Tag: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals odds predictions pick betting line spread

New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (26-35) and Washington Nationals (27-33) wrap up a 3-game set at Nationals Park Wednesday. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

The Mets opened the series with a 6-3 win Monday and then rode their hot hand to an 8-7 victory Tuesday. It was a full team effort, as 5 players ended with an RBI.

New York is 12-14 on the road this season and has won 4 of its last 6 games. Despite its recent success, New York still sits 4th in the NL East. It is 28-33 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Nationals have lost 4 of their last 5 games and dropped to 3rd in the NL East. They are just 2-5 in their last 7 home games and 10-15 straight up at Nationals Park this season. Washington is 36-24 ATS.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Severino (3-2, 3.52 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 64 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 10-9 home victory over Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-1, 5.16 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 18 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 21 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 2/3 IP), 1 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 9-1 home victory with New York Yankees Aug. 23, 2023

Corbin (1-6, 5.83 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 66 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-1 road setback to Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-2, 5.52 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 31 H, 5 HR, 13 BB, 19 K in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 8-11, 4.83 ERA (154 2/3 IP, 83 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 27 starts and 1 relief appearance, including 2-1 with 8.04 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 14 ER) in 3 starts last season

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Mets at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -148 (bet $148 to win $100) | Nationals +126 (bet $100 to win $126)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+108) | Nationals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s just no real value here.

The Nationals to win isn’t a terrible play, but Corbin has been less than impressive over his last few starts, depleting the value of that potential play. Similarly, the Mets (-148) haven’t been great following a win, so avoid them as sizable favorites.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-130).

The Mets are just 11-14 following a win, while the Nationals are 18-14 after a loss, both of which apply to this Wednesday afternoon battle. The Nationals have lost 4 of their last 7 games, but 2 of those defeats have come by just 1 run.

Washington is 12-10 ATS as a home underdog on the year and is the best team by ATS record in MLB with a 60% cover rate (36-24 ATS). The Mets, at 45.9%, are in the bottom half of the league. Take Washington to bounce back, and bet NATIONALS +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (+100).

The Nationals have gone Over in Corbin’s last 3 starts, allowing 7, 9 and 10 runs in those outings. They are 5-4-1 O/U in their last 10 games and have found some rhythm offensively as well, scoring at least 5 runs in 2 of their last 3.

The Mets are 4-0-1 O/U in their last 5. They have tallied at least 4 runs in each game during that span and allowed at least 5 in 4 of those outings. They are 32-27-2 O/U on the season. Put it all together, and back OVER 9.5 (+100).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Xday’s Road Team at Home Team odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (24-35) visit the Washington Nationals (27-31) on Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 2023 season series 7-6

The Mets have lost back-to-back games after falling 5-4 against the Arizona  Diamondbacks on Sunday and failing to cover as -102 home favorites. LF Brandon Nimmo led the way on offense with 2 RBIs while LHP Jake Diekman allowed 2 ER in 1/3 innings to take the loss.

The Nationals snapped a 2-game losing streak on Sunday with a 5-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians to cover as +116 road underdogs. CF Lane Thomas and DH Joey Meneses each had 2 RBIs while RHP Jake Irvin allowed 2 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Megill (0-2, 1.69 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 11.25 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • Mets are 0-3 in his last 3 starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each start
  • Has 20 strikeouts and 6 walks in 16 IP

Gore (4-4, 2.91 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.61 BB/9 and 11.05 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

  • Nationals are 5-6 in his his 11 starts, including wins in his last 2  outings
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in all but 2 starts this season.
  • Has allowed 19 ER and 5 HR while striking out 72 and walking 17

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Mets at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Nationals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Nationals -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The profit is better on the Nationals (-125) run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS -1.5 (+165).

Washington is 6-4 in its last 10 games and is returning home for the 1st time in 7 games. In each of its last 12 wins, it has won by 2 or more runs. The Mets have struggled recently and are 3-7 in their last 10 games including 2-5 in their last 7. They have allowed 9 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 overall and have lost by 2 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 losses.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Mets have 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games and will see Megill on the mound, who has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each of his 3 starts.

The Nationals have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 including back-to-back games and have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10. They will see Gore on the mound who has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 9 of his 11 starts this season.

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (65-38) and Washington Nationals (36-69) put a lid on a 3-game series Wednesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-3

The Mets dropped their first 2 games coming out of the All-Star break but had won 7 in a row before falling to the Nats 5-1 Tuesday. New York is 20-11 over its last 31 games against Washington.

