The San Diego Padres (24-28) and New York Yankees (31-23) close out a 3-game series in the Big Apple Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Padres are 3-2 in the midst of a 9-game road trip. They’re looking to win a 2nd straight series of this East Coast swing, which began with taking 2 of 3 at Washington and concludes with a Tuesday-through-Thursday series in Miami. The Padres have scored 3 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games.
It took the Yankees extra innings Saturday afternoon to end a 3-game winless streak. LF Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s RBI single in the bottom of the 10th inning gave New York a 3-2 victory as -148 favorites. They look to end their 6-game homestand with a win — they lost 2 of 3 to the Orioles before the Padres came to town.
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Padres at Yankees projected starters
RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Darvish (3-3, 3.67 ERA) makes his 10th start of 2023. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 54 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-4 road victory at Washington Nationals Tuesday
- Career vs Yankees: 3-1, 1.64 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 6 starts
- Last start vs. Yankees: No decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 2-1 road loss June 23, 2017
- Has at least 5 K’s in 6 of his last 7 starts
Cole (5-0, 2.53 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 67 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
- Career vs. Padres: 4-2, 1.65 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 7 starts
- Last start vs Padres: No decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1-0 Houston Astros’ home loss April 7, 2018
- Has 5 straight no-decisions entering Sunday’s contest
Padres at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Padres at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 3, Padres 1
Moneyline
I could see taking a chance with YANKEES (-150), but I’m not 100% sold on it as I really like the UNDER in this contest.
The Yankees are 9-2 in Cole’s 11 starts this season, while the Padres are 4-5 when Darvish takes the hill.
PASS or make a small wager on YANKEES (-150).
Run line/Against the spread
I could also see taking a small flyer on YANKEES -1.5 (+140), but again, I really like the UNDER here.
Plus, we don’t want to lock up all our money on the Yankees, be it moneyline or run line. AVOID.
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Over/Under
These 2 teams have tussled into cashing back-to-back Under tickets in the first 2 games of the series, totaling 6 runs Friday (a San Diego 5-1 win) and 5 runs Saturday.
The Padres have struggled against right-handers, batting just .212 on the season, and Cole is 3-1 with a 1.42 ERA in his last 5 starts against them.
Expect a pitcher’s duel. BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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