NFL special bets – Syndication Server

NFL Prop Bet Payday: Wild Card Round Edition

Analyzing key Wild Card Round NFL prop bets poised for a payday, featuring props around Derrick Henry, Carson Wentz and Drew Brees.

With four wild-card games getting football fans ready for the big boys on bye to get the party started in full force, we team up with our friends and BetMGM and TheHuddle.com to find the prop bets most likely to hit this weekend.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

DeAndre 3000

Dec 8, 2019; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) argues a hit to the head during the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at NRG Stadium. (Photo Credit: John Glaser – USA TODAY Sports)

The Buffalo Bills have a good defense and a very good secondary that will be focused on limiting Houston Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins by sliding safety help his way because of his obvious production. Buffalo had the fourth-ranked pass defense in the NFL this season, due in large part to being able to limit an opponent’s top receiver and make second options try to beat them. They averaged just 214 passing yards allowed per game.

D-Hop’s Over/Under is 78.5 yards (-115 on both). He has routinely topped that number, but Buffalo doesn’t allow days like that very often, especially when their season is on the line and they need to shut off the water to Houston’s top threat. The Huddle has him catching five passes for 50 yards and a touchdown. We agree with that sentiment. Take the UNDER 78.5 (-115).

Looking to place a bet any of the Wild Card Round NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!

No Henry!

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry led the NFL in rushing with 1,540 yards and, if Tennessee is going to go up to New England and beat the Patriots, they will need a lot of Henry. His Over/Under for rushing yards is 88.5 (-115 for both sides). Two things make that number a little too ambitious.

The Patriots are going to try to take the air out of the ball (no pun intended) with their No. 1-ranked defense and head coach Bill Belichick has a knack of devising a scheme to take away a team’s top threat. That is Henry when you’re playing Tennessee. Take the UNDER 88.5 (-115).

What Can Drew Do For You?

Dec 29, 2019; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) passes the ball in the third quarter at Bank of America Stadium. (Photo Credit: Bob Donnan – USA TODAY Sports)

New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees has a mammoth Over/Under for passing yards at 304.5 (-115 on both). Minnesota has one of the better scoring defenses in the league, but it has been middle-of-the-road in yardage allowed (13th rushing, 15th passing and 14th overall).

The reason to jump on this one is that Minnesota is going to be without CBs Mike Hughes and Mackenzie Alexander, and former Pro Bowl corner Xavier Rhodes is having the worst season of his career and has gone from a shadow corner who chases a team’s best receiver to a guy offensive coordinators are targeting. The Vikings have only two healthy corners (Rhodes and Trae Waynes) who have NFL pedigrees. Brees is going to attack that weakness all day long. Take the OVER 304.5 (-115) and take your time waiting.

Gone With the Wentz

Dec 29, 2019; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) throws a pass against the New York Giants in the first half at MetLife Stadium. (Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch – USA TODAY Sports)

Seattle has one of the worst pass defenses in the league, but the Philadelphia Eagles receiving corps has been depleted and their top pass-catcher (TE Zach Ertz) has a painful rib injury and is a question mark. Wentz has an Over/Under of 267.5 passing yards (-115 on both). The Seahawks are capable of giving up big numbers in the pass game, but are guys like Greg Ward and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside going to get enough to put Wentz over the top? We don’t think so. Take the UNDER 267.5 (-115).

Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each player, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite NFL Prop Bets now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 17

Analyzing key Week 17 NFL prop bets poised for a payday, featuring props around Julio Jones, Russell Wilson and Michael Thomas.

The 2019 regular season comes to an end Sunday and we have a Fab Four of decade-ending prop bets to make Week 17 a little more interesting from start to finish.

Me and Julio Down By the Schoolyard

Photo Credit: Jason Getz – USA TODAY Sports

Julio Jones has nothing to play for other than being a professional cashing a large check. Jones has a history of big games late in the season, but his number of 98.5 receiving yards (Over: -125, Under: -112) is asking a lot. When 100 yards is the baseline in a meaningless game, the cautious approach is to take the Under and that’s what we’ll do. UNDER 98.5 (-112).