The Nationals have the league’s worst home mark at 17-39 and they own a bottom-third offense that has been trending the wrong way of late. Washington has logged a .659 OPS since June 27.

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Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Anibal Sanchez

Bassitt (7-7, 3.83 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 115 IP.

  • Pitched 6-scoreless innings and allowed just 3 hits to the Nationals April 9.
  • Has been saddled with a Boeing 7.16 ERA over his last 6 road turns.

Sanchez (0-3, 7.47 ERA) owns a 1.40 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP across 3 starts.

  • Missed the first half of the season with a neck injury and sat out the entire 2021 season.
  • Current Mets batters own an aggregate .731 OPS against him.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Nationals +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (-108) | Nationals +2.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

Bassitt is coming off a 103-pitch effort in his last and has often struggled in his next game following that type of effort this season.

Figure WASHINGTON (+210) as a slight lean.

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Run line/Against the spread

WASHINGTON +2.5 (-112) is a slight lean. Bettors wanting to hedge the risk may want to split a ticket, half-ML-half-RL. Even so, a partial unit on the outlay for sides here is recommended.

Over/Under

There is some Under lean to this series based on both teams’ run-scoring and allowance compared to expected results. The Under has gone 5-2 across the last 7 series games played in D.C.

Peg the UNDER 9.5 (-130) as the strongest play in this matchup.

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (65-37) and Washington Nationals (35-69) continue a 3-game series Tuesday at Nationals Park in D.C. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-2

The Mets dropped their first 2 games coming out of the All-Star break, but have won 7 in a row since. New York took Monday’s series opener 7-3 and owns a robust .950 OPS over those 7 wins.

Washington has the league’s worst home mark at 16-39. The Nats own a bottom-third offense, and things have been trending the wrong way of late. Washington owns a lackluster .650 OPS since June 27.

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Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Cory Abbott

DeGrom (7-2, 1.08 ERA last season) returns from the 60-day IL for his 2022 debut.

  • Owns a 2.50 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 across 198 career games.
  • Has held current Washington batters to an aggregate .486 OPS.

Abbott (0-0, 2.25 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd career start. He has allowed 2 H and 1 BB with 6 K through 4 IP over 3 relief appearances.

  • Pitched an inning in relief Sunday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals with 1 BB and 2 K.
  • Only other career start came Oct. 1, 2021, as a member of the Chicago Cubs. He allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 2 BB with 4 K through 5 IP at the Cardinals.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Nationals +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (-120) | Nationals +2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

The gray area caused by these 2 starters combining for 4 MLB innings so far this season — and the game’s best offensive player (OF Juan Soto) perhaps being held out if trade-deadline talks heat up — makes for an automatic PASS in this corner.

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Run line/Against the spread

With the above in mind, WASHINGTON +2.5 (+100) would be the only side of interest. That interest is minimal and bordering on non-existent.

Over/Under

DeGrom aside, there is some Under lean to this series based on both teams’ run-scoring and allowance compared to expected results.

The price is attractive, so the UNDER 8.5 (-105) fits as the strongest play in this matchup.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (64-37) and Washington Nationals (35-68) open a 3-game series in D.C. with Monday’s 1st pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 8-2.

The Mets dropped their first 2 games coming out of the All-Star break, but have won 6 in a row since. New York owns a robust .924 OPS over those half-dozen wins.

The Nationals are 4-5 since the break. They dropped 2 of 3 at home to the St. Louis Cardinals last weekend. Washington has the league’s worst home mark at 16-38.

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Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Scherzer (6-2, 2.09 ERA) is lined up for his 14th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 82 IP.

  • Coming off 7 shutout innings against the New YorkYankees Wednesday. Owns a 1.40 ERA in his last 7 starts.
  • Current Washington batters own a .769 OPS against him.

Corbin (4-14, 6.49 ERA) has logged a 1.77 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 105 1/3 IP in 21 starts.

  • Clocked a 3.72 ERA, 1.26 WHIP from 2012-19. Owns a 5.80 ERA, 1.58 WHIP since.
  • Has allowed 17 runs in his last 10 2/3 IP. Failed to make it out of the 1st inning in Thursday’s start vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Nationals +200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -2.5 (+105) | Nationals +2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -120)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Nationals 3

Money line

Corbin has been raked over the coals by a .379 batting average on balls in play. The Mets are not at their best against port-siders. There is some potential value on the side of the Nats, a tough team to like in just about any scenario — especially with some potential trade-deadline maneuvers monkeying with their lineup.

