Tag: Newcastle United betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Newcastle United vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Newcastle United vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Newcastle United (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) welcomes Manchester City (4-1-0) to St. James’ Park Saturday for a high-profile EPL clash. Kickoff is set for 7:30 a.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Newcastle United vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Newcastle is unbeaten at home this season, posting a perfect 2-0-0 record. In those wins, United beat Southampton 1-0 and Tottenham Hotspur 2-1. It is coming off a disappointing 3-1 road loss to Fulham last Saturday, having ended with 0.7 fewer expected goals. United is led by F Harvey Barnes, who has netted a team-high 3 goals in just 2 starts (5 total appearances).

Manchester City has a perfect road record this season as well, having gone 2-0-0. City is coming off a 2-2 draw with Arsenal in which it was soundly outplayed, but the Gunners had a 1st-half red card and City needed a 98th-minute goal to draw even. So far this season on the road, City has a 3-1 win over West Ham and a 2-0 win over Chelsea. It is led by F Erling Haaland, who has tallied 10 goals on the season.

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Newcastle United vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Friday at 4:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Manchester City -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Draw +333
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

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Newcastle United vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 3, Newcastle United 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET MANCHESTER CITY (-165).

The odds aren’t great here, but they are certainly playable. City has looked unstoppable, and the results it is getting suggest it should be able to come out on top. In its last 3 league games, it has ended with 1.4, 1.1 and 2.3 more expected goals than its opponent.

More of the reason to play City stands on United’s struggles. United has won 2 of its last 3 games, but it is coming off a 3-1 loss to Fulham in which it ended with 0.7 fewer expected goals. Couple that with a net expected goals of 2.1 versus 3.0 for its opponents in home games, and it isn’t quite at the City level yet.

With all that in mind, play MANCHESTER CITY (-165).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 3.5 (+115).

Newcastle United has a competent offense and a lacking defense, which should make the perfect combo for goals. United went Over this total in its last game as well. It has had at least 1.5 expected goals in 4 straight games and has allowed at least 1.2 in every game this season. The opportunities have been there for both its offense and its opponent.

City has the players to take advantage of that weakness. It has gone Over in 3 of its last 5 games and has had at least 2.1 expected goals in 4 straight. City has just 1 clean sheet on the season, so expect United to get on the board Saturday.

TAKE OVER 3.5 (+115).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

Newcastle United (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes Borussia Dortmund (0-1-1) to St James’ Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Newcastle sits 6th in the Premier League, the top league in England. United has averaged 2.67 goals per game in league play while allowing 1.00. They are coming off a 4-0 win over Crystal Palace Saturday. Their top scorer is F Alexander Isak, who has 6 goals in 8 matches. Throughout the 1st 2 match days, Newcastle has beaten PSG 4-1 and drawn Milan 0-0.

Dortmund sits 4th in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany. They average 2.13 goals per game while allowing 1.00. They have a 2-1-0 road record and have won 5 straight league matches. Dortmund drew Milan 0-0 at home and lost to PSG 2-0 on the road to open their group stage. Three players have tallied 3 league goals each for Dortmund, but M Marco Reus, who is 34, is the engine for this midfield and into the attack.

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Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +120)

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Newcastle United vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+310).

Newcastle throttled PSG at home, but United had the exact same amount of expected goals.

Against Milan, they were on the road and had 1.6 fewer expected goals despite earning a draw. While Newcastle has been good in EPL action at home, it did lose to Liverpool, the best opponent it has welcomed to St. James’ Park so far this season.

Similarly, Dortmund drew Milan, and they have yet to lose on the road in league play. They have a talented roster and should be ample to play a close game with Newcastle.

Back DRAW (+310).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).

Dortmund has gone Under this total in both Champions League matches while Newcastle is 1-1 O/U. Dortmund has scored 2 or more goals in 5 matches throughout 11 competitions this season.

Newcastle has scored 2 or more in 6 of 12. Both teams have strong defense as well. United has had a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 games. Given the strong defenses and the inconsistent offenses, take UNDER 2.5 (+120).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Newcastle United vs. PSG odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

Newcastle United (0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes PSG (1-0-0) to St. James’ Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

In the group of death, Newcastle drew AC Milan 0-0 in the 1st matchday while PSG beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0.

Newcastle sits 8th in the EPL, the top English league, and is 3-0-1 at home this season. It is averaging 2.57 goals per game while allowing 1.00 per game. Newcastle is led offensively by F Alexander Isak and F Callum Wilson, both of whom have 4 league goals. Newcastle ended its match against Milan with 1.6 fewer expected goals.

