Padres Nationals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (54-50) and Washington Nationals (47-55) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 12:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: San Diego leads 5-0

San Diego embarrassed Washington 12-3 Wednesday while covering as a -103 road favorite. The Padres scored 12 unanswered runs from the 2nd to 5th innings after going down 3-0 in the 1st. C Kyle Higashioka went 3-for-5 with a HR and 3 RBI.

LHP Mitchell Parker was the losing pitcher (3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K) as the Nationals have lost both games of this series.

Padres at Nationals projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Cease (9-8, 3.76 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 122 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 7-0 win over Cleveland Guardians Saturday
Career vs. Washington: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 1 start

Corbin (2-9, 5.35 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 111 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 8-5 win over Cincinnati Reds Friday
Career vs. San Diego: 7-11, 4.75 ERA (127 IP, 67 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 25 appearances (20 starts)

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Padres at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:24 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The Padres should cover here as -185 road favorites, but a line set this favorably is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN NATIONALS +1.5 (-110).

Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Nationals are 56-46 ATS on the year and 33-21 ATS when coming off a loss this season. The Padres are 53-51 ATS and 32-17 ATS as the road squad this year.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

The Over has hit in 3 of Washington’s last 5 home games and is 5-2 in its last 7 overall. The Over has also hit in 7 of the last 10 San Diego-Washington meetings, being 5-1 in the last 6 overall and 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in the Nation’s Capital.

Be aware that the Over is only 3-7 San Diego’s last 10 outings.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (53-50) visit the Washington Nationals (47-54) on Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-0

The Padres have won 3 games in a row after taking down the Nationals 4-0 on Tuesday and covering as +103 road underdogs. CF Jackson Merrill had 2 RBIs and RHP Randy Vasquez allowed 0 ER in 6 IP to pick up the win.

Washington had a 3-game winning streak snapped with Tuesday’s loss while failing to cover as a -111 home favorite. The offense was held to just 5 hits while LHP DJ Herz allowed 2 ER in 5 IP to pick up the loss.

Padres at Nationals projected starters

RHP Matt Waldron vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Waldron (5-9, 3.59 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.48 BB/9 and 7.91 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-0 loss at Cleveland Guardians on Friday
Career vs. Nationals: 0-1, 3.38 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Parker (5-5, 3.90 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.05 BB/9 and 7.41 K/9 in 92 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-5 win at Milwaukee Brewers on July 13
Rookie debuted April 15 and has not yet faced Padres in his career

Padres at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Nationals 3

Moneyline

BET PADRES (-115).

San Diego has taken down Washington in each of the previous 4 matchups this season. It has held opponents to 1 run or fewer in each of its last 3 games and in 4 of its last 6. Its won each of its last 3 games, all on the road, and faces Parker, who did not make it out of the 1st inning in his last start.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline has the best value in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Padres have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10 games including each of their last 4, which have all come on the road. They have allowed 1 run or fewer in each of their last 3 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 10. The Nationals have hit the Under in back-to-back games and have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 9.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (22-27) will conclude a 3-game series against the Washington Nationals (21-28) on Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres lost 5-3 to the Nationals on Wednesday, snapping a 2-game winning streak. San Diego is 3-7 in its last 10 contests and is currently in 4th place in the NL West.

In Wednesday’s 2-run victory over the Padres, the Nationals got hits from 7 of their 9 players in the lineup. Despite winning 3 of its last 4 games, Washington is still in last place in the NL East.

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Padres at Nationals projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Snell (1-6, 5.40 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 45 innings.

Has given up multiple ER in each of his 9 starts and has walked 3-plus batters in 6 of his 9 starts
Has allowed at least 1 HR in 7 of his 9 starts

Irvin (1-2, 5.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 18 innings.

Has walked 3-plus batters in 3 of his 4 starts
After allowing a combined 1 ER in his 1st 2 starts, he’s surrendered 10 total ER in his last 2 starts

Padres at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though I have the Padres winning, taking their moneyline at the current odds (-185) isn’t advised.

Run line/Against the spread

NATIONALS +1.5 (-105) is how I’d bet the run line with both of these teams struggling recently. Washington doesn’t strike out much against left-handed pitching (they have a league-best 17.1% strikeout rate against LHP) and should be able to keep this game within 2 runs.

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Over/Under

With Snell and Irvin on the mound in Thursday’s showdown, OVER 9 (-120) is an enticing wager. Snell and Irvin are walking batters at an alarming rate and both of them are allowing a lot of hard contact.

The Nationals are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games following a win and the Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (21-26) kick off a 9-game road trip on Tuesday with the 1st game in a 3-game series against the Washington Nationals (20-27). First pitch for this series opener is 7:05 p..m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Padres won 2022 series 4-3

The Padres had an off day on Monday and are coming off a 7-0 win on Sunday over the Boston Red Sox which ended a 4-game losing streak. They are 3-11 in their last 14 games.

The Nationals have won 2 straight games, taking 2 of 3 games in their home series against the Detroit Tigers before an off day on Monday. They had a 4-game losing streak prior to that.

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Padres at Nationals projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Darvish (2-3, 3.56 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 48 innings.

