Tag: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (12-10) welcome the New York Mets (11-8) to Dodger Stadium Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Mets are on a 5-game streak following Friday’s 9-4 victory as +175 underdogs in the opener. SS Francisco Lindor broke a 4-4 tie with a 2-run homer in the top of the seventh inning. New York is 5-2 on the road and 11-8 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Dodgers have struggled as of late, losing 4 of their last 5 games, all of which have been at home. Plus, they were favorites in each contest, including heavy chalk at -420 in a 6-4 loss to the Washington Nationals. They’ve actually been favored in all 22 games they’ve played this season. They’ve lost 2 straight series yet are still 8-6 straight up at home in 2024. Los Angeles is 9-13 ATS.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Jose Butto vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Butto (0-0, 0.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 12 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-1 home win over Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • Never faced Dodgers before
  • Mets are 2-0 in his starts

Stone (1-1, 6.14 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 14 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home win over San Diego Padres April 13
  • Never faced Mets before
  • Dodgers are 2-1 in his 3 starts this season

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Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Dodgers -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-134) | Dodgers -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Mets 5

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline on both sides is playable here, but the value is on the Mets’ spread. That’s the preferred play in his game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET METS +1.5 (-134).

New York has been on fire as of late, winning 4 straight games by 2 runs or more. The Mets torched the Dodgers Friday as well, scoring 9 for the second consecutive game. The Mets have allowed a combined 2 runs in Butto’s starts as well.

The Dodgers are reeling and, as mentioned, have lost 4 of their last 5. They still have a talented lineup; however, they are 1-2 ATS in Stone’s 3 starts this season. Los Angeles is just 5-9 ATS as home.

Take METS +1.5 (-134).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-105).

The Mets have scored 6 or more in 6 of their last 8 games. They have consistently been strong offensively over the past 2 weeks and are 5-3 O/U since April 11. New York is 10-9 O/U on the season.

The Dodgers are 13-8-1 and have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games. Los Angeles is 9-4-1 O/U at home. Considering these trends, back OVER 9.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (10-8) and Los Angeles Dodgers (12-9) meet Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; tied 3-3 last season

New York routed the Pittsburgh Pirates 9-1 Wednesday while covering as a -154 home favorite. New York has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games. The Mets have won 4 straight and have allowed only 1 run in 3 of their last 4 wins.

Los Angeles suffered a 2-0 loss vs. the Washington Nationals Wednesday while failing to cover as a -216 home favorite. The Dodgers have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are only 2-4 in their last 6 games, all 6 being at home.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Manaea (1-1, 4.30 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 14 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 4 K in an 11-7 loss vs. the Kansas City Royals Saturday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-5, 7.50 ERA (42 IP, 35 ER), 53 H, 11 BB, 39 K across 7 starts and 3 relief appearances

Yamamoto (1-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-7 loss to San Diego Padres on April 12
  • First career start vs. Mets

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Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I do like the Dodgers (-200) to win here, but it is by no means a safe bet as the Mets are the hotter team, being 8-2 in their last 10 compared to LA’s 4-6. I also would not risk betting on the Dodgers as such heavy favorites, so bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET METS +1.5 (-120).

The Mets have covered the spread in each of their last 4 games and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after starting the season 1-7 ATS. The Dodgers have covered only 2 of their last 6 games are 9-12 ATS this season. New York is also the hotter team, which makes this an even safer bet.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-114).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for LA and is 3-2 in its last 5 games. The Under has also hit in each of the last 5 New York-LA matchups and is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between these squads.

This is only a lean because the Over is 6-4 in New York’s last 10 games and 5-5 in LA’s last 10 games.

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (11-7) wrap up a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (9-9) Wednesday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1; Mets won the regular-season series 4-3 in 2022.

The Mets saw their offense dry up in a 5-0 loss Tuesday, fresh off an 8-6 win on Monday that featured 3 players going for 3 hits each. It was likely a huge shock to RHP Tylor Megill, as he was provided 20 total runs of support in his first 3 starts. The loss halted New York’s 5-game win streak but it’s still 4-1 in its last 5 road games.

