Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (29-27) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (38-18) to Oracle Park Wednesday. First pitch in the final of their 3-game series is set for 3:45 p.m.ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 4-2

The Phillies swept the Giants in a 4-game series earlier in the season, but the Giants have won the last 2. San Francisco won 8-4 Monday and 1-0 Tuesday, closing as a +173 underdog in the latter of the 2 games. The Giants have won 6 of their last 7 games and are 10-2 over their last 12. San Francisco is a strong 17-10 at home this season.

The Phillies, who are 16-10 on the road, are riding a 3-game losing streak. Only 2 other times this season have they lost even back-to-back games, and their current 3-game streak is their longest losing streak this season. Philadelphia is still 7-4 straight up over its last 11 games and is 31-25 ATS on the season.

Phillies at Giants projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. LHP Kyle Harrison

Sanchez (2-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 54 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 3-2 road loss to the Colorado Rockies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 4.63 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 31 H, 1 HR, 12 BB, 12 K in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 0-0, 1.93 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Harrison (4-1, 3.90 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in an 8-7 road win over the New York Mets Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 4.15 ERA (26 IP, 12 ER), 24 H, 1 HR, 8 BB, 29 K in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 1 start, a 4-3 road loss in his career debut on Aug. 22, 2023

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Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -132 (bet $132 to win $100) | Giants +112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+132) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Giants 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-132).

The Phillies are one of the best teams in the MLB, and they have won 3 of the last 4 games in which Sanchez has started. They are on an uncharacteristically long losing streak, and that should be snapped here.

The Giants are hot, and they have won 3 straight with Harrison starting. However, they have allowed 16 runs as a team through those 3 games and have scored 3 or fewer in 2 of their last 3.

Considering their struggling bats and the Giants inability to keep runners off the bases with Harrison on the mound, back PHILLIES (-132) to snap their season-long losing streak.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Neither value here is great. The Giants are hot and have won 3 in a row with Harrison. And while the Phillies have performed well with Sanchez on the mound, 2 of those 3 wins were by 1 run. They are too risky to play as a run-line favorite.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Giants have gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games and are 29-25-2 O/U on the season. They have scored at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 8.

Philadelphia is 27-26-3 O/U and has traded off going Over and Under in its last 5 games. It is primed to go Over after a 1-0 defeat Tuesday. Back OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (38-17) take on the San Francisco Giants (28-27) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oracle Park at 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 4-1

The Phillies dropped Monday’s game 8-4, and they’ve now lost 3 of 4. DH Kyle Schwarber hit his 10th homer as his bat is starting to come around. He only has 2 HRs in May, but he’s hitting .288 with 16 RBIs.

The Giants got 6 RBIs from the bottom 3 of their order Monday night and are averaging 7.6 runs per game over their last 10. They’re 8-2 over the last 10 games to pull within 5 games of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. This is without a lot out of offseason acquisition DH Jorge Soler, who is hitting .212 with 6 HRs and 15 RBIs after hitting 36 dingers last year.

Phillies at Giants projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Drew Pomeranz

Wheeler (6-3, 2.53 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 67 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K Thursday against Texas Rangers
  • Last 5 regular season starts vs. Giants: 1-2, 3.31 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 40 K in 32 2/3 IP

Pomeranz (1-0, 6.00 ERA in 8 games, 1 start at Triple-A Oklahoma City) makes his 1st start. He has not pitched in the majors since 2021, when he went 1-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 27 games with the San Diego Padres

  • Signed 1-year deal with the club and will open or at least pitch in bulk in the spot Mason Black vacated
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-3, 4.28 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 28 K in 27 1/3 IP in 8 games and 5 starts

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Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Giants +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-125) | Giants +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Giants 3

Moneyline

The ML is unplayable at its expensive price tag. Wheeler is also just 1-3 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 4 career starts at Oracle Park against the team that drafted him.

Instead, I’m going with ZACK WHEELER OVER 18.5 OUTS (-110).

