Tag: NFL player props

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Over/Under: Projecting Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger’s stats

Projecting Ben Roethlisbeger’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger‘s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Ben Roethlisberger’s stats history

Roethlisberger is coming off a 2019 season ended by injury in Week 2. The 38-year-old underwent surgery and will look to help get the Steelers back to the postseason.

He led the league in passing attempts, completions, yards and interceptions across 16 games in 2018. He topped 4,000 passing yards in four of his last six full seasons.

Arm strength is a valid concern for Big Ben following the injury and as one of the oldest starting quarterbacks in the NFL. He’ll also be playing his first full season without former No. 1 receiver Antonio Brown. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster took a large step backward last season while working with QBs Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges. WRs James Washington and Diontae Johnson have also underwhelmed to this point in their respective NFL careers.

Plus, RB James Conner offers little help in the passing game compared to Roethlisberger’s former running mate Le’Veon Bell.

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Ben Roethlisberger’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday, April 18 at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,999.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

There was no passing touchdown total listed as of this posting.

Last season showed Roethlisberger’s value to the Steelers, even at an advanced age. The entire offense struggled mightily with the two replacement quarterbacks, and it’s unfair to judge the receiving corps or Conner on their performances last season.

Still, take the UNDER (-110) on Big Ben’s projected yardage total. His supporting cast is underwhelming with no one yet added to help replace Brown’s Pro Bowl production. The defense is strong and is expected to help keep the Steelers in contention in the AFC North.

Playing with leads will put the ball in the hands of Conner and limit Roethlisberger’s passing attempts in a dream season for Pittsburgh.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Over/Under: Projecting Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen’s stats

Projecting Josh Allen’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Today we focus on Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen’s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Josh Allen’s stats history

Allen will be entering his third season in the league. After a rookie campaign with 2,074 passing yards, 10 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions, he played much better in 2019, leading the Bills to the postseason. He finished his sophomore season with 3,089 passing yards, 20 TD passes and nine interceptions. With talented WR Stefon Diggs and recently-drafted RB Zach Moss, the Bills’ third-round pick, being added in the offseason, Allen should be able to build on those numbers.

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Josh Allen’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Monday, April 27 at 1:20 a.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,349.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

Passing Touchdowns: 20.5 / OVER: -125 / UNDER: +105

Looking ahead to 2020, Allen should see a bump in production. The Bills have more talent on offense, especially with Diggs. Passing for 3,349.5 yards would only rank 19th last season. That is a reasonable expectation for Allen in 2020. Throwing more than 20 touchdowns would put him in the top 20 last season. BET THE OVERS ON BOTH PROPS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Over/Under: Projecting Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray’s stats

Projecting Kyler Murray’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Kyler Murray lived up to the hype as the No. 1 overall pick last year, even if the Arizona Cardinals’ 5-10-1 record didn’t reflect that. He starred as a rookie with more than 3,500 yards passing and another 500-plus yards rushing despite taking over one of the worst NFL offenses from 2018.

Murray should continue to develop as a passer and playmaker, similarly to the way Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson did last season when he won MVP. That’s not to say Murray will turn into an MVP next season, but he has the makings of one.

After a successful rookie year, how high will he rise in 2020? We take a look at the projected stats for Murray for next season, specifically his passing yards.

Kyler Murray’s stats history

In his first NFL season, Murray threw for 3,722 yards and 20 touchdowns, taking good care of the football with only 12 interceptions. That’s a rare trait for a rookie quarterback, especially one as dynamic and explosive as Murray.

He also rushed for 544 yards and four touchdowns, adding another element to the Cardinals offense beyond just his passing ability.

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Kyler Murray’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, April 24 at 11 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,999.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

Murray very quietly put up impressive numbers throwing the ball in his rookie campaign. It helps that he started every game and was QB1 from the beginning, but there probably weren’t many people who expected him to approach 4,000 yards passing.

It’s hard to imagine Murray’s numbers declining in Year 2, especially with WR DeAndre Hopkins joining the team, WR Larry Fitzgerald returning and WR Christian Kirk continuing to improve. RB Kenyan Drake should take some pressure off of Murray in the backfield, but there does have to be a concern that he’ll see his role increase and take away from Murray’s passing attempts.

