NFL Prop Bet Payday – Week 15

Analyzing key Week 15 NFL prop bets that seem poised for a pay day, featuring props around Aaron Jones, Tom Brady, Christian McCaffrey and Sean Payton.

With the holidays right around the corner, we’re looking to help out those looking for a little extra spending money. We’ve teamed up with the oddsmakers at BetMGM.com and our friends at The Huddle to find prop bets that go against the conventional wisdom of the number. Looking for extra cash for presents? Consider these bets for Week 15. Odds last updated Saturday at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Trial and Aaron

Photo Credit: Jeff Hanisch – USA TODAY Sports

Who is the only coach that can consistently limit Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones? His head coach Matt LaFleur. For some reason, he has forced Jones into a timeshare with Jamaal Williams, limiting his rushing attempts to 13 or less in 10 of 13 games. As a result, Jones’ Over/Under for rushing yards against the Chicago Bears Sunday is 59½ (-118 on both the Over and Under). In his last two home games, he has rushed for 93 yards against the Carolina Panthers and 134 against the Washington Redskins. The Packers will be looking to control the clock offensively and Jones should hit 70 or more rushing yards. Take the OVER 59.5.

New to sports betting? Every $1.18 wagered will profit $1 if Jones finishes with 60 rushing yards or more.


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The Story of a Man Named Brady

Photo Credit: Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports

This one is a little surprising, given the struggles of the New England Patriots pass offense, which basically has been limited to Tom Brady trying to find Julian Edelman. The Over/Under for Brady passing yards is 258.5 (-118 on both sides). This number is based more on Cincinnati’s defense being bad, but 258 yards is a lot, especially with a receiver corps that looks more like a receiver corpse at this point. Brady had thrown for 216 or fewer yards in three of his last four games and, while we believe he can get close to this number, getting there won’t be easy, especially if the Pats got off to a double-digit lead early. Take the UNDER 258.5 (-118) on Brady’s total passing yards.

The Passion of the Chris

Photo Credit: Bob Donnan – USA TODAY Sports

Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey has been putting together an MVP season and the Seattle Seahawks’ biggest defensive problem has been stopping the run. However, the prop bet we’re looking at is McCaffrey on the receiving end of things. The Over/Under on receiving yards for McCaffrey is 55.5 (-118 on both sides). This is a big number for a running back, but McCaffrey has exceeded that number seven times this year, including each of the last four. He has been targeted 48 times in the last four games, catching 38 passes for 330 yards. We see him catching seven or eight passes. If he breaks one for 20+ yards, it be almost impossible to keep him under the number. Take the OVER 55.5 (-118) on McCaffrey’s total receiving yards.

Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?

Photo Credit: Chuck Cook – USA TODAY Sports

We have a bonus prop bet for you. Few head coaches hold on to his challenge flag for less time than New Orleans Saints’ Sean Payton. He will throw a challenge flag to get a ball moved a yard or two. There is a prop bet in Monday night’s game as to who will use a coach’s challenge first: Saints -115, Indianapolis Colts -115. Given his propensity to throw the red handkerchief (and usually lose), if you want to go off the board with a prop bet, banking on Payton to be the first to launch the laundry as a good bet. Take PAYTON -115.

Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each player, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite NFL Prop Bets now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

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