He’ll need to go 6 1/3 IP to do it, but he threw 7 IP with 11 K’s against the Giants May 6, and he has gone 7+ in 2 straight and 3 of 4 GS.

Run line/Against the spread

I like the Phils to take the multi-run win here. They’re 6-4 against the Giants in the last 10 meetings, and they took the most-recent game 6-1 with Wheeler on the bump against SF.

Take the PHILLIES -1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The wind is slated to be blowing out to centerfield Tuesday night at 14 mph. The Over cashed Monday, and with the Giants going with a bullpen game, I look for this total to cash easily. The Over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Take the OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (38-16) visit the San Francisco Giants (27-27) on Monday. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 5:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies at Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 4-0

Philadelphia lost 5-2 on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies as a -193 road favorite. 3B Alec Bohm and CF Johan Rojas each had a RBI while LHP Ranger Suarez allowed 4 ER in 6 IP to take the loss.

San Francisco had a 4-game winning streak snapped with a 4-3 loss against the New York Mets on Sunday while failing to cover as a -109 road favorite. LF Heliot Ramos and SS Brett Wisely each had a RBI while RHP Tyler Rogers allowed 3 ER in the 9th inning to pick up the loss.

Phillies at Giants projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. LHP Blake Snell

Walker (3-0, 5.06 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 7.09 K/9 in 26 2/3 IP.

  • Phillies are 4-1 in his last 5 starts
  • Has allowed 3 or fewer ER in each of his last 4 starts
  • Has given up 15 ER and 6 HR while striking out 21 and walking 10 in his 5 starts

Snell (0-3, 11.40 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 2.07 WHIP, 5.40 BB/9 and 10.20 K/9 in 15 IP.

  • Giants are 1-3 in his 4 starts
  • Has allowed 4 or more ER in each of his last 3 starts
  • Has allowed 19 ER and 2 HR while striking out 17 and walking 9 in his 4 starts

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Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Giants +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-105).

Both starting pitchers have been trending in opposite directions with Walker allowing 3 or fewer ER in his last 4 appearances and the Phillies going 4-1 in his 5 starts and Snell allowing 4 or more ER in his last 3 starts and the Giants being 1-3 in his 4 starts. Philly has won 7 of its last 9 while scoring 5 or more runs in 5 of its last 7.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-105).

Both pitchers have a 5-plus ERA. The Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games while allowing 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 7. The Giants have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games while allowing 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9.

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-21) and San Francisco Giants (18-23) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0

Philadelphia lost Monday 6-3 as +100 road underdogs. The Phillies got out to an early lead thanks to a 2-run HR from 1B Alec Bohm, but surrendered that lead after a terrible bottom of the 2nd, allowing 6 runs.

Monday’s win ended a 3-game losing streak for the Giants, who have lost 3 of their last 5 overall and are 3-3 in their last 6 home games.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Alex Cobb

Wheeler (3-2, 3.80 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 45 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K, in a 2-1 win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
  • Career vs. Giants: 2-2 in 8 starts, 3.54 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 31 H, 6 HR, 20 BB, 49 K

Cobb (3-1, 1.70 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 47 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K, in a 6-2 win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-1 in 3 starts, 2.37 ERA (19 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 6 BB, 14 K

Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Giants +1.5 (185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 3, Phillies 2

Moneyline

LEAN GIANTS (-105).

The Phillies have been bad recently against the Giants, being 2-8 in the last 10 meetings. They have also been bad on the road (9-14) so far this season. The Giants have not been dominant at home (11-10), but their recent dominance over Philadelphia makes them the safer bet.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

San Francisco +1.5 (-185) should hit, but the risk here is not worth the reward considering the Giants should win straight up. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

For Philadelphia the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 overall and 1-0-1 in Wheeler’s last 2 starts, both coming in the last 2 weeks. For San Francisco the Under is 5-4-1 in their last 10 overall and 5-0 in Cobb’s last 5 starts overall and on grass.

