Tag: NFL office pool

Betting the NFL Line: Super Bowl LVI

Three Super Bowl LVI bets that are worth making.

And then there were two. When the playoffs began a month ago, not many would have stuck their necks out and picked a Los Angeles Rams-Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl LVI, but these teams earned their way to the championship game.

The Bengals beat the Las Vegas Raiders at home and took out the top two seeds on the road (Tennessee and Kansas City) the earn their trip to the Super Bowl.

The Rams took down division rivals Arizona and San Francisco at home and defending champion Tampa Bay on the road to get a home game for the Super Bowl – if you call playing in L.A. a home game when road fans routinely outnumber the home team.

This wasn’t a matchup that was predicted, which makes this game intriguing, because one of them is going to get a ring and get to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Thursday, Feb. 10, at 6:55 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

Super Bowl LVI Betting Odds and Lines

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline

I’m not a big fan of the Moneyline unless I’m picking the underdog, which I’m not doing in this case. The Rams are a pretty significant favorite straight up (-200 Rams, +165 Bengals). I don’t like giving away twice as much than I would get in return with a win. My advise would be simple – Avoid this bet. However, if I was forced to make a move, I would put a counterintuitive wager on the Bengals, because they’ve proved they can go on the road and take out the top two seeds in the AFC and could make history by doing it again. Begrudingly, take the Bengals with a small wager (+165).

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Rams Point Spread

In the Conference Championship games, I took both of the underdogs, because I thought both could win outright. The Bengals did. The 49ers didn’t, but they covered the spread against the Rams. Los Angeles is being given a pretty healthy number (3.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Bengals). Both teams have proved they can come from behind staring down double-digit deficits in the second half, but the Rams have more talent and experience on both sides of the ball than the Bengals. To me, the determining factor here came in the Divisional Round when Cincinnati beat Tennessee. Joe Burrow was sacked nine times and his team still won – a postseason first in the history of the league. The Rams bring the same kind of pressure, and speeding up Burrow’s internal clock will likely lead to the mistake that allows Los Angeles to pull away. Take the Rams and lay the 3.5 points (-115).

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Rams Over/Under

The total is pretty high (48.5 points at -110 for both the Over and Under). Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers. While they have strong run games, they got to this point because they have quarterbacks who can make every throw and talented receivers who can haul them in. They can have the long drives that make the Under attractive, but when I looked at this matchup, my first thought was the Rams would win 30-24, making a defensive stand late. That’s 54 points. Take the Over (-110).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Conference Championships

Our favorite bets for the NFL Conference Championship games.

Last week, we pondered the potential for any of the four road teams winning their respective games. Three of them did, and it’s still unfathomable how Buffalo didn’t win with the lead with just 13 seconds to play.

As we head to the Conference Championship games with just one of the top three seeds still playing, nobody is taking anyone lightly on their respective paths to the Super Bowl, especially given the road teams are a combined 3-0 this season against the favored home teams.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Jan. 26, at 7:05 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Championship Week

Cincinnati Bengals (+260) at Kansas City Chiefs (-340)

We’re doing two bets per game this week, starting with the point spread. The Bengals beat the Chiefs 34-31 in their first meeting, but Kansas City is a significant favorite this time around (7.5 points at -115 Bengals, -105 Chiefs). While Kansas City is a dominant team, its defense is vastly overrated. The Bengals have a lot of weapons and, even if Cincy falls behind by 14 points, the Chiefs will likely get conservative to kill the clock. While Kansas City is likely headed to its third straight Super Bowl, spotting Cincy 7.5 points is a little too many for my liking. Take the Bengals plus 7.5 points (-115).

Cincinnati Bengals (+260) at Kansas City Chiefs (-340)

The Bengals and Chiefs have only met three times since 2015, and every one of them has been high-scoring (57, 55 and 65 points). Only the last one – the highest score of the three – came with the array of offensive talent both teams currently field. The Over/Under is obscene (54.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). But, both defenses have proved capable of being burned for big plays. The Bengals have been Under in both of their playoff games this season in a big way (45 and 35 points scored). If the Bengals offensive line can protect Joe Burrow, he’s capable of putting up 27 points. Seeing as the Chiefs are our pick to win, 27 is enough for the Bengals. Take the Over (-108).

San Francisco 49ers (+155) at Los Angeles Rams (-190)

The 49ers have owned this rivalry in recent years, winning the last six meetings over the last three years. Yet, despite that rivalry dominance, the Rams are moderate favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Rams have done what they did during their last Super Bowl season – mortgage the draft equity for the next couple of years for a run at the Lombardi Trophy. The result is that, despite having the better team, some teams “have the number” of the other. While I would hesitate taking San Francisco on the Moneyline, 3.5 points is a little too many for a team that has ownership of the recent rivalry. Take the 49ers plus 3.5 points (-110).

San Francisco 49ers (+155) at Los Angeles Rams (-190)

What makes this Over/Under (45.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under) is intriguing because, while both teams are capable of scoring 27 or more points – San Francisco did it eight times, the Rams did it 10 times – their recent matchups have been marked more by field goals than touchdowns. They’ve hit Under this numbers in three of their last four meetings. But, if either team hits more than 27 points, this number should be too easy to surpass. Both teams are capable of it and one (if not both) should be able to get this number. Take the Over (-115).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Divisional Round

The best bets to make for the NFL Divisional Round.

This is my favorite weekend in sports, much less the NFL. Six teams that have survived and advanced look to take the next step, including the two teams that earned a bye week by virtue of their strong start.

A case can be made for all the underdogs on the spread and none of the home teams are seen as locks to win and advance. Before laying down their starters in Week 18, the Cincinnati Bengals were 5-2 on the road. The San Francisco 49ers have blown out Green Bay in two of their last three games. Despite losing in Week 3 this season, San Francisco overcame a 17-0 deficit to take a lead with 37 seconds to go – only to have the Packers drive 42 yards in 34 seconds to kick a game-winning field goal as time expired.

The Sunday games hold just as much drama. The Los Angeles Rams have beaten Tom Brady in both of their meetings since he joined the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, including a 34-24 win in Week 3. The same goes for the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo went into Kansas City in Week 5 and throttled the Chiefs 38-20. They return to the scene of the crime Sunday looking to do the same.

Typically, the Divisional Round of the playoffs sees the cream rise to the top. The home teams held serve in five of six games in the Wild Card Round, but that will be a much tougher road than usual in the Divisional Round this season given the success of the road teams in recent matchups.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Jan. 19, at 7:45 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Divisional Round

Cincinnati Bengals (+155) at Tennessee Titans (-190)

It isn’t that often that a team that gets a bye week has more question marks than the Titans have coming out of their bye week. The anticipation is that Derrick Henry will be back and doing what he does best – pound the ball and control the clock. The Bengals are one of the most balanced teams in the league, but, when things are going their way, they also like to run the ball 25 times or more. This sets up to make the Over/Under a little ambitious (47.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under) if the game goes as scripted. Both offenses have the horses to put up points, but this could be an old-school game typified by 12-play drives and as many field goals scored as touchdowns. Take the Under (-115).

