Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

NLCS Game 5: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks play Game 5 of the best-of-7 National League Championship Series Saturday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

NLCS: Tied 2-2

The Phillies headed to the bottom of the 8th inning with a 5-2 lead in Game 4. Philadelphia was looking to bounce back after blowing a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the 7th inning in Game 3. It was worse Friday. Much worse.

Veteran RHP Craig Kimbrel served up a 2-run HR to Diamondbacks PH Alek Thomas in the bottom of the 8th, and C Gabriel Moreno delivered a go-ahead single off of reliever LHP Jose Alvarado, completing the comeback.

Not only did Thomas’ homer ruin the night for Phillies (+116) side bettors, but Under (9) bettors saw a small cushion, with 7 runs on the board heading to the bottom of the 8th, turn into a losing ticket.

Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Wheeler was 13-6 with a 3.61 ERA in 32 regular-season starts. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 192 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-3 home win vs. Diamondbacks in Game 1 on Monday
  • 2023 road splits (regular season): 8-4, 3.16 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 7 HR in 17 starts
  • Making his 10th career postseason start and 10th overall appearance

Gallen made 34 starts in the regular season, going 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 210 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in Monday’s 5-3 loss at Phillies
  • 2023 home splits (regular season): 12-3, 2.47 ERA (102 IP, 28 ER), 7 HR in 16 starts
  • Making his 4th career postseason start and 4th overall appearance

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Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

The Phillies (-130) have gotten off to great starts in Phoenix, but the DIAMONDBACKS (+110) are the play in Game 5, because they’ve been finishing.

It might not take a comeback victory on Saturday. Gallen was the team’s ace this season, posting tremendous numbers at home with a 12-3 record and 2.47 ERA.

Look for Arizona to take its first series lead, pushing Philadelphia to the brink of elimination with a third consecutive home win.

Run line/Against the spread

Playing the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-150) isn’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance and just can’t trust Arizona at home straight up for some reason.

The team did lose Gallen’s first in this series in Philadelphia, but again, he has been money at home.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8 (-118) is the lean, with a slight twist.

The Phillies have scored 15 total runs in the first 6 innings in the 4 games combined, but just 6 total runs in the final 3 frames. As such, playing OVER 3.5 RUNS – 1ST 5 INNINGS (-128) is actually a recommended play, before shifting gears and hoping to hang on for the Under.

The Under is 1-1 in Gallen’s 2 postseason starts. While the Over is 2-1 in Wheeler’s 3 postseason starts, while the Under is 6-3-1 in his past 10 starts overall.

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NLCS Gm 4: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks take their NL Championship Series into Game 4 on Friday. First pitch at Chase Field is slated for 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Phillies lead 2-1

Philadelphia had its 2-0 lead halved in a 2-1 loss in Thursday’s Game 3 in Phoenix. A Phillies club that had banged out a remarkable 24 extra-base hits over its previous 4 games was held to just 1 double amid 3 hits Thursday.

Arizona got masterful pitching from rookie RHP Brandon Pfaadt and 4 relievers Thursday. The Diamondbacks are now 17-7 over their last 24 games at home.

Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Christopher Sanchez vs. RHP Joe Mantiply

Sanchez went 3-5 with a 3.44 ERA across 18 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.05 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 99 1/3 innings.

  • Last pitched on Sept. 30 in a 1-inning relief appearance; Friday’s NLCS turn will mark his 1st start since Sept. 24
  • 2023 road stats: 1-0, 2.08 ERA in 26 IP across 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Has not faced the Diamondbacks as a starter
  • Has not pitched in the postseason

Mantiply went 2-2 with a 4.62 ERA across 3 regular-season starts and 32 relief appearances. He logged a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 39 innings.

  • Figures to be utilized in an opener role; RHP Slade Cecconi is a possible bulk hurler to be used behind Mantiply (Cecconi registered a 4.33 ERA in 27 IP in MLB in 2023; he also made 23 starts at Triple-A (6.11 ERA)
  • Postseason: 3 IP, 3H, 3R, 3 BB, 2 K, all this October

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Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 8:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Phillies are the better club, and they have a lot of momentum still. But Sanchez on the mound does not represent a best foot — or good enough foot — forward.

This contest very likely gets mostly resolved in the middle innings, amongst middle relievers and several arms either yet to throw this October or mostly untested this month. That all muddies the water plenty.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS … but with the caveat that there is a slight lean on the Phillies -1.5 (+125). If Philly bats can take over a loose game, the run line pricing looks best. Some bettors may want to consider the Philadelphia side if the price goes up at all.