PSG sits 5th in Ligue 1, the top French league. It is 1-2-0 on the road this season. PSG’s strength is in its defense, allowing just 6 goals through 7 matches. Offensively, it is averaging 2 goals per game and is spearheaded by superstar F Kylian Mbappe, who has 7 goals in 6 matches. PSG had 1.7 more expected goals in its 1st Champions League match against Dortmund.

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Newcastle United vs. PSG odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | PSG +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)

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Newcastle United vs. PSG picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, PSG 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).

Newcastle has lost 3 matches in EPL play this season. Two of them were on the road to Man City and Brighton and the other was at home 2-1 to Liverpool in which Newcastle had 1.1 more expected goals. It has had 0.9 or more expected goals than its opponent in all 4 home league matches. It has the talent to hang with PSG.

PSG beat Borussia 2-0 which is impressive, but it hasn’t been overly stunning otherwise. PSG is 1-2-0 on the road this season. It has the high-end talent in D Achraf Hakimi, F Ousmane Dembele and Mbappe, but the consistency hasn’t been there. Expect them to let Newcastle hang around in this match.

Back DRAW (+260) given each team’s trends in this situation.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).

Both teams have dynamic offenses yet somehow managed to go Under this in their 1st match. Newcastle’s match didn’t have a single goal, and PSG won 2-0, not allowing many opportunities.

Both teams do not allow more than a goal per game in league play, and the unfamiliar competition mixed with the quality defenses should make this a more slow-paced, methodical game. Take UNDER 2.5 (+115).

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Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

AC Milan welcomes Newcastle United to San Siro Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st Group F match is set for 12:45 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Group F is the most-stacked group of the UEFA Champions Leagues draws, features Borussia Dortmund, PSG, Milan and Newcastle. AC Milan sits 3rd in Serie A, the top Italian league, at 3-0-1 with 9 goals for and 7 against. It is coming off a 5-1 loss to Inter Milan Saturday. F Oliver Giroud is the team’s top goal scorer so far with 4 goals in 4 matches. Milan also made a high-profile addition of F Christian Pulisic this offseason.

Newcastle has a much-improved roster yet sits 11th in the English Premier League. United is led in scoring by F Callum Wilson, who has 3 goals in 5 matches. United has 2 wins and 3 losses, 1 to Man City on the road, 1 to Liverpool at home and 1 to Brighton on the road, so it has been a tough  stretch. Newcastle started off the season with a 5-1 win over Aston Villa, so the competitiveness and quality is there.

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AC Milan vs. Newcastle United odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: AC Milan +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Newcastle United +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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AC Milan vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions

Prediction

AC Milan 1, Newcastle United 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+230).

Both these teams came into the season with ultra-high expectations, and while Milan was making good on those, it was destroyed against Inter last weekend. To turn around after a 5-1 loss and play in a difficult Champions League match won’t be easy, but Milan should get some boost from being at home.

Newcastle has lost both road matches, but it has performed well against Man City, having 0.7 fewer expected goals and Brighton, having 0.1 fewer expected goals. Both of those were road losses, but United hung close. These teams are unfamiliar, and I would expect pace in this 1st game to be slower as well.

Take DRAW (+230) given the style of play and pace this game should be at.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-108).

Newcastle has scored more than 1 goal in just 1 of 5 EPL matches, and it has allowed more than 1 goal in just 2 of 5 EPL matches. AC Milan’s Italian competition may be skewed as it scored 8 goals in its 1st 3 games and then 1 against its toughest opponent.

Milan went Under in 8 of 12 Champions League matches last season. Coupling how they played in UEFA competition last season and Newcastle’s recent style, back UNDER 2.5 (-108).

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Newcastle United (1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Liverpool (1-1-0) to St. James’ Park Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Newcastle went to Etihad Stadium to take on Manchester City last weekend and left with a 1-0 loss. It did end with 7 shots. Newcastle won its season-opening match at home 5-1 over Aston Villa. 23-year-old F Alexander Isak is the team’s key attacker, having scored 2 goals throughout the 2 matches. Newcastle ended last season with an 11-6-2 home record, winning 5 of its last 7 home matches.

Liverpool, a team with aspirations to win the league this season, drew Chelsea 1-1 on the road in its opener. It ended with 13 shots yet just 35% possession. It then beat Bournemouth 3-1 at home last weekend despite a 58th-minute red card. F Luis Diaz leads the team with 2 goals through the 2 matches, scoring the team’s only shot on frame in its opener. Liverpool was 6-5-8 on the road last season.

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Liverpool +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, Liverpool 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).

Newcastle lost to both Liverpool and Arsenal at home last season and then drew Man City 3-3 at home. This is a better Newcastle team, but those same struggles against top-tier sides at home could remain. It had 7 fewer shots and just 41% possession against Man City last weekend, so it might not quite be as good as expected.