Where There’s a Wilson, There’s a Way

Photo Credit: Steven Bisig – USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks have a lot at stake in Sunday night’s game and have been forced to go to the street to find running backs. As such, it seems a little strange QB Russell Wilson’s Over/Under for passing yards is 233.5 (-118 on both sides). It seems clear that, if Seattle is going to win, Wilson will have to carry them – whether it’s throwing the Seahawks to a lead or throwing to erase a deficit. Take the OVER 233.5 (-118).

Looking to place a bet any of the Week 17 NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!

Make It a Double

The Kansas City Chiefs are facing a huge task in trying to lock down the No. 2 seed (if New England loses) and will try to dispatch of the disappointing Los Angeles Chargers in a hurry. Their two primary pass-catchers – Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce – are both listed with an Over/Under of 68.5 yards (-118 for both the Over and Under). It’s not easy to take an Over on two players, but there’s a good reason to do so in this instance. It will probably take six or seven receptions for Kelce to hit the number and two or three catches for Hill. Make it a double, Mr. Sunday bartender. OVER 68.5 (-118).

No Doubting Thomas

Photo Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel – USA TODAY Sports

Michael Thomas is having the fantasy year of a lifetime. For those who don’t have Thomas on their rosters, he has topped 100 yards in eight of the last nine games and has eight or more receptions in 11 of the last 12. An Over/Under of 98.5 yards is pretty stiff (-118 on both sides), but you get the feeling he’s going to get 10 catches. Why wouldn’t you take the Over? OVER 98.5 (-118).

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 16

Analyzing key Week 16 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay day, featuring props around Leonard Fournette, Drew Brees and Joe Mixon.

With the holiday season upon us, we’re awaiting presents and family. For those procrastinators looking for a little extra holiday cash, here are three holiday prop bets we see having the potential to pay off big. Consider these bets for Week 16. Odds last updated Saturday at 3:10 p.m. ET.

A Lenny for Your Thoughts

*Photo Credit: Cary Edmondson – USA TODAY Sports*

Jacksonville Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette has transformed his game as a three-down back, shattering his career total with 73 receptions. But, his rushing numbers have suffered in recent weeks. He has 15 or fewer carries in five of the last six games and averaged 3.6 yards a carry in each of those games. It doesn’t bode well, but the Jags have played their best when they feed Fournette and the Atlanta Falcons defense has struggled to stop the run all season. With a reasonable number of 63.5 rushing yards (-118 on both the Over and Under), all Fournette needs is a couple of chunk plays to hit the Over. Take the OVER 63.5 (-118) and run, Lenny, run!

New to sports betting? Every $1.18 wagered will profit $1 if Fournette finishes with 64 rushing yards or more.

Looking to place a bet any of the Week 15 NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!

Cool Brees Blowing

*Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle – USA TODAY Sports*

The New Orleans Saints and QB Drew Brees have been rolling up huge pass numbers in recent weeks, but they’re a different team on the road and the Tennessee Titans are a solid, if unheralded, defense. Brees’ passing yardage number is fat at 285.5 (-118 on both sides). Nobody has posted more 300-yard games than Brees, but they will likely play Titans style football with pounding Derrick Henry at them 20 times if his hamstring holds up as they continue their playoff push. Brees will approach 285 yards, but we don’t think he’ll get all the way there. Take the UNDER 285.5 (-118).

Say It Ain’t So, Joe

*Photo Credit: Joe Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports*

Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon was almost unplayable in fantasy football circles the first three months of the season. But, he has been one of the hottest running backs in the league over the last month, having 18 or more carries in five of his last six games, topping 79 rushing yards in five of the last six and being the focus of the offense. Our friends at The Huddle are projecting Mixon to be the top scoring running back in all of fantasy football this week, rushing for 120 yards and two touchdowns against a weak Miami Dolphins defense. We’re jumping on the OVER 83.5 (-118) rushing yards for Mixon and cheering against Miami’s defense – which is pretty easy to do.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday – Week 15

Analyzing key Week 15 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay day, featuring props around Aaron Jones, Tom Brady, Christian McCaffrey and Sean Payton.