The Dodgers have had a roller-coaster start. Tuesday’s outing by LHP Clayton Kershaw gave Los Angeles its first shutout win of the season. Still, Los Angeles is just 4-7 across the past 11 outings after a 5-2 start. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 contests.

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Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Scherzer (2-1, 4.41 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP.

  • Has managed just 1 quality start in his 3 outings, and that came in his 1st start of the season on March 30 at the Miami Marlins
  • Allowed just 1 hit and 3 BB with 6 K across 5 scoreless innings in a 97-pitch victory against the San Diego Padres April 10 in his most recent start

Syndergaard (0-2, 5.63 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • The Dodgers are 0-3 in his starts to date, providing just 3 runs of offensive support in his 2 home outings
  • Has managed a pair of quality starts in his 2 outings at Dodger Stadium, going 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 2 BB, 15 K and a .217 opponent batting average (OBA)

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+135) | Dodgers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

The METS (-125) are the play in the series finale. Scherzer should be able to build off of his most recent start against the Padres, which was easily his best outing of the season, but this figures to be a close game as Syndergaard has pitched well at home.

Still, the Mets have been playing better baseball and that’s why they’re the play.

Run line/Against the spread

The METS -1.5 (+135) are worth playing lightly on the road on the run line at plus money.

New York has won 4 straight games as a favorite, but it failed to cover the run line in each of the previous 2 outings. The Mets are 9-3 straight up and 7-5 on the run life as a favorite on the season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the play in this getaway day matchup.

The Under is 6-2 in the past 8 games overall for the Mets while going 5-1 in the previous 6 tries against NL West teams.

The Under is on a 15-6-1 run in the previous 22 games for the Dodgers against NL East foes, while going 5-1 in the past 6 at home against right-handed starting pitchers.

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (11-6) play the 2nd contest in a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (8-9) Tuesday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0; Mets won the regular-season series 4-3 in 2022.

The Mets posted an 8-6 victory in the series opener Monday at Chavez Ravine. It was a seesaw battle, with L.A. leading 3-2 after 2 innings, before New York took a 5-3 lead heading into the bottom of the 4th. The Dodgers led 6-5 after 6 innings, but New York posted 3 in the top of the 7th to put a bow on the scoring.

OF Brandon Nimmo, 1B Pete Alonso and 2B Jeff McNeil each collected 3 hits, while top prospect 3B Brett Baty debuted with an RBI single, and DH Dan Vogelbach slapped a 2-run HR.

The Dodgers saw 1B Freddie Freeman sock a pair of homers while driving in 3 runs, but Los Angeles slipped to 1-5 in the past 6 games against teams with a winning percentage greater than .600.

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Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Megill (3-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • Has had the benefit of 20 runs of offensive support in his 3 starts, all victories
  • Allowed 2 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 7 K in 5 IP in a win at the Miami Marlins in his only previous road start April 1
  • Has issued 2 or more BB in each of his 3 starts

Kershaw (2-1, 3.50 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 18 IP.

  • Lasted exactly 6 IP in each of his 3 starts
  • Allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 0 BB and 9 K across 6 IP in a victory against the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 1, his only appearance at home to date

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-175) are a little risky, as Los Angeles just hasn’t hit on all cylinders so far this season. Risking this much on a singular bet, especially on a team under .500 against a Mets side that has won 5 in a row is not a good play.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (+115) are a better value on the run line, although they come with plenty of risks since they’ve been ice-cold lately.

The Dodgers are 61-20 in the past 81 tries in Game 2 of a series, which is a .753 winning percentage. They’re also 61-24 in the past 85 against a right-handed starting pitcher.

Don’t be dissuaded about Megill’s impressive record, as he has had the benefit of tremendous run support.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is worth a look, but go lightly.

The Under has cashed in 5 of the past 7 games overall, while going 4-1 in the past 5 vs. LHP. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 against NL West teams, too.

For the Dodgers, the Under is 14-6-1 in the past 21 games against NL East teams, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 home games vs. RHP.

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (10-6) open a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (8-8) Monday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won the regular-season series 4-3 in 2022.

The Mets are coming off an interleague series sweep on the road against the Oakland Athletics, outscoring the A’s 24-11. New York has picked up 4 straight wins and is 7-2 in its last 9 outings.

