the majors.

Pittsburgh’s relievers are pretty good too, owning a 3.65 ERA to rank third in the Senior Circuit.

Scoring-wise, both clubs are in the bottom third of the majors. San Diego averages 4.0 runs per game and Pittsburgh averages 3.78 runs per game.

Another supporting factor for the Under: In the 16 games at Petco Park this season, the Padres averaged 3.19 runs and allowed 3.625 runs per game.

O/U records: Pirates 13-12-2 | Padres 12-17

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 34-30-1 9-9-1 +0.38
2021 (all sports) 137-115-2 58-50-1 +13.93
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (14-12) tangle with NL Central rival Pittsburgh Pirates (12-13) Saturday in Game 2 of their three-game series at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis handled Pittsburgh in the series opener 7-3 yesterday for a fourth straight victory over the Pirates dating back to last season.

Season series: Cardinals 1-0.

RHP Jack Flaherty is making his fifth start for the Cardinals. Flaherty is 4-0 with a 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Win in 7 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB and 6 K’s in St. Louis’s 5-2 victory over the Cincinnati Reds Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Pirates: 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA (57 IP, 12 ER), 0.90 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starter for the Pirates. Cahill is 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA (19 IP, 15 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 across 4 starts in his first season with the Pirates.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB’s and 2 K’s in Pittsburgh’s 6-2 win at the Minnesota Twins last Saturday.
  • Career vs. the Cardinals: 1-3 with a 4.02 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.44 WHIP and 7.1 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+120) | Pirates +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Cardinals 4

Money line (ML)

These money line prices feel sketchy. The Cardinals (-145) has their undefeated Ace on the mound against a Pirates (+120) team that has been one of the laughingstocks in MLB.

Flaherty has never lost to Pittsburgh, is off to a phenomenal start this season and St. Louis is 21-9 against the Pirates since 2019.

However, Flaherty’s advanced pitching numbers suggest he’s going to come back down to Earth a bit. His exit velocity, hard-hit rate, fly ball rate and ground ball to fly ball rate are all worse than the MLB average.

Also, opposing hitters have a .225 BAbip vs. Flaherty, 72 percentage points higher than the league average.

Furthermore, Statcast grades Flaherty out in the 19th percentile in chase%, 37th percentile in whiff% and 39th percentile in expected wOBA.

Lastly, the Cardinals’ lineup is terrible against right-handed pitching; St. Louis hitters have the fifth-lowest wRC+, is 23rd in wOBA and the fourth-lowest hard-hit rate against righties.

Slight “LEAN” to the PIRATES (+120) for a quarter unit if at all because Pittsburgh’s run line is much better value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PIRATES +1.5 (-145) for a half unit at the current price point, but I’d wait until closer to the first pitch before placing my bet on this game because I think the Pittsburgh price gets cheaper throughout the day.

The Cardinals definitely have the edge in the starting pitcher matchup but, the Pirates’ bullpen is top-6 in K-BB%, WHIP, xFIP and SIERA, so Pittsburgh could cut into any lead Flaherty turns over to the St. Louis ‘pen.

Over/Under (O/U)

I’ve already outlined why Flaherty is due for a bad outing, but, also Cahill is the least productive when pitching on six or more days rest.

Cahill’s ERA and WHIP are higher than any other rest split and his winning percentage is the lowest (8-17 overall record) compared to other rest splits.

“LEAN” to the OVER 7.5 (+100) for a quarter unit only because I prefer the Pittsburgh side more than the total.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-10) visit the Minnesota Twins (6-11) at Target Field Friday for Game 1 of a three-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Pittsburgh has been a bit of a surprise given how low the expectations were for this team heading into the year; however, the Pirates have tied or won three straight series over San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers and Detroit Tigers.

Minnesota was just swept 3-0 in its previous series against the Oakland Athletics and is just 1-9 over its last 10 games which includes three series losses to the Seattle Mariners, Boston Red Sox, and A’s.