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-20) and San Francisco Giants (17-23) meet Monday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at Oracle Park is slated for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies at Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Giants won last year’s series 5-1

Philadelphia lost 4-0 on Sunday at the Colorado Rockies, snapping a 5-game win streak. Phillies pitching has registered a 2.33 ERA, 0.87 WHIP over its last 6 games.

San Francisco heads into this series having lost 3 in a row. A Giants offense that averaged 4.82 runs per game through April 26 has scored just 3.88 RPG since.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Alex Wood

Falter (0-6, 5.75 ERA) is starting his 8th game. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Has allowed 9 R in his last 8 IP
  • Clocked a 3.86 ERA in 84 IP last season
  • Swinging strikes (8.2%) are down significantly from last year’s 11% figure

Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) owns a 1.64 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 11 innings across 4 games (3 starts).

  • Figures to see more of a left lean in the Phillies lineup than with most clubs: Has held left-handed bats under a .450 OPS 2022-23 and to a tidy .611 mark for his career
  • Making his 2nd start off the IL (hamstring), but tag that note with an asterisk: Wood went just 1 inning in a planned short outing Friday to allow him to be available for this start

Phillies at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Phillies 5

Moneyline

Analytics on both sides of the ball point to these 2 clubs operating near expectations. Aside from separators in the mound matchups, this series does not offer up much in the way of factors to exploit.

Wood’s return from injury creates a question on the home side. Falter has likely deserved a slightly better fate, but he’s been running into a lot of bats and has not been sharp recently.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

A juice-drowned option here: PASS.

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Over/Under

In the last 5 Philly-Frisco meetings at Oracle, the Over has gone 4-1.

There are question marks in the starting pitcher matchup, and the Giants bullpen has thus far figured as a bottom-3rd group. Both offenses were 1st-division types a year ago, but have fallen just below average so far in 2023.

On a breeze-blowing-out-night and both starters not being proficient ground-ball inducers, TAKE THE OVER 9 (-115). At the price, make this one a partial-unit play.

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-60) and the San Francisco Giants (63-68) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Oracle Park with the 1st pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead series 4-1

The Phillies have lost 5 of 6 games after losing to the Giants 5-4 Saturday. Four of Philadelphia’s last 5 losses have been by 5 or more runs.

Following a 7-game losing streak, the Giants won their 2nd in a row Saturday. San Francisco’s Joc Pederson has driven in 8 runs this series against Philadelphia.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Suarez (8-5, 3.42 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.42 BB/9 and 7.71 K/9 in 123 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision Monday against the Arizona Diamondbacks with 6 R in 3 2/3 IP on 5 H, 2 BB and 4 K
  • Is 6-1 with a 2.54 ERA through 71 IP in 12 road starts

Rodon (12-7, 3.03 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.68 BB/9 and 11.36 K/9 in 151 1/3 IP.

  • Gave up 5 runs in 4 IP against the San Diego Padres on Monday and took the loss after winning his 4 previous starts
  • Is 6-2 with a 2.42 ERA through 67 IP in 12 home starts

Phillies at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Giants -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Giants 2

Money line

The PHILLIES (+102) have had a disappointing road trip, but getting swept is not something they’ve done since July 24 against the Chicago Cubs. Despite looking impressive the last 2 games, the Giants being favored to sweep a team with the potential firepower of Philadelphia is a steep price. The value is on the Phillies as an underdog to not get swept.

Run line/Against the spread

The PHILLIES +1.5 (-210) might look pricey, but still has value considering the Giants have only won by 2 or more runs in 2 of their last 10 games. Philadelphia has also proven lately that it is a hard team to sweep. In Philadelphia’s last series, it was blown out twice by Arizona before ending the 3-game set with an 18-2 win Wednesday.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth a bet, especially for those who are uncomfortable betting on a Philadelphia team that hasn’t looked great on this road trip. Suarez’s numbers on the road are very similar to Rodon’s numbers at home. Both starting pitchers should help keep this game under the total.