Last start Wednesday vs. Kansas City Royals: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H. 2 BB, 6 K
Is 1-2 with 4.62 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Nationals

Gore (3-3, 3.69 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.

Nationals have lost his last 4 starts
Facing Padres for 1st time in his career

Padres at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+110) | Nationals +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Padres are struggling, having lost 11 of their last 14 games, and they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 of those 14 games.

The Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 3 straight games. They are 7-7 in their last 14 games.

BET NATIONALS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Nationals are 30-17 ATS this season, tied for the best record in all baseball while the Padres are 22-25 ATS.

Taking the Nationals +1.5 (-135) here to cover isn’t a bad play if you want to give yourself an extra run to play with, but with those positive odds as the underdog on the moneyline and the Nationals playing better than the Padres over the last few games, PASS on the run line.

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Over/Under

Only 1 of the last 6 games between the 2 teams have had a total of 9 or more runs. Five of the Nationals’ last 8 games have had at least 9 runs while only 1 of the Padres’ last 17 games has had a total of at least 9 runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (63-51) head to the nation’s capital to face the Washington Nationals (37-76) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; San Diego won 4 of 7 in 2021

The Padres are turning things around after losing 5 straight games after stud OF Juan Soto arrived and have won 2 in a row. The Friars are 11-9 and 15-15 in their last 20 and 30 games, respectively. Soto has been fine in his transition, hitting .357 with 4 extra-base hits in 28 at-bats. He returns to his old stomping grounds with motivation to put on a show.

The Nationals are the worst team in baseball and have lost 8 of 10. They have just 8 wins in their last 30 games. Newly acquired 1B Luke Voit is hitting .292 with 2 homers in 24 at-bats with the Nationals.

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Padres at Nationals projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. RHP Cory Abbott

Clevinger (3-4, 3.60 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 65 IP.

He’s 1-4 with a 4.25 ERA in his last 6 starts
Hasn’t faced the Nats since 2019, when they were a very different team. He allowed 6 ER in 5 2/3 IP

Abbott (0-1, 5.68 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 12 2/3 IP.

His numbers are skewed by a horrific start in his Aug. 7 outing against Philadelphia. He allowed 7 ER on 7 H and 5 BB with 2 K in 3 2/3 IP
He threw 5 shutout IP against the Mets in the previous start

Padres at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:17 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Padres -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -2.5 (-110) | Nationals +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Nationals 3

Money line

The Padres are the heavy favorite, and there’s nothing in the matchup that says we should argue with it. But we’re not going -280 on them. They should get to Abbott, who was 0-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in the minors. So let’s take the PADRES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-160) for a HALF UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Padres dispatched of the Giants 13-7 and 7-4 before resting/traveling Thursday. Seven of the Nats’ 8 losses in the last 10 games have been by more than 1 run. So I like the PADRES ALTERNATE LINE -1.5 (-155). I also look for Soto to put on a clinic this weekend in his former ballpark. Take a shot on JUAN SOTO OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+102).

Over/Under

Based on the pitching matchups here, I like the Over. Clevinger allowed 4 or more runs in half of his last 6 starts, and Abbott had an ERA near 5 in the minors. The Over is 6-3-1 for the Padres and 6-2-2 for the Nats in the last 10. Take the OVER 8.5 (-130).

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (54-40) and Washington Nationals (42-48) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Nationals Park. First pitch is tentatively scheduled for 3:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Saturday’s game between these two clubs was suspended in the bottom of the 6th inning with the Padres leading, 8-4, following a shooting outside Nationals Park. Action is set to resume at 1:05 p.m. ET and the series finale should commence 25-45 minutes after the completion of the suspended game.

RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 5-7 with a 2.93 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 98 1/3 IP across 17 starts and one relief appearance.

Musgrove is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA through two winless July starts. One of those outings came July 5 against the Nationals where he allowed 5 runs, 7 hits and a walk with 4 strikeouts over 5 innings in a no-decision.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 across 98 IP in 17 starts.

The All-Star was tuned up in San Diego in his most recent start July 8, yielding 7 runs on 5 hits and a walk with 7 strikeouts across 3 2/3 innings in a no-decision. His ERA ballooned from to 2.66 from 2.10 as a result.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-180)
Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

The Nationals are home against the Padres in the series finale, and Scherzer is looking for a little revenge after being treated rudely by these Padres in San Diego. However, San Diego is a good club and should keep things interesting.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead for a safer play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-180) are looking for some momentum heading into the second half. They didn’t get off to a very hot start, as they looked like the Washington Football Team Friday, coughing up a 24-spot.

However, with Scherzer on the hill, they’ll get the win in the series finale and build toward the upcoming week. While the odds are steep on the run line it gives you some insurance in the event they lose a close one. You could even get aggressive and look to the Alternate Run Line Nationals -1.5 (+180).

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-110) is a solid play, as the Padres won’t smack around the All-Star Scherzer in consecutive outings, and Musgrove hasn’t been terribly giving this season either despite a hiccup in recent starts. Look for a well-pitched, lower-scoring game Sunday afternoon.

I also like to play Unders when a west coast team plays at what is essentially a 10 a.m. start for their internal clocks, which the Friars will have to do while finishing up yesterday’s action before even starting today’s.

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