PASS, and utilize better leverage on the Run Line.

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Run line/Against the spread

Look for New York to come back down to earth in its situational proficiency. TAKE WASHINGTON +2.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Pricing nixes an Under lean here: PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (21-11) and Washington Nationals (11-21) close out a 3-game series at Nationals Park Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 4-2.

The Mets are a robust 12-6 across 18 road games.

The Nationals tallied an 8-3 victory Wednesday and have scored 6.18 runs per game over their last 11 contests.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Joan Adon

Walker (0-0, 4.91 ERA) has notched a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 11 IP over 3 starts.

  • Posted a 4.47 ERA in 159 IP last season.
  • Roughed up for 10 runs across 10 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts vs. Washington in 2021.
  • Current Nats bats own a .911 OPS against him.

Adon (1-5, 6.99 ERA) is making his 7th start. He owns a 1.66 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 earned runs or more in 5 of his 6 starts.
  • Opened his 2022 season April 9 against these Mets and allowed 4 ER on 4 H and 4 BB in 4 1/3 IP.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (+102) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Mets 3

Money line

PASS — for now.

Walker has been a road struggler the last two seasons. Adon isn’t Juan Marichal, but he’s a gas-throwing 23-year-old with mid-rotation upside. Walks are a problem, but this Mets club walks vs. righties less than most of the teams he’s faced so far.

The back end of the Washington ‘pen is rested, and overall this is a Nats club that has deserved a better fate than its .344 winning percentage.

Perhaps the Mets are enough of a public darling to get this Washington money-line play into value territory (+135 or so).

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Run line/Against the spread

STEER CLEAR unless a Nationals +1.5 price comes in at -120 or better

Over/Under

A get-away day game with a pitcher’s breeze in the forecast puts a lean toward a lower-scoring game. Mix in a Washington bullpen with better underlying analytics than surface numbers.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (21-10) and Washington Nationals (10-21) continue a 3-game series at Nationals Park Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 4-1.

New York took Tuesday’s opener 4-2 and is 5-2 over its last 7 games. The Mets are a robust 12-5 across 17 road games.

The Nationals were flat offensively Tuesday after having posted an .858 OPS in a 9-game road trip from April 29-May 8.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez

Megill (4-1, 2.43 ERA) has registered a 0.90 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 33 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 R on 4 H and 2 BB with 9 K in 5 1/3 against the Braves May 4.
  • Has 3-0 mark with a 1.06 ERA in 3 road starts this year.
  • Won at Washington earlier this year with 6 K in 5 shutout innings.

Sanchez (1-2, 8.56 ERA)is tabbed for his fourth start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 13 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a dodgy road turn at Colorado (6 ER in 4 1/3 IP on Thursday).
  • Logged a 3.06 ERA in 35 1/3 IP last season.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (-108) | Nationals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

The lean is on the Nationals, but only on an underdog price north of +160. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

There is some value wiggle room in the support analytics for the Nats bullpen. And Washington’s 1-4 mark in 1-run games is playing into a bit more all-around negativity in the club’s assessment than there should be.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Megill owns a 3.38 ERA, 10.7 K/9 in 3 starts against Washington. Sanchez has pitched a tough slate so far, and figures as a more neutral play against a New York club that owns a .673 OPS over its last 10 games.

The Nationals have been woeful at home (.560 OPS), and both bullpens are in good shape. Add to all that a weather report that calls for a double digit breeze in from right-center.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (20-10) and Washington Nationals (10-20) lift the lid on a 3-game series at Nationals Park Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 3-1.

New York is coming off a rain-soaked trip to Philadelphia. Scheduled Friday and Saturday games were nixed due to rain, and then the Mets split a Sunday doubleheader. After a hot start, New York’s National League entry is 6-5 over its last 11 games.

The Nationals are coming off a 4-5 road trip that included stops in San Francisco, Colorado and the Los Angeles Angels. Washington banged out an .858 OPS in that trip, but Nats pitching notched a 4.70 ERA.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Megill (4-1, 2.43 ERA) has registered a 0.90 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 33 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks while fanning 9 in 5 1/3 against the Braves May 4.
  • He’s 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA in 3 road starts this year.
  • He beat the Nationals at their venue earlier this year with 6 strikeouts in 5 shutout innings.