San Francisco 49ers (+205) at Green Bay Packers (-260)

There are some teams that match up well with an opponent, and the 49ers are one of those teams when it comes to playing the Packers. Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-1 against Aaron Rodgers. The teams played twice in the 2019 season and both were blowout wins for the Niners – 37-8 in the regular season and 37-20 in the playoffs. However, all three of his career meetings came in California, not in Green Bay, where wind-chill temperatures are expected to be at or below zero. You can’t replicate frigid cold in practice. The Packers are solid favorites (5.5 points at -103 49ers, -117 Packers). San Francisco has the personnel to take out the No. 1 seed, but this has all the earmarks of a classic January game at Lambeau for the Packers – their quarterback makes the big plays that open up a lead and the defense seals the deal late in the game. Take the Packers and lay the 5.5 points (-117).

Los Angeles Rams (+120) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-145)

This is another game where a strong case can be made that the road team is the better team. For the second time in four years, the Rams have mortgaged their future (in terms of elite draft picks) to make a Super Bowl run. The first time they did, they made it to the Super Bowl – only to lose to Tom Brady and the Patriots. The point spread clearly indicates that the Rams are the better team despite being an underdog to the Buccaneers (2.5 points at +102 Rams, -125 Buccaneers). While I don’t believe the Bucs will make it to the Super Bowl because of a depleted elite receiver corps for Brady, I don’t believe it will be just yet. Nobody blitzes more than Todd Bowles and Bucs defense, and Matthew Stafford struggles when he has heat in his face. Bet against Brady at your own peril in this one. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 2.5 points (-125).

Buffalo Bills (+100) at Kansas City Chiefs (-120)

The final game of the week has two teams with a rich recent history that featured one team dominating the other early and managing the lead from there. Last year in the AFC Championship Game (in Kansas City), the Chiefs erased a 9-0 first quarter deficit to outscore the Bills 31-6 over the next two quarters. In Week 5 this season (at Kansas City), the Chiefs led 10-7 with 10 minutes to play in the second quarter, but entered the fourth quarter trailing 31-13. The Bills have the No. 1 ranked overall defense and the No. 1 scoring defense in the league. While not consistently dominant, when you combine the defensive ability with the offensive explosiveness – Josh Allen completed just 15 passing in the Week 5 meeting but averaged 21 yards per completion (315 yards). The Chiefs have represented the AFC in the Super Bowl the last two seasons, but the Bills will make sure the third time is not a charm. Take the Bills on the Money Line (+100).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Wild Card Weekend

The best bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend.

The NFL continues to try squeeze every drop out of the playoffs, where Wild Card Weekend now stretches into Monday night when the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams close out the first round of the playoffs.

With six games on tap, there is plenty to be excited about as the field gets whittled down by three teams in each conference and the push to the Super Bowl starts gaining momentum.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Jan. 12 at 7:45p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Wild Card Week

Las Vegas Raiders (+200) at Cincinnati Bengals (-250)

The Bengals went 4-0 against AFC playoff teams this season, including wins over the Kansas City Chiefs, the Pittsburgh Steelers twice, and a 32-13 thumping of the Raiders the Sunday before Thanksgiving. The Raiders went 1-3 against AFC playoff teams, including losses by 27, 19 and 39 points. The Raiders have won four straight, but have also proved that they can be run off the field by a good team. The bet here that intrigues me most is the Over/Under (48.5 points at -110 for both). Neither team has been to the playoffs in years and will likely come out deliberate looking to set the tempo that they want, which will likely entail a heavy dose of Joe Mixon and Josh Jacobs. It’s a high number that looks to be just a shade too high. Take the Under (-110).

New England Patriots (+165) at Buffalo Bills (-205)

The Patriots ripped off seven straight wins at midseason before dropping three of their final four games, including a 33-21 loss to the Bills. The last time these teams played in Buffalo, weather was the headline as the Patriots doggedly stuck to running the ball in a 14-10 win. The Patriots are being shown a lot of respect on the spread (3.5 points at -105 Patriots, -115 Bills). The Bills have endured being the “little brother” to the Patriots for a long time. While I’m impressed with the Patriots defense, the Buffalo defense is going to be going up against a rookie QB playing his 19th game who hasn’t been asked to carry the team on his back. He is going to be under duress all day and will likely make the critical mistake that costs his team a chance to win. Take the Bills and lay the 3.5 points (-115).

Philadelphia Eagles (+330) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-450)

The Bucs are heavy favorite (8.5 points at -108 Eagles, -112 Buccaneers). They were a similarly prohibitive favorite when the team met on a Thursday night in Week 6, but Tampa Bay and Tom Brady came away with a 28-22. The Eagles losing to playoff teams is nothing new. They played six games against the current playoff field and lost all six, including four by double digits. On the flip side of the coin, the Buccaneers were 4-1 against teams in this year’s playoffs and have won seven of their last eight games. Being a big favorite is always a slippery slope in the postseason, because it’s all about survive and advance – even if it means leaving potential points on the board. Did I mention Tom Brady is Tampa Bay’s quarterback and this is January? Take the Bucs and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

San Francisco 49ers (+135) at Dallas Cowboys (-170)

If you’re looking for a playoff team that is battle-tested, look no further than the 49ers. They played eight games against this year’s playoff field (going 4-4) and have won seven of their last nine games. The Cowboys, as would be expected, are home favorites (3.5 points at -120 49ers, +100 Cowboys). The Cowboys have been opportunistic on defense, posting a whopping 26 interceptions, but have struggled against elite teams and aren’t dominant at home – three losses in eight home games. If you’re looking for a candidate to be a Moneyline win as an underdog, the 49ers may be your best bet. But, I’m willing to pay the tax to get some insurance. Take the 49ers plus the 3.5 points (-120).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+500) at Kansas City Chiefs (-750)

The good news for Pittsburgh is thanks to greed on the part of the Los Angeles Chargers, resulting in the Steelers getting into the playoffs. The bad news is that they’re on the road against the two-time defending AFC champs. The Chiefs are huge favorites (11.5 points at -108 Steelers, -112 Chiefs). The Steelers came to Arrowhead last month and were completely pounded, losing 36-10 the day after Christmas. It’s a new year, but not much is different. Kansas City is the AFC champ until they’re knocked off. Ben Roethlisberger throws more two-yard passes than any QB in the league, and they’re back in K.C. for the rematch. The Steelers offense puts itself in bad down-and-distance situations too often, and the Chiefs offense feasts when given too many opportunities. Big Ben’s next stop is the Hall of Fame, but his last stop as a player comes Sunday. Take the Chiefs and lay the 11.5 points (-112).