The Dodgers were tripped up in 2 of 3 games against the visiting Chicago Cubs over the weekend. Los Angeles has managed an underwhelming .500 record while going 5-4 in 9 home games.

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Mets at Dodgers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Dustin May

Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.84 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 14 2/3 IP.

  • Struck out 5 or more batters in each of his first 3 outings
  • Has issued 7 BB across just 9 2/3 IP in 2 starts in April
  • Didn’t allow a HR against the San Diego Padres last time out, his first start this season keeping the ball in the yard

May (1-1, 1.47 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 18 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each of his 3 starts this season
  • Coughed up 4 BB last time out at the San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • Allowed just 3 H and 1 BB in 7 scoreless IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks March 31 in his only home start to date

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Mets 2

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-160) have been rather erratic this season, but the pitching matchup in this series opener is strongly in favor of the home side.

Peterson has been very giving, and his control has been a bit erratic this season. May has been tremendous and the only reason he isn’t unbeaten is a lack of run support. That shouldn’t be a problem Monday.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (+125) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line.

While Los Angeles failed to cover the run line as a favorite in each of the 3 games against the Cubs and is 2-7 in the past 9 as a favorite on the run line, it should be able to pile up plenty of runs against the lefty Peterson.

The Mets are just 3-10 in the past 13 games against winning teams, while the Dodgers are 8-3 in the past 11 vs. NL East foes.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.

The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the Mets against NL West teams. The Under is 7-3-1 in the past 11 meetings in this series while cashing at a 6-2-1 clip in the past 9 battles at Dodger Stadium.

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (36-19) wrap up their 4-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers (35-18) Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y. beat L.A. 9-4 Saturday in the 3rd game of the series after the Dodgers won the first 2 (2-0 Thursday and 6-1 Friday). Mets 1B Pete Alonso lit up the Dodgers Saturday, hitting 3-for-5 with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs.

Season series: L.A. leads 2-1 with a plus-2 run differential (12-10).

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. LHP Julio Urias

Williams is 1-3 with a 3.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 5 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Win, 10-0, Tuesday at home vs. the Washington Nationals with 5-scoreless IP, 4 H, 2 BB and 1 K.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: .297/.431/.624 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line with 14.0 K% and 89.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 50 plate appearances (PA).

Urias is 3-5 with a 2.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 53 IP across 10 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5-3, Tuesday at home vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates with 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 8 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Mets: One start — a 6-5 win in N.Y. Aug. 13 — with 5-scoreless IP, 2 H, 2 BB and 5 K.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster: .214/.268/.282 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 27.8 K% and 82.5 mph EV in 36 PA.

Mets at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 3

Money line

“Flat” BET 1 unit on the DODGERS (-180).

The Mets are just 8-9 overall vs. left-handed starters, score almost a full run less per 9 against lefties and have mediocre advanced hitting metrics.

The Dodgers are 22-12 vs. right-handed starters and ranks 1st in wRC+ (121), wOBA (.341) and BB/K rate (0.52) and 5th in hard-hit rate (33.3%), per FanGraphs.

Urias also has nearly double the strikeout rate and a 7-plus mph slower exit velocity vs. N.Y.’s lineup than Williams against L.A. and he has 4 quality starts while Williams has none.

If your standard wager is $100 then BET that on the DODGERS (-180) to earn a $55.56 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Dodgers -1.5 (+110) aren’t a big enough payout considering the Mets are 7-3 RL as road underdogs. Let’s stick with L.A.’s pricey ML.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102) since both starters have impressive pitching peripherals, both bullpens are elite, L.A. is 2-8 O/U in Urias’ 10 starts this season and the Mets-Dodgers are 2-5 O/U in their last 7 meetings.

It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 8.5 (-102) because I prefer L.A.’s ML, Dodger Stadium is a very hitter-friendly 5th in park factor, the Mets are 6-3-1 O/U as road underdogs and the Dodgers are 15-11 O/U as home favorites.

