New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (21-10) and Washington Nationals (10-21) continue a 3-game series at Nationals Park Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 4-1.

New York took Tuesday’s opener 4-2 and is 5-2 over its last 7 games. The Mets are a robust 12-5 across 17 road games.

The Nationals were flat offensively Tuesday after having posted an .858 OPS in a 9-game road trip from April 29-May 8.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez

Megill (4-1, 2.43 ERA) has registered a 0.90 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 33 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 R on 4 H and 2 BB with 9 K in 5 1/3 against the Braves May 4.
  • Has 3-0 mark with a 1.06 ERA in 3 road starts this year.
  • Won at Washington earlier this year with 6 K in 5 shutout innings.

Sanchez (1-2, 8.56 ERA)is tabbed for his fourth start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 13 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a dodgy road turn at Colorado (6 ER in 4 1/3 IP on Thursday).
  • Logged a 3.06 ERA in 35 1/3 IP last season.

Mets at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL): Mets -1.5 (-108) | Nationals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Nationals 3

Money line

The lean is on the Nationals, but only on an underdog price north of +160. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

There is some value wiggle room in the support analytics for the Nats bullpen. And Washington’s 1-4 mark in 1-run games is playing into a bit more all-around negativity in the club’s assessment than there should be.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Megill owns a 3.38 ERA, 10.7 K/9 in 3 starts against Washington. Sanchez has pitched a tough slate so far, and figures as a more neutral play against a New York club that owns a .673 OPS over its last 10 games.

The Nationals have been woeful at home (.560 OPS), and both bullpens are in good shape. Add to all that a weather report that calls for a double digit breeze in from right-center.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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