Over/Under: Projecting New York Jets QB Sam Darnold’s stats

Projecting Sam Darnold’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on New York Jets QB Sam Darnold’s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Sam Darnold’s stats history

Darnold, the third overall pick of the 2018 NFL Draft, has been limited to just 13 games in each of his first two seasons. He owns a career completion percentage of 59.9, and he threw for a career-high 3,024 passing yards in 2019 with 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.

Darnold is just 11-15 as a starter entering his third season and the Jets have lost all six games without him under center. The soon-to-be 23-year-old showed some modest improvements last season in his first campaign under head coach Adam Gase, but durability and health are now big questions.


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Sam Darnold’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday, April 18 at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,529.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

As of the time of this posting, there was no projection for Darnold’s 2020 touchdown total.

Darnold would have eclipsed this yardage number if he had been able to play all 16 games in 2019. His 232.6 yards per game had him on pace for 3,721.6 yards as a sophomore.

The free-agent loss of speedy deep-threat WR Robby Anderson, who ranked first or second on the team in receiving yards each of the last three years, will hurt his production. The Jets are equipped with the 11th overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, where they are fully expected to target and land one of the top available receivers in CeeDee LambJerry Jeudy or Henry Ruggs III.

Take the OVER (-110) on a relatively modest production for the third-year starter. The addition of a top rookie wideout, to go along with Jamison CrowderBreshad PerrimanQuincy Enunwa and RB Le’Veon Bell, and a 16-game season will result in a career year.

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