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (35-17) host the New York Mets (35-19) Saturday at Dodger Stadium for the 3rd game of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. beat N.Y. 6-1 Saturday thanks to a 6-inning, 5-strikeout scoreless outing from SP Tyler Anderson.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Dodgers won the series opener 2-0 Thursday. Both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Peterson is 2-0 with a 3.03 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 29 2/3 IP across 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 1 K in 13-5 home win vs. Washington Nationals Monday
  • Never faced Dodgers before

Buehler is 6-1 with a 3.22 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-5 home loss to Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
  • 2021 vs. the Mets: 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 3 ER) 10 H, 3 BB, 18 K across 2 starts

Mets at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 4

Money line

LEAN METS (+155) because of the chunky payout, New York’s lineup hits righties better than the Los Angeles lineup does against left-handed pitching and there’s a suspicious line freeze in the betting market.

Roughly 75% of the money is on the Dodgers (-190), according to Pregame.com, but the line hasn’t budged off the opener. That tells us the sportsbooks are confident in their price and welcome more action on L.A.

But the Mets have some value here since their lineup ranks in the top 5 in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K rate vs. right-handed pitching, according to FanGraphs.

Also, all 5 home runs allowed by Buehler have come at Dodger Stadium. He has a 4.55 ERA (1.67 road ERA) and 1.58 WHIP (0.85 road WHIP) in 6 home starts.

It’s only a LEAN to the METS (+155) because their RL is cheap.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET METS +1.5 (-135) based on the previous analysis and because they are 6-3 RL as road underdogs and there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the RL-betting market.

Nearly two-thirds of the money is on the Mets, but more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Dodgers -1.5 (+110), according to Pregame.com. Typically, in sports betting, it’s wiser to follow the money when it’s opposite of the public since professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe.

BET METS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

PASS. 

There are a bunch of Over-friendly betting trends and most of the public is backing the Over 8.5 (-125) hence it being more expensive.

But I hate following a crowd in sports betting, so I’ll stick with the Mets’ RL.

PASS.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (35-18) visit Dodger Stadium Friday for the 2nd game of their 4-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers (34-17) at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. won the season series opener 2-0 Thursday thanks to a gem by the Dodgers pitching staff who allowed just 3 hits with only 1 walk while striking out 9 N.Y. batters. The Mets’ loss snapped a 6-game win streak.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Tyler Anderson

Bassitt is 4-2 with a 3.66 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 59 IP across 10 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 5-4 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Dodgers: One start while pitching for the Oakland Athletics — a 5-1 loss at home April 6 — with 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 4 K.

Anderson is 6-0 with a 2.90 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 49 2/3 IP over 7 starts and 2 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Win, 3-1, Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks with 6-scoreless IP with 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Mets: One start while pitching for the Pittsburgh Pirates — a 6-2 win in N.Y. July 10 — with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 2 K.

Mets at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 4

Money line

BET the DODGERS (-160) because Anderson has more impressive advanced pitching numbers than Bassitt and L.A.’s lineup is far more productive vs. right-handed pitching than the Mets are against lefties.

Anderson has a better hard-hit rate, chase rate, BB% and expected ERA according to Statcast, and 4 of Bassitt’s 6 pitches have a plus-run value.

The Dodgers are also 21-12 against right-handed starters and L.A.’s lineup ranks 1st in wRC+ (122), wOBA (.343) and BB/K rate (0.54) and 3rd in hard-hit rate (33.7%) vs. righties, per FanGraphs.

Whereas the Mets are just 8-8 against left-handed starters and N.Y.’s lineup has a 109 wRC+ (ranked 14th), .316 wOBA (14th), 0.42 BB/K rate (12th) and 27.2% hard-hit rate (21st) vs. lefties.

BET the DODGERS (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (+130) since there isn’t a ton of value in this number but they have a 3-phase edge over the Mets in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

L.A. is 29-21 RL as a favorite but there is reverse line movement towards N.Y. in the ML market (according to Pregame.com) and the Mets are 7-3 RL as underdogs so I prefer to just stick with our Dodgers ML ticket.

Over/Under

PASS.

L.A. is 14-10 O/U as a home favorite, N.Y. is 5-2-1 O/U as a road underdog and these teams have a combined 11-6 O/U record when these starters are on the hill.