Liverpool wasn’t too competent last season on the road, drawing or losing 13 of 19. It drew 5 last season. Liverpool drew Chelsea on the road to open the season and should find a similar result here.

For a small unit, sprinkle DRAW (+290).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER ALTERNATE 2.5 (+150).

Liverpool was tied for the fewest goals allowed in the 2021-22 season and had a strong defense again last year. D Virgil van Djik still leads the backline, and it has given up just 1 goal per game this season, allowing up 4 shots goal against Chelsea. Liverpool scored in its lone shot on frame against Chelsea, so that wasn’t an overly convincing showing for its attack.

Newcastle had just 1 shot on frame against City, which countered the 5 goals it put on Aston Villa in its opener. Newcastle has allowed 1 goal per game and scored 2.5, but again, this will be a highly competitive match with likely fewer opportunities.

Take UNDER 2.5 (+150).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

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Manchester City (1 win, 0 losses, 0 draws) welcomes Newcastle United (1-0-0) to Etihad Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Man City kicked off its English Premier League season with a 3-0 win over Burnley Aug. 11. It lost to Arsenal in the FA Community Shield Final 1-1 (4-1 penalties) Aug. 6 but won 1-1 (5-4 penalties) while playing its top team vs. Sevilla in the UEFA Super Cup Aug. 16.

City is led by F Erling Haaland, who scored twice against Burnley and led the league in goals last season. The home side will be without star M Kevin de Bruyne as he will be out for several months with a hamstring injury.

Newcastle United could be a contender for the title this season as it has all the right pieces to compete at the highest level. It thrashed Aston Villa 5-1 Saturday as 23-year-old Swedish star F Alexander Isak—who could rival Haaland for the Golden Boot—scored twice. Newcastle ended with 17 shots, 13 of which were on target. That has been its lone non-friendly match to commence the 2023-24 season.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Newcastle United +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +110)

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, Manchester City 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).

Newcastle has some strong, up-and-coming talent like M Bruno Guimaraes, who is a 24-year-old Brazilian center-mid, but it also has veteran leadership on its backline in 32-year-old English D Kieran Trippier.

United is a well-rounded club, and its fresh legs should give City—who will be down de Bruyne—some issues. City beat but didn’t destroy Burnley, ending with just 8 shots on frame. It drew 1 of 2 matches last season.

This should be a close, hard-fought battle, and for a small unit, I’d play a DRAW (+290).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+110).

The high-level EPL matches are where these top-tier teams are tried the most. City has a strong backline with D Kyle Walker and D Nathan Ake. Without de Bruyne to bring the pace into the attack, City’s opportunities could be limited.

With their top players on the pitch, they scored just 1 on Sevilla and ended with 7 shots on frame. Newcastle has some new faces, and while it pummeled Aston Villa, it will get a far greater challenge against arguably the best backline in the league.

One of 2 matches went Under last season—the one played at Etihad Stadium. Expect the strong defenses to limit opportunities, unlike both teams’ openers. Back UNDER 2.5 (+110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Newcastle United vs. Arsenal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Newcastle United vs. Arsenal odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

Newcastle United (18 wins, 4 losses, 11 draws) welcomes Arsenal (24-4-6) to St. James’ Park Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Arsenal odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Arsenal had been atop the Premier League for most of the season, but the Reds are just 1-1-3 over their last 5 games, allowing surging Manchester City to take over 1st place.

Arsenal did win its last outing, a 3-1 home victory over Chelsea Tuesday. Currently in 2nd place, Arsenal is led offensively by F Martinelli, who has a team-best 15 goals. MF Martin Odegaard (14 goals), F Bukayo Saka (13) and F Gabriel Jesus (10) are the other Arsenal players with double-digit goals.

Newcastle United’s strength has been its defense as the Magpies have allowed the fewest goals in the league (27). Offensively, they’ve scored 61 goals and have the 3rd-best goal differential (+34). Newcastle United is 3rd on the table, behind Man City (79 points) and Arsenal (78). Newcastle is 10-1-5 at home this season and has won 8 of its last 9. The Magpies have won 4 straight home matches, including a 6-1 win over 7th-place Tottenham Hotspur April 23.

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Newcastle United vs. Arsenal odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Arsenal +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +120)

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Newcastle United vs. Arsenal picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 3, Arsenal 2

Moneyline (ML)

BET NEWCASTLE UNITED (+150).

Newcastle has been absolutely shredding teams lately, and the games really haven’t been close. It had double its opponents’ expected goals in 3 straight games, tripling its opponent in 2 of the 3.

Newcastle beat Tottenham 6-1, Everton 4-1 and Southampton 3-1 in the past few weeks. It also defeated Man U 2-0 and Wolverhampton 2-1 along with Tottenham and Southampton in its last 4 home games.

