Tag: Padres Diamondbacks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (55-60) and Arizona Diamondbacks (57-58) open up a 3-game set at Chase Field Friday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Friars limp into this one losers of 4 in a row and 5 of 6. They sit 13 1/2 out in the NL West but just 4 1/2 out of an NL Wild Card spot. Close games have been San Diego’s kryptonite, going 0-10 in extra innings and 6-18 in 1-run games. The Padres are just 15-17 within the division.

The D-Backs are having an even bigger meltdown than the Padres with 8 straight losses and defeats in 9 of 10. Arizona is a whopping 7-23 over the last 30 games. This is a team that was atop the NL West for a big portion of the season but now sits 13 1/2 out in the division and 2 1/2 out of a Wild Card spot. The Diamondbacks are 16-17 against left-handed pitchers.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Snell (8-8, 2.61 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 124 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 8 K Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 3-1, 1.13 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 46 K in 32 IP

Nelson (6-6, 5.16 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 122 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K Saturday against the Minnesota Twins
  • 4 career starts vs. Padres: 1-1, 4.43 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 17 K in 22 1/3 IP

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Snell is a magician. He has 30 walks in 37 innings over his last 7 starts, but he’s 4-1 with a 1.22 ERA. He has at least 3 walks in each of those starts, but he has the stuff to put hitters away to come away unscathed. With that much traffic, there’s no way I’m taking the Padres (-165).

Head to the Win/Total section and take the PADRES AND OVER 5.5 (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

Snell’s last 3 starts have ended in multi-run wins. Nine of the last 10 games between these teams have been decided by more than a run. The same can be said for San Diego’s last 10 overall.

Go easy, but I’ll take PADRES -1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The D-Backs are just 1-9 O/U over the last 10, and the Padres are 5-5. Snell has only had 1 Over cash in his last 4 starts, and the Over is 1-2 in his last 3 against Arizona. Nelson has allowed 13 ER in his last 3 starts, but I don’t think it’s enough to cash an Over.

PASS.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Team odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (11-12) close out their 4-game road trip against the Arizona Diamondbacks (12-10) on Sunday, seeking to pick up a series win. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2

The Padres won Saturday night 5-3 and have won 2 of the 1st 3 games of this series. Trailing 3-2 in the 6th, they loaded the bases against RHP Merrill Kelly with nobody out. LHP Kyle Nelson relieved Kelly and struck out 2, but 3B Ha-Seong Kim hit a 2-run single to give the Padres the lead.

The Diamondbacks have lost 3 of their last 4. Losing on Sunday would give them their 1st home series loss of the season.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Drey Jameson

Darvish (0-2, 3.44 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 7 BB and 20 K in 18 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 1 ER and 3 H and 4 BB with 3 Ks in 5 IP against Diamondbacks on April 4 in a no-decision in a 8-6 loss
  • Allowed 1 ER in 2 of 3 starts this season

Jameson (2-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start in 6 appearances. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 9 BB and 15 K in 16 IP.

  • Has not pitched longer than 4 innings in either start this season
  • D-backs 2-0 in his 2 starts, but he did not had a decision in either game

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres a Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 2

Moneyline

The Padres have scored more than 2 runs only 3 times in their last 9 games. Since April 10, they have not had consecutive games of more than 2 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have not lost a game in which Jameson has pitched. And they have not lost a home series yet this season.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS

Expecting an Arizona win, the better bet is the moneyline with positive odds. They are 14-8 ATS this season. The Padres are 11-12 ATS so far.

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Over/Under

Two of the 5 games between thees teams have had more than 9 runs. Two have had exactly 9. Only 1 of the Padres’ last 7 games has had 10 or more runs.

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (10-11) continue their 7-game road trip with the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs (12-7). First pitch for this matchup is Saturday at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 3-2.

The Cubs bounced back from a 6-2 series-opening loss to the Dodgers Thursday with a 13-0 win over Los Angeles Friday. LHP Drew Smyly took a perfect game into the 8th inning, and the offense homered 4 times in its 17 hits. They have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Dodgers have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They mustered only 1 hit Friday, and LHP Julio Urias was chased from the game after only 3 1/3 innings, allowing 5 ER on 7 hits and 2 walks, striking out 4.

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Dodgers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Dustin May vs. RHP Hayden Wesneski

May (1-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 24 IP.

  • After allowing combined 3 ER in 3 starts, allowed 5 ER in 5 2/3 IP in last outing
  • Making 1st career appearance vs. Cubs

Wesneski (1-0, 6.23 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 6 BB and 11 K through 13 IP.

