Pitt Panthers betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Louisville at Pitt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Louisville at Pitt odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pitt Panthers (1-4, 0-2 ACC) welcome the Louisville Cardinals (6-0, 3-0) to Acrisure Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (CW Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Louisville vs. Pitt odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Louisville, No. 15 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, beat the No. 21 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Saturday, winning the prime-time Week 6 matchup 33-20 and covering as a 6-point home underdog. Louisville is 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) away from home yet 2-0-1 ATS in its last 3 games. QB Jack Plummer leads the way offensively with 1,551 passing yards and 12 TDs.

Pitt had a byle in Week 6 after losing to Virginia Tech 38-21 on the road in Week 5 as a 3-point road favorite. It is 0-4-1 ATS this season and 0-2-1 ATS at home this season. QB Phil Jurkovec has been the main weapon on offense, totaling 818 passing yards and 7 total TDs. Pitt has lost both conference games this season by double figures.

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Louisville at Pitt odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Louisville -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pitt +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Against the spread (ATS): Louisville -7.5 (-110) | Pitt +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Louisville at Pitt picks and predictions

Prediction

Louisville 31, Pitt 17

Moneyline

PASS.

The Cardinals are the real deal, and they should win with ease on the road against a Pitt team that’s both struggled at home and against conference opponents. At -300 though, there’s no value on the favorite.

Against the spread

BET LOUISVILLE -7.5 (-110).

Louisville has been great on both sides of the ball. It sits 49th in the nation in opponents’ yards per play at 5.3. It has allowed 20 or fewer points in all but 2 games and has double-digit wins in 4 of 6 games. The Cardinals have only played 1 true road game (2 were at neutral sites) and pushed that in a 13-10 favorite at NC State. The Cardinals have topped 30 points in 4 of 6 games.

Pitt sits 73rd in opponents’ 3rd-down conversation rate, so it may struggle to keep the Cardinals’ offense off the field. The Panthers are 0-2-1 ATS at home and lost 41-24 in its last home game against the No. 12 UNC Tar Heels. Expect a similar game and for the Cards to dominate on the road. Take LOUISVILLE -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 44.5 (-110).

The Panthers are 4-1 O/U this season as they have allowed 25-plus points in 3 of 5 games and have allowed 38 or more in 2 straight games. Pitt has scored 20-plus points in 4 of 5 games as well, so it should be able to get on the board often.

The Cardinals have a strong offense and should be able to abuse the Panthers’ weak defense. Louisville is 2-3-1 O/U this season and has scored 102 points over its last 3 games.

Take OVER 44.5 (-110).

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North Carolina at Pitt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Pitt odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pitt Panthers (1-2) welcome the No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) to Acrisure Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET (ACCN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Pitt odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

North Carolina is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, and it is coming off a 31-13 win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers in which it covered as a 7-point favorite. The Tar Heels are led by QB Drake Maye, who has 891 passing yards through 3 games and 4 TDs. He also has 4 INTs. North Carolina is No. 17 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Panthers opened the season with a 45-7 win over the Wofford Terriers but have lost 2 straight games, dropping Week 2 to the Cincinnati Bearcats 27-21 and Week 3 to the West Virginia Mountaineers 17-6. Pittsburgh is 0-2-1 ATS this season. It is led by QB Phil Jurkovec, who has 474 passing yards, 4 TDs and 3 INTs on the season.

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North Carolina at Pitt odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pitt +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -7.5 (-105) | Pitt +7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Pitt picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 31, Pitt 17

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s nothing to see here.

A top-25 side going into a difficult environment is not worth a play at -300. Similarly, Pitt has lost to 2 teams, both of which are worse than UNC, and likely won’t win. Also, not worth a play at +240.

Against the spread

BET NORTH CAROLINA -7.5 (-105).

UNC is coming off a big-time win over Minnesota in which it looked like the preseason team everyone thought it would be. North Carolina rolled the Golden Gophers, beating them by 18 despite being just a 7-point favorite.

UNC has a drastic advantage at QB with Maye. Jurkovec has just a 46.7% completion rate and will struggle against the Tar Heels. The Panthers lost by 6 to Cincinnati in Week 2 despite being 6.5-point favorites. They aren’t worth backing here, and the quarterback difference makes the Tar Heels a strong play.

UNC is also 2-1 ATS while Pitt is 0-2-1 ATS, so the Tar Heels have been better than books have expected while the Panthers have struggled. Take NORTH CAROLINA -7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 50.5 (-115).

The Tar Heels gave up 34 points to App State in Week 2, but other than that, they have allowed just 15 points per game in the other 2 weeks. They are 1-2 O/U.

Given Jurkovec’s accuracy issues, they may be able to limit the Panthers at home. The Tar Heels have also topped 31 just once this season while Pitt has held its opponent to 17 or fewer in 2 of 3 games.

Expect a sloppy game on Saturday and take UNDER 50.5 (-115).

