Tag: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The New York Yankees (61-45) take on the Boston Red Sox (55-48) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale of a 3-game set at Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-3

The Yankees triumphed with an 11-8 victory Saturday in 10 innings. They scored a run in the 8th and the 9th to force extras. They busted out for 3 in the 10th to finish the Sox off. OF Aaron Judge was 4-for-4 with his 37th homer and 3 RBIs to put him at 95 on the season. The W snapped a 3-game losing streak, and they’re just 7-13 over the last 20 games.

The Red Sox are just 2-6 over their last 8 games. They have had problems at home, too, at 25-26 on the year as opposed to 30-22 on the road. OF Tyler O’Neill went 3-for-4 with 2 homers and 4 RBIs Saturday. He’s 6-for-12 with 4 homers and 8 RBIs in his last 3 games.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Rodon (10-7, 4.42 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 114 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 9-1 home victory Monday against Tampa Bay Rays
• Last 5 starts vs. Red Sox: 2-3, 4.44 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 34 K in 26 1/3 IP

Houck (8-6, 2.71 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 123 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 9-8 loss in 12 innings at Colorado Rockies Monday
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 1-1, 2.78 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 19 K in 22 2/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

Rodon snapped out of a bad slump with a dominant performance against Tampa last time out. His fastball averaged 95.5 mph, which is more in line with where it was in his 2022 season when he had a 2.88 ERA. The Red Sox are just 14-18 against lefties, and they hit just .252 with a .405 SLG% as opposed to .261 with a .446 SLG% against righties.

Take the YANKEES -115.

Run line/Against the spread

O’Neill is 2-for-3 with a double against Rodon in his career. He’s also hitting .333 with 9 HR and 15 RBIs in 93 at-bats against lefties this season.

I’m keying on TYLER O’NEILL OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-120) after he hit 4 homers in the last 3 games.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be a humid, 71-degree evening with a 7-mph breeze blowing out to right-center. The Yankees are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and Boston is 6-4. The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings and 3-1 in the last 4.

LEAN OVER 9 (-120).

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The New York Yankees (50-23) and Boston Red Sox (36-35) wrap up a 3-game set at Fenway Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

After an 8-1 win on Friday, the Yankees lost 8-4 as -177 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday as the Over (9) hit. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games but is 5-2 over its last 7.

Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers hit a 2-run double in the 2nd inning, giving Boston an early 5-2 lead. Saturday’s victory was the 3rd win in the last 4 games for Boston, which cashed as a +162 underdog.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Stroman (6-2, 2.82 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 79 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 10-1 victory at Kansas City Royals Tuesday
• 2024 road stats: 5-0, 1.56 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 7 starts
• Career vs. Red Sox: 7-4, 3.51 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 16 starts, including 1-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year

Crawford (2-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 4-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• 2024 home stats: 1-5, 4.11 ERA (46 IP, 21 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances, including 1-0 with 1.69 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-140) should bounce back after losing by 4 runs Saturday. Stroman has allowed a total of just 2 ER over his last 4 road starts and gave up just 1 ER in 6 innings when he faced the Red Sox last season.

Crawford has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts, and the Red Sox have lost in each of his last 7 outings.

BET YANKEES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox +1.5 (-135) will likely hit, but with Crawford on the mound, I wouldn’t want to bet any amount of money on Boston to keep it close.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 3-0-1 in Boston’s last 4 games and 16-10-2 when the Yankees are road favorites. Crawford has also struggled at home, giving up 4 or more runs in 4 straight starts at Fenway Park.

However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this unless you can find Over 8.5 (-130) or better.

LEAN OVER 9 (-110).

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The New York Yankees (50-22) and Boston Red Sox (35-35) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

The Yankees picked up an 8-1 victory as a moderate favorite (-147) Friday night as the total (9) pushed at most shops. RHP Luis Gil allowed 1 run in 5 innings in the win, while OF Alex Verdugo collected 3 hits, including his 8th HR, while driving in 4 runs against his former team.

The Red Sox took 2 of 3 games from the Philadelphia Phillies earlier in the week, but the loss kicks Boston back to .500. It is still just 5-6 in the past 11 games dating back to June 2, and the Over is 9-3-1 run in the previous 13 contests.