Over/Under

In the regular season, Sanchez pitched with the benefit of a .273 batting average on balls in play. In high-leverage situations, he carried a .231 BABIP. Peg his season ERA as being lighter than it should be, and he’s appearing in the postseason for the 1st time. The Phillies port-sider was also dominant against lefty batters, holding them to a regular-season OPS of .401. He’ll see a heavy dose from the right side on Friday.

Nothing produces in the postseason like power, and the Phillies have managed 2 doubles and 19 home runs across 9 playoff games. A bullpen game can sometimes be an effective way to go. And D’backs relievers have fared well over the last 2 months. But that same bullpen carded a 5.80 ERA in July-August.

Peg both bullpens as being out too far over their skis with their October performances to date

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105). This is an attractive price, and you may have to move quick.

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NLCS Gm 3: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks take their NL Championship Series west for Game 3 on Thursday in Phoenix. First pitch at Chase Field is slated for 5:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s  lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Phillies lead 2-0

Philadelphia has prevailed by scores of 5-3 and 10-0 in this series and have won their last 4 games, all at home. Since the last day of the regular season, the Phils are 8-1.

Arizona returns to the desert, where this season — regular plus post — the club is 44-38. The Diamondbacks are 16-7 over their last 23 games at home.

Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Suarez went 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA across 22 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.42 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 125 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 2 K in 3-1 win vs. Atlanta Braves last Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-3, 2.75 ERA in 59 IP across 10 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 3.55 ERA in 25 1/3 IP (2021-23)
  • Postseason: 1.16 ERA in 23 IP (2022-23)

Pfaadt went 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA across 18 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.41 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 96 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K in 4-2 win vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Oct. 11
  • 2023 home stats: 2-5, 6.46 ERA in 46 IP across 10 starts
  • Has never faced the Phillies as a starter
  • Postseason: 3.86 ERA in 7 IP, all this October

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Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated Wednesday at 7:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Phillies are the better club, and they are on a roll. Suarez  — who has been terrific in the postseason the last 2 years — puts the Diamondbacks on the weakest side of their platoon splits (.710 OPS vs. lefty pitching curing the regular season).

The starting match-up looks to be one ready to hand the ball off in the middle innings, so the bullpens loom large here as well.

BACK THE PHILLIES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies have tussled in a lot of 1-run games this season (53), and the low side of this total is the lean. PASS on getting the visitors by with the cushion.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-2-2 across the last 10 meetings Arizona games have cashed on the Under in 50 of the team’s last 89 games (+12.40 units, 13% ROI).

In the regular season, Suarez pitched in and around a .327 batting average on balls in play. On the road, that figure was .335. In inning lead-off situations, its was .333. In all high-leverage situations, he carried a .313 BABIP. Peg his season ERA as being more bloated than it should be.

Pfaadt worked around a .316 BABIP in the regular season. His iffy home line was accompanied by a .374 BABIP. Inning leadoff situations saw him hurt by a .418 BABIP. When runners were in scoring position, he was dinged by a .357 BABIP. He, too, deserved a better fate.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-105). Consider a partial-unity play at the current price and a fully vested play at +100 or better.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) and Arizona Diamondbacks (41-27) meet Thursday in the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch at Chase Field is slated for 3:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The Phillies rallied for back-to-back wins Wednesday (4-3, 10 innings) and Tuesday (15-3) after they dropped Monday’s series opener 9-8. After going 2-10 over a dozen road games from May 12-June 2, the Phils have gone 4-1 in their last 5 away from home.

Arizona had won 6 straight games while slashing a .316/.388/.517 (.905 OPS) prior to Tuesday’s loss. The Snakes have homered in 10 straight games; they own an .840 OPS over that span.

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Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has registered a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 88 IP.

  • Has struggled away from home, posting a 5.14 ERA with a 7.3 K/9 in 49 IP on the road
  • Allowed 6 runs in his last start and owns a 5.33 ERA over his last 4 turns
  • Current Arizona batters own an aggregate .976 OPS against him

Nelson (3-3, 4.95 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has notched a 1.46 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.

  • Pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his last outing and has authored a 3.04 ERA over his last 5 starts
  • Has not fared well at home where he has 6.62 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 35 1/3 IP

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+126) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Arizona has overplayed its scoring profile and benefited from an easier-than-average schedule. The result is a club too far out over its skis in its record.

Philadelphia’s overall numbers swing a bit the other way, and we should expect better days for the Phils. Mix in a pitching match-up that likely has Nola undervalued as he’s been hurt by a low left-on-base rate (62.5%) and a high percentage of fly balls leaving the yard (13.6%).