Arizona Cardinals (+160) at Los Angeles Rams (-200)

After starting 7-0, the Cardinals have gone 4-10 in their last 10 games and 1-4 in their last five. They look to be trending badly in the wrong direction. However, a couple of numbers that need pointing out is that Arizona is 5-2 against playoff teams this season and 8-1 on the road – its only loss coming against Detroit. All five of the Rams’ losses came against playoff teams, so my confidence in them isn’t strong. The Cardinals have a good chance to win this game, but the number I’m looking at is the Over/Under (49.5 points at 108 Over, -112 Under). Divisional opponents who know each other well, this has the potential to be a shootout. More likely, things will be kept conservative early on and, if either team can make the other one-dimensional, could spiral out of control. With this kind of number, a 34-14 blowout is still Under. If field goals come into play, more scores will be needed. Take the Under (-112).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 18

All of the best bets for NFL Week 18 action.

The NFL closes out its regular season with a lot at stake. Playoff seedings are up in the air with teams fighting to lock into their spots.

A team like the Kansas City Chiefs could finish the No. 1 seed or the No. 4 seed, depending on whether they win and how a couple of others games turn out.

In the NFC, the only team that has anything locked down is Green Bay. The NFL couldn’t ask for a better scenario to close out its regular season having a dozen games with direct playoff implications. Here are our picks for each game of this critical weekend.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Jan. 5, at 8:10 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 18

Kansas City Chiefs (-540) at Denver Broncos (+380)

The Chiefs need to win to have a shot at the No. 1 seed in the AFC and to hold off the other division leaders chasing them – they’ve lost to both Cincinnati and Buffalo this season. They are heavy favorites against the Broncos (10.5 points at +100 Chiefs, -120 Broncos). I typically don’t recommend laying double digits in a divisional game, but I have to on this one. Take the Chiefs and lay the 10.5 points (+100).

Dallas Cowboys (-350) at Philadelphia Eagles (+265)

The Eagles are the seventh seed, but despite a head-to-head loss to No. 6 seed San Francisco, the Eagles are guaranteed a spot in the playoffs. The Over/Under on this one is reasonable (42.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). The Cowboys are looking to improve their playoff positioning if the Los Angeles Rams lose and the Eagles want to move up a spot if the San Francisco 49ers lose. Both teams will be putting their best foot forward, so both offenses should be ready to light things up. Take the Over (-115).

Indianapolis Colts (-1400) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+750)

The Colts need a win to punch their ticket to the playoffs, and the Jags need a loss to lock up the No. 1 overall draft pick (again). The Over/Under on this one is surprisingly high (44.5 points at -103 Over, -117 Under). I’m not convinced the Jaguars will score more than 10 points, which will require the Colts to score 35. While capable of it, I wouldn’t bet on it happening, because if they get a big lead, they will grind out the clock on the ground. Take the Under (-117).

Washington Football Team (-350) at New York Giants (+265)

The Giants offense is among the worst of any team in recent memory. Washington is a prohibitive road favorite (6.5 points at -120 WFT, +100 Giants), but that isn’t enough going up against a Giants team that has scored 13 or fewer points in six of their last seven games and just 19 points in the last three games combined. Take Washington and lay the 6.5 points (-120).

Green Bay Packers (-190) at Detroit Lions (+155)

Aaron Rodgers says he is playing, but for how long is the question. Even still, the Packers remain a solid road favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Lions don’t have a lot to play for other than pride, while the Packers will have a bye week coming. Momentum is a funny thing, and the Packers have enough to beat a Detroit team running on fumes. Take the Packers and lay the 3.5 points (-110).

Cincinnati Bengals (+205) at Cleveland Browns (-260)

The Bengals won the division, but still have something to play for as the No. 3 seed — they can get up to No. 1 with Kansas City and Tennessee losses — and need a win to hold off the winner of the AFC East. For some reason, Cleveland is a big favorite (6.5 points at -108 Bengals, -112 Browns). The Bengals plan to rest Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon is one of five other starters on the COVID list and won’t play. Even so, the Browns aren’t that dominant and getting almost a touchdown is too much. Take the Bengals plus the 6.5 points (-108).

Tennessee Titans (-540) at Houston Texans (+380)

The Titans need a win to lock down the No. 1 seed and earn the critical first-round bye. Houston is playing out the string in a season that seemed doomed from the start with a near-complete roster turnover. It seems a little surprising the Titans aren’t favored by more (9.5 points at -120 Titans, +100 Texans). Given how much is at stake, expect Tennessee to look to bring the hammer down and enjoy their week off. Take the Titans and lay the 9.5 points (-120).

Chicago Bears (+135) and Minnesota Vikings (-170)

Both teams are frontrunners to fire their head coaches at the end of the season, but Minnesota has more talent on both sides of the ball. The Vikings are home favorites (3.5 points at -125 Bears, +102 Vikings). That number seems destined to beg people to take the Vikings. Well, I’ve always been sucker for when someone begs. Take the Vikings and lay the 3.5 points (+102).

[lawrence-related id=463489]

Pittsburgh Steelers (+200) at Baltimore Ravens (-250)

Ben Roethlisberger will play his final game against a Ravens team that has been ravaged by injuries. Even with Lamar Jackson a question mark to play, the Ravens are big favorites for this semiannual bloodbath (5.5 points at -110 for both). I’ve been burned betting on and against the Steelers, but I will do it one last time. Take the Steelers plus the 5.5 points (-110).

San Francisco 49ers (+175) at Los Angeles Rams (-220)

Some teams just have another team’s number, and that has been the case for the 49ers. The Rams are favored (4.5 points at -110 for both teams), but the 49ers have beaten the Rams five straight games. Despite currently being the No. 6 seed, the 49ers aren’t in the playoffs yet. The Rams have clinched a spot but not their division. Some teams just have the matchup advantage against another and this one has played out every time the last three years. I’m tempted to take the Niners on the Moneyline, but I’ll gladly take insurance and points. Take the 49ers plus the 4.5 points (-110).

Carolina Panthers (+320) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-420)

The Bucs are losing key offensive weapons on a weekly basis, but this is Tom Brady and this is January. They seem locked into the No. 3 seed, but if the Rams lose, they can vault to the No. 2 seed and be at home until they lose or potentially set up a rematch in Green Bay with the Packers. The Bucs are solid favorites (7.5 points at -105 Panthers, -115 Buccaneers). I’ll take my chances that Tampa at home can push the Panthers around and win by double digits after a stunning nail-biter last week against the hapless Jets. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 7.5 points (-115).

New England Patriots (-290) at Miami Dolphins (+225)

Miami has always been a thorn in the Patriots side, but New England is potentially in the running for the No. 3 seed if things fall right. At a minimum, they want to hold down the No. 5 seed so they can avoid having to play Kansas City, something nobody wants in the first round of the playoffs. New England is a stiff road favorite (6.5 points at -108 Patriots, -112 Dolphins). New England’s defense is going to attack Tua Tagovailoa, and it wouldn’t be shocking to see a defensive or special teams touchdowns, which is all the Pats will need. Take the Patriots and lay the 6.5 points (-108).

Seattle Seahawks (+230) at Arizona Cardinals (-300)

Seattle has been disappointing this season, but they still force opponents to play their style — keep a game close in win in the fourth quarter. For that reason, the Over/Under is too high (47.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). The Cardinals are capable of putting up big points, but this has the looks of a 27-17 game written all over it – with a three-point cushion with that score. Take the Under (-105).