With the holidays right around the corner, we’re looking to help out those looking for a little extra spending money. We’ve teamed up with the oddsmakers at BetMGM.com and our friends at The Huddle to find prop bets that go against the conventional wisdom of the number. Looking for extra cash for presents? Consider these bets for Week 15. Odds last updated Saturday at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Trial and Aaron

*Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports*

Who is the only coach that can consistently limit Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones? His head coach Matt LaFleur. For some reason, he has forced Jones into a timeshare with Jamaal Williams, limiting his rushing attempts to 13 or less in 10 of 13 games. As a result, Jones’ Over/Under for rushing yards against the Chicago Bears Sunday is 59½ (-118 on both the Over and Under). In his last two home games, he has rushed for 93 yards against the Carolina Panthers and 134 against the Washington Redskins. The Packers will be looking to control the clock offensively and Jones should hit 70 or more rushing yards. Take the OVER 59.5.

New to sports betting? Every $1.18 wagered will profit $1 if Jones finishes with 60 rushing yards or more.

Looking to place a bet any of the Week 15 NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!

The Story of a Man Named Brady

*Photo Credit: Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports*

This one is a little surprising, given the struggles of the New England Patriots pass offense, which basically has been limited to Tom Brady trying to find Julian Edelman. The Over/Under for Brady passing yards is 258.5 (-118 on both sides). This number is based more on Cincinnati’s defense being bad, but 258 yards is a lot, especially with a receiver corps that looks more like a receiver corpse at this point. Brady had thrown for 216 or fewer yards in three of his last four games and, while we believe he can get close to this number, getting there won’t be easy, especially if the Pats got off to a double-digit lead early. Take the UNDER 258.5 (-118) on Brady’s total passing yards.

The Passion of the Chris

*Photo Credit: Bob Donnan – USA TODAY Sports*

Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey has been putting together an MVP season and the Seattle Seahawks’ biggest defensive problem has been stopping the run. However, the prop bet we’re looking at is McCaffrey on the receiving end of things. The Over/Under on receiving yards for McCaffrey is 55.5 (-118 on both sides). This is a big number for a running back, but McCaffrey has exceeded that number seven times this year, including each of the last four. He has been targeted 48 times in the last four games, catching 38 passes for 330 yards. We see him catching seven or eight passes. If he breaks one for 20+ yards, it be almost impossible to keep him under the number. Take the OVER 55.5 (-118) on McCaffrey’s total receiving yards.

Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?

*Photo Credit: Chuck Cook – USA TODAY Sports*

We have a bonus prop bet for you. Few head coaches hold on to his challenge flag for less time than New Orleans Saints’ Sean Payton. He will throw a challenge flag to get a ball moved a yard or two. There is a prop bet in Monday night’s game as to who will use a coach’s challenge first: Saints -115, Indianapolis Colts -115. Given his propensity to throw the red handkerchief (and usually lose), if you want to go off the board with a prop bet, banking on Payton to be the first to launch the laundry as a good bet. Take PAYTON -115.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 14

Analyzing key Week 14 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay day, featuring props around Jimmy Graham, Deshaun Watson and Alvin Kamara

The fun of playing prop bets is when you see a number that doesn’t look right and you ask yourself why? Granted, they don’t build additions on casinos because everybody wins. We’ve unearthed three NFL Prop Bet Payday wagers for Sunday’s games that could make things a little more interesting for bettors who want to invest in a player instead of team. If all three guys are on your fantasy playoff team, you have to.