BACK PHILADELPHIA (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

Four of 6 meetings between these clubs this season have been decided by 1 run. PASS on sneaking the visitors by with a cushion.

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Over/Under

The Under has a lean but also has an expensive price tag. AVOID.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (33-34) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (41-26) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Wednesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2

The Phillies routed the Diamondbacks 15-3 on Tuesday after suffering a 9-8 setback in the series opener Monday. Philly piled up 20 hits Tuesday, including 2 home runs and 8 extra-base hits as 7 different Phillies had at least 2 hits and 11 different players collected at least 1 hit.

The 15 runs allowed in Tuesday’s game was Arizona’s highest of the season, and it was just the 5th time the opposition hit double digits against the Diamondbacks. It was a tough way for a 6-game win streak to come to a close.

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Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Suarez (1-2, 4.70 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 30 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 5-4 home win vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
  • 2023 Road splits: 1-1, 3.06 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 6 ER) with a .299 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts

Kelly (8-3, 2.92 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 77 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in an 11-6 road win vs. the Detroit Tigers Friday
  • 2023 Home splits: 3-3, 3.56 ERA (43 IP, 17 ER – 6 HR) with a .184 OBA in 7 starts

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Diamondbacks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-135) look like a slam-dunk play, especially due to the pitching matchup.

Kelly has tremendous overall stats while Suarez has struggled. However, this could be much closer than most think, as the Philly southpaw is much better on the road than at home while Kelly has a .500 record at home and has given up 6 of the 8 homers he has allowed this season at Chase Field.

Run line/Against the spread

The PHILLIES +1.5 (-175) is a little on the expensive side, but worth playing lightly.

Philadelphia’s offense was lights out Tuesday and it faces Kelly, who has not been doing a good job of keeping the ball in the yard in his home park.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but play a half-unit at most.

The Over has cashed in 6 of the past 8 games for the Snakes, as they have piled up 56 runs during that span.

Philly has made itself at home at Chase Field, picking up 23 total runs in the first 2 games of the series, and 30 total runs of offense across the past 3 outings.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (32-34) and Arizona Diamondbacks (41-25) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch at Chase Field is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Arizona leads 3-1

The Phillies dropped Monday’s series opener 9-8. That marked the 3rd time in these teams’ 4 meetings that a game ended within a single run. After posting a 1.67 ERA in a 6-0 stretch from June 3-9, Philadelphia has allowed 9 runs in 2 of its last 3 games.

Arizona has won 6 straight games while slashing a fine .316/.388/.517 (.905 OPS) along the way. Since May 28, the Diamondbacks are 12-2 with a plus-32 run differential.

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Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Zach Davies

Wheeler (4-4, 3.91 ERA) makes his 14th start of the 2023 season. He has notched a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 76 IP.

  • Has clocked a 5.18 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the road
  • Faced the Diamondbacks on May 22 in Philly: Loss, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K
  • Owns a 3.88 ERA over 5 starts vs. Arizona since 2019

Davies (1-1, 4.68 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 25 IP.

  • Has looked solid with a 4.02 ERA in 3 starts since returning from an oblique injury that kept him on the shelf for about six weeks in April-May
  • Facing a Philadelphia club that has given him trouble in the past (current batters have an .851 aggregate OPS)

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -132 (bet $132 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+118) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Arizona has overplayed its runs vs. runs allowed profile (5.23 runs per game (RPG), 4.61 RPG allowed) and has benefited from an easier-than-average schedule so far. The Diamondbacks own a .331 batting average on high-leverage balls in play figure and a favorable BABIP in inning leadoff situations. Peg the Arizona defense as due some regression.

Wheeler — owner of a 2.98 ERA over the last 4 seasons — makes this start on 4 days’ rest which has netted a 1.67 ERA across 4 such efforts this season. He’s had some missteps this season, but a .375 batting average on high-leverage balls in play has ballooned his ERA a tad unfairly.

The price is right to leverage the visiting nine. BACK PHILADELPHIA (-132).

Run line/Against the spread

Likable pitching all the way around with these starters and bullpens. In a low-scoring environment, PASS on getting the visitors by with a cushion.

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Over/Under

The Under has a lean: good pitching and an Arizona offense due for some regression. But the price has to be right. PASS, unless you can get a -110 on the Under 9.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) and Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) play the final game of a three-game series at Chase Field Thursday, with a 3:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies RHP Zack Wheeler (10-7, 2.56 ERA) makes his 25th start of the season. The NL Cy Young candidate enters Thursday with a 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 162 IP.

  • Leads MLB in innings (162) and strikeouts (187) while being tied for the league lead in shutouts (two) and complete games (three).
  • He is 4-3 on the road, with a 3.10 ERA and 65 strikeouts while allowing a .244 batting average to opposing hitters.