New York Jets (+750) at Buffalo Bills (-1400)

I don’t care what they did against the Buccaneers last week, for me to consider taking the Jets, they would need to be 17-point underdogs. The Over/Under is close, but not close enough (14.5 points at -108 Jets, -112 Bills). When Buffalo wins, it tends to win big. Really big. This has that kind of stink to potentially set up a rematch will the Patriots in the playoffs. Take the Bills and lay the 14.5 points.

New Orleans Saints (-210) at Atlanta Falcons (+170)

The Falcons have played eight games against teams that are either in or within a win of making the playoffs. They have a record of 1-7 in those games. The one win came against the Saints, but that was the first week after Jameis Winston when the failed Trevor Siemian Experiment began. The Saints are still in the playoff hunt and only need a Rams win to control their own destiny. The Saints are modest road favorites (4.5 points at -105 Saints, -115 Falcons). Atlanta has beaten the teams they’re supposed to beat and lost to the teams they shouldn’t beat. They shouldn’t beat the Saints. Take the Saints and lay the 4.5 points (-105).

Los Angeles Chargers (-165) at Las Vegas Raiders (+133)

The NFL got the “win-and-in” game it wanted and this comes down to two things with everything to gain and everything to lose. Everything else will have been decided. The Over/Under is the highest of the Week 18 slate of games (49.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). It’s that high for a reason. The winner is going into the playoffs with a defense that gets lit up routinely. The Raiders have won three straight, and the Chargers haven’t scored less than 28 points in their last five games. I like that combo platter. Take the Over (-112).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 17

Your comprehensive betting guide to NFL Week 17.

With just two weeks left in the season, only eight teams have been eliminated from potentially making the playoffs and only one AFC team (Kansas City) has locked down a playoff spot. A lot will change this week and these are our picks to help take you to the pay window to start 2022 off with a bang.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 29, at 7:45 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 17

Atlanta Falcons (+650) at Buffalo Bills (-1100)

The Bills are massive favorites (13.5 points at -103 Falcons, -117 Bills). But, they’re favorites for a reason. When Buffalo wins, it tends to win big. All nine of their wins are by 12 points or more and eight of them are by 15 or more. I hate laying this many points, but this is what Buffalo does. When they win, they win big. Take the Bills and lay the 13.5 points (-117).

Miami Dolphins (+145) at Tennessee Titans (-180)

The Dolphins are the hottest team in the league, having won seven straight, but are still underdogs to the Titans (3.5 points at -117 Dolphins, -103 Titans). Despite winning for two months, I still believe the Titans are a better team and can get the job done at home while they look over their shoulder at the hard-charging Indianapolis Colts. Take the Titans and lay the 3.5 points (-103).

Los Angeles Rams (-190) at Baltimore Ravens (+155)

The Ravens defense has been ravaged by injury and the team is limping down the stretch. The Rams can exploit that weakness, which is why the Over/Under is relatively high (46.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). With Lamar Jackson expected back, the Ravens will likely have to get into a back and forth with the Rams to keep up, which should have both teams taking  chances with their foot on the gas. Take the Over (-112).

Philadelphia Eagles (-175) at Washington Football Team (+140)

The Eagles have a penchant for beating up on teams with losing records. All eight of their wins have come against teams with records below .500, including Washington by 10 points two weeks ago. The Eagles aren’t getting much respect on the betting line (3.5 points at +100 Eagles, -120 Washington). Washington has lost three straight and have looked awful down the stretch. Getting the hotter team at even money to lay 3-and-a-hook is too tempting to pass up. Take the Eagles and lay the 3.5 points (+100).

Kansas City Chiefs (-230) at Cincinnati Bengals (+180)

This could be a playoff rematch at some points and the Bengals are a 5.5-point home underdog. However, the number that impresses me is the one that may be the most difficult to hit. The Over/Under is huge (49.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). Both offenses have the firepower to do damage and, if one team gets down by 10 points, they could be passing on every play. Take the Over (-108).

[lawrence-related id=463352]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-700) at New York Jets (+470)

I want nothing to do with the Jets and neither do those setting the line. The Bucs are huge favorites (13.5 points at -105 Buccaneers, -115 Jets). Even with that massive number and the Buccaneers missing some of their top offensive weapons. I’m not convinced the Jets are going to score more than 10 points. That should be enough to hit a big number. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 13.5 points (-105).

Las Vegas Raiders (+200) at Indianapolis Colts (-250)

Both teams have turned into running teams, which explains the middle of the road Over/Under (44.5 points at -110 for both the Over and Under). If the Raiders are winning, Josh Jacobs may rush 25 times. If the Colts are winning, Jonathan Taylor may rush 30 times. If the game is close, both might happen. Take the Under (-110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+750) at New England Patriots (-1400)

I won’t bet on the Jaguars, and I’m shocked the Patriots are a 14.5-point favorite (and you have to bet more on the Pats than the Jags). That only leaves the Over/Under (42.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). I’m not convinced Jacksonville can score more than 10 points, so New England would have to score 33 points in that scenario. I don’t see that happening, either. Take the Under (-112).

New York Giants (+210) at Chicago Bears (-270)

There isn’t going to be a lot of scoring in this game, but the Giants offense is so pathetic that the Bears are a solid favorite (5.5 points at -103 Giants, -117 Bears). Those numbers are indicative that those setting the line think it is too low. I agree. Take the Bears and lay the 5.5 points (-117).

Houston Texans (+520) at San Francisco 49ers (-800)

San Francisco can become the third NFC West team to punch its playoff ticket with a win. I’m not a fan of the points spread that so strongly favors the 49ers (12.5 points at -112 Texans, -108 49ers). However, the Texans are a hot mess despite an upset win over the Chargers last week, and I don’t see lightning striking twice. Take the 49ers and lay the 12.5 points (-108).

Denver Broncos (+225) at Los Angeles Chargers (-250)

Two teams that play completely different styles. The Chargers defense is so awful almost all their games over the last three months have been in the 50 points scored range. Denver is just the opposite, having games with 30 or so points scored consistently. However, I’m no fan of Drew Lock, so while I think the Chargers are a bit too big a favorite (6.5 points at -108 Broncos, -112 Chargers), I see L.A. doing its part to score points and the Broncos not able to keep pace. Take the Chargers and lay the 6.5 points (-112).

Detroit Lions (+260) at Seattle Seahawks (-340)

Despite having the talent, the Seattle offense has sputtered almost all season. The Lions don’t have dominant weapons on offense, which is why their record is so bad. The Over/Under is low (42.5 points at -110 for both), but it’s low for a reason. This game screams 23-17. Take the Under (-110).

Arizona Cardinals (+180) at Dallas Cowboys (-230)

After a 7-0 start, the Cardinals have lost five of their last eight games, while the Cowboys are winners of four straight. Dallas has been established as a prohibitive favorite (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). While I think that is too many, the Cowboys are the most complete team in the NFC, but this is a point or two too high for my blood. Take the Cardinals plus the 3.5 points (-110).

