Road teams win three of four games in unprecedented NFL Divisional Round showing

It was a wild week of football, and a good one to be on the road.

The Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs this weekend was decidedly better than Wild Card Weekend and a big reason is because the road teams decided to show up.

After the home teams won five of six games a week ago—with four of those results coming by at least 16 points—road teams took three of four games this week.

A quick browse through the pages of Pro-Football-Reference shows it’s just the third time in the Super Bowl era (since 1966) that three of four road teams won in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, and the first time since 2008. Coinciding with playing on the road this time of year, each of those teams also won as an underdog.

It was nearly a perfect four-for-four for road dogs, as the Buffalo Bills pushed the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink but ultimately lost in overtime.

The road warriors who did get it done didn’t do so without drama, of course. Each game came down to field goals as time expired, and each represented an upset of a team with legitimate claims as title contenders. The Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) knocked off the AFC’s top-seeded Tennessee Titans. The San Francisco 49ers (+5.5) beat the NFC’s top-seeded Green Bay Packers. The Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) beat the reigning Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

Prior to 2008, three road teams hadn’t won in the Divisional Round of playoffs since 1971, before the Wild Card round existed. 

Road teams have fared better in other rounds of the playoffs. Just last season, in the first year of the extended playoff format, four of six road teams won in the Wild Card round. And road teams have swept the conference championships on different occasions, most recently in 2018. 

If not for an immaculate game-tying drive by Kansas City with just 13 seconds in the fourth quarter, there would have been a sweep in the Divisional Round for the first time. Instead, that piece of history will have to wait for another year.

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Prince’s Props: Cam Akers, A.J. Dillon and more NFL Divisional Playoffs player prop bets

Cam Akers is back and still has plenty of burst left after the Achilles injury.

OK, so it’s fair to say things got real last week. Without a full slate of games to choose the best prop bets of the best from, my picks fell flat. The reasons: teams were either too futile to allow my props to thrive (Arizona Cardinals, New England Patriots) or too dominant (Kansas City Chiefs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers).

So it’s back to the drawing board for the divisional round, but there’s reason to be optimistic for this go around. The matchups are more even, which should make for better games and for game scripts to play out closer to projected. Let’s jump into the props.

Wild Card round: 2-4

Regular season: 18-12

All odds are provided by Tipico.

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Derrick Henry makes his return to the Titans. Yes, he’s ready to put the team on his back

The Titans have missed the injured Henry. We deserve a special performance in his return.

Over the last half-decade, we’ve had the pleasure of watching Derrick Henry plow through defenders without mercy and with no regrets. From Alabama to the Titans, the perennial All-Pro runner is a throwback, a genuine pleasure to watch play football for those of us who love hearing that ever-satisfying pop of the pads.

That’s why when the 28-year-old Henry went on injured reserve with a broken foot earlier this season, all you could do was weep at the stiff arms and truck-stick runs we’d miss. It wasn’t quite a tragedy along the lines of “… as if millions of voices suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced,” but the heartbreak was still palpable.

One of the best football players alive was on the shelf for a little while, and, in turn, we were all robbed of seeing his brilliance. How could you not be romantic about football?

The good news is that the Titans, the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs, have cleared their bell-cow/talisman for full contact. The news comes just about a day ahead of Tennessee’s AFC Divisional battle with the Bengals. It’s a welcome development for not only the Titans, who aren’t the same without their best player but Henry himself.

Those moves aren’t awful for a 240-pound hulk of a man who broke his foot only two months ago. Go, Derrick; Go, Derrick; Go, Derrick.

To intentionally belabor the point: Henry’s return means everything to his team. Bettors with Tipico currently have Tennessee as only a -3.5 favorite over Cincinnati. The Titans also only have the third-best odds (+300) to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl (behind the Bills at +230 and Chiefs at +185). For a No. 1 seed with the only playoff bye week in the conference, you’d hope for better odds and more confidence.

But if the Titans can get even a fraction of Henry’s usual dominant self in his first game back (please note the apparent limp in the above video), then all bets are actually on. That seems also to be bettors’ expectations. Henry has an an Over/Under of 22.5 for carries and an Over/Under of 80.5 rushing yards. Talk about a hefty workload for someone whose foot is still definitely healing.

If we do indeed see “King” Henry, with a limp and in a playoff game, still bowling over professional defenders, then let’s make it clear (NSFW: language) he put the team on his back … though.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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The most important, non-quarterback, player on each Divisional Round team

Between guys like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Aaron Rodgers, there’s a glut of star quarterbacks playing this weekend. But they need some help and it’s not all about them.

