NFL Prop Bet Payday: Wild Card Round Edition

Analyzing key Wild Card Round NFL prop bets poised for a payday, featuring props around Derrick Henry, Carson Wentz and Drew Brees.

With four wild-card games getting football fans ready for the big boys on bye to get the party started in full force, we team up with our friends and BetMGM and TheHuddle.com to find the prop bets most likely to hit this weekend.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

DeAndre 3000

Dec 8, 2019; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) argues a hit to the head during the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at NRG Stadium. (Photo Credit: John Glaser – USA TODAY Sports)

The Buffalo Bills have a good defense and a very good secondary that will be focused on limiting Houston Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins by sliding safety help his way because of his obvious production. Buffalo had the fourth-ranked pass defense in the NFL this season, due in large part to being able to limit an opponent’s top receiver and make second options try to beat them. They averaged just 214 passing yards allowed per game.

D-Hop’s Over/Under is 78.5 yards (-115 on both). He has routinely topped that number, but Buffalo doesn’t allow days like that very often, especially when their season is on the line and they need to shut off the water to Houston’s top threat. The Huddle has him catching five passes for 50 yards and a touchdown. We agree with that sentiment. Take the UNDER 78.5 (-115).


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No Henry!

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry led the NFL in rushing with 1,540 yards and, if Tennessee is going to go up to New England and beat the Patriots, they will need a lot of Henry. His Over/Under for rushing yards is 88.5 (-115 for both sides). Two things make that number a little too ambitious.

The Patriots are going to try to take the air out of the ball (no pun intended) with their No. 1-ranked defense and head coach Bill Belichick has a knack of devising a scheme to take away a team’s top threat. That is Henry when you’re playing Tennessee. Take the UNDER 88.5 (-115).

What Can Drew Do For You?

Dec 29, 2019; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) passes the ball in the third quarter at Bank of America Stadium. (Photo Credit: Bob Donnan – USA TODAY Sports)

New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees has a mammoth Over/Under for passing yards at 304.5 (-115 on both). Minnesota has one of the better scoring defenses in the league, but it has been middle-of-the-road in yardage allowed (13th rushing, 15th passing and 14th overall).

The reason to jump on this one is that Minnesota is going to be without CBs Mike Hughes and Mackenzie Alexander, and former Pro Bowl corner Xavier Rhodes is having the worst season of his career and has gone from a shadow corner who chases a team’s best receiver to a guy offensive coordinators are targeting. The Vikings have only two healthy corners (Rhodes and Trae Waynes) who have NFL pedigrees. Brees is going to attack that weakness all day long. Take the OVER 304.5 (-115) and take your time waiting.

Gone With the Wentz

Dec 29, 2019; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) throws a pass against the New York Giants in the first half at MetLife Stadium. (Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch – USA TODAY Sports)

Seattle has one of the worst pass defenses in the league, but the Philadelphia Eagles receiving corps has been depleted and their top pass-catcher (TE Zach Ertz) has a painful rib injury and is a question mark. Wentz has an Over/Under of 267.5 passing yards (-115 on both). The Seahawks are capable of giving up big numbers in the pass game, but are guys like Greg Ward and J.J. Arcega-Whiteside going to get enough to put Wentz over the top? We don’t think so. Take the UNDER 267.5 (-115).

Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each player, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite NFL Prop Bets now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 17

Analyzing key Week 17 NFL prop bets poised for a payday, featuring props around Julio Jones, Russell Wilson and Michael Thomas.

The 2019 regular season comes to an end Sunday and we have a Fab Four of decade-ending prop bets to make Week 17 a little more interesting from start to finish.

Me and Julio Down By the Schoolyard

Photo Credit: Jason Getz – USA TODAY Sports

Julio Jones has nothing to play for other than being a professional cashing a large check. Jones has a history of big games late in the season, but his number of 98.5 receiving yards (Over: -125, Under: -112) is asking a lot. When 100 yards is the baseline in a meaningless game, the cautious approach is to take the Under and that’s what we’ll do. UNDER 98.5 (-112).

Where There’s a Wilson, There’s a Way

Photo Credit: Steven Bisig – USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks have a lot at stake in Sunday night’s game and have been forced to go to the street to find running backs. As such, it seems a little strange QB Russell Wilson’s Over/Under for passing yards is 233.5 (-118 on both sides). It seems clear that, if Seattle is going to win, Wilson will have to carry them – whether it’s throwing the Seahawks to a lead or throwing to erase a deficit. Take the OVER 233.5 (-118).


Looking to place a bet any of the Week 17 NFL games? Get some action on the games or other sports at BetMGM. Sign up now!


Make It a Double

The Kansas City Chiefs are facing a huge task in trying to lock down the No. 2 seed (if New England loses) and will try to dispatch of the disappointing Los Angeles Chargers in a hurry. Their two primary pass-catchers – Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce – are both listed with an Over/Under of 68.5 yards (-118 for both the Over and Under). It’s not easy to take an Over on two players, but there’s a good reason to do so in this instance. It will probably take six or seven receptions for Kelce to hit the number and two or three catches for Hill. Make it a double, Mr. Sunday bartender. OVER 68.5 (-118).

No Doubting Thomas

Photo Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel – USA TODAY Sports

Michael Thomas is having the fantasy year of a lifetime. For those who don’t have Thomas on their rosters, he has topped 100 yards in eight of the last nine games and has eight or more receptions in 11 of the last 12. An Over/Under of 98.5 yards is pretty stiff (-118 on both sides), but you get the feeling he’s going to get 10 catches. Why wouldn’t you take the Over? OVER 98.5 (-118).

Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each player, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite NFL Prop Bets now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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