Carolina Panthers (+250) at New Orleans Saints (-320)

There are certain numbers I have never been able to accept. One of them is when an Over/Under is too high or too low. Anything under 40 points in my view is too low. Sure, there are plenty of games each week that don’t see 40 points scored, but it doesn’t take much to hit a number too low. The Over/Under here is obscenely low (38.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). While both teams are capable hitting the Under, I can’t take the bait on this one. Take the Over (-105).

Minnesota Vikings (+220) at Green Bay Packers (-280)

The Vikings beat the Packers in Minnesota, but this is team on the verge of collapse. Minnesota’s defense has been brutal most of the season, which is why the Over/Under (46.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under) is relatively high, but not too high. I see the Packers scoring 30 points, and the Vikings should be able to cover the other 17 needed. Take the Over (-115).

Cleveland Browns (-175) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+140)

The Steelers have struggled this season, but they’ve been a different team at home. In their last six games at Heinz Field, they’re 5-0-1. While that isn’t enough to have me take them on the moneyline, I am willing to take the points they’re getting as a home underdog (3.5 points at +102 Browns, -125 Steelers). Pittsburgh has been a frustrated team to figure out, but the home record says something. Take the Steelers plus the 3.5 points (-125).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 16

Your comprehensive Week 16 betting guide to the NFL.

As hard as it may be to believe, we’re in Week 16 of the NFL season and only two games (Chicago at Seattle and the Jacksonville Jaguars at the New York Jets) don’t have some sort of playoff ramifications.

We take a look at all 16 games and look to set you up for a Christmas miracle that will give you enough money to send Cousin Eddie on his way in his RV.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 22, at 6:15 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 16

San Francisco 49ers (-180) at Tennessee Titans (+145)

The Titans have been keeping their season together with duct tape and prayer, but they face a 49ers team that is on a roll and someone nobody wants to meet in the playoffs. San Francisco is a road favorite for a reason, but the bet I like here is the Over/Under (44.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). Neither team is lighting up the scoreboard, because both have injury-depleted offenses that will struggle to put up big points. Take the Under (-115).

Cleveland Browns (+290) at Green Bay Packers (-380)

The Browns are coming off a very short week and have to go on the road to play a Packers team looking to keep their foot on the gas to make sure the Super Bowl goes through Lambeau Field. The Packers are prohibitive favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams) and, while the Browns will be getting some of their key players back from COVID benchings, it won’t be enough. Take the Packers and lay the 7.5 points (-110).

Indianapolis Colts -103) at Arizona Cardinals (-117)

The Cardinals have been struggling down the stretch, which explains why they’re such a small favorite at home (1.5 points at -112 Colts, -108 Cardinals). They have the defense to apply pressure to Carson Wentz, who tends to fold in the biggest games, which is why, despite being viewed as a point-spread underdog, Arizona comes through. Take the Cardinals and lay the 1.5 points (-108).

Buffalo Bills (+110) at New England Patriots (-135)

The Patriots humbled the Bills in their first meeting in the middle of a Calcutta Clipper that grounded both offense and led to New England throwing just three passes. With the weather not expected to a dominant factor, the better team wins, which I still believe to be Buffalo. Take the Bills on the Moneyline (+110).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-520) at Carolina Panthers (+370)

The Bucs are coming off a humbling shutout home loss to the New Orleans Saints and there is going to hell to pay for that. Tom Brady will likely be given license to throw 50 times just to prove a point. Tampa Bay is a prohibitive favorite (10.5 points at -110 for both teams). Cam Newton is nearing the end of the line, and the Bucs will be looking to send him out on a sour note in this division rivalry. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 10.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Chargers (-475) at Houston Texans

The Chargers have seen their division title hopes fizzle over the last month, but they’re still a playoff team at the moment. The Chargers are a solid road favorite (8.5 points at -112 Chargers, -108 Texans). There are four teams I will never bet on, and one of them is Houston. That doesn’t change here. Take the Chargers and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

[lawrence-related id=463137]

Baltimore Ravens (+110) at Cincinnati Bengals (-135)

The Ravens are seeing their season crumble, having refused to send two games into overtime in the final seconds because of a lack of faith in their defense. The Bengals will be able to exploit a secondary decimated with injuries, which makes the Over/Under (44.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under) look very possible, especially if Lamar Jackson (ankle) is back and needs big plays to keep pace. Take the Over (-112).

Jacksonville Jaguars (-108) at New York Jets (-112)

Of the two teams I refuse to bet on, two of them are in this game. I’m left with only one viable option – the anticipation that both offenses with stink out the joint. The Over/Under is the second-lowest of this week’s slate of games (41.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). Given the non-endorsement of either team, I’m left with no alternative. Take the Under (-112).

Detroit Lions (+200) at Atlanta Falcons (-250)

As much as I hate to say it, if the Lions had Jared Goff, I would take them to win. That said, the Over/Under is low (42.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under), but with both offenses extremely limited on the talent side of things, I’m not confident either offense is capable of hitting 24 points. Take the Under (-108).

New York Giants (+360) at Philadelphia Eagles (-500)

Remember back when the Eagles refused to run the ball? A lot has changed. Philly has rushed for 175 or more yards in seven straight games. The last team to do that was the 1985 Bears and things worked out pretty well for them. The Eagles are solid favorites (9.5 points at -108 Giants, -112 Eagles), and they’re that big a favorite for a reason. Take the Eagles and lay the 9.5 points (-112).

Los Angeles Rams (-165) at Minnesota Vikings (+133)

The Vikings have been one of the most difficult teams to project this season, because they can look dominant at times and awful at others. The Rams are team nobody wants to face in the playoffs because of their talent. Both teams are capable of getting in shootouts, which is why they have the highest Over/Under of the week (49.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). This one has the smell of Minnesota opening a big lead only to have the Rams storm back. Take the Over (-105).

Chicago Bears (+230) at Seattle Seahawks (-300)

A pair of playoff teams from last year that have been huge disappointments this time around. Neither offense has found a rhythm this season, which is why there is a modest Over/Under (43.5 points at -103 Over, -117 Under). This one should come down to the fourth quarter with a field goal for one team to win 20-17. Take the Under (-117).

Denver Broncos (-110) at Las Vegas Raiders (-110)

Being at home hasn’t been great for the Raiders, who have lost four of their last five in front of Raider Nation. The Raiders are the smallest of favorites (0.5 points at -110 for both teams). It’s hard to bet on either of these teams, because they’re so erratic, but I like Denver’s defense better and taking the Broncos with the half-point means you still win in the event of a tie. Take the Broncos and the 0.5 points (-110).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+300) at Kansas City Chiefs (-400)

The Steelers keep getting the Last Rites only to win a game to save their season. They’re still in control of their own destiny, but the Chiefs are at home and a big favorite (7.5 points at -108 Steelers, -112 Chiefs). I firmly believe the Chiefs are the best team in the AFC and the Steelers are doing it with smoke and mirrors – a nice betting combination. Take the Chiefs and lay the 7.5 points (-112).

