Big Ten Tournament: Penn State vs. Indiana odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Penn State vs. Indiana odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Penn State Nittany Lions (21-12) battle the No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers (22-10) on Saturday in the semifinal round of the Big Ten Tournament. Tip from United Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penn State vs. Indiana odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Penn State beat Northwestern 67-65 in overtime in the quarterfinals Friday, winning outright as a 2-point underdog. It has won 4 games in a row and 7 of its last 10. The Nittany Lions are 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in that span to improve to 18-13-2 ATS on the season.

Indiana beat Maryland 70-60 as a 2.5-point favorite Friday in the quarterfinals. It is 7-3 straight up and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games. The Hoosiers are 15-16-1 ATS this season.

Penn State beat Indiana 85-66 in their only matchup this season, covering as a 2-point home favorite on Jan. 11 as the Over (142) connected.

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Penn State vs. Indiana odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Indiana -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +4.5 (-120) | Indiana -4.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Penn State vs. Indiana picks and predictions

Prediction

Indiana 73, Penn State 71

Moneyline

PASS.

Indiana (-190) is likely to win a close game, but you shouldn’t risk nearly 2 times your potential return on it. You can sprinkle half a unit on Penn State (+160) if you are feeling lucky, they take down the Hoosiers by almost 20 points the last time they faced off. However, I’d rather take the insurance with the points on the spread.

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Against the spread

LEAN PENN STATE +4.5 (-120).

Penn State is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 Saturday games. The Nittany Lions are also 5-1 ATS this season while playing at a neutral site and are 5-1 ATS this season as a 3-4.5-point underdog. The Hoosiers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 138.5 (-110).

The Over is 7-2-1 in the Nittany Lions’ last 10 games overall, 5-2 in their last 7 games following an outright victory and 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Over is also 4-1 in the Hoosiers’ last 5 games overall.

Both teams have positive O/U records that highlight their tendencies to score a lot of points. Penn State is 19-13-1 O/U and Indiana is 18-13-1 O/U.

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Penn State at Indiana odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Penn State at Indiana odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 16 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) visit Bloomington to face the Indiana Hoosiers (3-5, 1-4) Saturday. Kickoff from Memorial Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Penn State vs. Indiana odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Nittany Lions are coming off of a big 44-31 rivalry loss vs. Ohio State on Oct. 29. Penn State had 482 total yards, 24 first downs and 30:26 time of possession — all of which led the game. What killed Penn State is this game was losing the turnover battle 4-0.

Holding a 21-16 lead with 9 minutes left in the 4th quarter, Penn State allowed a big rushing touchdown, then had a fumble which led to a touchdown and then threw a pick 6 that really put the game out of reach. QB Sean Clifford had 371 passing yards (32-of-47), 3 TDs and 3 INTs with a fumble.

The Hoosiers are on a 5-game losing skid with their latest loss a 24-17 defeat at Rutgers as 3-point underdogs. Indiana lost the turnover battle, the time of possession battle and had fewer total yards — all of which are a formula for a loss. QB Connor Bazelak completed 57% of his passes (24-of-42 attempts) for 210 yards, 0 TD and 1 INT.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Penn State at Indiana odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Indiana +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State -14 (-110) | Indiana +14 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Penn State at Indiana picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 35, Indiana 17

Moneyline

AVOID.

The moneyline here is far too risky for me to advise you to bet in favor of either team. Penn State (-650) should easily win this game but the risk here is not worth the reward.

Against the spread

BET PENN STATE -14 (-110).

This is your best bet for this game. Penn State is coming off of a tough loss but I expect them to come out with energy and put this game away early — I don’t see this one being close at any point.

Indiana doesn’t have the offensive weapons to keep up with Penn State and it also doesn’t have the defensive personnel to stop the lethal Nittany Lion ground game or force turnovers which have proven to be the best way to beat the Nittany Lions.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 50.5 (-112).

Indiana’s defense has allowed more than 30 points in 4 of their 5 losses, and vs. a Penn State offense that has threats in both the running and passing game, I see this trend continuing.

Expect Indiana’s offense to put up some points to help carry the Over in this one, but the Over should be safe here even if the Indiana offense doesn’t perform well.

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