RHP JT Brubaker makes his fourth start for the Pirates. He is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 this season.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 8 K in Pittsburgh’s 6-1 victory over Milwaukee last Friday.
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA (3 IP, 3 ER), 2 BB and 2 K in 1 start.

LHP J.A. Happ takes the mound for the Twins. Happ is 0-0 with a 3.12 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 2 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 4 2/3 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Minnesota’s 4-2 loss to the Red Sox April 13.
  • Career vs. Pirates: 4-3 with a 2.95 ERA (61 IP, 20 ER), 1.23 WHIP and 7.8 K/9 in 10 starts (the last start was in 2017).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

Pittsburgh has a significant advantage in the starting pitcher’s matchup and its bullpen has a lower FIP and higher left on-base percentage than Minnesota’s.

Statcast grades Brubaker in the 70th percentile of chase rate, 67th percentile of whiff% and 65th percentile of K% while Happ is in the 5th-percentile of whiff%, 9th-percentile of barrel% and 13th percentile of chase rate.

Since I’m more confident in Brubaker than Pittsburgh’s bullpen and envision there is a good chance the Pirates lineup can get to Happ, I prefer the PIRATES (+125) in the FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit, but Pittsburgh is the right side.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET PIRATES +0.5 (-115) for 1 unit on the FIRST 5 INNINGS line.

Not only does Brubaker have an edge in the starting pitching duel, but the Twins are 15-19 on the run line as a home favorite since the beginning of last season and the Pirates are 21-19 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 8 (-105) because more than 90% of the money wagered has been on the Under so we have the “fade the market” angle, but that’s pretty much where my handicap on the Pirates-Twins total ends.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (7-9) and Detroit Tigers (6-10) meet for a Wednesday twin bill after Tuesday night’s game was rained out. The day at Comerica Park is slated to begin with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch for Game 1. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 15 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Anderson held the San Diego Padres to 1 ER over 5 1/3 IP in his last start.

RHP Michael Fulmer is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 0.8 BB/9 in 12 IP over 1 start and 3 relief appearances. Fulmer made his first start of the season last Wednesday and allowed 2 ER over 5 frames against the Houston Astros.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-200) | Tigers -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

The Pirates are coming off a 2-1 series win at the Milwaukee Brewers, and that series was on the heels of a four-game split against San Diego.

The Tigers are back in their home yard after a 10-game road trip that saw them swept by the Cleveland Indians and Oakland Athletics but victorious in three games at Houston in between.

The analytic view of the starters in this one makes for a hard fade on both and little interest in a side in general. The closest thing to value here is the PIRATES (+110) play, but take that one with a grain of salt. Consider a partial-unit wager or a line-watch to get into +120 territory.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juice-filled run line action.

Over/Under (O/U)

The strongest play for this game is the OVER 5.5 (-120).

It’s a play on both offenses, which to date have been under-cooked with their surface numbers (Pittsburgh 4.06 runs per game, Detroit 3.44 RPG) and somewhat held back by a strong strength of schedule in the pitchers they’ve faced. Neither bullpen figures as a shutdown unit and the starters who’ll get them to those ‘pens are both fade candidates.

The weather forecast calls for a cold day but with an outward wind. Keep in mind the total is for a 7-inning game, with the contest being part of a doubleheader.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (7-9) and Detroit Tigers (6-10) meet Tuesday evening (6:40 p.m. ET) to open a three-game series at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Tyler Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 8.0 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 15 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Anderson held the Padres to 1 ER in 5 1/3 IP in his last start.

RHP Michael Fulmer is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 0.8 BB/9 in 12 IP over 1 start and 3 relief appearances. On Wednesday Fulmer made his first start of the season. He allowed 2 ER in 5 frames against the Astros.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Tigers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: X (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Pirates 5, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

The Pirates are coming off a series win at Milwaukee, and that series won on the heels of a four-game split against San Diego.

The Tigers are back in their home yard after a 10-game road trip that saw them swept at Cleveland and Oakland but victorious in three games at Houston in between.

The analytic view of the starters in this one makes for a hard fade on both and a little interest in a side in general. The closest thing to value here is the PIRATES +110 play, but take that one with a grain of salt. Consider a partial-unit wager or a line-watch to get into +120 territory.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juice-filled run line action.