Washington Football Team (+440) at Dallas Cowboys (-650)

The hype surrounding the Cowboys is always too excessive, because Dallas bettors are always willing to give away too many points. This game is no exception as Dallas is a huge favorite (10.5 points at -108 WFT, -112 Cowboys). The teams play two weeks ago, and Dallas dominated until a couple of critical mistakes let Washington back in the game. I don’t see that happening this time as Dallas continues its quest for a high playoff seeding. Take the Cowboys and lay the 10.5 points (-112).

Miami Dolphins (+135) at New Orleans Saints (-170)

I really hate this game because a case can be made against both teams. The Saints have been far from dominant at home, but their defense is playing well. Miami is on a six-game winning streak, but five of those games were at home. The Saints are a solid favorite (3.5 points at -130 Dolphins, +165 Saints), but I think either team can win. In that case, I tend to lean toward getting some insurance. Take the Dolphins plus the 3.5 points (-130).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 15

Your thorough Week 15 betting guide for NFL action.

It’s getting more difficult to make midweek projections on games when you hear things like a starting quarterback and head coach have both tested positive for COVID and a handful of starters may or may not play this weekend.

It’s hard enough when you have injury questions (see Lamar Jackson), but when it comes to potentially a dozen players on a given roster, it makes the decision-making process more difficult. I would strongly suggest waiting until the morning of games and the inactives lists being announced to place bets, but for now, here’s what we’ve got.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 15, at 7:45 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs (-165) at Los Angeles Chargers (+133)

The Chiefs have been on a roll, and one of their losses was at home to the Chargers earlier this season. The Chiefs are a solid road favorite (3.5 points at +102 Chiefs, -135 Chargers). While I believe L.A. has the team to beat the Chiefs, Kansas City hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in its last five games. If the defense can play anywhere close to the level, I’m comfortable giving away some points. Take the Chiefs and lay the 3.5 points (+102).

Las Vegas Raiders (-117) at Cleveland Browns (-103)

The impact of COVID is on full display here as the Raiders have moved into being a road favorite by 1.5 points. To be honest, I think the Browns offense can be just as explosive with backup Case Keenum at quarterback as Baker Mayfield. While the Browns are being given little respect that they can win with some of their top dogs down, I don’t believe enough in the Raiders, losers of five of their last six games, will come into the Dawg Pound and make noise. Take the Browns on the Moneyline (-103).

New England Patriots (+120) at Indianapolis Colts (-145)

Two of the hottest teams in the league battle as the Patriots are the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and the Colts are winners of six of the last eight. Indy is a modest favorite (2.5 points). One thing Bill Belichick has done consistently is devise a scheme that takes away an opposing offense’s top weapon. In this case, that is clearly running back Jonathan Taylor. I believe if the Pats require Carson Wentz to beat them, he will fold like a card table. Take the Patriots on the Moneyline (+120).

[lawrence-related id=462976]

Dallas Cowboys (-475) at New York Giants (+340)

The Giants have won their last three home games, so I take some pause in seeing how big a favorite the Cowboys are (10.5 points at -103 Cowboys, -117 Giants). A point like that is begging people to bet on Dallas. But, five of New York’s last six losses have come by more points than Dallas is laying and one of those losses was 24-point blowout to the Cowboys earlier this season. The Giants have proven me wrong before, but I still aren’t buying what they’re selling. Take the Cowboys and lay the 10.5 points (-103)

Tennessee Titans (-130) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+105)

The Steelers playoff hopes are flicking candle, which is why the Titans are a road favorite. It’s clear Ben Roethlisberger is at the end of the line, but the comeback engineered against the Minnesota Vikings still resonates with me. With a long week of prep time and the Titans being without Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown, I’m not as bullish on the Titans as others. In our Office Pool Pick ‘Em, if I don’t win it will likely be because of my misguided faith in Pittsburgh getting the job done. Take the Steelers on the Moneyline (+105).

Washington Football Team (+225) at Philadelphia Eagles (-290)

I have no faith in either team because they tend to win ugly or as the result of tipped pass-turned-Pick 6. In this case, I’m focusing on the Over/Under (43.5 points at -103 Over, -117 Under). I do see either team marching up and down the field on the other given their familiarity. While it’s possible that they can surpass this numbers, this has the smell of a 20-23 or 20-17 type of game. Take the Under (-117).

Arizona Cardinals (-800) at Detroit Lions (+520)

The Cards are coming off a short week after a loss and are going on the road, which limits meaningful practice time. That said, they’re still a heavy favorite (12.5 points at -110 for both teams). I don’t like giving away almost two touchdowns, but I can envision the Cardinals winning by 24 points, not 14. Take the Cardinals and lay the 12.5 points (-110).

Carolina Panthers (+440) at Buffalo Bills (-650)

The Panthers are on their third quarterback and don’t have Christian McCaffrey. It will be tough for anyone to project them to win games down the stretch. The Bills are the most erratic, underperforming team in the league, but continue to get a ton of respect as a home favorite (10.5 points at -115 Panthers, -105 Bills). Buffalo is fighting for its playoff life after seemingly in cruise control for back-to-back division titles. They play a complete game, and I might even boost the points higher. Take the Bills and lay the 10.5 points (-105).

Houston Texans (+155) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-190)

I want nothing to do with either of these teams, but AVOID is not an option. I see more turnovers than anything, which can result in short fields for one of these awful teams. The Over/Under is shockingly low for a reason (39.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). In Week 1, the teams combined to score 58 points because they were playing each other. I don’t think we’ll see that high a number, but 40 is well within reach. Take the Over (-108).

New York Jets (+400) at Miami Dolphins (-550)

I can’t stand the Jets but was a little surprised the Dolphins were that big a favorite (9.5 points at +100 Jets, -120 Dolphins). But, Miami has won five straight and is coming off its bye week, while five of the Jets last six losses have been by double digits. That combination works for me more times than not. Take the Dolphins and lay the 9.5 points (-120).

Cincinnati Bengals (+120) at Denver Broncos (-145)

Once again, I am confronted with a team that I’ve been on the bandwagon of that doesn’t play with consistency. Denver is a modest home favorite (2.5 points), but, much like the Steelers, I’m more likely to show the Bengals more respect and love than they have deserved. I’m stubborn that way. Take the Bengals on the Moneyline (+120).

Atlanta Falcons (+290) at San Francisco 49ers (-380)

The Falcons offense is a shell of itself and despite a 6-7 record, their wins are against the Giants, Jets, Dolphins, Saints, Jaguars and Panthers. The 49ers play in the toughest division in the NFC, and while healthy favorites to earn a W (9.5 points at -110 for both teams), they have the ability on both sides of the ball to win all key matchups to cover. Take the 49ers and lay the 9.5 points (-110).

Seattle Seahawks (+175) at Los Angeles Rams (-220)

Seattle is on a modest two-game winning streak, but the Legion of Boom isn’t going to show up. The Rams are coming of defining road win in Arizona and don’t want to lose that momentum here. Both teams are going to take a lot of deep shots through the air and enough of them should come through that the Over/Under (45.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under) should be well within reach. Take the Over (-108).

