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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (37-43) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-42) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0 after a 7-1 victory on Wednesday

The Padres are in the midst of a 4-game skid, and are just 2-7 in their past 9 games overall to slip to 6 games under .500. San Diego is also just 1-6 across its previous 7 games on the road and trails the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks by 10 1/2 games.

The Pirates had lost 10 in a row from June 13-22 and were just 1-12 in the 13 games before this series. However, Pittsburgh has outscored San Diego by a 16-5 count, and the 2-game run total is the most for the Bucs against the same opponent since also scoring 16 runs in consecutive games from May 19-20 against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Padres at Pirates projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Luis Ortiz

Musgrove (6-2, 3.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 60 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 13-3 home win vs. the Washington Nationals Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 3-1, 3.13 ERA (23 IP, 8 ER) with a .270 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Ortiz (2-3, 3.74 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 45 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 road win vs. the Miami Marlins Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER – 3 HR) with a .303 OBA in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Padres at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-115) | Pirates +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

The PIRATES (+165) are a tremendous value at home as the Bucs break out the brooms against the disappointing Padres.

Musgrove has been consistently solid this season, including on the road. However, Ortiz is coming off a career-best outing, going 8 innings in a win on the road in Miami.

The Padres are just 1-5 in the past 6 in Game 3 of a series, while going 0-5 in the past 5 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. It’s time to stop believing in San Diego and just fade it until it starts showing some consistency.

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES +1.5 (-105) are worth a look if you’d like a little bit of insurance and you believe the Padres will have some fortitude and salvage this series for some reason. It will likely be a close battle even if the Padres are able to win, and the Bucs are not priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance considering how well they’ve played in this series.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the best play in this matinee getaway day game.

The Under is 24-8-1 in the Padres’ last 33 games against a right-handed starting pitcher and is 12-4-1 in their past 17 road games vs. RHP.

The Under is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games overall for the Pirates and is 3-1-2 in the past 6 meetings in this series.

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (37-41) open a 6-game road trip on Tuesday with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-42). First pitch from PNC Park is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Padres won 4 of 6 meetings in 2022

The Padres lost the final 2 games of a 3-game series at home against the Washington Nationals, including an 8-3 defeat in the series finale on Sunday. They have lost 5 out of their last 7 games.

The Pirates have lost 12 of their last 13 games. They snapped a 10-game losing streak beating the Miami Marlins on Friday, but lost 3 of 4 games in the series, including the last 2 games. They were shut out 2-0 on Sunday.

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Padres at Pirates projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Rich Hill

Darvish (5-6, 4.84 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 80 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road loss to San Francisco Giants last Wednesday
  • Is 1-2 with 7.71 ERA in last 3 starts

Hill (6-7, 4.34 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 83 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 R (3 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home loss to Chicago Cubs last Wednesday
  • Is 2-4 with 5.05 ERA in last 6 starts

Padres at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-115) | Pirates +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

The Pirates only have 1 win in their last 13 games and only 3 in their last 18. They have not scored more than 4 runs in their last 11 games and have been shut out 4 times. The Padres have lost 5 of their last 7, but are 9-9 in their last 18. However betting the Padres on the moneyline isn’t worth the action, having to wager nearly twice what you can win.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates have covered the spread only twice in the last 9 games and only 3 times in their last 15. Seven of their last 8 losses have been by 2 or more runs. Five of the Padres’ last 6 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Pirates have struggled on offense, scoring only 15 runs in their last 9 games. But with both pitchers with ERAs over 5.00 over their last several starts, there is bound to be some offense early. The Padres have had 3 of their last 4 games finish with totals over 9 runs.

BET OVER 9 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (8-4) and Pittsburgh Pirates (4-7) play the third contest of their four-game series at PNC Park at 6:35 p.m. ET Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. In 10 starts over the last two seasons, he is 3-5 with a 2.80 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 over 54 2/3 IP. The 28-year-old right-hander has exhibited an uptick in velocity while tossing 15 scoreless frames thus far in 2021. He’s coming off a no-hitter at the Texas Rangers April 9.