But, the Over 8.5 (-102) could be a trap line given these trends and the Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 Mets-Dodgers meetings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (35-17) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-17) clash in a 10:10 p.m. ET showdown Thursday. The battle at Dodger Stadium lifts the lid on a 4-game series between the clubs with the best 2 records in the NL. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting.

The Mets arrive at Chavez Ravine with a 6-game win streak in tow.  New York’s National League entry is 11-3 with an .862 OPS since May 18.

The Dodgers head into this series on a down note, having lost 3 games in a row to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Los Angeles pitching was roughed up for 19 runs across the Monday-Wednesday set against the Pirates. That’s after allowing all of 18 runs over their previous 8 games (May 22-29).

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Walker (3-0, 2.83 ERA) has made 7 starts in the 2022 season. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 35 IP.

  • Has held opposing batters to a .602 OPS over his last 4 starts (1.88 ERA).
  • Current Dodger bats own an aggregate .777 OPS against him.

Gonsolin (5-0, 1.80 ERA) is tabbed for his 10th start of the season. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 45 IP.

  • Has not yielded more than 2 ER in any start.
  • Owns a 1.29 ERA and 0.90 WHIP at home this season.
  • Has registered a 2.08 ERA at Dodger Stadium since 2020.

Mets at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Mets +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Mets 3

Money line

Looking at runs scored versus allowed, the Mets are perhaps 2 or 3 wins too far out over their skis, and the opposite holds true for the Dodgers.

Walker runs into a lot of contact and so far has seen some kind rates around the margins, so he’s a solid fade candidate heading into June.

The Dodgers are at their best against right-handed pitching, and their bullpen is better suited to deal with key lefty-bat plate appearances late.

PEG LOS ANGELES (-175) AS HAVING JUST ENOUGH VALUE.

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Run line/Against the spread

Over their last 11 home games, the Dodgers have managed just 2 multi-run wins. Look for a bounce-back answer to being swept by Pittsburgh. Consider a partial-unit play on LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under

The Over, which is 8-0 in New York’s last 8 games, is a slight lean. However, a PASS is suggested unless an Over 8.5 (-115) tag becomes available.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (60-63) and Los Angeles Dodgers (78-46) cap off a four-game series Sunday with a 4:10 p.m. ET game at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 8-12 with a 2.84 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 139 2/3 IP over 26 starts.

  • Has benefited from a .281 batting average on balls in play and a favorable runner-stranded rate. Expected-ERA measures peg him in the high-3s. His Statcast xERA (4.36) is worse still. That figure is based on quality of contact (hard hits, optimal launch angle, etc.).

LHP David Price is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He is 4-1 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 through 59 2/3 IP spanning 31 games (10 starts).

  • Making his fourth straight appearance as a starter. Clocked a 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over the previous three (14 IP)
  • Owns a 3.06 and 1.21 WHIP at Dodger Stadium this season.

Mets at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Dodgers 6, Mets 4

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers are up 3-0 in the series after three low-scoring games. Overall, Los Angeles has won nine in a row and 13 of its last 14 games. Over those 14 games, Dodger pitching has compiled a sparkling 1.84 ERA.

New York is just 5-15 this month, and while its offense has been shaky most of the season it has been especially anemic in August. This month, the Mets are averaging 3.3 runs per game on a .633 OPS. N.Y. enters Sunday’s game having lost eight of its last nine contests.

Los Angeles is 11-2 across its last 13 games in Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers are 11-3 over their last 14 home games against the Mets.

The home nine is tagged with a fair price in Sunday’s finale. TAKE LOS ANGELES (-200).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Dodgers have won six games by a lone run over their nine-game win streak and that has the public perhaps too skittish on this play. This is a Dodgers club that has won 29 games by 5 or more runs.

The Mets are closing out a West Coast road trip and are 3-6 in road-trip end games. Five of those six losses were by multiple runs.

With an Over lean (see below), TAKE THE DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

After a couple of low-scoring games, it feels risky to look for an Over here but there is some fade-Stroman momentum at work and some good arms in the L.A. bullpen likely to stay on the shelf after being utilized multiple times in this series already.

A breeze-out afternoon at Dodger Stadium is also in the mix. TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-122) Sunday.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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