Big Ten Tournament: Penn State vs. Indiana odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Penn State vs. Indiana odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Penn State Nittany Lions (21-12) battle the No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers (22-10) on Saturday in the semifinal round of the Big Ten Tournament. Tip from United Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penn State vs. Indiana odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Penn State beat Northwestern 67-65 in overtime in the quarterfinals Friday, winning outright as a 2-point underdog. It has won 4 games in a row and 7 of its last 10. The Nittany Lions are 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in that span to improve to 18-13-2 ATS on the season.

Indiana beat Maryland 70-60 as a 2.5-point favorite Friday in the quarterfinals. It is 7-3 straight up and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games. The Hoosiers are 15-16-1 ATS this season.

Penn State beat Indiana 85-66 in their only matchup this season, covering as a 2-point home favorite on Jan. 11 as the Over (142) connected.

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Penn State vs. Indiana odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Indiana -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +4.5 (-120) | Indiana -4.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Penn State vs. Indiana picks and predictions

Prediction

Indiana 73, Penn State 71

Moneyline

PASS.

Indiana (-190) is likely to win a close game, but you shouldn’t risk nearly 2 times your potential return on it. You can sprinkle half a unit on Penn State (+160) if you are feeling lucky, they take down the Hoosiers by almost 20 points the last time they faced off. However, I’d rather take the insurance with the points on the spread.

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Against the spread

LEAN PENN STATE +4.5 (-120).

Penn State is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 Saturday games. The Nittany Lions are also 5-1 ATS this season while playing at a neutral site and are 5-1 ATS this season as a 3-4.5-point underdog. The Hoosiers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 138.5 (-110).

The Over is 7-2-1 in the Nittany Lions’ last 10 games overall, 5-2 in their last 7 games following an outright victory and 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Over is also 4-1 in the Hoosiers’ last 5 games overall.

Both teams have positive O/U records that highlight their tendencies to score a lot of points. Penn State is 19-13-1 O/U and Indiana is 18-13-1 O/U.

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