LHP Tyler Anderson draws Wednesday’s turn for the Pirates. In 15 appearances over 2020-21, Anderson is 4-5 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 70 IP. The Pittsburgh lefty is coming off back-to-back losses to the Chicago Cubs with 6 total runs allowed over 10 1/3 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-120) | Pirates +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

The Padres are tough on lefty pitching and have the better bullpen. The Friars are a decent value play up to -190.

PASS OTHERWISE.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Look for San Diego to play its platoon-bullpen-offensive advantage into a multi-run win in a higher scoring game than what’s forecasted by the 8-run total.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over had a slight lean and barely hit on a line of 7.5 Monday. Tuesday’s game figured as a solid Over (again on a 7.5), and the Pirates won 8-4. The weather report calls for a hitter’s breeze out to left in Wednesday’s game.

Musgrove threw 112 pitches in his no-no and has a checkered history — though one with bigger misfires than hits — in starts after 95-plus pitches. Anderson — a fly-ball pitcher — has coughed up 3 HR in 10 IP. Current SD batters own a .907 OPS against him.

The Padres also own an early .309/.406/.506 slash line against southpaws.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (8-3) and Pittsburgh Pirates (3-7) play the second contest of their four-game PNC Park series at 6:35 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Through two starts, the Ray-turned-Padre is 0-0 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 14.9 K/9 and 5.6 BB/9 in 9 2/3 IP.

RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starter for the Pirates. Through his first two efforts, Kuhl is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 10.3 BB/9 in 7 IP. The 28-year-old righty walked five in his last outing, a four-inning turn against Cincinnati Wednesday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pirates +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-135) | Pirates +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

PASS: The prices here bracket the likely true odds.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres won the series opener, 6-2, and are now 4-0 in road games against the run line. But the Friars (4.09 runs per game) and Bucs (3.60) rank 20th and 23rd in scoring, respectively. San Diego was a decent play with Monday’s pitching matchup, and the Padres have taken on the early money in this one.

But now the value pendulum swings back the other way, and there is contrarian leverage with the price on Pittsburgh. TAKE THE PIRATES +1.5 (+110). A line-watch for an even better tag is recommended.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over had a slight lean in what was a push (on an 8) Monday. The weather for Tuesday calls for a temp in the high-60s and an outward breeze.

Mix in Tuesday’s starters, Monday’s bullpen use and Tuesday’s lack of change in the number to get our result.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (7-3) and Pittsburgh Pirates (3-6) tangle in a Monday evening game at PNC Park with a 6:35 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Over the last two seasons (2020-21) combined, Darvish is 8-3 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 86 2/3 IP over 14 starts. Darvish faced the Pirates once last season and tossed 6 innings of scoreless, 2-hit ball.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. Over 12 appearances in 2020 and 2021, Cahill is 1-3 with a 4.97 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 29 IP. He’s looking for a bounce-back after allowing seven runs in four frames against the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday. Cahill has often struggled out of the gate with a first-month OPS of .800-plus in four of his last six seasons.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-135) | Pirates +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

PASS: The Padres have enough value, even on the minus side, on the run-line play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 3-0 in road games against the run line. The San Diego offense has been just fine so far with a .759 OPS), but since April 4 the Friars have hit just .174 with runners in scoring position. This Padres offense is capable of more. It’s one that has hit Cahill well in the past (.977 OPS), although in small doses in just 29 plate appearances.

Add in a bullpen clicking on all cylinders with a 0.84 ERA, and the visitors are a decent play on the run line. TAKE SAN DIEGO -1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The factors underpinning a call on the total have some cross signals. Both clubs have leaned toward the Under so far this season (combined 12-4 mark), but tag Monday’s contest — with a projected hitter’s breeze — and some more offense in the tank for perhaps both teams as being a potential double-digit game.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110) on a slight lean.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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