Over/Under (O/U)

The strongest play for this game is the OVER 8 (-110). Its a play on both offenses, which to date have been under-cooked with their surface numbers (Pittsburgh 4.06 runs per game, Detroit 3.44 RPG) and somewhat held back by a strong strength of schedule in the pitchers they’ve faced. Neither bullpen figures as a shutdown unit, and the starters who’ll get them to those pens are both fade candidates.

The weather forecast for this one (38 degrees and rainy) is more befitting of an early season University of Michigan basketball game. Consider a line watch to see if a lower total or better price avails itself.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (6-9) and Milwaukee Brewers (8-6) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, 2.06 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 12.7 BB/9 over 10 2/3 IP through three starts. Kuhl, the team’s Opening Day starter, has failed to last longer than four innings in any of his starts, along with walking at least three batters in each outing.

RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 16.6 K/9 and 6.2 BB/9 through 13 IP across two starts and one relief appearance. Peralta has won each of his past two starts, both against the Chicago Cubs. That includes a quality start Monday when he allowed just one run on two hits and two walks with 10 strikeouts over six innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-110) | Brewers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 8, Pirates 3

Money line (ML)

The Brewers (-200) will cost you two times your potential return. That’s just a little too expensive for me. For a singular bet, it’s not a big deal, but over the long haul it’s not a winning strategy. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BREWERS -1.5 (-110) are a strong play on the run line. Milwaukee fired out to a five-run lead after one inning Saturday, and led 7-0 after two frames. The Brewers didn’t score the rest of the way but never were in doubt of covering the run line in a 7-1 victory.

Milwaukee has covered the run line in each of its past seven victories, so if you like the Brewers to win, make sure to lay the run and a half until further notice.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8 (-110) is the play against Kuhl, who has just been wildly erratic and walking everyone. The Over has cashed in each of his first three starts, and his being on the bump is driving this Over train.

Over bettors were feeling the sting Saturday, as Milwaukee took a 7-0 lead after two innings with an 8.5 number only to go scoreless the rest of the way. The Pirates helped out with just one run for the bad beat. That won’t be the case Sunday.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (6-8) and Milwaukee Brewers (7-6) continue their weekend series Saturday with a 7:10 p.m. ET tilt at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. Over 13 games the last two years (2020-21), Cahill is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 34 IP. The right-hander held a hot-hitting San Diego Padres club to 1 run with 8 K’s in 5 IP on Monday.

LHP Brett Anderson is the projected starter for the Brewers. Over 12 starts the last two years, Anderson is 5-5 with a 4.26 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 57 IP. He has allowed 5 ER over 10 IP this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-165) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Brewers 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Pirates won Friday’s series opener, 6-1. They are 5-2 over their last 7 games. Milwaukee is 6-3 over its last 9 contests.

Pittsburgh struggled mightily on the road in 2020. The Bucs went 6-22 (.214) with a league-worst .607 OPS at the plate.

With an all-too-early look at Milwaukee’s record vs. their Pythagorean mark (a measure of expected record based on runs and runs allowed), the Brewers are off a tick. The Milwaukee offense figures to have more in the tank; it has been somewhat undone by a .257 batting average on balls in play. The Pittsburgh offense owns a .409 BABIP in high-leverage situations, so the Pirates figure to be out a bit too far over their skis.

BACK MILWAUKEE -135.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line: not enough confidence in the Brewers pitching to swing enough probability for a multi-run victory

Over/Under (O/U)

Through two starts, Cahill has exhibited a downshift in velocity and an uptick in hard contact allowed. Anderson’s velocity is also down a tick, and the left-hander has notched a mere 2.9% swinging-strike rate over his first two starts.

Add some upside metrics for the home side in a home-run favoring ballpark, and BACK THE OVER 8 (-120).