  • Allowed 1 ER on 5 H and 0 BB with 7 K in 7 IP in last start
  • Making 1st career appearance vs. Dodgers

Dodgers vs. Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+120) | Cubs +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 10 Cubs 3

Moneyline

Before Friday, the Dodgers had been held to 1 or fewer runs 3 times. They won the following game each time.

These teams have alternated wins this season against one another, but the Dodgers are 12-3 against the Cubs in their last 15 meetings.

May’s last start is an anomaly based on his WHIP this season, but because the Dodgers have won by at least 2 runs in all but 1 of their victories, the better bet is the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the Dodgers’ 10 wins this season, 9 have been by 2 or more runs.

In 3 other games after scoring 0 or 1 run, the Dodgers won all 3 following games by an average of 7.7 runs.

Five of the Cubs’ 7 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The Dodgers themselves have scored 10 or more runs in the 3 games that followed scoring 0 or 1 run so far this season.

Three of the Cubs’ last 5 games have had 10 or more total runs.

BET OVER 9 (+100).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (10-11) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) for the 2nd of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Padres won their 2nd straight game Thursday, picking up a 7-5 victory in the series opener. OF Trent Grisham broke a 5-5 tie in the top of the 6th with a 2-run double to give the Padres the lead, and the bullpen threw 3 scoreless frames to finish the game.

The Diamondbacks lost for the 2nd straight game as RHP Ryne Nelson allowed 5 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings. LHP Kyle Nelson gave up the 2-run double in the 6th to take the loss.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Lugo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 5 BB and 17 K through 16 2/3 IP.

  • Lasted only 3 1/3 IP in the last start, allowing 3 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 5 K vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
  • 0-1 with 4.34 ERA in 10 career appearances (1 start) vs. Arizona

Gallen (2-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.

  • Has not allowed a run across 13 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts
  • No-decision vs. Padres on April 4 in an 8-6 win, allowing 5 R (4 ER), 7 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 6 IP

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Padres plated 7 runs Thursday but had only scored 2 total runs in their previous 4 games.

Gallen has found his groove early on and has tossed 13 2/3 scoreless innings in his last 2 starts. Expect that to continue.

Arizona has scored 5 runs or more in 5 straight games and that will be enough for Gallen if it continues.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The run line is only worth a bet if you think the Padres can win and cover the spread. The line for the Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) is too pricey when you can get better odds on either team on the moneyline.

PASS.

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Over/Under

All 3 meetings between these teams have had at least 9 total runs.

The Diamondbacks have had 4 straight games with totals of 9 or more.

However,  Gallen’s last 2 starts had totals of 3 and 5 runs and the Padres have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Hitting the Over will be tough.

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (9-11) open a 7-game road trip with the 1st of 4 games against the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) on Thursday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres ended a 3-game losing streak Wednesday and avoided getting swept at home by the Atlanta Braves with a 1-0 win. Starter Nick Martinez pitched 7 scoreless innings and OF Juan Soto homered for the only run of the game.

The Diamondbacks finished their road trip 3-3. They won their 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals, but dropped the finale on Wednesday 14-5 as starter Madison Bumgarner allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in only 3 innings.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP  Michale Wacha vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 5 BB and 15 K in 16 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 7 ER on 11 H in 4 1/3 IP in an 11-2 loss to the Brewers in his last outing
  • Is 2-1 with 3.82 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 7 career starts vs. Arizona

Nelson (1-0, 3.71 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 5 BB and 10 K in 17 IP.

  • Had no-decision in 3-2 loss vs. Miami Marlins in last start, allowing 1 R on 5 H in 6 IP
  • Making 7th career start, 4th against Padres

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Padres get SS Fernando Tatis Jr. back on Thursday from his 50-game PED suspension, which should be a boost to the lineup. The Padres have scored only 2 runs in their last 4 games. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

The Diamondbacks are 5-2 at Chase Field this season. And so far this season, the D-backs have lost consecutive games only once.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have been the ATS underdog in 16 of their first 18 games this season and are 11-5 ATS in those games.

The Padres are 4-7 ATS when favored on the run line.

The Diamondbacks are the better bet here, but because of the positive odds on the moneyline, that is the best bet to make here.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Of the 2 teams’ previous meetings, 1 game had 9 total runs and the other had 14.

The Padres have scored 2 total runs in their last 4 games and have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. Only 2 of their last 10 games have had totals of 10 or more runs.

Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 games have had 9 or fewer runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres visit National League West co-tenant Arizona Diamonbacks at Chase Field on Opening Day Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Padres beat the D-Backs in last season’s series 11-8 and outscored them 89-86. San Diego was 4-5 in Arizona.