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-59) meet the San Francisco Giants (62-68) Saturday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 3-1

The Phils were blown out Friday night by a 13-1 tune. RHP Kyle Gibson unraveled for 7 runs in 1 2/3 IP, and they never recovered. Philadelphia has lost 4 of 5 games but still remains 3 1/2 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers for the last NL Wild Card spot.

The Giants snapped a 7-game losing streak with the win. OF Joc Pederson led the charge with a home run and 5 RBIs.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. RHP Jakob Junis

Syndergaard (8-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 110 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 5 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 5 2/3 IP to the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out Sunday
  • 5 starts with Phillies: 3-1, 4.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9

Junis (4-4, 4.04 ERA) makes his 15th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 82 1/3 IP.

  • Has not been good lately: 7.13 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over his last 5 starts
  • Allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 3 K in 4 1/3 IP to Philadelphia May 31

Phillies at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Giants +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Giants 4

Money line

I look for the Phillies to respond offensively. The only question is whether the declining Syndergaard can keep them in the game. With the way Junis has pitched, I think they have enough to get it done.

Take the PHILLIES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

I don’t trust either team on the RL, but I do like what I see with PHILLIES OVER 2.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+120). Junis has allowed 3 ER or more in 4 of his last 5 starts, and if you’re down with the Phils today, this one makes sense.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing straight out to centerfield at 6 mph. The last 4 Phillies games have averaged 17 runs per contest. The Over is obviously 4-0 in those games. The Over is 2-0-2 in Junis’ last 4 home starts against clubs with a winning record. There’s enough traction to take the OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (45-26) host the Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) Sunday for the rubber match of their three-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Philly evened the series by crushing San Francisco 13-6 Saturday as 1B Rhys Hoskins showed out, hitting 3-for-6 with a double, two home runs and six RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2.

RHP Zach Eflin is on the mound for the Phillies. Eflin is 2-5 with a 3.99 ERA (79 IP, 35 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 2 K in Philly’s 5-3 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday.
  • Eflin had a no-decision in a start earlier this season (April 21) vs. the Giants with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 3 K in a 6-5 Philly loss.
    • vs. Giants on the current roster: 64 at-bats with a .313/.371/.531 slash line, 11/6 K/BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.

Rookie LHP Sammy Long makes his first career start for the Giants. Long has made two relief appearances this season with a stat line of 9 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 10 K.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Phillies 7, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES (+105) for a half unit since I like Philly’s First 5 Innings run line price and because the Phillies have an edge in the pitching matchup and the market movement.

Eflin, who’s usually an innings eater, hasn’t pitched past the 6th inning in two of his previous three outings after beginning the season with 10 straight starts of six or more innings pitched.

Also, the Giants opened up as -160 money line favorites but have been moved down to the current number despite a vast majority of the bets being placed on San Francisco to win. In sports betting, it’s a red flag when the “House” makes the more popular side cheaper.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES FIRST 5 INNINGS +0.5 (-135) for a half unit. This is the best bet I have for this game because Eflin has pitched at least five innings in 12 of his 13 starts. So, we shouldn’t have to sweat Philly’s terrible bullpen.

Also, San Francisco’s bullpen isn’t much better as it ranks 26th in WAR on the season. So, Philly’s hot hitting could certainly rake the Giants relievers.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a half unit. The weather forecast is predicting 10 mph winds blowing out to left-center field and the Phillies have played to the Over in four of their last five games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (45-25) host the Philadelphia Phillies (33-34) Saturday for the second game of their three-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series 5-3 with starting RHP Johnny Cueto getting a win in a quality start and the Giants’ bullpen pitching three scoreless innings in relief.

Season series: Giants lead 3-1.