The Yankees have won 4 of the past 5 meetings since Sept. 12, with all 5 of those battles coming at Fenway Park. The Under is 3-1-1 in that 5-game stretch.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Cooper Criswell

Rodon (9-2, 2.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 80 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road win vs. Kansas City Royals Monday
• 2024 road splits: 5-2, 3.33 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.19 WHIP, .237 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 HR, 14 BB, 42 K in 9 starts

Criswell (3-3, 4.13 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 48 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 2 K in 7-2 road loss vs. Chicago White Sox June 7
• 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.12 WHIP, .221 OBA, 4 HR, 7 BB, 25 K in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -172 (bet $172 to win $100) | Red Sox +144 (bet $100 to win $144)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-113) | Red Sox +1.5 (-106)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-172) aren’t a bad play straight up if you’re a little on the conservative side. As a moderate favorite, New York isn’t priced out of line.

The Bronx Bombers have won 4 of the past 5 games at Fenway Park, including the convincing 8-1 win in the series opener.

New York has won 13 of the past 16 games, including 9-1 in the past 10 outings on the road during that stretch since May 29.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES -1.5 (-113) are worth a look on the run line if you’re a little more adventurous. Obviously, do not bet the run line and the moneyline at the same time.

In New York’s past 12 victories, it has won by at least 2 runs, so if you like the Yankees to win, you should like them to get the job done on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

There is risk here, as the Over is actually 4-1 in the southpaw Rodon’s past 5 starts, although the Under did cash in Kansas City in his most recent outing.

For the Red Sox, the Under is 2-2-1 in the past 5 games at home, but the total has gone high in 3 straight starts by Criswell. The lean is low, but go very, very lightly.

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The New York Yankees (49-22) and Boston Red Sox (35-34) meet for the opener of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Boston won 9-4 last season

The Yankees lost 4-3 to the the Kansas City Royals on Thursday while failing to cover as a -159 road favorite. Reliever Clay Holmes gave up a 2-run RBI single in the bottom of the 9th to blow New York’s 3-2 lead and end a 4-game winning streak.

Boston routed the Philadelphia Phillies 9-3 Thursday while covering as a -108 home favorite. The Red Sox have won back-to-back games and are 15-19 at home.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Gil (8-1, 2.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 75 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-4 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
• Career vs. Boston: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start

Bello (6-3, 4.78 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 58 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox Saturday
• Career vs. Yankees: 2-2, 1.45 ERA (31 IP, 5 ER), 25 H, 9 BB, 25 K in 5 starts

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+100) | Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

PASS.

Avoid paying the juice and bet New York on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+100).

I like the Yankees to cover here as -1.5 (+100) favorites, especially as they are 43-28 ATS this season.

New York won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Boston last season after losing 7 in a row to the Red Sox. The Yankees are 7-3 in their past 10 games and 3-1 in their last 4 road games. Boston is only 2-4 in its last 6 home games vs. AL teams. Both teams are 4-1 in the last 5 games.

Also, only 4 of the 13 meetings last season had a 1-run difference and 3 of the 4 Yankees wins were by multiple runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115). 

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Boston and 7 of its last 10 games. For New York, the Over is 6-3 in its last 9 games. But be aware that the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Boston.

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The New York Yankees (73-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-72) are slated to tangle Thursday for a doubleheader to wrap up a 4-game set. First pitch for the nightcap from Fenway Park is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

(Records, trends and stats do not include the 1st game of Thursday’s doubleheader.)

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3

New York swept the BoSox in a low-scoring Tuesday twin bill, prevailing by scores of 3-2 and 4-1 in the day-night affair at Fenway Park. The Tuesday action stopped the bleeding of a 7-game losing skid vs. Boston.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 over their last 7 games and 4-11 across their last 15. The Crimson Hose are 1-8 with a 6.58 ERA over their last 9  home games.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. LHP Brandon Walter (unconfirmed)

Schmidt (9-8, 4.54 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3R, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.29 ERA in 63 IP across 13 starts
• 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.87 ERA in 15 2/3 IP

Walter (0-0, 7.2 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st start. He has logged a 1.85 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 20 IP across 8 relief outings.

• Recalled Walter from Triple-A Worcester on Wednesday. Has been shuttled between the Red Sox and Triple-A this season; owns a 4.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP in 89 IP at Triple-A.
• Likely to serve as an opener for Boston with the Red Sox backing him up with available arms based on Thursday’s 1st game
• Has allowed 11 R on 13 H and 3 BB in his last 5 1/3 IP with Boston (Sept. 1-8)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Red Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+142) | Red Sox +1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

Monday’s scheduled game was rained out. Then New York and Boston played a Tuesday twin bill. And then Wednesday’s contest got wiped out.

Heading into Thursday — even after the schedule hiccups — the Yanks have the momentum of the series and Boston is in the throes of a slump. There is plenty of daylight in Schmidt’s actual-vs.-expected results over the last 5 weeks or so. He has been especially undone by some unkind rates around the margins and a 5.00 ERA since Aug. 1 is not justified.