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March Madness: Pitt vs. Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pitt vs. Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pitt Panthers (24-11) battle the Xavier Musketeers (26-9) Sunday in the Round of 32 matchup from Greensboro Coliseum. Tip is set for 12:10 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pitt vs. Xavier odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

The 11th-seeded Panthers earned an at-large bid, but had to play in the First Four. They beat 11-seed Mississippi State 60-59 as a 2.5-point underdog. They then took down No. 6 Iowa State 59-41 as a 4-point underdog. The Panthers are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in postseason play.

The No. 3 Musketeers barely beat 14-seed Kennesaw State 72-67, but failed to cover as a 12-point favorite. Xavier is just 1-3 ATS in postseason play with the Under hitting in its last 3. The Musketeers are led by G Souley Boum, who is averaging 16.5 points per game.

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Pitt vs. Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:06 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Xavier -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +5.5 (-115) | Xavier -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pitt vs. Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 77, Pitt 71

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Musketeers got by a scare in the 1st round while Pitt abused the Cyclones. Nonetheless, backing the underdog at +180 here doesn’t make much sense given its season-long non-conference struggles.

Against the spread

LEAN XAVIER -5.5 (-115).

Xavier shot just 17% from deep against Kennesaw State, and for one of the 18 teams in the nation averaging more than 80 points per game that’s unlikely to occur again. The Musketeers should bounce back offensively, especially against the Panthers, who rank 174th in opponents’ points per game.

Pitt is 3-1 ATS in postseason play, and it has yet to cover in a loss. Pitt also had brutal early-season losses to West Virginia by 25, VCU by 4, Michigan by 31, and Vanderbilt by 1.

While Pitt has been hot, expect some regression here, and back XAVIER -5.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 152.5 (-115).

Pitt has gone Under in both tournament games and has yet to score more than 60 in a postseason game. Xavier’s offense is why this total is so high, but it has gone Under in 3 straight games and has scored under 75 in its last 2. Xavier is 4-7 O/U in its last 11 games.

Xavier also gave up just 6 points in the last 9 minutes of its game against Kennesaw State. It can turn it up defensively, and that energy after a close battle should be there from the start. Back the UNDER 152.5 (-115).

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March Madness: Pitt vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pitt vs. Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pitt Panthers (23-11) battle the Iowa State Cyclones (19-13) Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Greensboro Coliseum in the Midwest Region game is set for 3:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pitt vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers beat Mississippi State 60-59 in the battle of the First Four, and have won of their 8 games, posting a 4-4 against the spread (ATS) record. F Blake Hinson leads the Panthers, averaging 15.5 points per game. The Panthers are an ACC-best 23-10-1 ATS on the season.

Iowa State, 16-16 ATS on the season, comes in as the region’s No. 6 seed, having lost to Kansas 71-58 in the Big 12 Tournament, a day after beating No. 3-seeded Baylor 78-72. Iowa State lost 5 of its last 7 games, failing to cover in all 5 losses. It is led by G Jaren Holmes, who is averaging 13.4 PPG.

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Pitt vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Iowa State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +4.5 (-112) | Iowa State -3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pitt vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 64, Pitt 61

Moneyline

AVOID.

Iowa State has 13 losses on the season and doesn’t have a strong enough offense to pull away. Backing it on the moneyline at -190 isn’t good value, and given Pitt has already played, the chance for it to have tired legs should make the (+160) not overly enticing. Pass all around here.

Against the spread

LEAN PITT +4.5 (-112).

Pitt was the best-covering team in the ACC. Iowa State was in the middle of the pack in the Big 12 and was the worst-covering team in the conference on the road, posting just a 4-7 ATS record.

Iowa State’s offense is also concerning as it ranks 177th in effective field goal rate (50.7%). Pitt sits 51st (53.1%). While Iowa State has the far better defense, it may struggle to pull away, as it has for much of the season.

Given that, back PITT +4.5 (-112).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 130.5 (-105).

While Pitt may score efficiently, it doesn’t play at a fast pace, ranking 135th in shots per game (57.9). Iowa State plays at an even slower tempo, sitting 201st in field goal attempts (56.9).

Pitt has gone Under in 2 of its last 4 and has failed to score 70 in its last 2 games. Iowa State has gone Under in 7 of its last 9. It has failed to top 60 in 4 of its last 7 games.

Considering the pace this game should be played at and the strength of the Cyclones’ defense, back the UNDER 130.5 (-105).

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Pitt at Miami odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pitt at Miami odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 Pitt Panthers (21-9, 14-5 ACC) face the No. 15 Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 14-5) Saturday in Coral Gables. Tip from Watsco Center is at 6 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pitt vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The winner of this meeting will earn at least of a share of the ACC title. The Panthers beat the Hurricanes 71-68 as 1.5-point underdogs on Jan. 28.

Had Miami not blown a 27-point lead in an 85-84 loss to miserable Florida State last Saturday, the Hurricanes would be a game ahead of both Pitt and Virginia in the conference standings.

Miami is 223rd nationally with 71.6 points allowed per game, it will need to count on its 25th-ranked offense (79.7 points) to provide a victory Saturday.

Pitt allows 69.0 points per game (145th) and should have a good chance to pull off the sweep and win the ACC for the first time if it can limit Miami.