Corbin (0-5, 7.16 ERA) owns a 1.81 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Went 8 IP (94 pitches) in his last, allowing 5 runs (3 earned) at Colorado (Wednesday).
  • Current Mets batters own an .812 aggregate OPS against him.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

There is some risk to Corbin bouncing off the 94 pitches in thin air, and New York is much the better team, top-to-bottom. Would risk a partial-unit play on the METS (-180), more in the -170 range.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: the line is more attractive (not paying the big price on New York), but the Mets’ offense is enough of a question mark after the off days and going against a southpaw.

Over/Under

Corbin is better than the Boeing ERA he’s sporting, Megill has been hot and the Mets’ bullpen is elite.

The Mets’ recent off days make for some rust perhaps setting in, and lefty starters bring out the worst in New York’s splits. With a pitcher’s breeze blowing in and both bullpens coming off a rest day, BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-112).

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (69-68) and Washington Nationals (56-80) play the finale of a five-game series Monday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets at Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Trevor Williams (4-2, 4.27 ERA) makes his 15th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 through 71 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed one unearned run, four hits and no walks with four strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings in his most recent outing Tuesday in a no-decision against the Miami Marlins.
  • Has no record with a 3.00 ERA in 9 IP across two starts against the Nationals this season, including his team debut with the Mets on Aug. 12.

Nationals LHP Patrick Corbin (7-14, 6.26 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 141 IP.

  • Roughed up for six earned runs, nine hits and four walks across five innings in a loss against the Phillies Tuesday.
  • Went 1-5 with a 7.88 ERA with 11 homers allowed in 32 IP across six August starts.

Mets at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+122) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Mets 7, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The METS (-130) have won three of the first four games in this series, outslugging the Nationals (+105) 33-21. Play New York, not only because of that, but also because Corbin has been horrific since around the All-Star break.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

If you like the METS -1.5 (+122) on the money line, you should like them on the run line, too. In their three victories in this series, they have won by two or more runs, and two of the victories have been by four or more runs.

They’re also 5-1 against the Nationals since Aug. 28, and all five of those wins are by two or more runs, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

Play OVER 9.5 (+100), mainly because of the struggles of Corbin and his inability to keep the ball in the park. He has allowed at least one home run in each of the past eight starts and 15 homers over 42 1/3 IP during the terrible stretch.

The Over is also 6-1 in the past seven outings by Corbin, and the Over is also 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in D.C.

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (35-26) travel to the nation’s capital to open a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (30-35) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York had its three-game winning streak snapped Thursday in a 2-0 loss to the Chicago Cubs, but the Mets took the first three games of that series and are 14-6 in their last 20 games.

Washington has won four in a row and five of its last six including a three-game sweep vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates and two victories against the NL West-leading San Francisco Giants.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1.

LHP Joey Lucchesi is the projected starter for the Mets. Lucchesi is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA (33 IP, 19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 across seven starts and three bullpen appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K in New York’s 7-3 loss vs. the San Diego Padres Sunday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 40 at-bats with a .225/.295/.425 slash line, 9/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Erick Fedde makes his 10th start for the Nationals. Fedde is 4-4 with a 3.86 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 2-0, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K Saturday vs. the Giants.
  • Fedde took a loss earlier this season to the Mets with a stat line of 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K in Washington’s 6-0 defeat.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: 69 at-bats with a .246/.333/.333 slash line, 14/7 K/BB, 1 HR and 9 RBIs.

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Mets at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the NATIONALS (-115) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup has hit lefties very well this season and I give Fedde the starting pitching edge over Lucchesi.

For example, the Nationals batters are top-10 in several advanced hitting categories against LHP such as wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

Also, even though Fedde’s basic stat line wasn’t that impressive in his start against the Mets earlier this season, there are positive advanced numbers from that outing that gives me hope we’ll get a quality start from Fedde.

For instance, Fedde’s 6.7% hard-hit rate was by far his lowest of the season that start, despite his contact rate that day of 88.4% being the second-highest of any start this year.

Furthermore, Lucchesi has a road record of 0-4 in 7 appearances, with a 7.29 ERA, .354 opponent’s wOBA, and .538 slugging percentage, while surrendering 17 of his 19 runs away from Citi Field. Comparatively, his home record is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA, .269 opponent’s wOBA and .275 slugging percentage.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the alternate spread of NATIONALS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Washington’s bullpen is well-rested so I have faith the relievers can lock down a multi-run lead given to them.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I think Washington’s lineup does some damage today but the Nationals are 9-26 O/U at home and a 1-7-1 O/U when Fedde gets the start.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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