That being said, OVER 3,999.5 PASSING YARDS is still a good bet for Murray. It’s reasonable to think he’ll throw for at least 300 more passing yards in 2020 than he did as a rookie, which would be under 20 yards per game more than he had last season.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Over/Under: Projecting Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson’s stats

Projecting Deshaun Watson’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson‘s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Deshaun Watson’s stats history

Watson was named to the Pro Bowl each of the last two years while leading the Texans to a combined record of 21-10 in his two full seasons as a starter. His yardage total dipped to 3,852 yards in 2019 while playing 15 games after he threw for 4,165 yards as a sophomore in 2018. He tossed 26 touchdowns each of the last two years against a total of 21 interceptions.

He was sacked a league-high 62 times in 2018 but the addition of LT Laremy Tunsil via trade from the Miami Dolphins helped keep Watson upright a little more in 2019, as he was sacked a more tolerable 44 times.

One of the top dual-threat QBs in the NFL, Watson topped 410 rushing yards each of the last two seasons with a total of 12 rushing touchdowns.

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Deshaun Watson’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday, April 18 at 1 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 4,199.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

There was no passing touchdown total posted as of this posting.

Take the UNDER (-110) on what would be a career-high passing total for Watson. His projected top three wideouts in Brandin Cooks, Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb will struggle to replace the traded DeAndre Hopkins.

The Texans’ offseason overhaul will hurt Watson’s production with offseason programs going virtual or being canceled amid the COVID-19 pandemic. He’ll have less time to work with his receiving corps, and even in the best-case scenario, none of them measure up to Hopkins.

Want action on NFL futures betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Over/Under: Projecting New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees’ stats

Projecting Drew Brees’ 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Today we focus on New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees’ projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Drew Brees’ stats history

Brees is the most prolific and accurate passer in history. He holds the NFL career record for passing yards (77,416) and touchdown passes (547). He had 12 straight seasons of more than 4,000 passing yards (2006-’17), five times eclipsing 5,000-plus yards. However, he threw for less than 4,000 yards the last two seasons as he missed one game in 2018 and five games with a thumb injury last year. His per-game averages would have given him more than 4,250 yards each season if he had played in all 16.

Brees also recorded nine straight seasons with at least 30 touchdown passes from 2008-’16, but failed to reach that many two of the last three seasons.

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Drew Brees’ projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Monday, April 20 at 1 a.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 4099.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

Passing Touchdowns: 30.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

The key for the 41-year-old Brees’ numbers will be his health. Last season was the first year he missed more than one game since 2003, so he has a history of durability. He has one of the best receivers in football in Michael Thomas, plus the Saints signed free agent WR Emmanuel Sanders. Passing yards should be in abundance again. However, with a running back like Alvin Kamara in goal-to-go situations, it is much more likely the Saints will run the ball. Plus, even with his fantastic numbers, it became clear that Brees’ arm is not what it was. To reach 4,100 passing yards, he will only have to average just a little more than 256 yards per game, lower than any per-game average for Brees since 2005. Even if he misses a game, he would only have to average 273.3 yards per game. For his passing yards, take the OVER.

Touchdown passes are another thing completely. He only had 27 in 2019, but that was in 11 games. Looking at that and his history, you have to also take the OVER for touchdown passes.

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Follow @senorjessroot on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Over/Under: Projecting New York Jets QB Sam Darnold’s stats

Projecting Sam Darnold’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on New York Jets QB Sam Darnold’s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Sam Darnold’s stats history

Darnold, the third overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft, has been limited to just 13 games in each of his first two seasons. He owns a career completion percentage of 59.9, and he threw for a career-high 3,024 passing yards in 2019 with 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.

Darnold is just 11-15 as a starter entering his third season and the Jets have lost all six games without him under center. The soon-to-be 23-year-old showed some modest improvements last season in his first campaign under head coach Adam Gase, but durability and health are now big questions.

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Sam Darnold’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday, April 18 at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,529.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

As of the time of this posting, there was no projection for Darnold’s 2020 touchdown total.

Darnold would have eclipsed this yardage number if he had been able to play all 16 games in 2019. His 232.6 yards per game had him on pace for 3,721.6 yards as a sophomore.

The free-agent loss of speedy deep-threat WR Robby Anderson, who ranked first or second on the team in receiving yards each of the last three years, will hurt his production. The Jets are equipped with the 11th overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, where they are fully expected to target and land one of the top available receivers in CeeDee Lamb, Jerry Jeudy or Henry Ruggs III.

Take the OVER (-110) on a relatively modest production for the third-year starter. The addition of a top rookie wideout, to go along with Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman, Quincy Enunwa and RB Le’Veon Bell, and a 16-game season will result in a career year.

Want action on NFL futures betting? Sign up and place your legal sports wagers online at BetMGM. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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