San Diego had a disappointing 2021 with a 79-83 overall record and missing the postseason despite lofty preseason expectations. The Padres collapsed after the All-Star break, going 26-43 in the second half of the season.

Arizona finished in the basement of the NL West at 52-110, 22.5 games behind the fourth-place Colorado Rockies.

Padres at Diamondbacks: Projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Madison Bumgarner 

Darvish gets the Opening Day nod for the Padres. He was 8-11 last season with a 4.22 ERA (116 1/3 IP, 78 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9.

  • 2021 vs. D-Backs: 0-2 with a 6.65 ERA (23 IP, 17 ER), 32 H, 32 K and 4 BB in 5 starts.
  • vs. D-Backs on the current roster: 3.95 FIP with a .321 batting average (BA), .384 wOBA, .423 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 29.8 K% and 87.9 mph exit velocity (EV) in 114 plate appearances (PA).

Bumgarner is Arizona’s Opening Day starter. He was 7-10 in 2021 with a 4.67 ERA (146 1/3 IP, 76 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9.

  • 2021 vs. Padres: 0-1 with a 5.09 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 22 H, 17 K and 4 BB in 3 starts.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 6.09 FIP with a .233 BA, .339 wOBA, .545 xSLG, 22.5 K% and 90.9 mph EV in 191 PA.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Padres at Diamondbacks prediction and picks

Prediction

Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4

Money line

LEAN PADRES (-140) because there’s some reverse line movement (RLM) headed towards Arizona, Darvish is a bit of a wild-card entering 2022 and the Over is my favorite wager in this game.

According to Pregame.com, roughly three-fourths of the action is on the Padres but they’ve been lowered from a -150 ML favorite on the opener down to the current number. RLM is a red flag because why would the sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper? Hmmm.

Also, after the MLB enacted a sticky substance policy on June 21, 2021, Darvish finished 1-9 with a 6.25 ERA (76 1/3 IP, 53) and allowed 2.2 home runs per 9 innings.

However, I’m expecting a bounce-back year from both Darvish and the Padres. Darvish most likely spent all offseason working on his pitching mechanics in a post-sticky substance MLB. Also, San Diego has far too much talent to repeat 2021’s atrocious performance.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because I wouldn’t bet the D-backs +1.5 (-140) to cover and San Diego’s ML. For what it’s worth, the Padres were 21-28 RL as road favorites last season and 33-43 RL in division games. While the D-backs were also 33-43 RL versus NL West foes and 31-32 RL as home underdogs.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 9.5 (-130) since it appears to be the sharp side of the market hence the heavier juice.

Furthermore, there’s a Pros vs. Joe’s scenario in the total market for Padres-Diamondbacks with nearly two-thirds of the money on the Over but a slight majority of the market being on the Under at the time of publishing, per Pregame.com.

More importantly, we don’t know what form we’ll see out of Darvish and Bumgarner’s stuff has declined since his championship years with the San Francisco Giants.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (71-62) visit Chase Field Wednesday for the conclusion of their three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (44-90). First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego is attempting the series sweep after beating Arizona in the first two games by a combined score of 10-5.

The Padres have won three of their last four games and are tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the second NL Wild Card berth.

Season series: Padres 11-7.

RHP Yu Darvish is San Diego’s projected starter. Darvish is 7-8 with a 3.80 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 58 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-0, with 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Darvish is 0-1 with a 5.31 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.33 WHIP and 9.7 K/BB in four starts against Arizona.
  • vs. Diamondbacks on the current roster (112 PA): 3.52 FIP with a .279 batting average (BA), .352 wOBA, .398 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 34.8 K% and 88.6 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Luke Weaver makes the start for the D-Backs. Weaver is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA (40 IP, 20 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in eight starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB and 3 K in Arizona’s 3-0 loss against the Washington Nationals May 16.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster (78 PA): 5.31 FIP with a .260 BA, .356 wOBA, .531 xSLG, 26.9 K% and 89.6 mph EV.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -2.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

PASS even though the Padres have an edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting pitching, bullpen pitching and hitting) because Darvish has been awful since the “spider tack” policy went into effect June 21.

Darvish is 1-6 with a 5.74 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 34 ER), .794 opponent’s OPS and 13 home runs given up in 10 starts since June 21. That said, Weaver is 0-4 with a 5.23 ERA in his last five starts against San Diego dating to 2019 and Arizona’s bullpen ranks in the bottom 10 of xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ALTERNATE RUN LINE PADRES -1.5 (-135) for a tiny wager because of San Diego’s aforementioned edges and nine of the Padres’ 11 wins over Arizona were by at least 2 runs.