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (8-4) and Pittsburgh Pirates (4-7) play the third contest of their four-game series at PNC Park at 6:35 p.m. ET Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. In 10 starts over the last two seasons, he is 3-5 with a 2.80 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 over 54 2/3 IP. The 28-year-old right-hander has exhibited an uptick in velocity while tossing 15 scoreless frames thus far in 2021. He’s coming off a no-hitter at the Texas Rangers April 9.

LHP Tyler Anderson draws Wednesday’s turn for the Pirates. In 15 appearances over 2020-21, Anderson is 4-5 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 70 IP. The Pittsburgh lefty is coming off back-to-back losses to the Chicago Cubs with 6 total runs allowed over 10 1/3 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-120) | Pirates +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Padres are tough on lefty pitching and have the better bullpen. The Friars are a decent value play up to -190.

PASS OTHERWISE.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Look for San Diego to play its platoon-bullpen-offensive advantage into a multi-run win in a higher scoring game than what’s forecasted by the 8-run total.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over had a slight lean and barely hit on a line of 7.5 Monday. Tuesday’s game figured as a solid Over (again on a 7.5), and the Pirates won 8-4. The weather report calls for a hitter’s breeze out to left in Wednesday’s game.

Musgrove threw 112 pitches in his no-no and has a checkered history — though one with bigger misfires than hits — in starts after 95-plus pitches. Anderson — a fly-ball pitcher — has coughed up 3 HR in 10 IP. Current SD batters own a .907 OPS against him.

The Padres also own an early .309/.406/.506 slash line against southpaws.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (8-3) and Pittsburgh Pirates (3-7) play the second contest of their four-game PNC Park series at 6:35 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Through two starts, the Ray-turned-Padre is 0-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 14.9 K/9 and 5.6 BB/9 in 9 2/3 IP.

RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starter for the Pirates. Through his first two efforts, Kuhl is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 10.3 BB/9 in 7 IP. The 28-year-old righty walked five in his last outing, a four-inning turn against Cincinnati Wednesday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pirates +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-135) | Pirates +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

PASS: The prices here bracket the likely true odds.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres won the series opener, 6-2, and are now 4-0 in road games against the run line. But the Friars (4.09 runs per game) and Bucs (3.60) rank 20th and 23rd in scoring, respectively. San Diego was a decent play with Monday’s pitching matchup, and the Padres have taken on the early money in this one.

But now the value pendulum swings back the other way, and there is contrarian leverage with the price on Pittsburgh. TAKE THE PIRATES +1.5 (+110). A line-watch for an even better tag is recommended.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over had a slight lean in what was a push (on an 8) Monday. The weather for Tuesday calls for a temp in the high-60s and an outward breeze.

Mix in Tuesday’s starters, Monday’s bullpen use and Tuesday’s lack of change in the number to get our result.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (7-3) and Pittsburgh Pirates (3-6) tangle in a Monday evening game at PNC Park with a 6:35 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Over the last two seasons (2020-21) combined, Darvish is 8-3 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 86 2/3 IP over 14 starts. Darvish faced the Pirates once last season and tossed 6 innings of scoreless, 2-hit ball.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. Over 12 appearances in 2020 and 2021, Cahill is 1-3 with a 4.97 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 29 IP. He’s looking for a bounce-back after allowing seven runs in four frames against the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday. Cahill has often struggled out of the gate with a first-month OPS of .800-plus in four of his last six seasons.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-135) | Pirates +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

PASS: The Padres have enough value, even on the minus side, on the run-line play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 3-0 in road games against the run line. The San Diego offense has been just fine so far with a .759 OPS), but since April 4 the Friars have hit just .174 with runners in scoring position. This Padres offense is capable of more. It’s one that has hit Cahill well in the past (.977 OPS), although in small doses in just 29 plate appearances.

Add in a bullpen clicking on all cylinders with a 0.84 ERA, and the visitors are a decent play on the run line. TAKE SAN DIEGO -1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The factors underpinning a call on the total have some cross signals. Both clubs have leaned toward the Under so far this season (combined 12-4 mark), but tag Monday’s contest — with a projected hitter’s breeze — and some more offense in the tank for perhaps both teams as being a potential double-digit game.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110) on a slight lean.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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