Newcastle is just playing much better right now than Arsenal. The Reds bounced back against Chelsea, which has struggled all season. Arsenal has lost to both Man City and Man U on the road, its only other games against top-4 EPL sides.

Put it all together and TAKE NEWCASTLE UNITED (+150).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 2.5 (-165).

The logic is to bet Over 2.5, but the value isn’t with the juice being -165.

Newcastle has gone Over in 8 of its last 9 and has allowed at least 1 goal in 12 of its last 13 EPL matches. It will take on an aggressive offense. Newcastle has also averaged over 3 goals per game across its last 6 games.

Arsenal has gone Over this total in 10 straight matches and has scored 2 or more goals in 9 of those contests.

Both teams should be able to score in this battle, and OVER 2.5 (-165) is the only way I would play this but only for a small unit given the value.

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds and lines, with expert EPL picks, predictions and best bets.

Newcastle United (15 wins, 4 losses, 11 draws) welcomes Tottenham Hotspur (16-10-5) to St. James’ Park Sunday. Kickoff is set for 9 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Tottenham lost 3-2 to Bournemouth at home last weekend. It is 0-2-2 in its last 4 league road matches and hasn’t won on the road since Jan. 23. Tottenham is led by star F Harry Kane, who has 23 goals in 31 starts. Key M Rodrigo Bentancur is out for this match.

Newcastle is 8-1-5 at home with that lone home loss being to Liverpool on Feb. 28. It has won 2 straight home matches and has won 5 of its last 6 league matches. United’s offense has been clicking as they have scored multiple goals in 5 of their last 6 games. F Miguel Almiron leads the team in scoring with 11 goals in 26 games.

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Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Tottenham Hotspur +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Draw +270
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: +100)

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Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 2, Tottenham Hotspur 1

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN NEWCASTLE UNITED (-120).

Simply put, Newcastle has been far better at home than Tottenham has been on the road.

Even lately, Newcastle has been a far superior side. United has won 5 of their last 6 while Tottenham is 2-3-3 in its last 8 throughout all competitions.

Tottenham has allowed 9 goals through its last 5 league matches, so the defense just hasn’t been up to par. United has done a little on both ends of the pitch, scoring 13 goals in their last 6 and allowing 7 in that span.

Newcastle also beat Tottenham earlier in the season on the road and has been the better club. Despite the juice, take NEWCASTLE UNITED (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-135).

Both teams have had a better offense as of late than defense. United has gone Over this total in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6 league battles.

Tottenham is averaging 1.84 goals per game and allows 1.45, so its defensive shortcomings have been a season-long issue. It has gone Over in 4 of its last 5 games and has topped 3.5 goals in 3 of those 5.

Put it all together and take the OVER 2.5 (-135).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds and lines, with EPL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Manchester City (17 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws) welcomes Newcastle United (10-2-11) Saturday. Kickoff from Etihad Stadium is set for 7:30 a.m. ET (USA Network). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City sits 2nd in the EPL, trailing Arsenal by 5 points. They are 10-1-1 at home this season and are averaging 2.56 goals per game, allowing 1 goal per game. They are led in scoring by F Erling Haaland, who has 27 goals in 24 matches. City’s +39 is the league’s best goal differential.

Newcastle sits 5th on the table with the league’s 3rd-best goal differential at +20. They have allowed just 15 goals, the fewest in the league, and scored 35. Newcastle is led by F Miguel Almiron, who has scored 10 goals in 23 matches.

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:02 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Newcastle United +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +350
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -140 | U: +120)

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Manchester City vs. Newcastle United picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 1, Newcastle United 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

I like Newcastle to get a result here, but I wouldn’t bet it. City has been too dominant at home to play even a sprinkle on Newcastle or the draw.

However, if you’re feeling risky, Newcastle has drawn both Man United and Arsenal on the road this season and has a draw already with Man City. They have also drawn 3 of their last 4 league matches.

Again, this is ultimately a pass for the suggestion, but a Draw (+390) does have some value.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).

Newcastle has the best defense in the EPL and has gone Under this total in 8 of their last 9 matches throughout all competitions. Their draws against Man U and Arsenal, both of the road, were 0-0 results.

While the last match between these 2 was a 3-3 finish, Newcastle had just 5 shots on target while City had 10. That type of accuracy is unlikely on Saturday. Also, the Newcastle defense has looked quite a bit better since that Aug. 21, 2022, battle.

Man City also has the 3rd-best defense in the EPL and has allowed 2 or more goals in just 4 home matches while having also pitched 4 home clean sheets. The defenses here should provide value on the plus-money Under.

Back the UNDER 2.5 (+120).

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