Diamondbacks LHP Madison Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) comes into his 19th start with a 1.15 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9.

  • Through six starts since July 16, Bumgarner has posted a 2.09 ERA with 26 strikeouts across 38 2/3 IP. The Diamondbacks went 4-2 in those six games.
  • Bumgarner is 3-3 at home, with a 4.37 ERA, 43 strikeouts and a .277 opponent batting average.

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-120) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Phillies 3, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The Phillies are 25-34 on the road, as the offense has compiled a .239 batting average away from home.

The Philadelphia offense produced just 4 hits in Wednesday’s 4-2 loss and the NL East’s second-place Phillies have lost two in a row to the worst team in the National League and they have just seven hits total in those two games.

Lean slightly toward PHILADELPHIA (-200).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Lean toward ARIZONA +1.5 (-105).

The Phillies offense is struggling to produce hits and base runners, let alone any semblance of run support for their pitchers. Only one Phillies hitter has an OPS above .725 in the last eight games and that’s OF Bryce Harper. OF Andrew McCutchen, INF Jean Segura, C J.T. Realmuto and INF Ronald Torreyes have all struggled while 1B Rhys Hoskins remains out of the lineup and won’t play Thursday.

The road team is favored simply because the home team has the worst record in the National League.

Over/Under (O/U)

Lean toward UNDER 7.5 (+105), as Philadelphia is a modest 59-59-2 against the O/U this season.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (61-58) and Arizona Diamondbacks (39-81) play the second game of a third-game series Wednesday at Chase Field, with a 9:40 p.m. first pitch. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies LHP Ranger Suarez (5-3, 1.07 ERA) makes his fourth start and 31st appearance of the season. He enters Wednesday with a 0.87 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.

  • The left-hander last pitched Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he threw 4 1/3 innings and allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and 2 walks.
  • Over his first three starts, Suarez has a 0.90 ERA, and opposing teams are hitting .094/.237/.094 against him with a .331 OPS.

Diamondbacks RHP Humberto Castellanos (0-1, 2.30 ERA) comes into his second start with a 1.21 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9.

  • Hasn’t pitched since early July when he threw 4 innings against the Colorado Rockies without allowing a run. The 23-year-old right-hander pitch deeper than 6 innings during his time in the minors since his last start in the majors, so he should be a full go in terms of a pitch count.

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks, and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

The Phillies are 16th in MLB with a .240 batting average and .404 slugging percentage, with 140 home runs.  Philadelphia’s coming off a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks Tuesday in which they mustered only 3 hits against the team with the highest ERA in the National League.

Lean slightly toward the DIAMONDBACKS (+145).

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Lean toward ARIZONA +1.5 (-112).

The Phillies offense is averaging only 4.76 runs per game in road games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Lean toward the UNDER 9.5 (-120), as Philadelphia is a modest 59-58-2 against the O/U this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (61-57) kick off a six-game road trip Tuesday with the first game of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-81). First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies RHP Kyle Gibson (8-4, 3.12 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the year and third since joining the Phillies. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 130 IP.

  • Gibson allowed 6 earned runs over 4 1/3 innings out of the bullpen in his last appearance. He won each of his two starts since being traded to the Phillies from the Texas Rangers.
  • Allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 17 of his starts this season.

The Diamondbacks had not announced the starter for Tuesday’s game at the time of publishing. LHP Caleb Smith (4-8, 5.17 ERA) originally would have drawn the start but was moved to the bullpen. He’s still an option to start as an opener.

Diamondbacks starters have a combined 5.35 ERA while the relief corps has a 5.33 ERA.

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Phillies won 10 of their last 15 games, including each of their last five on the road. They are in the thick of the playoff race while 1.5 games behind the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves.

The Diamondbacks are coming off an 8-2 loss to the San Diego Padres Sunday but took three out of four games at home in that series. They still have the worst record in MLB and the second-worst home record at 24-36.

Take the PHILLIES (-133).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Phillies are 57-60 ATS this season and 28-29 ATS on the road. They are 8-6 ATS in their last 14 games.

The Diamondbacks covered the spread in three of their last four games and four of their last six. They are 33-27 ATS at home.

They have been playing better recently, but the uncertainty of who will start combined with the overall play of Gibson this season has me leaning toward Philly.

Take the PHILLIES -1.5 (+122).

Over/Under (O/U)

More than 60% of the games at Chase Field this season have gone Over the projected total. Only two of the last nine games for the Phillies had a total of 9 or more runs.

Half of Arizona’s last eight games finished with at least 9 runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-135).

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