BACK THE YANKEES (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

This play adds some extra juice. PASS.

Over/Under

The Yankees have hit the Under in 25 of their last 44 road games (+6.35 units, 13% ROI).

Both clubs are beat up, well back in the AL East standings and figure to be in rest-some-stars mode. Look for a few extra plate appearances going to youngsters being tested at the Major League level.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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The New York Yankees (73-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-72) are slated to tangle Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set. First pitch from Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-3

New York swept the BoSox in a low-scoring Tuesday twin bill, prevailing by scores of 3-2 and 4-1 in the day-night affair at Fenway Park. The Tuesday action stopped the bleeding of a 7-game losing skid vs. Boston.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 over their last 7 games and 4-11 across their last 15. At home, the Crimson Hose are 1-8 with a 6.58 ERA over their last 9 games.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Schmidt (9-8, 4.54 ERA) makes his 29th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3R, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home win vs. Detroit Tigers last Wednesday
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.29 ERA in 63 IP across 13 starts
• 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 2.87 ERA in 15 2/3 IP

Houck (4-9, 5.28 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 87 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 11-2 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Friday
• 2023 home stats: 2-4, 5.76 ERA in 45 1/3 IP across 9 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.27 ERA in 22 IP across 3 starts (2021-23)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

This match-up has some slight pull toward the Yankees on the overall team aspect of results vs. expected. Peg the pitching as mostly a wash.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Yanks have the momentum of the series, and Boston is in the throes of a slump. There is plenty of daylight in Schmidt’s actual-vs.-expected results over the last 5 weeks or so. He has been especially undone by some unkind rates around the margins and a 5.00 ERA since Aug. 1 is not justified.

Schmidt may not give New York enough length on a day when some newcomers and/or lesser bullpen arms are called on for mid-leverage innings, but YANKEES +1.5 (-165) is still worthy of some action.

Over/Under

The Yankees have hit the Under in 25 of their last 44 road games (+6.35 units, 13% ROI).

High-yield Fenway is experiencing an early-fall cool-off in temperature, and it affected the offenses Tuesday. The pitching in Tuesday’s nightcap made for an Over lean, but Wednesday’s starting pitchers change that equation.

Schmidt’s road line is sullied by a .346 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and Houck’s home numbers have been hurt by a .318 BABIP. Both have decent histories against the lineups they face on Wednesday.

Both clubs are beat up and well back in the AL East standings. Figure on a few extra plate appearances going to youngsters being tested at the Major League level.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best price to leverage here: BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-106).

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The New York Yankees (71-72) and Boston Red Sox (73-70) are slated to play twice Tuesday in a day-night doubleheader. First pitch in the 2nd game at Fenway Park is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 2 odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Tuesday’s doubleheader)

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-1

New York had been on a roll, going 8-1 from Aug. 28-Sept. 8, but the Yankees bats have gone quiet over the club’s last 4 games: they’ve posted a .447 OPS while going 1-3 since Thursday.

Boston is 1-4 over its last 5 games and 4-19 across its last 13. The Red Sox snapped a 6-game losing streak with a victory over the Baltimore Orioles Sunday.

Yankees at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Rodón (2-5, 6.60 ERA) makes his 11 start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-3 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
• 2023 Road stats: 1-2, 6.63 ERA in 19 IP across 4 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Red Sox: 1-3, 6.30 ERA in 30 IP
• Has yielded a 41.6% hard-hit rate and an 11.6% barrel rate

Crawford (6-7, 4.36 ERA) makes his 20th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 8-6 loss at Tampa Bay last Tuesday
• 2023 Home stats: 0-4, 6.51 ERA in 47 IP across 13 games (9 starts)
• Career starts vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.12 ERA in 17 IP across 3 starts (2022-23)

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Yankees at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 5

Moneyline

This one calls for a very slight pull toward the Yankees on the overall team aspect of results vs. expected and a very slight pull toward the host Red Sox on the mound.

With plenty of gray area mixed in by the doubleheader situation, Tuesday’s nightcap at Fenway Park is a clear PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Same calculation as above but with more juice in the prices. A faster no.

PASS.

Over/Under

Red Sox games have cashed on the Over in 20 of the club’s last 23 games (+17.95 units, 71% ROI).

BoSox batters have been pummeling Yankee pitching over the last 2 series between these longtime rivals. Across 6 meetings from June 16-Aug. 20, the Sox have averaged 7.83 runs per contest. The Over went 4-2 in those 6 games, and with this game likely getting into the so-so middles of double-dip-extended bullpens, the Over is the moderate lean in this one.

Go in full-unit or more if you can get in on the OVER 9.5 (+100). Look for the price to go up, though.

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