Green Bay Packers (-250) at Baltimore Ravens (+200)

I’m predicating this bet on my lack of belief that Lamar Jackson will play and, if he does, will be playing with a bad wheel that the Packers will target when he takes off running. Green Bay is an impressive road favorite (5.5 points at -110 for both). All the injuries the Ravens have on both sides of the ball makes this a tough game in which to support them. Take the Packers and lay the 5.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (+440) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-650)

The last thing you ever need to do is give Tom Brady motivation in prime time. He is 0-3 against the Saints in the regular season as a member of the Bucs, and it’s obvious Brady is a man who holds a grudge. While the Bucs are huge favorites (10.5 points at -110 for both teams) Brady is going to look to get one of his few career blemishes on his career slate and put the boots to a depleted Saints offense that won’t have an answer. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 10.5 points (-110).

Minnesota Vikings (-200) at Chicago Bears (+160)

We all know the struggles Kirk Cousins has at Chicago, in prime time, and in division games. Yet, Minnesota is favored by 3.5 points (-112 Vikings, -108 Bears). While I believe Minnesota is likely going to win this game, I’m not forcing them to win by four or more points. Take the Bears and lay the points (-108).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 14

Your comprehensive betting guide for NFL Week 14 action.

As we get closer the end of the bye weeks, we have 14 games to choose from as most leagues begin their fantasy playoffs. Only three road teams are favorites this week, but don’t be shocked to more road teams than that come away with wins.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 8, at 7:45 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers (+135) at Minnesota Vikings (-170)

All of Minnesota’s losses (and four of Minny’s five wins) have come by one score or less. The Vikings always play close games and, too often, find ways to lose when the game is on the line. As former Vikings coach Dennis Green famously said, “They are who we thought they were,” and that’s what the Vikings are. Take the Steelers on the Moneyline (+135).

Baltimore Ravens (+110) at Cleveland Browns (-135)

The Ravens are still stinging from taking a chance on a two-point conversion that failed in a 20-19 loss to Pittsburgh last week and are looking for some revenge. Cleveland has once again not lived up to their preseason hype, and Baker Mayfield will be under pressure all game, which typically leads to game-changing turnovers. Take the Ravens on the Moneyline (+110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+340) at Tennessee Titans (-475)

The Titans are reeling on offense, having lost workhorse Derrick Henry and Pro Bowl receiver A.J. Brown. Yet, they’re still heavy favorites (8.5 points at -108 Jaguars, -112 Titans). That is more a testament to the sorry state of the Jaguars defense than anything else. While this is far from a slam dunk, take the Titans and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

Atlanta Falcons (+115) at Carolina Panthers (-140)

Divisional games are typically played closer to the vest than others because of their familiarity with one another. The Falcons offense has sputtered badly in most of their games since Calvin Ridley left the team, and they simply don’t have an offensive spark. The games for Cam Newton, who is a better runner than passer these days. This game is tied for the lowest Over/Under on the board in Week 14 (41.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). While Over/Under numbers this low are awfully tempting, I think it’s there for a good reason. Take the Under (-105).

Las Vegas Raiders (+320) at Kansas City Chiefs (-420)

Early in the season, the Chiefs were one of the most disappointing teams to bet on, because they weren’t putting up points as would be expected. However, they have hit another gear, and Andy Reid-coached teams tend to bring their best in December in preparation for the playoffs, which may explain why Kansas City is such a big favorite (8.5 points at -108 Raiders, -112 Chiefs). The Raiders have given them problems over the last few seasons, but this has the looks of a typical December game at Arrowhead. Take the Chiefs and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

New Orleans Saints (-250) at New York Jets (+200)

Taysom Hill infused some life in the lackluster Saints offense, but he still has nothing but No. 3 receivers to throw to and a run game that has been hobbled and cobbled. The Over/Under (42.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under) reflects that concern. Once again, it’s a low number that doesn’t take a shootout to surpass, but a southern dome team heading north doesn’t typically end well. Even though the Saints are solid favorites, I won’t be on the Jets, so I have to settle for something I feel more comfortable with. Take the Under (-105).

[lawrence-related id=462780]

Seattle Seahawks (-370) at Houston Texans (+280)

Seattle kept its slim playoff hopes alive with an upset home win over San Francisco last week and now head in to play the team I believe to be the worst in the NFL. The Seahawks are as big a favorite as they’ve been in months (7.5 points at -103 Seahawks, -117 Texans). By the disparity in those numbers, the clear indication is that 7.5 points are too many to give away. I disagree. Take the Seahawks and lay the 7.5 points (-103).

Dallas Cowboys (-210) at Washington Football Team (+170)

Numbers on the Cowboys are consistently inflated because so many people are willing to bet on them. Washington is one of the hottest teams in the league having won four straight games and put themselves in playoff position. The Cowboys remain a solid road favorite (4.5 points at -105 Cowboys, -115 WFT). I’ll be the first to admit, I haven’t climbed on the Washington bandwagon over the last month of games and, while they’ve earned my respect, they haven’t earned my faith in putting money on them. Take the Cowboys and lay the 4.5 points.

Detroit Lions (+300) at Denver Broncos (-400)

The Broncos have been a difficult team to figure out, because they tend to either win big or lose big, especially when they win. All six of their wins have come by seven or more points and five of them have been by double digits. When I saw how big a favorite they were (8.5 points at -108 Lions, -112 Broncos), I thought it a little steep until I took a deeper dive into Denver’s ups and downs this season. I believe they will win at home, so I guess I have to buy into the “good Broncos” hype. Take the Broncos and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

New York Giants (+370) at Los Angeles Chargers (-520)

If this was later in the week and we knew more about the potential COVID fallout from an outbreak around the Chargers, I may feel differently, but they remain a heavy favorite (9.5 points at -103 Giants, -117 Chargers). The Chargers have a much better roster of players and need to protect their spot in the playoffs as they try to chase down Kansas City while holding off those chasing them. I have no faith in the Giants putting up enough points to keep up. Take the Chargers and lay the 9.5 points (-112).

San Francisco 49ers (-125) at Cincinnati Bengals (+102)

I will be the first to admit that I have more faith in the Bengals than just about anybody, despite their ability to get the boots put to them when they lose. They’re capable of winning by 20 or losing by 20 depending on the week. I’m still not jumping off the bandwagon. Take the Bengals on the Moneyline (+102).

Buffalo Bills (+145) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-180)

A month ago, this looked like a potential Super Bowl matchup. Now the Bills are fighting to stay in the playoffs, much less lock down a high seed. I like the potential of Tom Brady and Josh Allen playing “anything you can do I can do better.” The Over/Under is the highest for any game in Week 14 (53.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). Maybe it’s wishful thinking, because both defenses are good, but I like this one being an instant classic. Take the Over (-115).

