Tag: Padres Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The San Diego Padres (82-64) and Seattle Mariners (73-72) wrap up a 2-game interleague series Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Padres registered a 7-3 victory against the Mariners in the interleague opener Tuesday behind RHP Yu Darvish as a slight underdog (+112) as the Over (7) connected.

San Diego has picked up 5 wins in the past 8 outings while going 3-1 in the previous 4 games on the road. It is 18-7 across the past 25 contests away from home.

In interleague play, San Diego has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games while going 11-4 in the previous 15 tries against the American League. The Over has hit in 3 straight while going 10-2-1 in the past 13 tries vs. AL teams.

For the Mariners, despite Tuesday’s setback, Seattle has won 4 of the past 6 outings. The Over has hit in the past 2 games while going 8-3-1 across the past 12.

Against the National League, the M’s are just 5-9 in the past 14 tries, although they’re 14-5 in the past 19 home interleague battles.

Padres at Mariners projected starters

RHP Michael King vs. RHP Bryan Woo

King (12-8, 3.10 ERA) makes his 28th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 156 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 5-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Friday
• 2024 road splits: 8-3, 2.86 ERA, 85 IP, 27 ER, 9 HR, 1.18 WHIP, .222 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 30 BB, 83 K in 14 starts (15 appearances)
• Career vs. Mariners: 0-1, 2.08 ERA, 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 0 HR, 1.04 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start)

Woo (7-2, 2.36 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 99 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 16-3 road victory vs. Oakland A’s Aug. 4
• 2024 home splits: 4-0, 1.50 ERA, 42 IP, 7 ER, 2 HR, 0.67 WHIP, .170 OBA, 3 BB, 35 K in 7 starts
• Has never faced Padres

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Mariners -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+168) | Mariners +1.5 (-205)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Padres at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-108) are worth a look in the series finale behind Woo. The Seattle right-handed starter has been nearly untouchable at T-Mobile Park, posting an amazing 4-0 record with a 1.50 ERA in 42 IP across 7 starts.

While Woo’s numbers make the M’s look like a slam-dunk play, King has been solid for the Padres (-108), too, and the odds indicate that this is truly a coin flip. But, based on Woo’s slightly better splits at home than King’s numbers on the road, you have to side with Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

Mariners +1.5 (-205) is just too expensive on the run line, if you require insurance and perhaps are a little spooked by their loss in Tuesday’s interleague series opener.

However, you can’t risk more than 2 times your potential return. If you like Seattle, just bet it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (+100) is worth a roll of the nice at even-money, as we should have a pitchers’ duel in SoDo.

King has tremendous splits on the road, posting 8 victories and a 2.83 ERA, while Woo has a 4-0 mark with a 1.50 ERA at home this season. Neither of these guys are going to concede much. Go low, and feel confidently in doing so.

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The San Diego Padres (81-64) and Seattle Mariners (73-71) open a 2-game interleague series Tuesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

The Padres dropped 2 of 3 games over the weekend against the San Francisco Giants, and they’ve lost 3 of the past 4 outings. The Over has cashed in the past 2 games, with San Diego allowing 6.5 runs per game (RPG).

San Diego has a losing record in the past 11 games, going 5-6 since Aug. 28, while the Over-Under has split 5-5-1 during the span.

For the Mariners, they’ve started to piece things together a little bit, winning 4 of the past 5 outings, scoring 6 or more runs in each of the victory. The Over is 3-1-1 during the 5-game span.

These teams met in a 2-game set at Petco Park July 9-10, with the Mariners sweeping the series by a combined score of 10-3, with the Over-Under going 1-1.

Padres at Mariners projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP George Kirby

Darvish (4-3, 3.51 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 59 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home win in 10 innings vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 2-0, 1.59 ERA, 17 IP, 3 ER, 1 HR, 0.76 WHIP, .153 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 4 BB, 16 K in 3 starts
• Career vs. Mariners: 7-4, 3.57 ERA, 95 2/3 IP, 38 ER, 3 HR, 1.24 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 15 starts

Kirby (11-10, 3.61 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 167 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 16-3 road victory vs. Oakland A’s last Wednesday
• 2024 home splits: 5-4, 2.94 ERA, 70 1/3 IP, 23 ER, 3 HR, 1.05 WHIP, .241 OBA, 9 BB, 77 K in 12 starts
• Career vs. Padres: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 11 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 3 K in 10-3 road setback June 7, 2023, in only career start vs. SD

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Mariners -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+158) | Mariners +1.5 (-192)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-102) are a solid play at home as the slight underdogs, as Kirby has been electric at T-Mobile Park.

In addition, Darvish is making just his 2nd start since returning from the restricted list. He was pretty shaky last time out against Detroit, and he shouldn’t be trusted until he snaps back into a groove.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more conservative, and like the Mariners +1.5 (-192) a little, but feel the need for insurance, taking Seattle on the run line is just a bit too expensive. Seattle will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return.

The M’s have been playing better baseball recently, as they make a push for a postseason spot. They’re a solid play behind Kirby, so if you like the Mariners, just go straight up for the better value.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-115) is a bit of a low number, but a solid play in this matchup.

While Seattle has been getting it done with offense lately, scoring 6 or more runs in 4 of the past 5 games, it will use pitching here. Kirby has been great at home, while Darvish has been solid this season on the road.

Expect plenty of donuts, especially in the first few innings. In fact, UNDER 3.5 (-102) – FIRST 5 INNINGS TOTAL is worth a roll of the dice, too.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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