After a whirlwind (being extremely generous) Wild Card weekend, the NFL Divisional Round will grace us with its presence. And for a final eight, it feels a lot more interesting, certainly on paper. Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Brady, Rodgers, Stafford, and yes, even Tannehill and Garoppolo. In terms of quarterback play, it doesn’t get much better than that.

But for as much influence as they have, not every part of every game will be decided by the offensive signal-callers. If that were the case, QB Winz would be a factual phenomenon, as opposed to easy means of trolling a rival fanbase. There are other talented, game-breakers on each quarterfinalist’s roster who don’t play quarterback to discuss.

Without further adieu, let’s jump in and break down which specific non-quarterbacks will have the most influence on whether their team can qualify for a Conference Championship Game.

All odds via Tipico.

The Chiefs clocked the Steelers, the spread, and set up a heavyweight fight with the Bills

The Chiefs destroyed the Steelers and set up a playoff doozy with the Bills.
Get your popcorn ready.

There’s no need to beat around the bush. No one expected the Steelers to upset the Chiefs (-12.5).

Ben Roethlisberger, on his last legs, in his final career game, against a legit Super Bowl contender, doesn’t look great on paper or when you watch live. Pittsburgh was the definition of an underdog, played like it, and the Chiefs are moving onto the Divisional Round against the Bills.

The world keeps spinning, and everyone is having a grand old time.

No, this one was more about how and why the Chiefs destroyed the Steelers in a complete 42-21 emasculation, and what it means for potentially one of the more anticipated NFL games in recent memory. All odds and ends via Tipico.

To be fair, Kansas City did start slow, as if they were overlooking a massive underdog. A pregame -12.5 spread probably reflected how both bettors and the Chiefs felt. A couple of turnovers—including a fumble right into the hands of T.J. Watt, who scored his first career touchdown en route to a mid-second quarter 7-0 lead—made it look like the mighty Chiefs were ripe to be taken down.

Oh, to be young and naive.

After Watt’s touchdown, Kansas City and the all-worldly Pat Mahomes opened up the floodgates. That might be an understatement because not even Sideshow Bob could stop this dam from exploding altogether. Cecil Terwilliger, eat your heart out.

From 10:35 of the second quarter to 9:19 of the third quarter, Mahomes threw five touchdowns. For those of us you less proficient with numbers and math and such, that’s five touchdown passes in 11 minutes.

The Chiefs looked unstoppable and locked in, and in quite a familiar manner since the Mahomes’ era started in earnest in 2018. This is who the Chiefs are. They score in bunches, and you can only pray they make a mistake. Those prayers, most often, are never answered.

Kansas City was feeling it so much, they even decided to sprinkle in a little razzle-dazzle. Er, a Fat Guy Touchdown, that is.

Here’s where it gets fascinating. The Chiefs and Steelers are by no means on friendly terms. But this isn’t a heated rivalry with animosity baked-in. These two teams don’t play twice a year because they’re in the same division. And it’s not like the Steelers are competent enough to challenge the reigning AFC Champions and their crown. Kansas City doesn’t have a real reason to hate the Steelers.

No, see, that touchdown by backup left guard Nick Allegretti (and the blowout on the whole) is almost certainly more about who the Chiefs knew were watching.

Those pesky Buffalo Bills.

While we can’t say we know exactly what the Chiefs were doing with their respective Saturday nights, there’s no reality where they didn’t watch how the Bills obliterated the Patriots in their Wild Card Game. If they tried to lie, it wouldn’t be believable.

In a sense, pounding the Steelers into the Arrowhead Stadium turf became more about sending a message to their next opponent. Oh, Buffalo, you and Josh Allen humiliated the NFL’s No. 4 defense? In the melodic words of Annie Oakley and Frank Butler: Anything you can do, I can do better. Contrary to popular belief, the NFL can sometimes be petty and silly and wonderful at once.

The Chiefs’ relaxed victory sets up a monumental Round 2 playoff tilt with the Bills next Sunday night on CBS. Call it a hunch, but no one’s waiting up for “60 Minutes” afterward if this one goes as expected.

The Chiefs took last year’s AFC Championship Game. You’d be foolish to assume the Bills don’t want to avenge that defeat desperately. And you’d be even more ridiculous to think the Chiefs don’t want to humble a team that they, deep down, consider a little brother.

These two teams flat-out do not like each other, are near the peaks of their powers, and will become the epicenter of the football universe together next weekend. The suspense in the air is capable of murder. Here’s to hoping it lasts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).