RHP Aaron Nola makes his 15th start for the Phillies. Nola is 5-4 with a 3.69 ERA (83 IP, 34 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-0, with 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 9 K Sunday vs. the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 54 at-bats with a .333/.379/.407 slash line, 16/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 8 RBIs.

LHP Alex Wood is on the mound for the Giants. Wood is 6-3 with a 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 over 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 7 K Monday vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 110 at-bats with a .209/.267/.282 slash line, 35/8 K/BB, 1 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+165) | Giants +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PHILLIES (-105) for 1 unit because Nola has pitched well against good teams this season and his advancing pitching numbers against these Giants batters are eye-popping.

For instance, against teams with a winning record this season, Nola is 4-2 with a higher K/BB rate, lower WHIP and lower ERA by two full runs than against sub .500 teams.

While both starters have impressive advanced pitching numbers against their respective opponents, Nola has been dominant vs. current Giants hitters. He’s posted a 1.02 FIP with a .255 expected opponent’s wOBA, .303 expected slugging percentage and a 28.6% strikeout rate.

And for what it’s worth, Nola is way more effective when making a start in the daytime vs. the night.

He’s 2-0 in five starts with a 1.67 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and 9.3 K/BB rate in the day compared to a 3-4 record with a 5.07 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 4.1 K/BB rate in nine nighttime starts.

Also, Philly is above average vs. left-handed pitching, ranking 13th in wRC+, 14th in wOBA and 15th in OPS, while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have a .863 OPS or higher vs. Wood.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Giants +1.5 (-200) have the second-highest cover rate at home (20-12 ATS record in San Francisco) while the Phillies -1.5 (+165) are just 2-8 ATS as a road favorite this season with a minus-3.3 run line margin.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) because, as I stated earlier, Wood’s advanced pitching numbers against Philly’s lineup are very good and the “sharp” money is betting the Under whereas the public is on the Over.

According to Pregame.com, over 75% of the early money wagered is on the Under but 70% of the early action is on the Over and, in sports gambling, it’s generally wiser to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the bettors.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (33-33) are at Oracle Park Friday to start a three-game series with the host San Francisco Giants (44-25). First pitch will be at 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1.

RHP Vince Velasquez is on the mound for the Phillies. He is 2-1 with a 4.25 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 across nine starts and four bullpen appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 5 K Saturday against the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 50 at-bats with a .160/.276/.360 slash line, 15/8 K/BB, 3 HR and 8 RBIs.

RHP Johnny Cueto makes his 11th start for the Giants. He is 4-3 with a 4.00 ERA (54 IP, 24 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-0, with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 3 BB and 2 K Sunday at the Washington Nationals.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 166 at-bats with a .283/.350/.476 slash line, 39/14 K/BB, 6 HR and 15 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 8, Giants 6

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the PHILLIES (+110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a quarter unit because both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games and it’s a “contrarian” play vs. a betting market that’s backing the Giants.

Philly beat the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday and won four straight against the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves last week while San Francisco’s current four-game winning streak was at home against an Arizona Diamondbacks team that’s historically bad on the road.

Furthermore, the Giants’ money line is fairly cheap considering they are in first place in an NL West Division with the defending World Series champion Dodgers and a San Diego Padres team dripping with talent.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the action is on San Francisco’s money line and it’s too robotic of a play for a majority of the market to make.

Fading the Giants in this spot also works because Velasquez’s numbers vs. current Giants hitters are sharper than Cueto’s against current Phillies batters.

The reason for backing Philly on the First 5 Innings line is because the Phillies bullpen has the worst WAR in the majors.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the PHILLIES +0.5 (-130) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because of all the previous analysis, plus, Philly’s half-run of insurance for the First 5 Innings is reasonably priced.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-110) for a half unit.

Cueto has given up 4 home runs in his last two starts, Velasquez’s exit velocity, hard-hit rate and fly-ball rates are all higher than the MLB average and the weather forecast calls for double-digit winds blowing out to left-centerfield.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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