The San Diego Padres (22-27) will conclude a 3-game series against the Washington Nationals (21-28) on Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Padres lost 5-3 to the Nationals on Wednesday, snapping a 2-game winning streak. San Diego is 3-7 in its last 10 contests and is currently in 4th place in the NL West.
In Wednesday’s 2-run victory over the Padres, the Nationals got hits from 7 of their 9 players in the lineup. Despite winning 3 of its last 4 games, Washington is still in last place in the NL East.
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Padres at Nationals projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Jake Irvin
Snell (1-6, 5.40 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 45 innings.
- Has given up multiple ER in each of his 9 starts and has walked 3-plus batters in 6 of his 9 starts
- Has allowed at least 1 HR in 7 of his 9 starts
Irvin (1-2, 5.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 18 innings.
- Has walked 3-plus batters in 3 of his 4 starts
- After allowing a combined 1 ER in his 1st 2 starts, he’s surrendered 10 total ER in his last 2 starts
Padres at Nationals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Padres at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Nationals 5
Moneyline
PASS.
Even though I have the Padres winning, taking their moneyline at the current odds (-185) isn’t advised.
Run line/Against the spread
NATIONALS +1.5 (-105) is how I’d bet the run line with both of these teams struggling recently. Washington doesn’t strike out much against left-handed pitching (they have a league-best 17.1% strikeout rate against LHP) and should be able to keep this game within 2 runs.
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Over/Under
With Snell and Irvin on the mound in Thursday’s showdown, OVER 9 (-120) is an enticing wager. Snell and Irvin are walking batters at an alarming rate and both of them are allowing a lot of hard contact.
The Nationals are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games following a win and the Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.
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