However, these lineups are neck-and-neck in WAR following the All-Star Game and both rank near each other in the bottom 10 of the majors in several advanced hitting metrics.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a half unit because six of Arizona’s eight games with Weaver on the mound have totaled less than 8.5 runs and Darvish’s best start since June 21 was his Aug. 7 outing against the D-Backs.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (70-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (44-89) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres LHP Blake Snell (6-5, 4.58 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 through 114 IP.

  • Allowed 1 run on 3 hits and 0 walks with 10 strikeouts across a season-high 7 2/3 IP in a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday.
  • Is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA and .194 opponent batting average across 16 2/3 IP over three starts vs. Arizona this season.

Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (2-7, 4.32 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 through 85 1/3 IP.

  • Yielded just 2 unearned runs on 3 hits and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts across 5 IP in a win at the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday.
  • Is 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA with a .341 opponent batting average and 4 homers allowed in just 9 2/3 IP over two starts vs. the Padres this season.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The PADRES (-170) are a little on the expensive side, but they’re a great play behind Snell. He hasn’t allowed much against the Diamondbacks this season, and that’s not going to change in this one, either.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (+100) are an even better play at even money. They cashed against the Diamondbacks in Monday’s series-opening 7-5 win, pushing an insurance run across in the top of the ninth. It should be a little more comfortable of a winning margin in the middle game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-122) failed to cash in the series opener, but is still 5-1-1 in the previous seven for San Diego inside the division. Plus, the Under has hit in each of Snell’s past three showings.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (69-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (44-88) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres RHP Chris Paddack (7-6, 5.13 ERA) makes his 20th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 93 IP.

  • Enters on a three-game win streak, allowing seven runs, 17 hits and two walks with nine strikeouts across the past 16 IP.
  • Is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and .340 opponent batting average with 10 runs and 18 hits allowed across 11 2/3 IP in two starts vs. ARI this season.

Diamondbacks LHP Tyler Gilbert (1-1, 2.38 ERA) makes his 4th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

  • Debuted for the Diamondbacks Aug. 3, working in relief three times before making his first start Aug. 14 vs. SD.
  • His first major league start against the Padres Aug. 14 was a no-hitter. He was the third pitcher since 1892 to toss a no-no in his first-ever start.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (-112) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The DIAMONDBACKS (+145) are worth a roll of the dice with Gilbert on the bump. He had a stunning and historic no-hitter against the Padres (-180) last time he faced them, and he hasn’t allowed a run in 11 IP in two appearances vs. SD this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-108) aren’t terribly expensive if you’re not quite feeling them straight up but want a little insurance on the home side. Gilbert has been outstanding against the Padres, so take a chance on him to keep up the good work.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9.5 (-120) is the way to go. The Under is 5-0-1 across the past six for San Diego vs. NL West foes, while going 4-0 in the past four series openers, too. The Under is also 4-1 in their past five against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Diamondbacks at home, while going 4-1-1 in the past six against teams with a winning overall record.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (66-53) play the finale of a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-80) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Diamondbacks won the first three games of the series, including a 7-0 no-hitter Saturday by Tyler Gilbert in his first major-league start. Arizona is seeking their second series sweep at home of the season.

Padres RHP Craig Stammen (5-3, 3.31 ERA) makes his third start of the season and his 52nd appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

  • This will be his third time serving as an “opener” for the Padres. He hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in any appearance.
  • Allowed the game-winning home run to Daulton Varsho in the ninth inning Friday.

Diamondbacks RHP Zac Gallen (1-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.

  • He has lost his last six decisions and the Diamondbacks have dropped 10 of his last 11 starts.
  • He has an ERA of 7.06 in his last four outings.

Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Padres have lost four games in a row and their last four on the road. They have been swept only twice all season with one sweep coming on the road. San Diego won both games Stammen has opened previously.

The Diamondbacks have just two series sweeps on the year and have only won four games in a row twice. Gallen has struggled and the Diamondbacks have lost 10 of his last 11 starts.

Take the PADRES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Padres are 59-60 ATS overall and 28-27 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are 6-9 ATS against the Diamondbacks this season.

Arizona is 58-60 ATS overall but has the fourth-highest home cover percentage in the league at 55.9%. The D-Backs have covered the spread in four of their last five games and all three games of this series. They have only had two ATS win streaks of more than three games on the year: when they covered four straight games July 18-21 and eight straight April 18-27.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

Nearly 60% of the games at Chase Field have gone Over the projected total this season.

Three of the last four Gallen starts have had at least 10 total runs.  However, only three of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had totals of 10 or more.

Only four of the last 13 for the Padres have totals of 10 or more.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-122).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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