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Pitt at Miami odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Miami -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +7.5 (-110) | Miami -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pitt at Miami picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami 82, Pitt 77

Moneyline

PASS.

This is going to be a physical battle and should come down to the waning moments as both teams look for a conference title.

While Pitt (+265) is intriguing, I cannot take the road team in this game. Especially with Miami coming off an embarrassing loss to Florida State last Saturday.

Miami (-310) has been good at home all season but you cannot risk more than 3 times your potential return on a straight wager. This is also a game I would also stay away from in a parlay as both teams could easily win and ruin your day.

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Against the spread

BET PITT +7.5 (-110).

After defeating Miami by 3 points at home on Jan. 28, the swing in this game is undeserved.

Miami has only lost 1 home game this season, but Pitt has been a solid team on the road with a 7-4 record.

Pitt will need to be sharp to stay with the Hurricanes. Miami averages 79.7 points a game while Pitt averages just 71.6, but Miami’s porous defense and the Panthers’ desire to capture a conference title will result in this one remaining close.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 154.5 (-110)

This number is extremely high, but with this game meaning so much to both sides, a classic could be in store.

Pitt has gone Over in its past 4 games while Miami is 6-1 to the Over in its past 7 home games.

With both offenses looking to make a statement in the season finale, look for a lot of possessions and a lot of trips to the foul line in the final minutes of a close game.

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Sun Bowl: Pitt vs. UCLA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pitt vs. UCLA Sun Bowl odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl is Friday afternoon in El Paso, Texas, and features the Pitt Panthers (8-4) and UCLA Bruins (9-3). Kickoff is at 2 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pitt vs. UCLA odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Pitt closed the season on a 4-game winning streak and went 5-3 in ACC play. They averaged 30.8 points per game.

No. 18 UCLA went 6-3 in Pac-12 play, but finished the season losing 2 of their final 3 games. They had the No. 3 offense in the nation (507.8 yards per game) and were 9th in points scored at 39.6 per game.

Rankings courtesy of AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

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Pitt vs. UCLA odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:03 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +230 (bet $100 to win $230 | UCLA -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +7 (-108) | UCLA -7 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -109 | U: -111)

Pitt vs. UCLA picks and predictions

Prediction

UCLA 34, Pitt 24

Moneyline

UCLA is expected to have QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Zach Charbonnet playing in the game, which will fuel the high-powered Bruins offense that scored 40 or more points 7 times.

Pitt lost QB Kedon Slovis to the transfer portal and RB Israel Abaniknada opted out of the game to prepare for the NFL Draft. Pitt will go with shared time at quarterback with Nick Patti and Nick Yarnell.

With UCLA’s top players in the lineup and Pitt’s not, expect a Bruins win, but don’t bet the moneyline with the line priced the way it is.

PASS.

Against the spread

Seven of the Bruins’ 9 wins this season were by double digits while Pitt’s last 2 losses were by at least 14 points.

BET UCLA -7 (-112).

Over/Under

Only 1 of UCLA’s last 8 games did not reach a total of 54 points. Three of Pitt’s final 5 games reached 54 or more total points.

BET OVER 54 (-109).

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Michigan vs. Pitt odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Michigan vs. Pitt odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (2-0) travel to Brooklyn to take on the Pitts Panthers (1-1) in the Barclay Center Wednesday at 6 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan vs. Pitt odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Michigan comes into the rare early-season Power 5 matchup after beating Eastern Michigan and highly-touted Emony Bates 88-83 Friday in Detroit. The Wolverines were 17.5-point favorites and the teams hit the over by 26 points. C Hunter Dickinson is averaging 26.5 points after the 1st 2 games.

Pittsburgh comes in after losing by 25 (as a 2.5-point underdog) to rival West Virginia 81-56 at home on Friday. Pitt has not been the same since coach Jamie Dixon left and it looks to be another down season ahead for the Panthers.

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Michigan vs. Pitt odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Michigan -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pitt +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -8.5 (-112) | Pitt +8.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Michigan vs. Pitt picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan 76, Pitt 61

Moneyline

PASS.

The ML in this game is too high to make a reasonable play on.

Against the spread

BET MICHIGAN -8.5 (-112).

Michigan is coming off a high scoring game against Eastern Michigan will continue its hot shooting in this game against an overmatched Pitt team.

Pitt was only able to put up 56 against West Virginia at home on Friday and an offensive explosion in this game is not in the cards.

The Wolverines will use the 3-point game as well as dominance under the net to beat up and go around the Panthers. Michigan -8.5 (-112) is my favorite paly.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 138.5 (-112).

Michigan has averaged 81.5 points in its first 2 game s of the season. Pitt has averaged 68, but that is only due to putting up 80 against an outclassed UT-Martin team in its opener. When it faced an opponent of equal talent in West Virginia, it only managed 56. Michigan is better than Pitt. It is better than West Virginia. And the result will be the same. A low-scoring Pitt output. Michigan will do its part. Pitt will not. Give me the Under 138.5 (-112).

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