50 Shades of Graham

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Green Bay Packers TE Jimmy Graham has been one of the most dominant tight ends of his generation. But, now he’s almost an afterthought. Things have gotten so bad, that his Over/Under for receiving yards is 19.5. The rationale makes sense. Graham’s targets over the last five games have been akin to the New Year’s Eve countdown clock – 5-4-3-2-1. He has hit 20 or more yards in five of his last eight games, including going under the last two. He only needs two catches to hit the Over. The Washington Redskins will keep hands off Jimmy and it will be a mistake. Take the OVER 19.5 (-118) for Graham’s receiving yards.

Looking to place a bet any of the Week 14 NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!

Deshaun of the Dead

I was torn on this one because I’m just as interested at Houston Texans RB Carlos Hyde’s number (64½ yards). The Denver Broncos have been gashed by running backs all year, including Josh Jacobs (23-85-1), Leonard Fournette (29-225), Marlon Mack (19-76-1), Devin Singletary (21-109) and Melvin Gordon (20-99). When teams run with that frequency, a QB doesn’t put up eye-popping numbers. Houston QB Deshaun Watson’s Over/Under is 270½. Expect Hyde and Duke Johnson to run 25 times or more and keep the clock and the chains moving. Our boys at The Huddle have him at 240, a more realistic number. Take the UNDER 270.5 (-118) for Watson’s total passing yards.

When a Saint comes marching in

*Photo Credit: Dale Zanine – USA TODAY Sports*

Now Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara has largely been a disappointment this season, scoring just two touchdowns through 12 games. But he still has a similar role in the offense and, with the San Francisco 49ers coming to town, Drew Brees will be looking to avoid standing in the pocket as a business decision. Kamara’s Over/Under is 59½ rushing yards. In the eight full games he has played without injury, he has topped 60 yards six times. The 49ers’ pass defense is oppressive, but it gives up big plays and big days on the ground to those who commit and have talent. Over the last seven games, opponents have gone Over every week, including Adrian Peterson (20-81), Christian McCaffrey (14-117-1), Kenyan Drake (31-177-1 in two games), Chris Carson (25-89-1), Green Bay’s ground game (28-117-1) and the combination of Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram (31-160-1). Take the OVER 59.5 (-106) for Kamara’s rushing yards and watch him break off the two splash he needs to hit the Over.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday – Week 13

Analyzing key Week 13 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay day, featuring props around Davante Adams, Zach Ertz and Jack Doyle.

Some prop bets are pure luck in nature, like betting on whether the final point total will be even or odd. There is no skill to determining that. Where skill does come into play is taking on the bets that challenge an individual player to have a big game … or at least score a touchdown.

Here are three bets we’re making along with our friends at The Huddle that you should consider placing bets on — and we’re not including that absurd -400 number on Christian McCaffrey scoring a a touchdown. These are three affordable bets that could easily hit for you.

Up and Adams

The Giants pass defense has been hideous all year and have allowed huge days to elite receivers all season, including Mike Evans (three TDs), Adam Thielen (two TDs), Kenny Golladay (two TDs), Amari Cooper (one TD) and Allen Robinson (one TD). In two career meetings, Packers wideout Davante Adams (-143 to score) has caught 13 passes for 210 yards with a touchdown in each game. You have to know the Packers are aware of this and will push Adams early and often, especially when they get in the red zone.

Looking to place a bet? Get some action at BetMGM. NEW CUSTOMER OFFER: Risk-Free first bet (up to $500; paid in free bets). Sign up now!

The truth Ertz

The Dolphins are brutal on multiple levels on both sides of the ball. The Eagles got a new lease on life with the Cowboys’ loss to Buffalo on Thanksgiving Day and need to take advantage of it. It is easy to envision Philly scoring four or five touchdowns in this game and, if they score four, it’s hard to imagine tight end Zach Ertz (100) not having at least one of them.

Jack of all trades

The Titans have been brutalized by tight ends all season – both great and middling alike. It is a weakness teams have taken advantage of, including the Colts, with Eric Ebron scoring a touchdown in the teams’ first meeting this season. Now Jack Doyle (+230) is the only show at tight end and, at that price, is a value pick for a team prone to not covering tight ends in the red zone.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday – Week 12

Analyzing key Week 12 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay-day, featuring props around Odell Beckham Jr., Christian McCaffrey and Russell Wilson.