Chicago Bears (+500) at Green Bay Packers (-700)

It’s hard to believe the NFL could have have flexed Bills-Bucs into this spot and instead give us this stinker. The Packers are the most prohibitive favorite of the week (11.5 points at -110 for both teams), and I don’t think that’s enough. I’m not confident Chicago will score more than 13 points, which makes this spread much more manageable. Take the Packers and lay the 11.5 points (-110)

Los Angeles Rams (+110) at Arizona Cardinals (-135)

I’m never afraid to take an underdog, but this is going to be the fourth Moneyline bet I’m going to take – impressive this late into the season. The Rams had a rough stretch of three losses, but I believe they have the most talent on both sides of the ball as any team in the league. That is reflected in Arizona being favored by less than a field goal at home. Take the Rams on the Moneyline (+110)

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

Betting the NFL Line: Week 13

All of the key bets you need to place in Week 13.

Home-field advantage seems unlucky in Week 13, and eight home teams are underdogs this week out of the 14 games on the schedule. We break down all of them to find which of the available bets will be the best for you to explore to take home a little extra early holiday money.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Wednesday, Dec. 1, at 7:30 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 13

Dallas Cowboys (-220) at New Orleans Saints (+175)

Facing Dallas may not be the best defense for Taysom Hill to get his first start of the season against. The Cowboys are solid favorites (4.5 points at -110 for both the Cowboys and Saints). Things are in free fall in New Orleans, and the Cowboys are looking to stay on pace to compete for as high a seed as possible. Those two directions don’t bode well for the Saints. Take the Cowboys and lay the 4.5 points (-110).

Minnesota Vikings (-320) at Detroit Lions (+290)

The Vikings are a playoff-quality team but find ways to lose close games. That could be why they’re such a prohibitive favorite (6.5 points at -125 Vikings, +102 Lions). Detroit remains winless and Minnesota at looking at their 2021 playoff chances hinging in the next eight days – Sunday at Detroit and Thursday at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Even without Dalvin Cook, the offense has enough weapons to mow through a suspect Lions defense. Take the Vikings and lay the 6.5 points (-125).

Arizona Cardinals (-380) at Chicago Bears (+290)

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week in possession of the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The Bears are wheezing despite a narrow escape win at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. The intriguing number here is the Over/Under (45.5 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). I have little confidence that the Bears offense can put up the 14-17 points required to hit that point and, while taking the Cardinals and laying 7.5 points is tempting, I like the O/U bet more. Take the Under (-108).

Philadelphia Eagles (-300) at New York Jets (+230)

The Eagles have been a quirky team this year that can be dominant against teams ineffective at stopping the run. The Jets fit in that category. While I’ll never bet on the Jets to win me money, I love the Over/Under number (45.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). The Eagles are capable of putting big points, but when you suddenly want to run 35-40 times, that eats a lot of clock. It make take at least one special teams or defensive touchdown to hit this point. Take the Under (-112).

Indianapolis Colts (-450) at Houston Texans (+330)

I have no respect for how the Texans front office has gutted the organization, and the Colts have been one of the easiest teams in the league to predict – they lose to elite teams and beat up on the jabroni teams. Houston is an ultimate jabroni. The Colts are heavy favorites (8.5 points at -112 Colts, -108 Jets). It would consider boosting this to 10 points or even a tick higher, because this one could get ugly is Jonathan Taylor runs wild again. Take the Colts and lay the 8.5 points (-112).

[lawrence-related id=462597]

New York Giants (+170) at Miami Dolphins (-210)

I knew the Over/Under was going to be low, but I didn’t think it would be this low (40.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). Miami has quietly been on a roll, and the Giants have enough playmakers on offense to put up points. It may require a late score at garbage time to get it done, but take the Over (-108).

Los Angeles Chargers (+135) at Cincinnati Bengals (-170)

I’ve been bullish on the Bengals all season, and the Chargers do a lot of things I like on both sides of the ball as well. The Over/Under is the highest number of the week (50.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under), and I still think it’s too low. Of all the games on the Week 13 schedule, I think this one has the highest likelihood of being the 34-31 shootout we seem to see at least a couple of times a week. Take the Over (-108).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-650) at Atlanta Falcons (+440)

The Bucs are huge favorites (10.5 points at -115 Bucs, -105 Falcons). It’s as if the line is daring bettors to take the Buccaneers. Given how much is still up in the air in the NFC standings, the Bucs need to slap around every creampuff remaining on the schedule and the offensively challenged Falcons resemble that remark. Take the Buccaneers and lay the 10.5 points (-115).

Washington Football Team (+115) at Las Vegas Raiders (-140)

Washington has been my kryptonite all season, because I believed in their defense early coming off of last year and then didn’t give them enough credit. As such, I want nothing to do with the point spread. For two teams that are at their best when they run 30 times, I was a little surprised to see an Over/Under as high as this (49.5 points at -110 for both). I could see a 23-20 type of game, which leaves a lot of wiggle room. Take the Under (-110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+550) at Los Angeles Rams (-850)

The Rams are the largest point-spread favorite of the week (12.5 points at -105 Jaguars, -115 Rams). They deserve to be in this position, and the Jaguars have fared a lot better when given points than actual final scores. However, I’m not buying into Duval County under any circumstances, even though it means leaving a lot of points on the table. Take the Rams and lay the 12.5 points (-115).

Baltimore Ravens (-220) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+175)

It was about at this point last year when the Steelers went from the last unbeaten team in the league to one of the worst teams that made the playoffs. The Ravens are a respectable favorite (4.5 points at -108 Ravens, -112 Steelers). They always say in this rivalry you can throw the records out the window. It’s going to be a bloodbath. While I don’t disagree with that sentiment, I’m keeping the records in mind. Take the Ravens and lay the 4.5 points (-108).

San Francisco 49ers (-175) at Seattle Seahawks (+140)

The 12th Man is getting too accustomed to teams coming into their house and leaving with a win. While this has all the makings of a proverbial “trap game” with the Niners as a road favorite (3.5 points at +100 49ers, -120 Seahawks), the Legion of Boom is dead and what has replaced it is a defense that struggles to stop the run, and few teams run better than the 49ers. Take the 49ers and lay the 3.5 points (+100).

Denver Broncos (+340) at Kansas City Chiefs (-475)

As of Wednesday, it officially became December. That’s when Andy Reid-coached teams start hitting their stride in preparation for the playoffs. The Chiefs offense hasn’t been what has taken them to the last two Super Bowls, but they’re still prohibitive favorites (9.5 points at -108 Chiefs, -112 Broncos). Arrowhead Stadium is miserably loud at a noon game. In prime time? It will be deafening and the Broncos will have a hard time calling audibles to change out of bad plays. They’ve proved me wrong before, but I would lay 13.5 points, which makes 9.5 a lot more manageable. Take the Chiefs and lay the 9.5 points (-108).

New England Patriots (+125) at Buffalo Bills (-155)

Nobody is hotter than the Patriots right now, which explains why the Bills are such slight favorites (2.5 points at +105 Patriots, -130 Bills). This has the makings of a statement game, especially seeing as the teams have their rematch in three weeks in Boston. I’ve learned not to underestimate the Patriots at any time, but getting less than a field goal to give at home for Buffalo in front of the Bills Mafia is tough to pass up. Take the Bills and lay the 2.5 points (-130).

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).