Sometimes when you make prop bets, you want to get things done in a hurry — for better or worse. With that in mind, this week’s three prop picks are all about who will be the first player to find the end zone in a trio of early games on the Week 12 slate.

Odell Bet-him

Look for Odell Beckham to break out of his slump on Sunday. Early. *Scott R. Galvin – USA TODAY Sports*

Who will score the first touchdown? The big money can be made by going after a Dolphins player, since they’re all more than +1000, but our money is on Cleveland getting off to a fast start. While Nick Chubb (+330) and Jarvis Landry (+600) are tempting because they’ve been scoring consistently in recent games, our bet is a big early play from a frustrated Odell Beckham Jr. (+500) to get on the board early.

Looking to place a bet? Get some action at BetMGM. NEW CUSTOMER OFFER: Risk-Free first bet (up to $500; paid in free bets). Sign up now!

Bet the money and run (CMC)

When you get these kinds of odds on Christian McCaffrey, you make a run to the betting window. *Jeremy Brevard – USA TODAY Sports*

The Saints are prohibitive favorites at home and are expected to roll up points. But when are you ever going to get a scoring machine like Christian McCaffrey at +550 to score the first touchdown of the game? The Saints will score touchdowns throughout the game by Run CMC strikes first and brings better than a 5-to-1 return on investment.

Win your fantasy football league with TheHuddle.com. SPECIAL MID-SEASON RATE! Subscribe with code “sbw25” to take $25 OFF.
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Gold Russ

In case you forgot how dangerous Russell Wilson can be on the ground, tune into Sunday’s game early. *Cary Edmondson – USA TODAY Sports*

The spread is pretty even among the usual suspects as to who will score the first touchdown of the game between both teams, so you have to go with your gut. We can envision a scenario where the Seahawks march down the field and face a critical third-and-goal play that Russell Wilson (+1200) escapes the pass rush and runs into the end zone for the first score of the game. Take Wilson and run with him.

Typically prop bets focus on yardage totals for a game. This week, we’re getting in and out quickly and having our bets decided within a half hour or so of kickoff from the early games and then getting on with the rest of our day.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday – Week 11

Analyzing key Week 11 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay-day, featuring props around Michael Thomas, Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook.

[jwplayer JLUmLtYE]

Every week, BetMGM releases individual player prop bets that bettors can place wagers on. We’ve’ picked three players from three games that we believe will pay off Sunday afternoon. This week is our “Sunday Eggs” edition — three over-easy.

Saint Michael

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas. / *Derick E. Hingle – USA TODAY Sports*

The over/under for receiving yards for Saints WR Michael Thomas in Tampa Bay is 104.5 (-118 on both). That is a huge number, but Thomas has rolled off three straight games with more than 110 receiving yards and has hit the mark in four of his last five — including 11 catches for 182 yards and two TDs when the Saints played the Buccaneers last month. Coming off the team’s worst offensive performance of the year look for the Saints to come out firing and Thomas being in the middle of it. Take the over.

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Run (and run, and run) CMC

Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey. / *Jeremy Brevard – USA TODAY Sports*

This is another tough number. The over/under is 93½ yards (-118 on both), but Christian McCaffrey has topped 100 yards rushing six times this season, including in each of his last three games and four of the last five. The Panthers host Atlanta on Sunday, and the Falcons’ defense stinks. Plus, the Panthers need a win to stay in the playoff chase. Take the over.

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Still Cookin’

Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook. / *Brace Hemmelgarn – USA TODAY Sports*

Denver’s run defense has been improved, but Dalvin Cook is leading the NFC is rushing for a reason — he gets the high-volume number of touches needed to do so. He is averaging 20 carries a game and the Vikings will look to dominate the undermanned Broncos at home by feeding Cook early and often. With an achievable number of 84.5 rushing yards (-118 on both), take the over.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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